Pacers vs Thunder Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Jun 08)

Updated: 2025-06-06T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Indiana Pacers stunned the Thunder in Game 1, stealing a 111–110 road win in dramatic fashion, and will look to build momentum in Game 2 on Sunday at Paycom Center. As Thunder open as 11‑point favorites, bettors are watching closely how both teams stack up against the spread after their explosive first encounter.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 08, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Paycom Center​

Thunder Record: (68-14)

Pacers Record: (50-32)

OPENING ODDS

IND Moneyline: +422

OKC Moneyline: -575

IND Spread: +11

OKC Spread: -11.0

Over/Under: 227.5

IND
Betting Trends

  • Indiana sits at 47–48–2 ATS this season, showing inconsistency but a willingness to outperform expectations.

OKC
Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City boasts a solid 59–35–4 ATS record overall and an impressive 29–16–0 ATS as an 6.5–12 point home favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Thunder have shown a strong tendency toward high-scoring affairs: they’re 27–18 OVER as home favorites in that 6.5–12 point bracket, and have gone OVER in 40 of their 62 playoff games—while the Pacers have also cleared totals in more than half of their matchups.

IND vs. OKC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wiggins over 5.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Indiana vs Oklahoma City Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 6/8/25

The 2025 NBA Finals clash between the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder is proving to be a riveting matchup of speed, shooting, and youthful resilience, especially after a shocking Game 1 where the underdog Pacers stole a dramatic 111–110 win on the road. This series, once heavily tilted in favor of the Thunder, has quickly shifted in tone as Indiana demonstrated that their fluid offensive system and fearless mentality can overcome the deeper, more athletic OKC squad. The Thunder had controlled both regular season meetings with double-digit wins, using their length and top-tier defensive rotations to smother Indiana’s movement-heavy offense, but Game 1 showed how playoff pace and individual brilliance—particularly from Tyrese Haliburton—can disrupt even the most statistically dominant teams. With the Thunder favored by 11 points in Game 2, bookmakers still respect their 68–14 regular season and their league-best net rating, but Indiana’s 6–2 postseason road record and 53 over-the-total results this season cannot be overlooked. Oklahoma City’s identity hinges on swarming defense, transition offense led by MVP finalist Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and a supporting cast that includes elite defenders like Chet Holmgren and crafty facilitators like Jalen Williams. However, Indiana’s formula, built on blistering ball movement, top-three three-point efficiency, and the interior strength of Pascal Siakam, has created matchup headaches, particularly when the Thunder switch aggressively on the perimeter.

The Pacers’ spacing has opened the floor for shooters like Buddy Hield and Ben Mathurin to get quality looks, while their unsung bench players have held their own against OKC’s deeper reserves. The chess match continues as Rick Carlisle looks to keep the Thunder on their heels with zone defense wrinkles and tempo changes, while Mark Daigneault will likely demand more rim pressure and second-chance points from his squad in Game 2. With both teams playing relatively clean basketball, the margins come down to shot-making and clutch-time execution—an area where the Pacers now have confidence, and the Thunder are eager to reassert dominance. Expect Oklahoma City to adjust by blitzing Haliburton more frequently and forcing secondary Pacers scorers to beat them, while Indiana will try to slow the pace, limit turnovers, and take advantage of defensive over-rotations. Whether Game 2 turns into a statement blowout by the home favorites or another nail-biter decided by late possessions, one thing is clear: the series has turned into a tactical duel between two teams that blend youth with discipline, explosiveness with finesse, and confidence with urgency. As the Thunder look to avoid an 0–2 hole heading to Indiana, all eyes will be on whether their fast-twitch defense and scoring machine can outlast the heart and hot hands of the scrappy Pacers.

Indiana Pacers NBA Preview

The Indiana Pacers head into Game 2 of the NBA Finals riding high after a thrilling Game 1 upset, where Tyrese Haliburton’s clutch three-pointer sealed a 111–110 victory and instantly shifted the dynamic of the series. This victory not only broke Oklahoma City’s 8-game postseason home winning streak but also signaled that Indiana’s high-octane offense and fearlessness in hostile environments is not to be underestimated. The Pacers have thrived on the road all postseason, posting a 6–2 record away from Gainbridge Fieldhouse while shooting an NBA-best 40.1% from beyond the arc in the playoffs, and they have covered the spread in the majority of those matchups. Indiana’s identity under Rick Carlisle is rooted in pace, spacing, and selfless ball movement, averaging over 28 assists per game and consistently generating quality shots through drive-and-kick action and deep pick-and-rolls. Haliburton continues to blossom into a superstar, not just with his playmaking but also as a timely scorer who can break down elite defenders and deliver in clutch moments. Around him, Pascal Siakam provides steady veteran scoring and rebounding on the interior, and the floor is well-spread with consistent threats like Aaron Nesmith, Myles Turner, and T.J. McConnell, all of whom are capable of stepping up in spurts. What makes this Pacers group dangerous isn’t just their talent but their composure—they rarely panic under pressure, often executing best in late-game situations, as seen in their fourth-quarter rally in Game 1.

However, the challenge ahead is formidable: the Thunder are a deep, well-coached team that will certainly make defensive adjustments, particularly in trapping Haliburton and contesting perimeter shooters more aggressively. Indiana will need to stay crisp with their ball movement, avoid live-ball turnovers that fuel OKC’s transition game, and keep foul trouble from limiting their smaller bench rotation. The Pacers must also find ways to compete on the boards and avoid giving up second-chance points, a key area where the Thunder could exploit their lack of size. Defensively, Indiana has been using a mix of man and zone looks to disrupt rhythm and force late-clock decisions—strategies they’ll likely lean into again while targeting the Thunder’s weaker shooters in switches. While the oddsmakers have Indiana as a double-digit underdog again, this team has been outpacing expectations all postseason and now has the psychological edge of having already stolen one on the road. If the Pacers can continue to shoot the ball efficiently, limit transition opportunities for Oklahoma City, and get another star-level outing from Haliburton while getting key contributions from Siakam, Turner, and their bench, they have a legitimate shot at returning to Indiana with a 2–0 series lead. No longer just happy to be in the Finals, the Pacers have proven they can win under the brightest lights—and Sunday’s Game 2 offers another opportunity for this tight-knit, confident group to show they belong among the league’s elite.

The Indiana Pacers stunned the Thunder in Game 1, stealing a 111–110 road win in dramatic fashion, and will look to build momentum in Game 2 on Sunday at Paycom Center. As Thunder open as 11‑point favorites, bettors are watching closely how both teams stack up against the spread after their explosive first encounter. Indiana vs Oklahoma City AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Jun 08. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 2 of the NBA Finals with a sense of urgency and redemption after letting Game 1 slip away in the final seconds, suffering a 111–110 home loss that abruptly ended their undefeated playoff run at Paycom Center. Despite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s heroic 38-point effort and a statistically dominant overall performance, OKC couldn’t close the door, allowing Indiana to surge late and steal momentum. Now trailing 0–1 in the series, the Thunder must recalibrate quickly to avoid falling into a daunting 0–2 hole before the series shifts to Indianapolis. Oklahoma City, who finished the regular season with a league-best 68–14 record and owned a 39–6 mark at home, have been consistent betting darlings all year with a 59–35–4 ATS record and a 29–16 ATS mark as 6.5 to 12-point home favorites. Under head coach Mark Daigneault, this team thrives on two-way balance, blending a versatile, switch-heavy defense with one of the league’s most dynamic offenses powered by Gilgeous-Alexander’s isolation mastery and Jalen Williams’ slashing ability. Chet Holmgren remains a pivotal figure in this matchup, as his rim protection and pick-and-pop threat can swing momentum, especially if he stays out of foul trouble. The Thunder bench, anchored by Alex Caruso’s defensive tenacity and Cason Wallace’s energy, must be more impactful in Game 2 after being outplayed by Indiana’s reserves late in Game 1.

Daigneault is expected to implement quicker defensive traps and pressure packages to force the ball out of Tyrese Haliburton’s hands, while offensively the Thunder need to attack early in the shot clock and punish Indiana’s smaller lineup on the glass. Key adjustments will also include improving their screen navigation to deny clean looks from Indiana’s lethal shooters, especially in late-clock scenarios where the Pacers often thrive. OKC has excelled all season in responding to adversity—losing back-to-back games just once all year—and they’ve been nearly unstoppable when playing with a chip on their shoulder, averaging over 124 points in games following a loss. The Thunder crowd will be electric, and this young roster feeds off that energy, often turning defensive stops into instant transition points. The margin for error is thin now, but Oklahoma City has the weapons, experience, and coaching to make the necessary adjustments and reclaim control of the series. They must play more disciplined defense without fouling, avoid stagnant possessions late in the shot clock, and find more production from their frontcourt if they are to cover the 11-point spread and reassert dominance. Sunday night is not just about even the series—it’s about sending a message that Game 1 was a fluke, not a trend. If the Thunder can restore their defensive edge, capitalize on their offensive mismatches, and manage the pace better, they are well positioned to deliver a statement win and shift the momentum back in their favor as the series progresses.

Indiana vs. Oklahoma City Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Pacers and Thunder play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Paycom Center in Jun rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wiggins over 5.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Indiana vs. Oklahoma City Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Pacers and Thunder and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Pacers team going up against a possibly unhealthy Thunder team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Indiana vs Oklahoma City picks, computer picks Pacers vs Thunder, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Pacers Betting Trends

Indiana sits at 47–48–2 ATS this season, showing inconsistency but a willingness to outperform expectations.

Thunder Betting Trends

Oklahoma City boasts a solid 59–35–4 ATS record overall and an impressive 29–16–0 ATS as an 6.5–12 point home favorite.

Pacers vs. Thunder Matchup Trends

Thunder have shown a strong tendency toward high-scoring affairs: they’re 27–18 OVER as home favorites in that 6.5–12 point bracket, and have gone OVER in 40 of their 62 playoff games—while the Pacers have also cleared totals in more than half of their matchups.

Indiana vs. Oklahoma City Game Info

Indiana vs Oklahoma City starts on June 08, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Spread: Oklahoma City -11.0
Moneyline: Indiana +422, Oklahoma City -575
Over/Under: 227.5

Indiana: (50-32)  |  Oklahoma City: (68-14)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wiggins over 5.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Thunder have shown a strong tendency toward high-scoring affairs: they’re 27–18 OVER as home favorites in that 6.5–12 point bracket, and have gone OVER in 40 of their 62 playoff games—while the Pacers have also cleared totals in more than half of their matchups.

IND trend: Indiana sits at 47–48–2 ATS this season, showing inconsistency but a willingness to outperform expectations.

OKC trend: Oklahoma City boasts a solid 59–35–4 ATS record overall and an impressive 29–16–0 ATS as an 6.5–12 point home favorite.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Indiana vs. Oklahoma City Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Indiana vs Oklahoma City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Indiana vs Oklahoma City Opening Odds

IND Moneyline: +422
OKC Moneyline: -575
IND Spread: +11
OKC Spread: -11.0
Over/Under: 227.5

Indiana vs Oklahoma City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-168
+140
-4 (-108)
+4 (-112)
O 232.5 (-108)
U 232.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+750
-1200
+16.5 (-114)
-16.5 (-106)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-560
+420
-10.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+126
-148
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 226.5 (-108)
U 226.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-164
+138
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+490
-670
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-230
+190
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-112)
U 234.5 (-108)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on June 08, 2025 at Paycom Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS