76ers vs Mavericks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Jan 1)
Updated: 2025-12-30T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Philadelphia 76ers travel to take on the Dallas Mavericks on January 1, 2026 at the American Airlines Center in a non‑conference matchup that could shape early playoff positioning and momentum for both squads. Philadelphia has found scoring success and ATS traction recently, while Dallas seeks to stabilize inconsistent play and leverage its home advantage to stay competitive in the Western Conference.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 1, 2026
Start Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Mavericks Record: (12-22)
76ers Record: (17-14)
OPENING ODDS
PHI Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON
DAL Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON
PHI Spread: ODDS COMING SOON
DAL Spread: ODDS COMING SOON
Over/Under: ODDS COMING SOON
PHI
Betting Trends
- The 76ers are strong against the spread (ATS) this season with an 18‑13 ATS record overall and an impressive 10‑4 ATS mark in road games, reflecting their ability to cover even as underdogs or favorites away from home. They’ve also been 12‑4 ATS in their last 16 road games, making them a consistent choice for bettors when playing away.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Mavericks have a 15‑19 ATS record overall this season, but they’re better at home, with a 10‑8 ATS mark at the American Airlines Center, showing they cover more often with home crowd support. However, Dallas has struggled recently, going 1‑5 ATS in its last six games, which could influence expectations for the New Year’s Day matchup.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In recent head‑to‑head trends, the 76ers are 7‑3 ATS vs. the Mavericks, and Philadelphia has gone OVER in eight of its last five games, while Dallas games have gone OVER in eight of their last 11 outings, suggesting scoring could be lively. Meanwhile, Dallas has shown historical strength ATS at home against Eastern Conference opponents, flipping the narrative on road favorites.
PHI vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Embiid over 36.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Philadelphia vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 1/1/26
The Philadelphia 76ers and Dallas Mavericks face off to kick off the New Year in what shapes up as a compelling cross‑conference contest at the American Airlines Center. Philadelphia enters riding the momentum of a thrilling 139‑136 overtime victory over the Memphis Grizzlies that snapped a mini losing streak and showcased the scoring firepower spread across their roster. Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid both erupted for 34 points apiece in that win, with rookie VJ Edgecombe providing a clutch game‑winning three in overtime and highlighting how the 76ers can be dangerous from the perimeter and in late‑game scenarios. Their recent 121‑114 triumph over Dallas in their last meeting — a game where Maxey poured in 38 points and the team shared scoring responsibility widely even without full health from the roster — sets the tone for this rematch, with Philadelphia familiar with exploiting Dallas’ defensive lapses and converting in key fourth‑quarter moments. Philadelphia has also been strong ATS on the road this season, and their recent success on both ends of the floor gives them confidence as short favorites in this matchup.
Dallas, meanwhile, has struggled for consistency this season and is in the midst of a skid with recent narrow losses like their 125‑122 defeat to Portland where defensive breakdowns late cost them the game. Young talent like Cooper Flagg and Max Christie has shown promise, but the Mavericks’ defense has been tested and turnovers have been a recurring issue when they fail to execute cleanly. On offense, Dallas can score in bunches, but they often rely heavily on individual creation rather than fluid team scoring, which can be less reliable against disciplined defenses like Philadelphia’s when they’re locked in. Matchups inside with Embiid and the 76ers’ physical frontcourt, as well as perimeter battles against Maxey and Edgecombe, will likely determine the flow of the game. Overall, Philadelphia’s recent victories over the Mavericks and roster balance may give them a slight edge, but Dallas’ home court and potential for high scoring keep this New Year’s Day contest intriguing and closely contested.
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ended 2025 on a high note. 📈 pic.twitter.com/tC1qqZs9kA
— Philadelphia 76ers (@sixers) January 1, 2026
Philadelphia 76ers NBA Preview
The Philadelphia 76ers enter Dallas on a strong recent run, having shown resilience and scoring punch in their last few games — including a dramatic 139‑136 overtime win over the Memphis Grizzlies where rookie VJ Edgecombe hit the decisive three, and established stars Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid delivered big performances in crunch time. Edgecombe has emerged as a key offensive piece, averaging high scoring outputs and bringing energy that complements Maxey’s relentless scoring and playmaking. Philadelphia’s road form this season has also been noteworthy; they own a solid ATS record in away games, demonstrating an ability not only to compete but to cover spreads even in hostile environments. That road strength stems from balanced scoring and a willingness to mix aggressive drives with efficient perimeter shooting, making the 76ers tough to slow down if their spacing and ball movement click. The team has also shown they can grind out wins against quality opponents, proving their mettle beyond their home court.
Defense has been a mixed bag at times, with moments of strong pressure and forced turnovers but occasional lapses that have led to high‑scoring affairs — illustrated by their recent shootouts and the need to manage opponents’ second‑chance points. Philadelphia’s success on the road often hinges on disciplined rotations and minimizing careless turnovers; when they limit sloppy possessions and control tempo, they sustain longer offensive possessions and put pressure on defenses late in games. The physical frontcourt matchup in Dallas will require effort and communication to contain Mavericks’ attackers in the paint and on cuts, while perimeter defenders must stay connected to shooters if the 76ers hope to mitigate Dallas’ home scoring bursts. Depth will matter in late rotations, and if Philadelphia can maintain offensive flow and defensive focus, they’ll be positioned to keep this New Year’s Day game competitive deep into the fourth quarter — regardless of the scoreboard situation early.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Mavericks NBA Preview
The Dallas Mavericks return home to the American Airlines Center looking to rebound after a string of inconsistent performances and assert themselves against the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. Dallas’ season has been marked by streaks of brilliance interspersed with lapses on defense and uneven execution, particularly in late-game situations. Anthony Davis leads a team with a mix of veteran savvy and young talent, including rising stars Cooper Flagg and Max Christie, who have stepped up to provide scoring bursts and playmaking off the bench. The Mavericks’ offense thrives when these pieces click in tandem, with effective spacing and ball movement opening up driving lanes and perimeter opportunities. When the Mavericks’ shooters are accurate and rotations flow, they can match high-scoring teams like Philadelphia, but inconsistency has been a recurring issue. Defensively, Dallas has shown both potential and vulnerability. Containing elite guards such as Tyrese Maxey, while simultaneously protecting the paint against Joel Embiid, will be a critical focus. The Mavericks’ defensive rotations and communication need to be at their best to prevent easy baskets and limit second-chance points.
Their home ATS record of 10‑8 demonstrates that, even amid fluctuating performance, the team can cover expectations in front of their fans. However, recent struggles, including a 1‑5 ATS slide in their last six games, indicate the need for improved execution and discipline. Late-game management and minimizing turnovers will be pivotal if Dallas hopes to capitalize on its home-court advantage. Ultimately, Dallas’ success hinges on establishing tempo early, leveraging their interior strength, and maximizing scoring efficiency from key contributors. If the Mavericks maintain focus on both ends of the floor, distribute scoring opportunities effectively, and tighten perimeter defense, they can contend with Philadelphia’s balanced attack. With energy from the crowd and strategic adjustments from the coaching staff, Dallas has the potential to turn the tide in its favor, making this New Year’s Day matchup an important test of depth, consistency, and poise under pressure.
2025 on 🎥 Let’s run in back ⏪#MFFL pic.twitter.com/rh8jq8QaCb
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) December 31, 2025
Philadelphia vs Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the 76ers and Mavericks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in Jan almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Philadelphia vs Dallas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the 76ers and Mavericks and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a 76ers team going up against a possibly strong Mavericks team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Dallas picks, computer picks 76ers vs Mavericks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 3/4 | UTA@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/4 | ATL@MIL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/4 | CHA@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/4 | POR@MEM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Philadelphia Betting Trends
The 76ers are strong against the spread (ATS) this season with an 18‑13 ATS record overall and an impressive 10‑4 ATS mark in road games, reflecting their ability to cover even as underdogs or favorites away from home. They’ve also been 12‑4 ATS in their last 16 road games, making them a consistent choice for bettors when playing away.
Dallas Betting Trends
The Mavericks have a 15‑19 ATS record overall this season, but they’re better at home, with a 10‑8 ATS mark at the American Airlines Center, showing they cover more often with home crowd support. However, Dallas has struggled recently, going 1‑5 ATS in its last six games, which could influence expectations for the New Year’s Day matchup.
76ers vs. Mavericks Matchup Trends
In recent head‑to‑head trends, the 76ers are 7‑3 ATS vs. the Mavericks, and Philadelphia has gone OVER in eight of its last five games, while Dallas games have gone OVER in eight of their last 11 outings, suggesting scoring could be lively. Meanwhile, Dallas has shown historical strength ATS at home against Eastern Conference opponents, flipping the narrative on road favorites.
Philadelphia vs. Dallas Game Info
Philadelphia vs Dallas starts on January 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM EST.
Venue: American Airlines Center.
Spread: Dallas ODDS COMING SOON
Moneyline: Philadelphia ODDS COMING SOON, Dallas ODDS COMING SOON
Over/Under: ODDS COMING SOON
Philadelphia: (17-14) | Dallas: (12-22)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Embiid over 36.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
In recent head‑to‑head trends, the 76ers are 7‑3 ATS vs. the Mavericks, and Philadelphia has gone OVER in eight of its last five games, while Dallas games have gone OVER in eight of their last 11 outings, suggesting scoring could be lively. Meanwhile, Dallas has shown historical strength ATS at home against Eastern Conference opponents, flipping the narrative on road favorites.
PHI trend: The 76ers are strong against the spread (ATS) this season with an 18‑13 ATS record overall and an impressive 10‑4 ATS mark in road games, reflecting their ability to cover even as underdogs or favorites away from home. They’ve also been 12‑4 ATS in their last 16 road games, making them a consistent choice for bettors when playing away.
DAL trend: The Mavericks have a 15‑19 ATS record overall this season, but they’re better at home, with a 10‑8 ATS mark at the American Airlines Center, showing they cover more often with home crowd support. However, Dallas has struggled recently, going 1‑5 ATS in its last six games, which could influence expectations for the New Year’s Day matchup.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Philadelphia vs. Dallas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| PHI Moneyline | ODDS COMING SOON |
|---|---|
| DAL Moneyline | ODDS COMING SOON |
| PHI Spread | ODDS COMING SOON |
| DAL Spread | ODDS COMING SOON |
| Over / Under | ODDS COMING SOON |
Philadelphia vs Dallas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mar 5, 2026 7:10PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Orlando Magic
3/5/26 7:10PM
Mavericks
Magic
|
–
–
|
+293
-356
|
+8.5 (+100)
-8.5 (-112)
|
O 229 (-107)
U 229 (-107)
|
|
|
Mar 5, 2026 7:10PM EST
Utah Jazz
Washington Wizards
3/5/26 7:10PM
Jazz
Wizards
|
–
–
|
+107
-123
|
+2 (-106)
-2 (-106)
|
O 243 (-113)
U 243 (-102)
|
|
|
Mar 5, 2026 7:40PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
Miami Heat
3/5/26 7:40PM
Nets
Heat
|
–
–
|
+576
-786
|
+12.5 (-106)
-12.5 (-106)
|
O 226 (-107)
U 226 (-107)
|
|
|
Mar 5, 2026 7:40PM EST
Golden State Warriors
Houston Rockets
3/5/26 7:40PM
Warriors
Rockets
|
–
–
|
+301
-366
|
+9 (-106)
-9 (-106)
|
O 216 (-102)
U 216 (-113)
|
|
|
Mar 5, 2026 8:10PM EST
Toronto Raptors
Minnesota Timberwolves
3/5/26 8:10PM
Raptors
Timberwolves
|
–
–
|
+195
-228
|
+6 (-111)
-6 (-101)
|
O 227.5 (-107)
U 227.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Mar 5, 2026 8:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
San Antonio Spurs
3/5/26 8:10PM
Pistons
Spurs
|
–
–
|
+132
-149
|
+3.5 (-111)
-3.5 (-101)
|
O 228 (-102)
U 228 (-113)
|
|
|
Mar 5, 2026 9:10PM EST
Chicago Bulls
Phoenix Suns
3/5/26 9:10PM
Bulls
Suns
|
–
–
|
+414
-528
|
+11.5 (-106)
-11.5 (-106)
|
O 224.5 (-107)
U 224.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Mar 5, 2026 10:10PM EST
Los Angeles Lakers
Denver Nuggets
3/5/26 10:10PM
Lakers
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+166
-190
|
+5 (-106)
-5 (-106)
|
O 240.5 (-107)
U 240.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Mar 5, 2026 10:10PM EST
New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings
3/5/26 10:10PM
Pelicans
Kings
|
–
–
|
-180
+158
|
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (+100)
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O 233.5 (-107)
U 233.5 (-107)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Philadelphia 76ers vs. Dallas Mavericks on January 1, 2026 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@DEN | BOS +3.5 | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 23.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| SA@TOR | DEAARON FOX UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@BKN | BKN +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| GS@NO | NO +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@LAL | ANTHONY BLACK OVER 3.5 ASST | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SAC@MEM | SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. OVER 3.5 ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| UTA@HOU | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DEN@GS | DEN -6 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@LAL | BOS -1 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | KELLY OUBRE JR. UNDER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| NYK@CHI | JOSH HART OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 2.5 ASSTS | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | DEN -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@LAL | KAWHI LEONARD UNDER 33.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@NY | NY -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@CHI | RJ BARRETT OVER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@LAC | DERRICK JONES JR. UNDER 4.5 REB + ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAC@HOU | LAC +9 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| POR@MIN | JADEN MCDANIELS OVER 21.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| SA@LAL | VICTOR WEMBANYAMA UNDER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | ATL +8.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@BKN | BKN +4.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| OKC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 28.5 PTS + REB | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 22.5 PTS + REB | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@TOR | IND +9 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NY@BOS | NY +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| CLE@SAC | DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 34.5 PTS + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@ATL | MILES BRIDGES OVER 15.5 PTS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@MIN | NO +9.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| MIA@BOS | MIA +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@LAL | TYRESE MAXEY OVER 6.5 ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@HOU | CHA +4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NO@MIL | NO -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| MEM@SAC | RUSSELL WESTBROOK OVER 22.5 PTS + ASST | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@DET | DEN +5.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@OKC | OKC -8 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| ATL@MIA | CJ MCCOLLUM OVER 16.5 PTS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@IND | ISAIAH COLLIER UNDER 25.5 PTS + ASST | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAC | LAC -126 | 58.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@MEM | MEM +200 | 32.2% | 1 | WIN |
| PHI@LAC | TYRESE MAXEY OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@IND | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 19.5 REB + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | LAC -120 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |