Minnesota enters with a remarkable 10-1 record against the spread, while Dallas has covered seven of 11. The Timberwolves have won four straight, but Anthony Edwards remains out, making backcourt production a central variable.
Betting Snapshot
Spread Movement
Moneyline Movement
Total Movement
Best Free Prop Pick
This page gives you one free prop. Upgrade for premium sides, totals, more props, and the full daily AI board.
Unlock Premium AI PicksOdds Comparison Center
Shop for the best lines in one place.
Injury Report
The November 12 NBA injury report lists Minnesota guard Anthony Edwards out following right knee arthroscopy and Donte DiVincenzo out following right Achilles surgery. Dallas lists Dereck Lively II out after right foot surgery, Tarik Biberovic out with right heel bursitis, and Sergio de Larrea out with a right knee sprain. Morez Johnson Jr. is probable with a left shin contusion. The Edwards absence increases Minnesota's reliance on LaMelo Ball, Ayo Dosunmu, and Jaden McDaniels; Dallas may need more frontcourt minutes from its available bigs.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Minnesota has the stronger early defensive profile, allowing 107.0 points per game against Dallas's 110.3, and owns a 10-1 ATS record. Dallas counters with Cooper Flagg's 25.9 points per game and a 3-1 road ATS mark. Edwards' absence limits Minnesota's primary scoring options, so the advantage is meaningful but not unconditional.
3 Things to Watch
- Minnesota 10-1 ATS start versus Dallas 7-4
- Flagg scoring against Minnesota defensive efficiency
- Ball playmaking without injured Anthony Edwards
Betting Breakdown
Dallas travels to Target Center for a Thursday matchup against a Minnesota team that has been unusually reliable against the number. The Timberwolves are 8-3 straight up and 10-1 ATS, including 4-1 ATS at home. Dallas is 7-4 and 7-4 ATS, with a stronger 3-1 ATS mark in four road games. Recent form also favors Minnesota: the Wolves have won their last four games and covered six consecutive spreads, while Dallas has won three straight and covered three of its last five. Minnesota's 118.1 points scored and 107.0 allowed per game compare with Dallas's 114.9 scored and 110.3 conceded. Cooper Flagg provides Dallas with a substantial creation threat, averaging 25.9 points and 6.9 assists. Minnesota must manage without Anthony Edwards, who is listed out, putting more pressure on LaMelo Ball and Ayo Dosunmu. Market listings show Minnesota as a 5.5-point favorite and a 225.5-point total, though prices can move. The betting question is whether Minnesota's defensive strength and home success outweigh its missing star and Dallas's improving form.
Dallas Betting Outlook
Dallas arrives at 7-4 after consecutive victories over Utah, Brooklyn, and Indiana, scoring 112, 130, and 125 points in those games. The Mavericks have gone 3-2 outright and 3-2 ATS over their last five, with a 7-4 ATS record overall and a 3-1 ATS mark away from home. Cooper Flagg is averaging 25.9 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 6.9 assists; Kyrie Irving adds 22.9 points per game in nine appearances. The Mavericks allow 110.3 points per game. Their challenge will be sustaining offense against a Minnesota defense that has allowed just 107.0 per game, particularly with Dereck Lively II sidelined following foot surgery.
Minnesota Betting Outlook
Minnesota holds an 8-3 record, including a 4-1 home mark, and has won four straight games against Milwaukee, Houston, New Orleans, and Utah. Its 10-1 ATS record is among the defining betting facts of this matchup, with a 4-1 home ATS split and a 5-0 cover record as an underdog. The Timberwolves average 118.1 points while allowing 107.0, a strong two-way profile. LaMelo Ball averages 18.3 points and 6.0 assists, while Ayo Dosunmu contributes 18.1 points per game. Anthony Edwards is out following knee surgery, so available guards and Jaden McDaniels must carry more creation and scoring responsibilities against Dallas.
Latest Team Buzz
MIN ✈️ CLE ✈️ BOS
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) November 11, 2026
#MFFL
understanding the importance of each game.
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) November 11, 2026
Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves FAQ
What is the current spread for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
The current home spread is , while the away spread is .
How far has the spread moved for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
The spread opened at and is now .
What is the current moneyline for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
The current moneyline is / .
How far has the moneyline moved for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
The moneyline opened at / and is now / .
What is the current total for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
The current total is .
How far has the total moved for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
The total opened at and is now .
Is the market taking the underdog in Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
Current market signal: .
Is the market taking the favorite in Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
Current market signal: .
Is the total dropping for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
Current totals signal: .
Is the total rising for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
Current totals signal: .
Where to watch Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
You can watch this game on NBA TV. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
You can stream this game on MavsTV+.
What is the best free prop bet for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
LaMelo Ball Over 30.5 PTS+REB+AST
What is the biggest matchup edge for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
Minnesota has the stronger early defensive profile, allowing 107.0 points per game against Dallas's 110.3, and owns a 10-1 ATS record. Dallas counters with Cooper Flagg's 25.9 points per game and a 3-1 road ATS mark. Edwards' absence limits Minnesota's primary scoring options, so the advantage is meaningful but not unconditional.
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.