Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 17)
Updated: 2025-12-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Memphis Grizzlies travel to the Target Center to face the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday, December 17, 2025, with Minnesota installed as roughly a 7.5‑point favorite in a key Western Conference matchup. The Timberwolves’ stronger overall record and recent home success contrast with Memphis’ late‑season surge, making this a compelling clash of offensive firepower and tactical adjustments.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 17, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Target Center
Timberwolves Record: (17-9)
Grizzlies Record: (12-14)
OPENING ODDS
MEM Moneyline: +240
MIN Moneyline: -294
MEM Spread: +7.5
MIN Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 233.5
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies are 12‑14 ATS this season and have covered nine or more times overall, with a respectable ATS mark of 7‑3 over their last 10 games.
MIN
Betting Trends
- Minnesota’s ATS record sits around 10‑16‑0, and while overall results are mixed, they’ve covered in five of 13 home games this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Timberwolves games have gone over the total 13 times this year, while Grizzlies contests have hit the over far less often; Memphis games have eclipsed totals only about nine out of 26 times, suggesting a trend toward unders unless this matchup escalates into a high‑tempo affair.
MEM vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Coward under 25.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Memphis vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/17/25
The Memphis Grizzlies travel to the Target Center to face the Minnesota Timberwolves on December 17, 2025, in a key Western Conference matchup with implications for playoff positioning and seeding. Minnesota comes into the contest with a strong 17‑9 record, buoyed by balanced scoring, solid defense, and consistent home performance, while Memphis sits at 12‑14, having struggled with injuries and inconsistent play throughout the season. The Timberwolves have been particularly effective at home, leveraging contributions from stars like Julius Randle, Naz Reid, and shooters such as Donte DiVincenzo to generate offense through ball movement, pick-and-roll execution, and efficient spacing. Their defense has complemented this, contesting shots, limiting second-chance opportunities, and forcing opponents into contested mid-range and perimeter attempts. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, have been bolstered recently by a surge in form, winning three of their last four games and covering the spread in seven of their last ten. Even with key players sidelined, such as Zach Edey, Memphis has adapted by spreading scoring responsibilities and relying on perimeter shooting from players like Cam Spencer to remain competitive against higher-ranked opponents. Offensively, Memphis relies on a mixture of perimeter shooting and fast-break opportunities to compensate for absences in the frontcourt. Donovan Mitchell’s ability to create off the dribble and find teammates in motion is key, while supporting players have stepped up to contribute scoring bursts that keep the Grizzlies within reach in competitive games. With Edey out, Memphis has leaned more on spacing, off-ball movement, and high-efficiency shots around the rim or from three-point range, which allows them to maintain tempo even against teams with superior defensive length. Despite these adjustments, Memphis must contend with Minnesota’s disciplined defense, which excels at limiting open looks, contesting drives, and controlling the paint.
Execution in the half-court and careful shot selection will be vital if the Grizzlies hope to keep pace with Minnesota’s balanced offensive attack. The Timberwolves’ offensive identity emphasizes high-efficiency scoring, ball movement, and exploiting matchups created by spacing and pick-and-rolls. Minnesota’s stars and role players combine to create balanced threats, meaning Memphis cannot focus solely on one player or one aspect of the offense. Defensive rebounding and transition containment are key strengths for the Wolves, allowing them to push the pace and create scoring opportunities before opponents can set up structured defensive sets. Minnesota has shown that when they get into rhythm, their scoring runs can quickly establish control, making it difficult for teams to mount comebacks without near-perfect execution. Bench depth is another advantage for the Wolves, with rotations that maintain intensity on both ends and allow starters to play efficiently without fatigue. Special attention to pace, turnovers, and late-game execution could determine the outcome in this matchup. Memphis has the potential to stay competitive thanks to recent momentum and improved shooting from secondary players, but Minnesota’s home-court dominance, offensive balance, and defensive discipline give them a clear edge. Controlling rebounds, limiting turnovers, and executing in transition will be critical for Memphis to keep the game close, while Minnesota’s ability to maintain offensive flow and defensive integrity could extend their home winning streak. Overall, this game is likely to be competitive but leans toward Minnesota due to superior depth, star talent, and consistent execution on both ends of the court.
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𝗦𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗰𝗲 𝗖𝗼𝗱𝗲: 𝙼𝚎𝚖𝚙𝚑𝚒𝚜 𝙼𝚎𝚗𝚝𝚊𝚕𝚒𝚝𝚢 pic.twitter.com/eoHR9SROEL
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) December 16, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies travel to the Target Center on December 17, 2025, to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, looking to build on recent momentum and prove that they can compete against one of the Western Conference’s stronger squads. Memphis enters the matchup with a 12‑14 record, struggling at times with injuries and inconsistent performances, but has shown signs of resurgence over the last month. The Grizzlies have won three of their last four games and covered the spread in seven of their last ten contests, demonstrating resilience and adaptability even in the absence of key players. Most notably, Zach Edey is sidelined due to a left ankle stress reaction, forcing Memphis to rely more on perimeter shooting and balanced scoring from secondary players. Despite these challenges, the Grizzlies’ ability to maintain offensive efficiency and execute defensive rotations has allowed them to remain competitive on the road against teams with superior talent and depth. Offensively, Memphis relies heavily on star playmakers and emerging contributors to generate points and maintain tempo. While Edey’s absence removes a major interior presence, players like Cam Spencer and Desmond Bane have stepped up, providing perimeter scoring, spacing, and reliable shooting from beyond the arc. The team’s offensive philosophy emphasizes ball movement, off-ball screens, and high-efficiency attempts near the rim or from three-point range. Donovan Mitchell continues to be the focal point, capable of creating his own shot and generating opportunities for teammates through penetration and kick-outs. Execution in half-court sets and careful shot selection will be vital to keeping pace with Minnesota’s structured defense, which excels at contesting shots and controlling the paint.
Memphis must also capitalize on transition opportunities, using speed and spacing to generate easy baskets before the Timberwolves can establish defensive positioning. Defensively, the Grizzlies will need to counter the Timberwolves’ balanced offensive attack and home-court energy. Minnesota has shown a capacity to spread scoring across multiple players, with Julius Randle, Naz Reid, and supporting role players capable of hitting open shots or attacking the rim. Memphis must communicate effectively on rotations, contest drives, and maintain positioning to limit high-percentage opportunities in the paint. Defensive rebounding is particularly critical, as second-chance points could allow Minnesota to extend runs and control momentum. Limiting turnovers will also be key, as Minnesota thrives on transition scoring and can quickly convert mistakes into points, especially at home in front of a supportive crowd. Bench contributions and situational execution will play a large role in Memphis’ ability to compete in this contest. The Grizzlies’ secondary scorers and rotational depth must produce efficiently to relieve the starters and maintain intensity on both ends of the floor. Maintaining composure in late-game situations, minimizing unforced errors, and controlling pace will be essential to preventing Minnesota from dominating momentum. If Memphis executes offensively through perimeter efficiency, defends aggressively without fouling, and rebounds effectively, they have a path to stay competitive and potentially cover the spread. However, overcoming Minnesota’s home-court advantage, depth, and balanced scoring will be a formidable challenge, making this matchup a true test of the Grizzlies’ resilience and road performance.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves return home to the Target Center on December 17, 2025, to face the Memphis Grizzlies, aiming to continue their strong season and leverage one of the NBA’s more formidable home-court advantages. Minnesota enters the matchup with a 17‑9 record, built on balanced scoring, solid defensive principles, and consistent performance against Western Conference opponents. At home, the Timberwolves have enjoyed the comfort of familiar surroundings and crowd energy, helping them control tempo, execute rotations effectively, and extend leads when opportunities arise. Star players such as Julius Randle, Naz Reid, and Anthony Edwards provide scoring from multiple positions, while shooters like Donte DiVincenzo and Jaden McDaniels offer spacing and perimeter efficiency, creating a multi-dimensional offensive attack that is difficult for opposing teams to contain. This combination of star talent, role-player contributions, and bench depth has allowed Minnesota to dominate at home and sustain momentum against both elite and mid-tier opponents. Offensively, Minnesota emphasizes ball movement, spacing, and high-efficiency shot creation through pick-and-roll actions and off-ball movement. Anthony Edwards provides explosive scoring and penetration, while Julius Randle combines post-ups, mid-range shooting, and pick-and-pop options to create consistent threats near the basket. The Timberwolves’ bench contributes meaningfully to scoring and energy, allowing starters to remain effective while maintaining intensity on both ends. Against Memphis, Minnesota will look to push tempo, capitalize on transition opportunities, and maintain balanced scoring across the roster. This approach helps prevent defensive schemes from focusing on one player and keeps opponents guessing, creating openings for high-percentage shots and limiting predictable offensive patterns.
Defensively, Minnesota relies on a combination of length, anticipation, and disciplined rotations to control the pace and limit opponent efficiency. Rebounding, especially on the defensive glass, is a major focus, ensuring fewer second-chance opportunities and allowing the Timberwolves to convert defensive stops into fast-break points. The Grizzlies have recently leaned on perimeter shooting and fast-break scoring in the absence of Zach Edey, but Minnesota’s defensive structure, including quick closeouts and help-side rotations, should make open looks difficult. Limiting turnovers will also be crucial, as the Timberwolves can exploit mistakes to generate transition baskets and create scoring runs that can swing momentum quickly in their favor. Situational execution, home-court advantage, and depth rotations will play a pivotal role in determining Minnesota’s performance. By controlling pace, sustaining offensive rhythm, and maintaining defensive discipline, the Timberwolves can dictate how the game unfolds, forcing Memphis to respond rather than initiating their own strategy. Bench contributions and strategic substitutions will allow Minnesota to maintain intensity throughout the contest, reducing fatigue and limiting lapses late in the game. While Memphis has shown resilience and recent improvements, Minnesota’s home dominance, balanced scoring, and depth advantage position them as strong favorites. If the Timberwolves execute effectively on both ends and capitalize on their home-court environment, they are likely to maintain control, dictate tempo, and secure a convincing victory over the visiting Grizzlies.
24 hours until we’re back at @TargetCenterMN. pic.twitter.com/0TP1nJmV6v
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) December 17, 2025
Memphis vs Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Timberwolves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Center in Dec almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Memphis vs Minnesota Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Grizzlies and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly strong Timberwolves team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Memphis vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 3/12 | PHI@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/12 | BOS@OKC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NBA | 3/12 | BKN@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/12 | CHI@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/12 | DAL@MEM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 3/12 | PHI@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Memphis Betting Trends
The Grizzlies are 12‑14 ATS this season and have covered nine or more times overall, with a respectable ATS mark of 7‑3 over their last 10 games.
Minnesota Betting Trends
Minnesota’s ATS record sits around 10‑16‑0, and while overall results are mixed, they’ve covered in five of 13 home games this season.
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends
Timberwolves games have gone over the total 13 times this year, while Grizzlies contests have hit the over far less often; Memphis games have eclipsed totals only about nine out of 26 times, suggesting a trend toward unders unless this matchup escalates into a high‑tempo affair.
Memphis vs. Minnesota Game Info
Memphis vs Minnesota starts on December 17, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: Target Center.
Spread: Minnesota -7.5
Moneyline: Memphis +240, Minnesota -294
Over/Under: 233.5
Memphis: (12-14) | Minnesota: (17-9)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Coward under 25.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Timberwolves games have gone over the total 13 times this year, while Grizzlies contests have hit the over far less often; Memphis games have eclipsed totals only about nine out of 26 times, suggesting a trend toward unders unless this matchup escalates into a high‑tempo affair.
MEM trend: The Grizzlies are 12‑14 ATS this season and have covered nine or more times overall, with a respectable ATS mark of 7‑3 over their last 10 games.
MIN trend: Minnesota’s ATS record sits around 10‑16‑0, and while overall results are mixed, they’ve covered in five of 13 home games this season.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Memphis vs. Minnesota Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| MEM Moneyline | +240 |
|---|---|
| MIN Moneyline | -294 |
| MEM Spread | +7.5 |
| MIN Spread | -7.5 |
| Over / Under | 233.5 |
Memphis vs Minnesota Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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–
–
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+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
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O 218.5 (-110)
U 218.5 (-110)
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Memphis Grizzlies
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–
–
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+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
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O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
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–
–
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-900
+600
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-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
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O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
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–
–
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-800
+550
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-13.5 (-112)
+13.5 (-108)
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O 237.5 (-105)
U 237.5 (-115)
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Mar 13, 2026 8:10PM EDT
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–
–
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+230
-285
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+7.5 (-118)
-7.5 (-102)
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O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
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Minnesota Timberwolves
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–
–
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-230
+190
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-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
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O 223.5 (-115)
U 223.5 (-105)
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Mar 13, 2026 10:10PM EDT
Utah Jazz
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Trail Blazers
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–
–
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+650
-1000
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+14.5 (-108)
-14.5 (-112)
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O 236.5 (-110)
U 236.5 (-110)
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Chicago Bulls
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–
–
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+525
-750
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+13.5 (-118)
-13.5 (-102)
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O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on December 17, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY@UTA | NY -13.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| NY@UTA | ACE BAILEY UNDER 6.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| BOS@SA | BOS +3.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| MEM@PHI | MEM +2.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIL | MIL +1 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@HOU | HOU -4.5 | 53.9% | 2 | WIN |
| DAL@ATL | ZACCHARIE RISACHER OVER 3.5 REB | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIL | RYAN ROLLINS UNDER 5.5 ASST | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@CLE | DENNIS SCHRODER OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| GS@UTA | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MEM@BKN | BKN +2 | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +6.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@SAC | SAC +2 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@SA | HOU +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| NY@LAL | LAL +2.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@MIA | DUNCAN ROBINSON OVER 14.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@MIL | RYAN ROLLINS UNDER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@NO | ALEX SARR OVER 8.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@MIN | PAOLO BANCHERO UNDER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| UTA@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 2.5 ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| PHI@ATL | PHI +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@PHX | NO +4.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@DEN | DEN +1.5 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| MIA@CHA | GRANT WILLIAMS OVER 3.5 REB | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@BOS | JAYSON TATUM OVER 6.5 REB + ASST | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@MIN | TOR +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@SAC | SAC +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| DET@SA | DET +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@PHX | GRAYSON ALLEN OVER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAL@DEN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 5.5 REB | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@BOS | CHA +6.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| POR@MEM | MEM +10 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@PHI | ACE BAILEY OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ATL@MIL | MYLES TURNER OVER 4.5 REB | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@CHI | CHI +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@TOR | TOR +2.5 | 57.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@SAC | SAC +9.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| NO@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| HOU@WAS | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 5.5 ASST | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@GS | AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 STEALS + BLOCKS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@MIL | BOS -7.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@IND | IND +1 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 12.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@BOS | DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 ASST | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@CHA | POR +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@DAL | MAX CHRISTIE OVER 5.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |