Away Team
Record 4-0
Last 5 4-0 last four
ATS 3-1 ATS
Road 1-0 road
Standings
NBA Game Preview
Schedule
Tipoff Countdown
14:31:47
Start Time 9:40 PM EST
Date October 28, 2026
Venue American Airlines Center
Where To Watch ESPN
Where To Stream ESPN Unlimited
Season Series Season series tied 0-0.

Unbeaten Oklahoma City visits Dallas after four straight wins, but a demanding injury picture complicates the favorite case. The Mavericks have split their first four, and the spread creates a tougher question than the outright result.

Home Team
Record 2-2
Last 5 2-2 last four
ATS 2-2 ATS
Home 0-1 home
Analysis Updated: 12:30 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 12:15 AM ET
Odds Updated: 7:04 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
DAL +6.5
Open: DAL +5.5
Market Widening

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/28 7:04 AM ET
Moneyline
DAL +190
Open: DAL +170
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/28 7:04 AM ET
Total
228.5
Open: 230.5
Total Dropping

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/28 7:04 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Ajay Mitchell Under 18.5 Points
Gilgeous-Alexander faces a Dallas defense allowing 116.0 points per game early. Flagg may need elevated offensive involvement if Dallas guard availability remains unsettled. Oklahoma City frontcourt absences could change rebound chances and interior scoring matchups.

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Odds Comparison Center

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Best Home Spread
FanDuel | DAL +6.5
Best Home Moneyline
LowVig.ag | DAL +195
Best Over Line
DraftKings | 228.5
Best Away Spread
Fanatics | OKC -6
Best Away Moneyline
BetRivers | OKC -215
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 229.5
Updated 7:04 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelOKC -6.5
DAL +6.5
OKC -225
DAL +188
O 229.5
U 229.5
DraftKingsOKC -6.5
DAL +6.5
OKC -230
DAL +190
O 228.5
U 228.5
BetMGMOKC -6.5
DAL +6.5
OKC -225
DAL +185
O 229.5
U 229.5
BetRiversOKC -6.5
DAL +6.5
OKC -215
DAL +175
O 229.5
U 229.5
FanaticsOKC -6
DAL +6
OKC -225
DAL +185
O 229
U 229
BovadaOKC -6
DAL +6
OKC -225
DAL +185
O 229
U 229
BetOnline.agOKC -6
DAL +6
OKC -230
DAL +192
O 229
U 229
LowVig.agOKC -6
DAL +6
OKC -228
DAL +195
O 229
U 229
MyBookie.agOKC -6
DAL +6
OKC -218
DAL +174
O 229.5
U 229.5
BetUSOKC -6
DAL +6
OKC -220
DAL +185
O 229
U 229
CaesarsOKC -6
DAL +6
OKC -225
DAL +185
O 229.5
U 229.5

Injury Report

Availability remains an important pregame variable. Reports have linked Oklahoma City to concerns involving Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace and other rotation pieces, while Dallas has monitored Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II among several listed players. Reporting varies across outlets and update times, so no questionable player should be treated as definitively active or inactive without a final official designation. These situations can materially alter spacing, rim protection and ballhandling.

Key Players

Oklahoma City
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Thunder have allowed just 100.8 points per game during their 4-0 start.
Dallas
Cooper Flagg
Dallas averages 112.5 points through four games, against 116.0 points allowed.

Key Matchup Edge

Oklahoma City owns the stronger early defensive efficiency and has already won its first road game. Dallas has allowed 116.0 points per contest and lost its lone home appearance. The Thunder have the statistical edge, but reported absences could reduce their margin for error against a sizable road spread.

3 Things to Watch

  • Final Oklahoma City frontcourt availability
  • Dallas ballhandling and Irving status
  • Thunder defense against Dallas transition offense

Betting Breakdown

Oklahoma City visits Dallas on Wednesday night with an unbeaten 4-0 record and a clear statistical advantage on the defensive end. The Thunder have held opponents to 100.8 points per game, with wins over San Antonio, Denver, the Clippers and Phoenix. Dallas is 2-2 after a 113-109 victory at Miami, but its four-game defensive average of 116.0 points allowed presents a challenge against a disciplined road opponent. The early betting line has made Oklahoma City roughly a six-point favorite, reflecting that gap in form while leaving room for injury-related uncertainty. The Thunder covered three of their first four games, compared with a 2-2 ATS start for Dallas. Oklahoma City also swept last season's three meetings, holding Dallas below 100 points in both road wins. Still, early-season samples are small and the Mavericks have only played one home game. Monitor official availability, particularly Oklahoma City's frontcourt depth and Dallas's guard rotation, before judging the spread. The total deserves similar caution because personnel changes could affect both defensive resistance and offensive creation.

Oklahoma City Betting Outlook

The Thunder are unbeaten through four games, winning 116-104 at San Antonio, 96-84 against Denver, 108-101 against the Clippers and 125-114 against Phoenix. Their 3-1 ATS mark confirms that the opening run has translated into covers as well as victories. Defensive discipline is the principal edge: Oklahoma City has held opponents to 100.8 points per game and enters with a positive scoring differential. The challenge for spread backers is roster availability and road pricing. Reported frontcourt and wing absences could reduce rotation flexibility, especially if Dallas attacks the paint or forces extra help. Confirm the official injury report and current line before committing.

Dallas Betting Outlook

Dallas enters 2-2 after alternating losses and wins across its first four contests. The Mavericks rebounded from a 122-106 home defeat against San Antonio with a 113-109 road victory in Miami, a useful response but not yet evidence of consistent form. They have scored 112.5 points per game while allowing 116.0, leaving a negative early differential. Dallas is 2-2 ATS and 0-1 at American Airlines Center. Cooper Flagg is an important offensive focal point, while Kyrie Irving's availability bears watching. For home underdog bettors, the case depends on more reliable half-court creation and a meaningful improvement in defensive execution against Oklahoma City.

Latest Team Buzz

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks FAQ

What is the current spread for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

The current home spread is DAL +6.5, while the away spread is OKC -6.5.

How far has the spread moved for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

The spread opened at DAL +5.5 and is now DAL +6.5.

What is the current moneyline for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

The current moneyline is OKC -230 / DAL +190.

How far has the moneyline moved for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

The moneyline opened at OKC -205 / DAL +170 and is now OKC -230 / DAL +190.

What is the current total for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

The current total is 228.5.

How far has the total moved for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

The total opened at 230.5 and is now 228.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

Current market signal: Market Widening.

Is the market taking the favorite in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Is the total rising for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Where to watch Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

You can watch this game on ESPN. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

You can stream this game on ESPN Unlimited.

What is the best free prop bet for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

Ajay Mitchell Under 18.5 Points

What is the biggest matchup edge for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks?

Oklahoma City owns the stronger early defensive efficiency and has already won its first road game. Dallas has allowed 116.0 points per contest and lost its lone home appearance. The Thunder have the statistical edge, but reported absences could reduce their margin for error against a sizable road spread.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks
Game Date October 28, 2026
Venue American Airlines Center
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI NBA PAST PICKS

25-26 49.0% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
NY@SA
DYLAN HARPER UNDER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS
54.4%
4
WIN
SA@NY
DYLAN HARPER UNDER 6.5 REBOUNDS
53.4%
3
WIN
SA@NY
JOSH HART UNDER 18.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS
53.4%
3
LOSS
NY@SA
VICTOR WEMBANYAMA UNDER 3.5 ASSTS
53.1%
3
WIN
NY@SA
VICTOR WEMBANYAMA OVER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.4%
3
WIN
NY@SA
JOSH HART UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS
54.1%
4
LOSS
SA@OKC
JAYLIN WILLIAMS UNDER 4.5 REB
53.2%
3
LOSS
SA@OKC
ALEX CARUSO UNDER 14.5 REB + PTS
53.6%
3
LOSS
OKC@SA
KELDON JOHNSON OVER 0.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
54.1%
4
WIN
SA@OKC
SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 4.5 REBOUNDS
53.6%
3
WIN
NY@CLE
MITCHELL ROBINSON OVER 6.5 REB
53.7%
3
LOSS
OKC@SA
SA -1.5
54.0%
3
LOSS
OKC@SA
JULIAN CHAMPAGNIE OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
54.2%
4
LOSS
SA@OKC
SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 4.5 REBOUNDS
54.6%
4
WIN
CLE@NY
EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE
54.2%
4
WIN
SA@OKC
SA +6.5
56.8%
6
WIN
SA@OKC
KELDON JOHNSON OVER 0.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.5%
3
WIN
CLE@DET
CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 4.5 TURNOVERS
54.1%
4
LOSS
DET@CLE
PAUL REED OVER 0.5 TURNOVERS
54.1%
4
WIN
SA@MIN
DEAARON FOX UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST
53.4%
3
LOSS
CLE@DET
CADE CUNNINGHAM UNDER 9.5 FIELD GOALS MADE
53.4%
3
LOSS
MIN@SA
KELDON JOHNSON OVER 0.5 TURNOVERS
54.2%
4
WIN
OKC@LAL
JAXSON HAYES OVER 3.5 REB
54.1%
4
WIN
SA@MIN
JULIUS RANDLE OVER 3.5 TURNOVERS
53.6%
3
LOSS
LAL@OKC
AJAY MITCHELL UNDER 3.5 REB
54.2%
4
WIN
PHI@NY
PAUL GEORGE OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.2%
3
WIN
CLE@DET
DONOVAN MITCHELL UNDER 4.5 ASST
54.2%
4
WIN
ORL@DET
DESMOND BANE UNDER 7.5 REB + ASST
54.4%
4
WIN
PHI@BOS
PHI +8.5
56.5%
6
WIN
PHI@BOS
TYRESE MAXEY OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.2%
3
LOSS
CLE@TOR
COLLIN MURRAY-BOYLES OVER 17.5 PTS + REB
54.7%
4
WIN
BOS@PHI
BOS -6
53.7%
3
LOSS
NY@ATL
NICKEIL ALEXANDER-WALKER UNDER 24.5 PTS + REB + ASST
54.6%
4
WIN
ORL@DET
ORL +10.5
54.9%
3
WIN
ORL@DET
DESMOND BANE OVER 1.5 BLOCKS & STEALS
53.2%
3
WIN
PHI@BOS
JAYSON TATUM OVER 6.5 ASST
54.2%
4
LOSS
POR@SA
POR +12.5
53.9%
3
LOSS
MIN@DEN
NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 40.5 PTS + ASST
54.1%
4
LOSS
OKC@PHX
ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 2.5 ASST
53.5%
3
LOSS
BOS@PHI
PAUL GEORGE UNDER 23.5 PTS + REB
53.6%
3
WIN
SA@POR
KELDON JOHNSON OVER 0.5 TURNOVERS
55.2%
5
LOSS
DEN@MIN
NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 40.5 PTS + ASST
53.7%
3
WIN
DET@ORL
TOBIAS HARRIS OVER 0.5 BLOCKS
54.2%
4
LOSS
BOS@PHI
PAYTON PRITCHARD OVER 7.5 REB + ASST
55.5%
5
LOSS
SA@POR
JULIAN CHAMPAGNIE UNDER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.5%
3
WIN
CLE@TOR
CLE -2.5
53.7%
3
LOSS
DEN@MIN
DEN -125
56.3%
6
LOSS
NY@ATL
NY -113
54.7%
4
LOSS
NY@ATL
JALEN JOHNSON UNDER 8.5 REB
53.9%
3
LOSS
DEN@MIN
RUDY GOBERT UNDER 12.5 REB + ASST
54.3%
4
LOSS
PHX@OKC
ROYCE ONEALE UNDER 6.5 PTS
54.4%
4
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.