Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 24)

Updated: 2025-05-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 24, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves will face off in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Thunder lead the series 2–0 and aim to extend their advantage, while the Timberwolves seek to leverage home-court momentum to stay in contention.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 24, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Target Center​

Timberwolves Record: (49-33)

Thunder Record: (68-14)

OPENING ODDS

OKC Moneyline: -143

MIN Moneyline: +121

OKC Spread: -2.5

MIN Spread: +2.5

Over/Under: 218

OKC
Betting Trends

  • The Thunder have a 56–28–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves hold a 46–45–1 ATS record this season, including playoffs.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Thunder are 8–4 ATS on the road this season, while the Timberwolves have covered the spread in 21 of their 33 home games.

OKC vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Randle over 24.5 PTS+REB.

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Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/24/25

The Western Conference Finals continue on May 24, 2025, with the Oklahoma City Thunder holding a commanding 2–0 series lead over the Minnesota Timberwolves as the action shifts to the Target Center in Minneapolis for Game 3. Oklahoma City has asserted its dominance through the first two games with convincing performances, most recently winning 118–103 in Game 2 behind the brilliance of newly crowned MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who erupted for 38 points and eight assists while controlling the pace and attacking Minnesota’s interior defense with precision. The Thunder’s offensive rhythm has been sharp, relying on a balanced system that emphasizes ball movement and spacing, allowing secondary scorers like Jalen Williams, who added 26 points in Game 2, to exploit gaps in the Timberwolves’ switching defense. Defensively, OKC’s aggressive perimeter containment and help-side awareness have kept Anthony Edwards from completely taking over, while Chet Holmgren’s rim protection and Alex Caruso’s point-of-attack defense have disrupted Minnesota’s halfcourt execution. With an average playoff margin of victory of over 14 points per game, the Thunder’s ability to dominate both ends of the floor with consistency, poise, and depth has been the story of the series.

However, Minnesota is a strong home team and will be desperate to respond in front of its fans, creating a high-stakes environment where adjustments and mental toughness will be critical. While the Thunder boast a 56–28–2 ATS record and an 8–4 postseason road ATS mark, the Timberwolves have been strong at home, covering in 21 of 33 games, making Game 3 a potential inflection point where the Timberwolves must throw their best punch to avoid the near-impossible task of climbing out of a 3–0 hole. The chess match between coaches Mark Daigneault and Chris Finch now intensifies, with OKC looking to maintain its composure and continue executing its game plan while Minnesota searches for ways to reignite their defensive identity and slow down one of the NBA’s most efficient playoff offenses. Game 3 will ultimately hinge on whether the Timberwolves can force more turnovers, close out more effectively on shooters, and find enough offensive rhythm beyond Edwards to match the Thunder’s firepower. If Oklahoma City comes out sharp and builds an early lead again, their relentless energy and depth could make this series all but over before it even returns to OKC. But if Minnesota can set a more physical tone, force the Thunder into a halfcourt grind, and ride the emotion of a home crowd, Game 3 could serve as a series reset—and the defining moment of the Timberwolves’ postseason run. Either way, expect playoff intensity, high-level shot-making, and tactical fireworks in what promises to be a must-watch showdown between two of the league’s most exciting young cores.

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder head into Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals with a commanding 2–0 series lead and the poise of a team that has been in control of nearly every postseason moment since the start of their playoff run. After dominating the regular season with a 68–14 record, the Thunder have elevated their play even further in the postseason behind MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has averaged over 30 points per game with remarkable efficiency and playmaking. In Game 2, he led the way with 38 points and eight assists, dissecting the Timberwolves’ defense with a deadly mix of isolation scoring, midrange pull-ups, and precise pick-and-roll reads. Jalen Williams has emerged as a strong No. 2 option, consistently attacking mismatches and knocking down perimeter shots, while rookie big man Chet Holmgren continues to anchor the defense with his shot-blocking, help-side rotations, and underrated ability to switch onto guards in space. The Thunder’s offense thrives on balance and selflessness, creating quality looks through crisp ball movement, off-ball screens, and a deep bench that includes key contributors like Lu Dort and Isaiah Joe, who stretch the floor and bring defensive intensity. OKC’s team defense has been smothering, limiting Minnesota’s offensive rhythm and neutralizing their pick-and-roll actions with disciplined communication and aggressive hedging from their bigs.

Even when the Timberwolves have made small runs, the Thunder have countered quickly by locking down defensively and pushing the tempo in transition, capitalizing on Minnesota’s turnovers and rushed possessions. Oklahoma City’s ATS record of 56–28–2, including an 8–4 mark on the road in the postseason, reflects their consistency and ability to cover margins, even in hostile environments. Head coach Mark Daigneault has masterfully navigated matchups, staggering rotations and trusting his young stars to play through adversity without losing composure or overcomplicating their schemes. The Thunder know that closing out Game 3 would put them on the doorstep of their first Finals appearance since 2012, and they’re expected to come out with intensity, focus, and a killer instinct to silence the Target Center crowd early. If Gilgeous-Alexander continues to control the game’s tempo and the role players maintain their two-way discipline, Oklahoma City has every tool to put Minnesota on the brink. Their biggest task will be weathering the initial emotional push from the Timberwolves and maintaining poise through what’s likely to be a desperate, high-energy effort. But given their composure, depth, and elite play on both ends, the Thunder remain the clear frontrunners to close out the series early—and possibly punch their ticket to the NBA Finals as the league’s most complete, dangerous team.

On May 24, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves will face off in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Thunder lead the series 2–0 and aim to extend their advantage, while the Timberwolves seek to leverage home-court momentum to stay in contention. Oklahoma City vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 24. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves return home for Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals with their season teetering on the edge after dropping the first two games of the series to the Oklahoma City Thunder. Despite an impressive playoff run that included dispatching the defending champion Nuggets and a deep, veteran Suns team, the Wolves now find themselves down 0–2 and in need of a complete performance to reestablish momentum and avoid falling into a near-insurmountable hole. Anthony Edwards has been the clear bright spot, continuing to raise his game with poise and aggression, recently surpassing Kevin Garnett’s franchise record for most points in a single postseason, and providing leadership and shot creation under pressure. But the supporting cast has struggled to match that energy, with Julius Randle in particular having a tough series—shooting inefficiently, committing critical turnovers, and failing to provide the inside-outside offensive punch Minnesota needs to stretch the Thunder’s swarming defense. The Timberwolves’ own defensive identity, which was one of the best in the NBA during the regular season, has faltered in this series, unable to consistently slow down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander or rotate fast enough to contest the Thunder’s three-point shooters.

Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns have had moments protecting the rim and crashing the glass, but defensive lapses on the perimeter and slow transition recovery have allowed Oklahoma City to dictate tempo and create early offense. At home, however, the Wolves are 21–12 ATS and have fed off the Target Center crowd all season long, making this a potential bounce-back opportunity if they can channel the energy and rediscover their defensive edge. Chris Finch will need to make tactical adjustments—possibly incorporating more length on the perimeter, adjusting pick-and-roll coverage to contain Gilgeous-Alexander earlier in possessions, and finding better offensive spacing to create driving lanes for Edwards and Randle. Minnesota’s bench must also step up, as Oklahoma City’s depth has consistently outplayed them, especially in the second and third quarters. If the Timberwolves can limit turnovers, control the glass, and make the game more physical, they have a path to claw back into the series and keep their Finals hopes alive. Game 3 is not only a must-win but a chance to rewrite the series narrative, and if Edwards continues his star-level production and the rest of the roster rises to the occasion, the Timberwolves still have the firepower and defensive toughness to make this a long series. The question is whether they can put it all together before it’s too late.

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Timberwolves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Center in May can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Randle over 24.5 PTS+REB.

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Thunder and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing weight emotional bettors regularly put on Oklahoma City’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly rested Timberwolves team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Thunder vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Thunder Betting Trends

The Thunder have a 56–28–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Timberwolves hold a 46–45–1 ATS record this season, including playoffs.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends

The Thunder are 8–4 ATS on the road this season, while the Timberwolves have covered the spread in 21 of their 33 home games.

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Game Info

Oklahoma City vs Minnesota starts on May 24, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota +2.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -143, Minnesota +121
Over/Under: 218

Oklahoma City: (68-14)  |  Minnesota: (49-33)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Randle over 24.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Thunder are 8–4 ATS on the road this season, while the Timberwolves have covered the spread in 21 of their 33 home games.

OKC trend: The Thunder have a 56–28–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MIN trend: The Timberwolves hold a 46–45–1 ATS record this season, including playoffs.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Opening Odds

OKC Moneyline: -143
MIN Moneyline: +121
OKC Spread: -2.5
MIN Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 218

Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:35PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:35PM
Rockets
Thunder
+245
-300
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
-130
+110
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+150
-180
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+140
-170
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+280
-350
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
O 215.5 (-110)
U 215.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+115
-140
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-240
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+300
-375
+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-140
+115
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+130
-160
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 237 (-110)
U 237 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-375
+300
-9 (-110)
+9 (-110)
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
+120
-145
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 226.5 (+100)
U 226.5 (-120)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
+140
-170
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-170
+140
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 219.5 (-110)
U 219.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-115
-105
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on May 24, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS