Thunder vs Pacers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Jun 13)

Updated: 2025-06-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers will clash in Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Friday, June 13, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers lead the series 2-1 after a 116-107 victory in Game 3, where Tyrese Haliburton’s standout performance and Indiana’s full-court defensive pressure flipped the momentum in their favor and placed Oklahoma City in a rare position of vulnerability on the championship stage.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 13, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse​

Pacers Record: (50-32)

Thunder Record: (68-14)

OPENING ODDS

OKC Moneyline: -226

IND Moneyline: +186

OKC Spread: -6

IND Spread: +6.0

Over/Under: 226.5

OKC
Betting Trends

  • The Thunder have a 56-28-2 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency against the spread.

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in the 2025 playoffs, demonstrating strong performance in covering spreads during the postseason.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Notably, Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games, indicating struggles in covering spreads away from home.

OKC vs. IND
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Sheppard over 2.5 Points.

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Oklahoma City vs Indiana Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 6/13/25

The 2025 NBA Finals has delivered unexpected twists, and Game 4 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers looms as a pivotal moment in a series now led 2-1 by Indiana after a stunning Game 3 performance that saw them outwork and outmaneuver a Thunder squad that had looked nearly unstoppable all season. Oklahoma City entered the series with the best regular-season record in the NBA at 68-14 and the league’s top playoff defensive rating, relying heavily on their defensive efficiency, pace control, and the offensive excellence of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to steamroll past experienced teams like the Mavericks and Lakers. However, Game 3 exposed the vulnerability of that formula when disrupted by Indiana’s full-court pressure, tempo-pushing attack, and raucous home crowd. The Pacers, guided by the masterful court vision and leadership of Tyrese Haliburton, executed Rick Carlisle’s up-tempo game plan to perfection, forcing turnovers, pushing transition, and making the Thunder uncomfortable for the first time this postseason.

While OKC had covered spreads all year and maintained their discipline under pressure, their 0-7 ATS streak on the road entering the game held true again, as they crumbled in the fourth quarter with sloppy ball handling and poor transition defense. For the Pacers, it wasn’t just Haliburton—it was the depth contributions from Nembhard, Nesmith, Sheppard, and the veteran presence of Siakam and Turner that gave them the edge, showing a balance and unity that Oklahoma City struggled to match in the hostile atmosphere of Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Thunder still possess the talent and tactical flexibility to take back control of the series, especially if they can slow Indiana’s pace and return to forcing difficult half-court possessions, but they must also improve their offensive poise when pressured. With the Pacers now two wins away from a historic title and the Thunder desperate to avoid a 3-1 deficit, Game 4 promises intensity, urgency, and emotional swings worthy of a championship clash. The series is becoming a battle of tempo and toughness—can OKC’s composure and defense hold up against Indiana’s speed and swagger, or will the Pacers continue to ride their underdog momentum and push the Thunder to the brink? With both teams well-coached, fueled by star power, and aware of the stakes, this matchup now pivots on adjustments, resilience, and execution in the most pressure-filled moments of the basketball calendar.

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 4 of the NBA Finals trailing 2-1 in the series, and for the first time this postseason, their margin for error has all but vanished after a humbling 116-107 loss to the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 exposed critical weaknesses in their otherwise stellar formula. This is a team that has dominated all year, riding a 68-14 regular-season record and the league’s best playoff defensive rating of 107.4, with an identity rooted in balance, selflessness, and defensive discipline. Yet against Indiana’s relentless pace and full-court pressure, the Thunder looked uncharacteristically disoriented, especially in transition and late in the shot clock where the Pacers continually forced them into rushed or contested looks. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has continued to play at an MVP level, averaging close to 30 points per game in the playoffs and providing leadership on both ends, but the supporting cast must step up after faltering in Game 3. Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey were contained by Indiana’s aggressive perimeter defense, and although OKC has depth, players like Lu Dort, Cason Wallace, and Alex Caruso need to provide both scoring and stability under pressure.

The Thunder’s biggest issue has been on the road, where they’ve failed to cover the spread in seven straight games—an alarming trend that suggests vulnerability in hostile environments, especially when forced out of rhythm early. Defensively, they’ll need to find better schemes to contain Haliburton’s pick-and-roll creation while improving their transition defense, which allowed the Pacers to swing momentum with quick outlet passes and easy buckets. Head coach Mark Daigneault has been lauded for his strategic acumen all season, but now he faces his greatest challenge yet: reestablishing Oklahoma City’s poise and grit in a cauldron-like environment where Game 4’s stakes could define their season. They must dictate the game’s pace, avoid live-ball turnovers that fuel Indiana’s offense, and recapture the sharp ball movement that helped them eliminate elite teams like Dallas and Los Angeles. This team has thrived by making the right read, the extra pass, and the smart rotation—but in Game 3, that discipline frayed. A loss in Game 4 not only puts them on the brink of elimination, but it would signal a narrative collapse for a franchise that had seemed destined for a title run. Whether the Thunder can channel their frustration into focus will determine if they return home with a tied series or a mountain to climb.

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers will clash in Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Friday, June 13, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers lead the series 2-1 after a 116-107 victory in Game 3, where Tyrese Haliburton’s standout performance and Indiana’s full-court defensive pressure flipped the momentum in their favor and placed Oklahoma City in a rare position of vulnerability on the championship stage. Oklahoma City vs Indiana AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Jun 13. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Indiana Pacers NBA Preview

The Indiana Pacers return to Gainbridge Fieldhouse for Game 4 of the NBA Finals with a 2-1 series lead and a surge of momentum after an emphatic 116-107 victory in Game 3 that put the basketball world on notice and brought them within striking distance of an improbable championship run. Under Rick Carlisle’s leadership, the Pacers have flourished by embracing an identity rooted in speed, spacing, and selfless basketball, with Tyrese Haliburton serving as the engine that drives their hyper-kinetic offense and disruptive full-court defense. Game 3 was a masterpiece of pace and pressure, as Haliburton dissected Oklahoma City’s top-ranked playoff defense with timely threes, precise dimes, and poised control, while the supporting cast turned defensive stops into instant offense. Veteran presence has anchored this team, with Myles Turner providing rim protection and spacing, Pascal Siakam delivering playoff savvy and clutch scoring, and the young trio of Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, and Ben Sheppard rising to the moment with fearless shot-making and tireless energy. Carlisle’s adjustment to deploy more aggressive traps and deny Shai Gilgeous-Alexander clean looks disrupted the Thunder’s offensive flow, while Indiana’s physicality on the boards and in passing lanes left OKC reeling late.

The crowd in Indianapolis has grown louder with each win, transforming Gainbridge Fieldhouse into one of the most raucous and intimidating venues in these playoffs—a place where the Pacers are now feeding off emotion, belief, and a deep sense of purpose. Indiana’s 9-3 ATS record this postseason underscores how consistently they’ve exceeded expectations, and their balanced scoring threats make them difficult to scheme against, especially when they’re pushing the pace and collapsing defenses with dribble penetration. Carlisle has managed the rotation masterfully, getting meaningful minutes from nearly every player while preserving legs for crunch-time execution, and the chemistry and unity on display speaks to a team that not only believes it can win—it expects to. Game 4 represents both an opportunity and a test: a win would bring the Pacers to the doorstep of an NBA title, while a loss would reset the series and shift homecourt back to Oklahoma City. To stay on track, Indiana must continue swarming defensively, forcing OKC’s young core into mistakes, and executing their unselfish offense that spreads the floor and finds the open man. With history within reach, the Pacers are playing not just with house money, but with a hungry edge that makes them look less like Cinderella and more like a team of destiny.

Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Pacers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Jun rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Sheppard over 2.5 Points.

Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Thunder and Pacers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Oklahoma City’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly rested Pacers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Indiana picks, computer picks Thunder vs Pacers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Thunder Betting Trends

The Thunder have a 56-28-2 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency against the spread.

Pacers Betting Trends

The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in the 2025 playoffs, demonstrating strong performance in covering spreads during the postseason.

Thunder vs. Pacers Matchup Trends

Notably, Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games, indicating struggles in covering spreads away from home.

Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Game Info

Oklahoma City vs Indiana starts on June 13, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Spread: Indiana +6.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -226, Indiana +186
Over/Under: 226.5

Oklahoma City: (68-14)  |  Indiana: (50-32)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Sheppard over 2.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Notably, Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games, indicating struggles in covering spreads away from home.

OKC trend: The Thunder have a 56-28-2 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency against the spread.

IND trend: The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in the 2025 playoffs, demonstrating strong performance in covering spreads during the postseason.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Indiana trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Oklahoma City vs Indiana Opening Odds

OKC Moneyline: -226
IND Moneyline: +186
OKC Spread: -6
IND Spread: +6.0
Over/Under: 226.5

Oklahoma City vs Indiana Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-168
+140
-4 (-108)
+4 (-112)
O 232.5 (-108)
U 232.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+750
-1200
+16.5 (-114)
-16.5 (-106)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-560
+420
-10.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+126
-148
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 226.5 (-108)
U 226.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-164
+138
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+490
-670
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-230
+190
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-112)
U 234.5 (-108)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers on June 13, 2025 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS