Cavaliers vs Knicks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 25)
Updated: 2025-12-23T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cleveland Cavaliers visit the New York Knicks on Christmas Day in a marquee Eastern Conference battle featuring two playoff-contending squads, with the Knicks standing as clear favorites thanks to strong home performance and healthier depth. This rivalry matchup has extra stakes as both teams look to solidify their positioning in the East and make a statement on one of the league’s biggest stages.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 25, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Madison Square Garden
Knicks Record: (20-9)
Cavaliers Record: (17-14)
OPENING ODDS
CLE Moneyline: +190
NYK Moneyline: -207
CLE Spread: +5.5
NYK Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 239.5
CLE
Betting Trends
- Cleveland has struggled against the spread this season, posting a 9–22 ATS record overall and a 4–8 mark ATS on the road, reflecting inconsistent performance and difficulty covering lines even in winnable games.
NYK
Betting Trends
- The New York Knicks have been one of the stronger ATS teams at home, with an excellent 13–3 ATS record in home games, particularly effective when favored by more than a few points
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite Cleveland’s poor overall ATS record, the Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings vs. the Knicks, showing that this matchup history doesn’t always align with broader season trends, and the total has gone UNDER in 11 of the last 13 meetings between these teams.
CLE vs. NYK
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mitchell under 40.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Cleveland vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/25/25
The Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks meet on December 25, 2025, in a Christmas Day showdown that carries both playoff significance and emotional weight in the Eastern Conference. These teams are familiar with each other’s strengths and weaknesses, and that familiarity adds a strategic edge to a matchup already shaped by contrasting identities. New York enters the game as the more stable and disciplined team, particularly at home, while Cleveland arrives with higher volatility—capable of explosive scoring runs but still searching for consistency on both ends of the floor. On a stage as large as Christmas Day at Madison Square Garden, execution, poise, and depth will matter just as much as star power. From a stylistic standpoint, this game is a battle between control and acceleration. The Knicks prefer to dictate tempo through half-court execution, ball security, and physical defense, forcing opponents to grind through possessions. Jalen Brunson’s ability to manage pace and create efficient offense late in the shot clock is central to that approach, and New York’s supporting cast thrives when games slow down and spacing is maintained. Cleveland, by contrast, is most dangerous when the pace quickens. The Cavaliers rely heavily on Donovan Mitchell’s shot-making and the perimeter creation of Darius Garland to spark quick scoring bursts, particularly in transition or early offense. When Cleveland gets stops and pushes the ball, they can erase deficits rapidly, but when forced into extended half-court possessions, their efficiency becomes less predictable. Defensively, the matchup presents clear pressure points. New York’s physical perimeter defense and strong help rotations are designed to take away clean driving lanes and force tough jumpers, a challenge for a Cleveland team that sometimes leans too heavily on difficult shot attempts.
The Knicks’ ability to protect the paint and close out on shooters will test Cleveland’s ball movement and patience. On the other end, Cleveland’s defense has been less reliable, especially when facing teams that attack mismatches and generate second-chance opportunities. New York’s emphasis on offensive rebounding and interior scoring could become a deciding factor if the Cavaliers fail to control the glass. Another key layer is depth and late-game execution. New York has shown greater composure in close games this season, particularly at home, where role players tend to be more consistent and defensive intensity remains high deep into the fourth quarter. Cleveland’s results in tight road games have been more uneven, often swinging based on whether Mitchell can take over offensively. That reliance can be effective, but it also narrows Cleveland’s margin for error against a Knicks team comfortable closing games with structure rather than improvisation. Emotionally, this game favors New York. Playing at Madison Square Garden on Christmas Day brings heightened energy and expectation, and the Knicks have generally embraced that spotlight. Cleveland, however, may benefit from an underdog mentality, allowing them to play more freely and aggressively without the burden of expectation. Ultimately, this matchup will hinge on whether Cleveland can disrupt New York’s rhythm and turn the game into a faster, more chaotic contest. If the Knicks maintain control, defend without fouling, and execute in the half court, they are well positioned to assert themselves. If the Cavaliers find momentum early and sustain defensive focus, this Christmas Day clash could remain tight well into the final minutes.
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Keeping an eye out for Santa's sleigh tonight like...#LetEmKnow pic.twitter.com/FfugojImWO
— Cleveland Cavaliers (@cavs) December 24, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers enter the Christmas Day matchup against the New York Knicks on December 25, 2025, as underdogs but with the firepower and potential to challenge one of the Eastern Conference’s top home teams. Cleveland’s season has been a mix of high-octane offense and inconsistent defensive stretches, creating a team capable of stunning victories but equally prone to lapses. On the road, these tendencies are magnified: the Cavaliers must balance aggressive scoring with disciplined execution to avoid being overwhelmed by New York’s structured half-court defense and home-court energy. Their approach will likely hinge on quick transitions, exploiting mismatches, and maximizing the talents of Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland, who have carried much of the offensive load this season. Offensively, the Cavaliers are at their best when they can push pace and generate open shots early in possessions. Donovan Mitchell’s ability to create separation and score from anywhere on the floor forces defenses to collapse, often opening lanes for perimeter shooters or cutting teammates. Garland complements this by orchestrating ball movement, initiating fast breaks, and identifying mismatches in the Knicks’ defense. Secondary scorers, including role players like Sam Merrill and others stepping up from the bench, provide necessary spacing and can swing momentum with timely three-pointers. Cleveland’s scoring depth is critical on the road, where fatigue, travel, and hostile crowds can impact performance. By sustaining offensive pressure and keeping the ball moving, the Cavaliers increase their chances of pulling off an upset in a hostile environment. Defensively, Cleveland faces one of its biggest challenges of the season. The Knicks excel at half-court execution, using Brunson’s playmaking and Towns’ versatility to create scoring opportunities efficiently.
The Cavaliers must communicate effectively, rotate properly, and contest shots without overcommitting. Defensive rebounding and limiting second-chance points will be vital; failure in these areas could allow New York to build early leads and control tempo. With Evan Mobley and other defensive pieces unavailable or limited at times, the burden falls on perimeter defenders and team schemes to contain penetration and protect the paint. Maintaining focus on both ends of the floor will be the difference between staying competitive or falling behind. Special teams, in this case Cleveland’s effectiveness in offensive rebounding and free-throw opportunities, could tip the balance in a close game. Drawing fouls on key Knicks players and converting those chances will be essential to keeping pace. Conversely, avoiding unnecessary fouls is equally critical; New York’s ability to capitalize on free throws and manage clock in the half-court can quickly turn a tight game into a more comfortable margin for the home team. The Cavaliers’ mental approach is also a factor. On the road during a high-profile Christmas Day game, maintaining composure under crowd pressure and media spotlight is essential. If Cleveland can balance disciplined defense with aggressive offense, sustain energy across all rotations, and let Mitchell and Garland drive the game rhythm, they have a realistic path to a road victory. Success for Cleveland will hinge on execution, maintaining pace, and capitalizing on every opportunity while limiting turnovers, making this matchup a test of both skill and composure in one of the league’s most intense atmospheres.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Knicks NBA Preview
The New York Knicks enter the Christmas Day matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers on December 25, 2025, with the advantage of home court and a roster built for disciplined, structured basketball. Playing at Madison Square Garden, the Knicks have consistently performed at a high level this season, combining strong half-court offense, stout defense, and depth that allows them to sustain energy and intensity across all four quarters. Central to their success is Jalen Brunson, whose scoring and playmaking make him the engine of New York’s offense. Brunson’s ability to read defenses, create for himself and others, and manage tempo ensures the Knicks can control the game’s rhythm even against a high-powered opponent like Cleveland. Alongside him, Karl-Anthony Towns provides floor spacing, rebounding, and rim protection, making it difficult for opponents to exploit interior gaps while keeping defenses honest on the perimeter. Complementing the stars are versatile wings like OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges, who deliver both defensive versatility and secondary scoring. Offensively, the Knicks thrive on structured sets that emphasize spacing, ball movement, and shot quality. At home, they typically look to establish control early, using screens and motion to free up shooters and create driving lanes for Brunson. Their offense is designed to punish defensive lapses and generate high-percentage shots, whether through pick-and-roll execution, post touches, or catch-and-shoot opportunities. Bench contributions further bolster the attack, providing consistent scoring without a major drop-off, which is crucial in high-stakes games with heavy media attention like Christmas Day matchups. This depth allows the Knicks to maintain intensity and pressure while mitigating the risk of fatigue, particularly against a team like Cleveland that thrives in transition and quick bursts of scoring.
Defensively, New York’s identity is rooted in discipline and communication. They focus on limiting driving lanes, contesting perimeter shots, and protecting the paint through coordinated rotations. Against Cleveland, the Knicks must pay particular attention to Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland, both of whom can break down defenses with speed and craft. Interior help defense from Towns and closeouts from the wings are critical in preventing easy baskets and controlling transition opportunities. Rebounding on both ends remains essential to reduce second-chance points and fuel the Knicks’ own fast breaks when opportunities arise. Special teams will likely influence the outcome, particularly free-throw efficiency and managing fouls. The Knicks are adept at drawing fouls and converting at the line, which can swing momentum in close matchups, while avoiding unnecessary penalties limits Cleveland’s chances to accelerate via the power of transition. Emotionally, playing at Madison Square Garden provides an intangible advantage, with crowd energy supporting the team through pivotal moments and sustaining intensity. The Knicks’ combination of star talent, structured execution, defensive discipline, and home-court energy positions them strongly against the Cavaliers. By controlling tempo, capitalizing on high-quality offensive possessions, and maintaining defensive consistency, New York has the tools to secure a signature Christmas Day victory while reinforcing their status as a formidable Eastern Conference contender.
mikal smooooth
— NEW YORK KNICKS (@nyknicks) December 24, 2025
vote knicks for nba all-star ⭐️ https://t.co/Ov3esq1i8z pic.twitter.com/MHO2mqAWjL
Cleveland vs New York Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Cavaliers and Knicks play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Madison Square Garden in Dec can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Cleveland vs New York Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Cavaliers and Knicks and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Cavaliers team going up against a possibly tired Knicks team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Cleveland vs New York picks, computer picks Cavaliers vs Knicks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 3/8 | NY@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/8 | HOU@SA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 3/8 | ORL@MIL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/8 | DET@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/8 | CHI@SAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/8 | WAS@NO | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Cleveland Betting Trends
Cleveland has struggled against the spread this season, posting a 9–22 ATS record overall and a 4–8 mark ATS on the road, reflecting inconsistent performance and difficulty covering lines even in winnable games.
New York Betting Trends
The New York Knicks have been one of the stronger ATS teams at home, with an excellent 13–3 ATS record in home games, particularly effective when favored by more than a few points
Cavaliers vs. Knicks Matchup Trends
Despite Cleveland’s poor overall ATS record, the Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings vs. the Knicks, showing that this matchup history doesn’t always align with broader season trends, and the total has gone UNDER in 11 of the last 13 meetings between these teams.
Cleveland vs. New York Game Info
Cleveland vs New York starts on December 25, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Venue: Madison Square Garden.
Spread: New York -5.5
Moneyline: Cleveland +190, New York -207
Over/Under: 239.5
Cleveland: (17-14) | New York: (20-9)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mitchell under 40.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Despite Cleveland’s poor overall ATS record, the Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings vs. the Knicks, showing that this matchup history doesn’t always align with broader season trends, and the total has gone UNDER in 11 of the last 13 meetings between these teams.
CLE trend: Cleveland has struggled against the spread this season, posting a 9–22 ATS record overall and a 4–8 mark ATS on the road, reflecting inconsistent performance and difficulty covering lines even in winnable games.
NYK trend: The New York Knicks have been one of the stronger ATS teams at home, with an excellent 13–3 ATS record in home games, particularly effective when favored by more than a few points
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Cleveland vs. New York Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| CLE Moneyline | +190 |
|---|---|
| NYK Moneyline | -207 |
| CLE Spread | +5.5 |
| NYK Spread | -5.5 |
| Over / Under | 239.5 |
Cleveland vs New York Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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In Progress
Boston Celtics
Cleveland Cavaliers
In Progress
Celtics
Cavaliers
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91
74
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-2200
+1050
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-12.5 (-120)
+12.5 (-110)
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O 212.5 (+100)
U 212.5 (-120)
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Mar 8, 2026 3:40PM EDT
New York Knicks
Los Angeles Lakers
3/8/26 3:40PM
Knicks
Lakers
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–
–
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-190
+160
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-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
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O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 6:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat
3/8/26 6:10PM
Pistons
Heat
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–
–
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-125
+105
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-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
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O 231 (-110)
U 231 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 6:10PM EDT
Dallas Mavericks
Toronto Raptors
3/8/26 6:10PM
Mavericks
Raptors
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–
–
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+330
-425
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+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
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O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
New Orleans Pelicans
3/8/26 7:10PM
Wizards
Pelicans
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–
–
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+375
-500
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+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
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O 244.5 (-110)
U 244.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 8:10PM EDT
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs
3/8/26 8:10PM
Rockets
Spurs
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–
–
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+185
-225
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+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
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O 223 (-110)
U 223 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 8:10PM EDT
Orlando Magic
Milwaukee Bucks
3/8/26 8:10PM
Magic
Bucks
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–
–
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-200
+165
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
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O 217 (-110)
U 217 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 9:10PM EDT
Chicago Bulls
Sacramento Kings
3/8/26 9:10PM
Bulls
Kings
|
–
–
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-130
+110
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-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
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O 236 (-110)
U 236 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 9:10PM EDT
Indiana Pacers
Portland Trail Blazers
3/8/26 9:10PM
Pacers
Trail Blazers
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–
–
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+310
-400
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+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
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O 236.5 (-110)
U 236.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 10:10PM EDT
Charlotte Hornets
Phoenix Suns
3/8/26 10:10PM
Hornets
Suns
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–
–
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-190
+160
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-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
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O 218.5 (-110)
U 218.5 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New York Knicks on December 25, 2025 at Madison Square Garden.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@CHA | GRANT WILLIAMS OVER 3.5 REB | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@BOS | JAYSON TATUM OVER 6.5 REB + ASST | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@MIN | TOR +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@SAC | SAC +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| DET@SA | DET +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@PHX | GRAYSON ALLEN OVER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAL@DEN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 5.5 REB | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@BOS | CHA +6.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| POR@MEM | MEM +10 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@PHI | ACE BAILEY OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ATL@MIL | MYLES TURNER OVER 4.5 REB | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@CHI | CHI +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@TOR | TOR +2.5 | 57.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@SAC | SAC +9.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| NO@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| HOU@WAS | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 5.5 ASST | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@GS | AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 STEALS + BLOCKS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@MIL | BOS -7.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@IND | IND +1 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 12.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@BOS | DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 ASST | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@CHA | POR +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@DAL | MAX CHRISTIE OVER 5.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@DEN | BOS +3.5 | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 23.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| SA@TOR | DEAARON FOX UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@BKN | BKN +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| GS@NO | NO +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@LAL | ANTHONY BLACK OVER 3.5 ASST | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SAC@MEM | SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. OVER 3.5 ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| UTA@HOU | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DEN@GS | DEN -6 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@LAL | BOS -1 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | KELLY OUBRE JR. UNDER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| NYK@CHI | JOSH HART OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 2.5 ASSTS | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | DEN -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@LAL | KAWHI LEONARD UNDER 33.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@NY | NY -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@CHI | RJ BARRETT OVER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@LAC | DERRICK JONES JR. UNDER 4.5 REB + ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAC@HOU | LAC +9 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| POR@MIN | JADEN MCDANIELS OVER 21.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| SA@LAL | VICTOR WEMBANYAMA UNDER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |