Thunder vs Pacers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Jun 13)
Updated: 2025-06-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers will clash in Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Friday, June 13, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers lead the series 2-1 after a 116-107 victory in Game 3, where Tyrese Haliburton’s standout performance and Indiana’s full-court defensive pressure flipped the momentum in their favor and placed Oklahoma City in a rare position of vulnerability on the championship stage.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jun 13, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pacers Record: (50-32)
Thunder Record: (68-14)
OPENING ODDS
OKC Moneyline: -226
IND Moneyline: +186
OKC Spread: -6
IND Spread: +6.0
Over/Under: 226.5
OKC
Betting Trends
- The Thunder have a 56-28-2 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency against the spread.
IND
Betting Trends
- The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in the 2025 playoffs, demonstrating strong performance in covering spreads during the postseason.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Notably, Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games, indicating struggles in covering spreads away from home.
OKC vs. IND
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Sheppard over 2.5 Points.
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Oklahoma City vs Indiana Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 6/13/25
While OKC had covered spreads all year and maintained their discipline under pressure, their 0-7 ATS streak on the road entering the game held true again, as they crumbled in the fourth quarter with sloppy ball handling and poor transition defense. For the Pacers, it wasn’t just Haliburton—it was the depth contributions from Nembhard, Nesmith, Sheppard, and the veteran presence of Siakam and Turner that gave them the edge, showing a balance and unity that Oklahoma City struggled to match in the hostile atmosphere of Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Thunder still possess the talent and tactical flexibility to take back control of the series, especially if they can slow Indiana’s pace and return to forcing difficult half-court possessions, but they must also improve their offensive poise when pressured. With the Pacers now two wins away from a historic title and the Thunder desperate to avoid a 3-1 deficit, Game 4 promises intensity, urgency, and emotional swings worthy of a championship clash. The series is becoming a battle of tempo and toughness—can OKC’s composure and defense hold up against Indiana’s speed and swagger, or will the Pacers continue to ride their underdog momentum and push the Thunder to the brink? With both teams well-coached, fueled by star power, and aware of the stakes, this matchup now pivots on adjustments, resilience, and execution in the most pressure-filled moments of the basketball calendar.
Final from Indianapolis pic.twitter.com/xMEBbf0lbp
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) June 12, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 4 of the NBA Finals trailing 2-1 in the series, and for the first time this postseason, their margin for error has all but vanished after a humbling 116-107 loss to the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 exposed critical weaknesses in their otherwise stellar formula. This is a team that has dominated all year, riding a 68-14 regular-season record and the league’s best playoff defensive rating of 107.4, with an identity rooted in balance, selflessness, and defensive discipline. Yet against Indiana’s relentless pace and full-court pressure, the Thunder looked uncharacteristically disoriented, especially in transition and late in the shot clock where the Pacers continually forced them into rushed or contested looks. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has continued to play at an MVP level, averaging close to 30 points per game in the playoffs and providing leadership on both ends, but the supporting cast must step up after faltering in Game 3. Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey were contained by Indiana’s aggressive perimeter defense, and although OKC has depth, players like Lu Dort, Cason Wallace, and Alex Caruso need to provide both scoring and stability under pressure.
The Thunder’s biggest issue has been on the road, where they’ve failed to cover the spread in seven straight games—an alarming trend that suggests vulnerability in hostile environments, especially when forced out of rhythm early. Defensively, they’ll need to find better schemes to contain Haliburton’s pick-and-roll creation while improving their transition defense, which allowed the Pacers to swing momentum with quick outlet passes and easy buckets. Head coach Mark Daigneault has been lauded for his strategic acumen all season, but now he faces his greatest challenge yet: reestablishing Oklahoma City’s poise and grit in a cauldron-like environment where Game 4’s stakes could define their season. They must dictate the game’s pace, avoid live-ball turnovers that fuel Indiana’s offense, and recapture the sharp ball movement that helped them eliminate elite teams like Dallas and Los Angeles. This team has thrived by making the right read, the extra pass, and the smart rotation—but in Game 3, that discipline frayed. A loss in Game 4 not only puts them on the brink of elimination, but it would signal a narrative collapse for a franchise that had seemed destined for a title run. Whether the Thunder can channel their frustration into focus will determine if they return home with a tied series or a mountain to climb.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Indiana Pacers NBA Preview
The Indiana Pacers return to Gainbridge Fieldhouse for Game 4 of the NBA Finals with a 2-1 series lead and a surge of momentum after an emphatic 116-107 victory in Game 3 that put the basketball world on notice and brought them within striking distance of an improbable championship run. Under Rick Carlisle’s leadership, the Pacers have flourished by embracing an identity rooted in speed, spacing, and selfless basketball, with Tyrese Haliburton serving as the engine that drives their hyper-kinetic offense and disruptive full-court defense. Game 3 was a masterpiece of pace and pressure, as Haliburton dissected Oklahoma City’s top-ranked playoff defense with timely threes, precise dimes, and poised control, while the supporting cast turned defensive stops into instant offense. Veteran presence has anchored this team, with Myles Turner providing rim protection and spacing, Pascal Siakam delivering playoff savvy and clutch scoring, and the young trio of Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, and Ben Sheppard rising to the moment with fearless shot-making and tireless energy. Carlisle’s adjustment to deploy more aggressive traps and deny Shai Gilgeous-Alexander clean looks disrupted the Thunder’s offensive flow, while Indiana’s physicality on the boards and in passing lanes left OKC reeling late.
The crowd in Indianapolis has grown louder with each win, transforming Gainbridge Fieldhouse into one of the most raucous and intimidating venues in these playoffs—a place where the Pacers are now feeding off emotion, belief, and a deep sense of purpose. Indiana’s 9-3 ATS record this postseason underscores how consistently they’ve exceeded expectations, and their balanced scoring threats make them difficult to scheme against, especially when they’re pushing the pace and collapsing defenses with dribble penetration. Carlisle has managed the rotation masterfully, getting meaningful minutes from nearly every player while preserving legs for crunch-time execution, and the chemistry and unity on display speaks to a team that not only believes it can win—it expects to. Game 4 represents both an opportunity and a test: a win would bring the Pacers to the doorstep of an NBA title, while a loss would reset the series and shift homecourt back to Oklahoma City. To stay on track, Indiana must continue swarming defensively, forcing OKC’s young core into mistakes, and executing their unselfish offense that spreads the floor and finds the open man. With history within reach, the Pacers are playing not just with house money, but with a hungry edge that makes them look less like Cinderella and more like a team of destiny.
24 hours until a pivotal Game 4 on homecourt. pic.twitter.com/luvok0PVgA
— Indiana Pacers (@Pacers) June 13, 2025
Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Prop Picks (AI)
Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Thunder and Pacers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Oklahoma City’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly rested Pacers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Indiana picks, computer picks Thunder vs Pacers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Thunder Betting Trends
The Thunder have a 56-28-2 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency against the spread.
Pacers Betting Trends
The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in the 2025 playoffs, demonstrating strong performance in covering spreads during the postseason.
Thunder vs. Pacers Matchup Trends
Notably, Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games, indicating struggles in covering spreads away from home.
Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Game Info
What time does Oklahoma City vs Indiana start on June 13, 2025?
Oklahoma City vs Indiana starts on June 13, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Where is Oklahoma City vs Indiana being played?
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
What are the opening odds for Oklahoma City vs Indiana?
Spread: Indiana +6.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -226, Indiana +186
Over/Under: 226.5
What are the records for Oklahoma City vs Indiana?
Oklahoma City: (68-14) | Indiana: (50-32)
What is the AI best bet for Oklahoma City vs Indiana?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Sheppard over 2.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Oklahoma City vs Indiana trending bets?
Notably, Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games, indicating struggles in covering spreads away from home.
What are Oklahoma City trending bets?
OKC trend: The Thunder have a 56-28-2 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency against the spread.
What are Indiana trending bets?
IND trend: The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in the 2025 playoffs, demonstrating strong performance in covering spreads during the postseason.
Where can I find AI Picks for Oklahoma City vs Indiana?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Indiana trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Oklahoma City vs Indiana Opening Odds
OKC Moneyline:
-226 IND Moneyline: +186
OKC Spread: -6
IND Spread: +6.0
Over/Under: 226.5
Oklahoma City vs Indiana Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-168
+140
|
-4 (-108)
+4 (-112)
|
O 232.5 (-108)
U 232.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+16.5 (-114)
-16.5 (-106)
|
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-560
+420
|
-10.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+126
-148
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-108)
U 226.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-164
+138
|
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+490
-670
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-230
+190
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-112)
U 234.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
|
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers on June 13, 2025 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |