Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 28 | NBA AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals on May 28, 2025, at 8:30 PM ET at Paycom Center. Leading the series 3-1, the Thunder aim to secure their first NBA Finals appearance since 2012, while the Timberwolves fight to extend their postseason run.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 28, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​
Venue: Paycom Center​
Thunder Record: (68-14)
Timberwolves Record: (49-33)
OPENING ODDS
MIN Moneyline: +286
OKC Moneyline: -365
MIN Spread: +8.5
OKC Spread: -8.5
Over/Under: 220.5
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Timberwolves hold a 46-45-1 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2025 season, including playoffs.
OKC
Betting Trends
- The Thunder have an impressive 59-34-4 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency in covering spreads.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Oklahoma City boasts a 33-14-2 ATS record as a home favorite (70.2%), indicating strong performance in such scenarios.
MIN vs. OKC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Reid over 14.5 PTS+REB.
LIVE NBA ODDS
NBA ODDS COMPARISON
WANT MORE AI PICKS?
VS. SPREAD
308-221
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+418
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$41,803
VS. SPREAD
1554-1329
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+376.6
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,661
AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS
Create a Free Account

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi Works 24/7
Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.
Get Remi's AI Picks
Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.
Hedge Meaning in Betting | 4 Obvious Times to Hedge
Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand...
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+)...
Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/28/25
Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns need to deliver consistently strong performances under pressure, and the Wolves will need to play near-perfect basketball on both ends to overcome the Thunder’s athleticism and disciplined half-court defense. Oklahoma City, now 33-14-2 ATS as a home favorite and one of the league’s most consistent teams all season, has thrived on their home floor and will be fueled by a roaring crowd eager to witness a series-clinching win. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s season hangs by a thread, and while they proved in Game 3 they can dominate when firing on all cylinders, they’ve yet to sustain that energy and execution away from home. With Oklahoma City holding the psychological edge and historical trend on their side, the Timberwolves must rally behind their leaders and find ways to disrupt the Thunder’s rhythm, particularly by taking better care of the basketball and contesting shots more aggressively. Bench production and transition defense could be the deciding factors if this game comes down to the wire again, and both coaching staffs will be seeking strategic advantages in rotations and matchup exploitation. Game 5 will test Minnesota’s resilience and Oklahoma City’s killer instinct, and though the Thunder appear poised to seal the series, a desperate and talented Timberwolves squad could still turn the momentum if they execute at their highest level. With the stakes this high and both teams loaded with young stars, fans should expect a physical, high-paced, and emotionally charged battle that could either crown a Western champion or shift the narrative back to Minneapolis for Game 6.
now or never. pic.twitter.com/rJbtj4iMqh
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) May 28, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves enter Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals facing elimination, down 3-1 to the Oklahoma City Thunder and searching for a way to recapture the dominance they displayed in Game 3, where they routed OKC 143-101. Despite that emphatic win, Minnesota couldn’t maintain consistency in Game 4, where they lost a heartbreaker 128-126, a result that encapsulated both the talent and the flaws of this Timberwolves squad. They shot a superb 51.2% from the field and nearly 44% from beyond the arc, had six players score in double figures, and yet lost due to a devastating 21 turnovers that handed too many extra opportunities to an already efficient Thunder offense. Anthony Edwards remains the emotional and tactical focal point of this team, capable of taking over games with his explosiveness and scoring variety, but he has also faced intense defensive pressure that has forced rushed decisions and uncharacteristic mistakes. Karl-Anthony Towns has had an up-and-down series, contributing strong scoring and rebounding in spurts but also struggling at times with foul trouble and ball security. The supporting cast has been more productive than anticipated—Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Jaden McDaniels have each had stretches of two-way brilliance—but Minnesota still needs more from veterans like Mike Conley, especially in managing pace and late-game execution.
The Timberwolves’ defensive identity, built around size, rim protection, and aggressive switches, has not always translated effectively against Oklahoma City’s quick, space-oriented offensive sets, and they’ve particularly struggled to contain Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in isolation and in pick-and-roll actions. Head coach Chris Finch faces a tall task: reinvigorating a team that has been outplayed in key moments while still believing in the blueprint that got them to this point—a blend of suffocating defense, inside-out scoring, and energetic bench play. If the Wolves are to extend the series and bring it back to Minnesota, they must reduce their turnovers dramatically, find more balance in their offensive approach to avoid overreliance on isolation plays, and reassert their defensive dominance by controlling the glass and limiting second-chance points. Facing a Thunder team that has thrived as a home favorite, the Timberwolves will also need to bring heightened focus in hostile territory, with better communication on defense and sharper ball movement to exploit Oklahoma City’s rotations. A fast start could be vital—not only to quiet the crowd but to rebuild internal confidence after the crushing Game 4 loss. The Timberwolves have the talent to win this game, but their season hinges on mental discipline, collective effort, and the ability to finish quarters strong—especially against a Thunder squad that rarely makes back-to-back mistakes. If Minnesota can lock in defensively, take care of the basketball, and get breakout performances from their stars, they’ll have a fighting chance to turn the series momentum and keep their playoff hopes alive.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder return to Paycom Center for Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals with a 3-1 series lead and a chance to close out the Minnesota Timberwolves in front of a roaring home crowd that has been a critical element of their postseason dominance. After taking care of business in Games 1 and 2 with wins by 26 and 15 points, respectively, the Thunder stumbled in Game 3 but rebounded impressively in Game 4 with a narrow 128-126 victory that showcased their maturity, resilience, and elite execution in clutch moments. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to assert himself as one of the league’s premier playoff performers, pouring in 40 points with smooth mid-range mastery, timely drives, and crucial free throws, while Jalen Williams added 34 points in a breakout game that emphasized Oklahoma City’s offensive versatility and ability to generate buckets from multiple sources. The Thunder’s hallmark this season has been their balance and discipline, finishing the regular season 68-14 and covering spreads at an elite 59-34-4 clip, including a 33-14-2 record ATS as a home favorite, numbers that underline their consistency and ability to deliver under pressure. Head coach Mark Daigneault’s game management and rotations have been crucial, especially in late-game scenarios, where OKC has repeatedly made smart adjustments and leaned on its athletic defense to get critical stops.
The Thunder’s ability to capitalize on Minnesota’s mistakes was glaring in Game 4, turning 21 Timberwolves turnovers into high-value transition points that offset occasional defensive lapses in the half-court. Chet Holmgren’s rim protection and spatial awareness have helped anchor a defense that ranks among the league’s best, while role players like Isaiah Joe, Lu Dort, and Josh Giddey have provided hustle plays, shooting, and secondary creation when needed. OKC’s fast-paced, ball-sharing offense keeps defenses guessing and forces difficult matchups, especially when they spread the floor and allow Gilgeous-Alexander to isolate or create out of pick-and-rolls. Now, back on their home floor with the energy and intensity of a potential closeout game, the Thunder know they must start fast, stay disciplined defensively, and avoid the kind of lapses that led to their Game 3 blowout loss. Limiting second-chance opportunities, defending without fouling, and maintaining composure against Minnesota’s desperate energy will be key components of their Game 5 strategy. If Oklahoma City plays their game—pushing tempo, moving the ball quickly, and applying perimeter pressure—they’re in prime position to advance to the NBA Finals for the first time in over a decade. With Gilgeous-Alexander leading the charge, Williams growing into a postseason star, and a roster fully bought into their system, the Thunder are not just trying to survive the moment—they’re ready to own it. One more polished, all-around performance may be all it takes to stamp their ticket to the biggest stage in basketball and continue what’s already been one of the most impressive seasons in franchise history.
A Game 4 thriller in MIN! ⚡️
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) May 27, 2025
Start your morning with @royceyoung and his 3 Things 🎙️ pic.twitter.com/is2CoHq3Hz
Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Prop Picks (AI)
Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Timberwolves and Thunder and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Oklahoma City’s strength factors between a Timberwolves team going up against a possibly deflated Thunder team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Oklahoma City picks, computer picks Timberwolves vs Thunder, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
![]() |
DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Timberwolves hold a 46-45-1 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2025 season, including playoffs.
Thunder Betting Trends
The Thunder have an impressive 59-34-4 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency in covering spreads.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Matchup Trends
Oklahoma City boasts a 33-14-2 ATS record as a home favorite (70.2%), indicating strong performance in such scenarios.
Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Game Info
What time does Minnesota vs Oklahoma City start on May 28, 2025?
Minnesota vs Oklahoma City starts on May 28, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Where is Minnesota vs Oklahoma City being played?
Venue: Paycom Center.
What are the opening odds for Minnesota vs Oklahoma City?
Spread: Oklahoma City -8.5
Moneyline: Minnesota +286, Oklahoma City -365
Over/Under: 220.5
What are the records for Minnesota vs Oklahoma City?
Minnesota: (49-33) Â |Â Oklahoma City: (68-14)
What is the AI best bet for Minnesota vs Oklahoma City?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Reid over 14.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Minnesota vs Oklahoma City trending bets?
Oklahoma City boasts a 33-14-2 ATS record as a home favorite (70.2%), indicating strong performance in such scenarios.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Timberwolves hold a 46-45-1 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2025 season, including playoffs.
What are Oklahoma City trending bets?
OKC trend: The Thunder have an impressive 59-34-4 ATS record this season, showcasing their consistency in covering spreads.
Where can I find AI Picks for Minnesota vs Oklahoma City?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Oklahoma City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Opening Odds
MIN Moneyline:
+286 OKC Moneyline: -365
MIN Spread: +8.5
OKC Spread: -8.5
Over/Under: 220.5
Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+260
-320
|
+8 (-115)
-8 (-105)
|
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
|
–
–
|
+150
-175
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
|
–
–
|
+145
-182
|
+4 (-115)
-4 (-110)
|
O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+145
-175
|
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-120)
|
O 229.5 (+105)
U 229.5 (-125)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
|
–
–
|
+240
-315
|
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
|
O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
|
–
–
|
+107
-132
|
+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
|
O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
|
–
–
|
+190
-245
|
+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
|
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
|
–
–
|
+285
-385
|
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-109)
|
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-132
+106
|
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
|
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
+150
-190
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
|
O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-345
+260
|
-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
|
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
|
-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
|
O 226.5 (-130)
U 226.5 (+105)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
|
–
–
|
-103
-121
|
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
-143
+115
|
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
|
O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on May 28, 2025 at Paycom Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
![]() |
   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |