Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 26)

Updated: 2025-05-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 26, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves will face off in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals at Target Center in Minneapolis. The Thunder lead the series 3–0 and aim to secure a sweep, while the Timberwolves fight to extend their postseason run.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 26, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Target Center​

Timberwolves Record: (49-33)

Thunder Record: (68-14)

OPENING ODDS

OKC Moneyline: -160

MIN Moneyline: +135

OKC Spread: -3.5

MIN Spread: +3.5

Over/Under: 217.5

OKC
Betting Trends

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have a 58–33–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Timberwolves hold a 59–33–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five meetings, the Thunder have covered the spread four times against the Timberwolves, indicating a recent trend favoring Oklahoma City in head-to-head matchups.

OKC vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. DiVincenzo over 7.5 Points.

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Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/26/25

The Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves reaches a critical juncture on May 26, 2025, as the series shifts to Game 4 at Target Center with the Thunder holding a commanding 3–0 lead. Oklahoma City has thoroughly controlled the series through stifling defense, elite ball movement, and remarkable composure for a young team, capped by a dominant 114–88 road win in Game 3 that sucked the energy out of the Minnesota crowd and placed the Timberwolves on the brink of elimination. The Thunder have dictated pace, attacked in transition, and forced Minnesota into halfcourt struggles, all while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has continued his ascent into superstardom by orchestrating the offense with poise, scoring efficiently, and setting the tone with relentless drives and timely midrange jumpers. SGA’s consistency has not only given OKC a go-to option, but also opened the floor for teammates like Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Joe to exploit mismatches and shoot with confidence. Defensively, the Thunder have been suffocating, particularly against Anthony Edwards, who despite a sensational playoff run, has looked rushed, tightly guarded, and physically worn down, with OKC throwing bodies at him and forcing others to beat them. The Timberwolves have yet to find a sustainable offensive rhythm, failing to crack 100 points in Games 2 and 3, and have looked sluggish compared to the Thunder’s crisp execution and energy. Karl-Anthony Towns has struggled with shot selection and foul trouble, while Rudy Gobert’s limited offensive game has allowed OKC to focus on perimeter containment without sacrificing much rim protection.

Coach Chris Finch must make major adjustments, potentially shifting rotations or looking to increase pace and spacing to jump-start a stagnant offense that’s been bottled up. Minnesota’s defense, once its strongest suit, has been vulnerable in pick-and-roll coverages and transition sequences, areas OKC has relentlessly attacked with quick ball reversals and decisive drives. The Timberwolves do boast a 59–33–2 ATS record, including strong performances at home, and their season has been defined by resiliency—but they’ll need a near-perfect performance to flip momentum in Game 4. On the other end, OKC has remained steady under pressure, with Coach Mark Daigneault managing minutes, rotations, and matchups masterfully, keeping the Thunder composed and hungry despite their youth. The Thunder’s 58–33–2 ATS record is a reflection of how often they’ve exceeded expectations and outperformed oddsmakers, and in this series, they’ve covered the spread in four of their last five meetings with Minnesota. With history on their side—no team has ever come back from 0–3 in the NBA playoffs—Oklahoma City will aim to close the door emphatically and punch their ticket to the franchise’s first NBA Finals appearance since 2012. For Minnesota, Game 4 is about pride, urgency, and survival; for Oklahoma City, it’s about seizing the moment and proving they’re not just the future of the league—they’re ready to win now.

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on May 26 with a commanding 3–0 series lead over the Minnesota Timberwolves, one win away from clinching their first NBA Finals appearance since 2012 and making a definitive statement about their arrival as a legitimate championship threat. Throughout the series, the Thunder have dismantled Minnesota’s defensive identity and exposed their offensive inconsistencies with a blend of relentless pace, strategic discipline, and elite two-way execution. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the focal point of OKC’s dominance, orchestrating the offense with surgical precision, scoring efficiently from all three levels, and setting the tone on both ends with leadership and poise well beyond his years. In Game 3, a 114–88 rout in Minneapolis, Gilgeous-Alexander led the charge once again, but it was the collective effort—especially from contributors like Jalen Williams, Josh Giddey, and Chet Holmgren—that overwhelmed a Timberwolves team lacking answers and energy. Oklahoma City’s defense has been a revelation, holding Minnesota to under 100 points in consecutive games, with Holmgren’s rim protection, Lu Dort’s elite perimeter defense, and switch-heavy schemes forcing the Timberwolves into rushed shots, poor decisions, and long offensive droughts. Their ability to throw different defenders at Anthony Edwards, limit Karl-Anthony Towns’ rhythm, and neutralize Rudy Gobert offensively has turned a once-formidable Minnesota offense into a confused, passive group.

Offensively, the Thunder’s ball movement, spacing, and ability to score in transition have shredded Minnesota’s defensive coverage—especially in moments when Towns or Gobert are pulled away from the rim and forced to guard in space. The Thunder’s bench has also stepped up with consistent minutes from Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins, adding to the depth and energy that have made OKC the most complete team in this series. Coach Mark Daigneault has masterfully balanced matchups, protected his young players from pressure, and kept the locker room grounded despite the rising stakes, fostering a mature, playoff-ready group. The Thunder’s 58–33–2 ATS record this season, combined with covering in four of the last five head-to-head matchups against the Timberwolves, reflects their ability to exceed expectations, control tempo, and execute under pressure. Game 4 presents both a challenge and an opportunity: OKC must resist complacency, close with the same intensity that has defined their series, and silence any hope of a Timberwolves comeback. With momentum, chemistry, and physical health all on their side, the Thunder are poised to finish the job and stamp their return to the NBA Finals, setting the tone not just for this postseason, but potentially for the next era of Western Conference dominance. For Oklahoma City, Game 4 isn’t just about ending a series—it’s about announcing themselves as the NBA’s next great power.

On May 26, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Minnesota Timberwolves will face off in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals at Target Center in Minneapolis. The Thunder lead the series 3–0 and aim to secure a sweep, while the Timberwolves fight to extend their postseason run. Oklahoma City vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves return to Target Center for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on May 26 with their backs firmly against the wall, trailing the Oklahoma City Thunder 0–3 in a series that has rapidly slipped out of their control. What began as a hopeful path to the franchise’s first-ever Finals appearance has turned into a desperate bid for survival, as the Timberwolves have been outplayed in virtually every phase of the game by a younger, faster, and more composed Thunder squad. In Game 3, Minnesota suffered a crushing 114–88 defeat at home—their worst performance of the postseason—highlighting offensive stagnation, defensive lapses, and an overall lack of urgency that has been uncharacteristic for a team that prided itself on grit and elite defense throughout the season. Anthony Edwards, who had been electric in previous rounds, has been bottled up by OKC’s defensive pressure, struggling to find clean looks and seeing his efficiency and decision-making suffer as a result. His teammates haven’t offered much relief either: Karl-Anthony Towns has disappeared for stretches and continues to struggle with shot selection and defensive consistency, while Rudy Gobert’s offensive limitations have allowed the Thunder to sag off and clog driving lanes. Head coach Chris Finch faces immense pressure to make tactical adjustments—possibly moving to smaller, faster lineups to match Oklahoma City’s pace, or staggering Edwards and Towns to try to revive at least one productive unit.

The Timberwolves’ biggest concern, however, may be psychological; after Game 3, their body language and energy looked defeated, and they’ll need to regroup mentally just as much as tactically to extend the series. Their home-court record remains a source of hope—Minnesota went 30–11 at Target Center during the regular season and still boasts a 59–33–2 ATS mark this year, suggesting that when they’re locked in, they can compete with anyone. But doing so will require Edwards to rediscover his rhythm, Towns to assert himself inside and out, and secondary contributors like Mike Conley and Naz Reid to hit timely shots while controlling turnovers and managing pace. Defensively, the Wolves need to disrupt the Thunder’s offensive flow by getting more aggressive on the perimeter, limiting open threes, and contesting without fouling—something they’ve struggled to do in the past two games. A win in Game 4 won’t erase their deficit, but it would keep their season alive and potentially shake the confidence of an OKC team that has yet to experience the pressure of closing out a playoff series on the road. For Minnesota, this is a final stand, a test of identity and resolve. Either they deliver a performance worthy of their regular-season dominance and defensive pedigree, or they go quietly into the offseason as a team that peaked one round too soon. Game 4 is do-or-die, and the Timberwolves must play like it to have any hope of extending this series.

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Timberwolves play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Center in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. DiVincenzo over 7.5 Points.

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Thunder and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors often put on Minnesota’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly tired Timberwolves team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Thunder vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Thunder Betting Trends

The Oklahoma City Thunder have a 58–33–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves hold a 59–33–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends

In their last five meetings, the Thunder have covered the spread four times against the Timberwolves, indicating a recent trend favoring Oklahoma City in head-to-head matchups.

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Game Info

Oklahoma City vs Minnesota starts on May 26, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota +3.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -160, Minnesota +135
Over/Under: 217.5

Oklahoma City: (68-14)  |  Minnesota: (49-33)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. DiVincenzo over 7.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five meetings, the Thunder have covered the spread four times against the Timberwolves, indicating a recent trend favoring Oklahoma City in head-to-head matchups.

OKC trend: The Oklahoma City Thunder have a 58–33–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

MIN trend: The Minnesota Timberwolves hold a 59–33–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Opening Odds

OKC Moneyline: -160
MIN Moneyline: +135
OKC Spread: -3.5
MIN Spread: +3.5
Over/Under: 217.5

Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-175
+145
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-118)
O 231.5 (-115)
U 231.5 (-105)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+750
-1200
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-115)
U 227.5 (-105)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-500
+380
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+136
-162
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-162
+136
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+500
-700
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-108)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-218
+180
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on May 26, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS