Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 24)
Updated: 2025-05-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On May 24, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves will face off in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Thunder lead the series 2–0 and aim to extend their advantage, while the Timberwolves seek to leverage home-court momentum to stay in contention.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 24, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Target Center
Timberwolves Record: (49-33)
Thunder Record: (68-14)
OPENING ODDS
OKC Moneyline: -143
MIN Moneyline: +121
OKC Spread: -2.5
MIN Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 218
OKC
Betting Trends
- The Thunder have a 56–28–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Timberwolves hold a 46–45–1 ATS record this season, including playoffs.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Thunder are 8–4 ATS on the road this season, while the Timberwolves have covered the spread in 21 of their 33 home games.
OKC vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Randle over 24.5 PTS+REB.
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Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/24/25
However, Minnesota is a strong home team and will be desperate to respond in front of its fans, creating a high-stakes environment where adjustments and mental toughness will be critical. While the Thunder boast a 56–28–2 ATS record and an 8–4 postseason road ATS mark, the Timberwolves have been strong at home, covering in 21 of 33 games, making Game 3 a potential inflection point where the Timberwolves must throw their best punch to avoid the near-impossible task of climbing out of a 3–0 hole. The chess match between coaches Mark Daigneault and Chris Finch now intensifies, with OKC looking to maintain its composure and continue executing its game plan while Minnesota searches for ways to reignite their defensive identity and slow down one of the NBA’s most efficient playoff offenses. Game 3 will ultimately hinge on whether the Timberwolves can force more turnovers, close out more effectively on shooters, and find enough offensive rhythm beyond Edwards to match the Thunder’s firepower. If Oklahoma City comes out sharp and builds an early lead again, their relentless energy and depth could make this series all but over before it even returns to OKC. But if Minnesota can set a more physical tone, force the Thunder into a halfcourt grind, and ride the emotion of a home crowd, Game 3 could serve as a series reset—and the defining moment of the Timberwolves’ postseason run. Either way, expect playoff intensity, high-level shot-making, and tactical fireworks in what promises to be a must-watch showdown between two of the league’s most exciting young cores.
JDub named to @Kia All-NBA Third Team ⚡️ pic.twitter.com/YSQJerXq1q
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) May 23, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder head into Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals with a commanding 2–0 series lead and the poise of a team that has been in control of nearly every postseason moment since the start of their playoff run. After dominating the regular season with a 68–14 record, the Thunder have elevated their play even further in the postseason behind MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has averaged over 30 points per game with remarkable efficiency and playmaking. In Game 2, he led the way with 38 points and eight assists, dissecting the Timberwolves’ defense with a deadly mix of isolation scoring, midrange pull-ups, and precise pick-and-roll reads. Jalen Williams has emerged as a strong No. 2 option, consistently attacking mismatches and knocking down perimeter shots, while rookie big man Chet Holmgren continues to anchor the defense with his shot-blocking, help-side rotations, and underrated ability to switch onto guards in space. The Thunder’s offense thrives on balance and selflessness, creating quality looks through crisp ball movement, off-ball screens, and a deep bench that includes key contributors like Lu Dort and Isaiah Joe, who stretch the floor and bring defensive intensity. OKC’s team defense has been smothering, limiting Minnesota’s offensive rhythm and neutralizing their pick-and-roll actions with disciplined communication and aggressive hedging from their bigs.
Even when the Timberwolves have made small runs, the Thunder have countered quickly by locking down defensively and pushing the tempo in transition, capitalizing on Minnesota’s turnovers and rushed possessions. Oklahoma City’s ATS record of 56–28–2, including an 8–4 mark on the road in the postseason, reflects their consistency and ability to cover margins, even in hostile environments. Head coach Mark Daigneault has masterfully navigated matchups, staggering rotations and trusting his young stars to play through adversity without losing composure or overcomplicating their schemes. The Thunder know that closing out Game 3 would put them on the doorstep of their first Finals appearance since 2012, and they’re expected to come out with intensity, focus, and a killer instinct to silence the Target Center crowd early. If Gilgeous-Alexander continues to control the game’s tempo and the role players maintain their two-way discipline, Oklahoma City has every tool to put Minnesota on the brink. Their biggest task will be weathering the initial emotional push from the Timberwolves and maintaining poise through what’s likely to be a desperate, high-energy effort. But given their composure, depth, and elite play on both ends, the Thunder remain the clear frontrunners to close out the series early—and possibly punch their ticket to the NBA Finals as the league’s most complete, dangerous team.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves return home for Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals with their season teetering on the edge after dropping the first two games of the series to the Oklahoma City Thunder. Despite an impressive playoff run that included dispatching the defending champion Nuggets and a deep, veteran Suns team, the Wolves now find themselves down 0–2 and in need of a complete performance to reestablish momentum and avoid falling into a near-insurmountable hole. Anthony Edwards has been the clear bright spot, continuing to raise his game with poise and aggression, recently surpassing Kevin Garnett’s franchise record for most points in a single postseason, and providing leadership and shot creation under pressure. But the supporting cast has struggled to match that energy, with Julius Randle in particular having a tough series—shooting inefficiently, committing critical turnovers, and failing to provide the inside-outside offensive punch Minnesota needs to stretch the Thunder’s swarming defense. The Timberwolves’ own defensive identity, which was one of the best in the NBA during the regular season, has faltered in this series, unable to consistently slow down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander or rotate fast enough to contest the Thunder’s three-point shooters.
Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns have had moments protecting the rim and crashing the glass, but defensive lapses on the perimeter and slow transition recovery have allowed Oklahoma City to dictate tempo and create early offense. At home, however, the Wolves are 21–12 ATS and have fed off the Target Center crowd all season long, making this a potential bounce-back opportunity if they can channel the energy and rediscover their defensive edge. Chris Finch will need to make tactical adjustments—possibly incorporating more length on the perimeter, adjusting pick-and-roll coverage to contain Gilgeous-Alexander earlier in possessions, and finding better offensive spacing to create driving lanes for Edwards and Randle. Minnesota’s bench must also step up, as Oklahoma City’s depth has consistently outplayed them, especially in the second and third quarters. If the Timberwolves can limit turnovers, control the glass, and make the game more physical, they have a path to claw back into the series and keep their Finals hopes alive. Game 3 is not only a must-win but a chance to rewrite the series narrative, and if Edwards continues his star-level production and the rest of the roster rises to the occasion, the Timberwolves still have the firepower and defensive toughness to make this a long series. The question is whether they can put it all together before it’s too late.
WE GO AGAIN TOMORROW. pic.twitter.com/PsTJZ5jlzu
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) May 24, 2025
Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Thunder and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on Oklahoma City’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly strong Timberwolves team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Thunder vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Thunder Betting Trends
The Thunder have a 56–28–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Timberwolves hold a 46–45–1 ATS record this season, including playoffs.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends
The Thunder are 8–4 ATS on the road this season, while the Timberwolves have covered the spread in 21 of their 33 home games.
Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Game Info
What time does Oklahoma City vs Minnesota start on May 24, 2025?
Oklahoma City vs Minnesota starts on May 24, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Where is Oklahoma City vs Minnesota being played?
Venue: Target Center.
What are the opening odds for Oklahoma City vs Minnesota?
Spread: Minnesota +2.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -143, Minnesota +121
Over/Under: 218
What are the records for Oklahoma City vs Minnesota?
Oklahoma City: (68-14) | Minnesota: (49-33)
What is the AI best bet for Oklahoma City vs Minnesota?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Randle over 24.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Oklahoma City vs Minnesota trending bets?
The Thunder are 8–4 ATS on the road this season, while the Timberwolves have covered the spread in 21 of their 33 home games.
What are Oklahoma City trending bets?
OKC trend: The Thunder have a 56–28–2 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Timberwolves hold a 46–45–1 ATS record this season, including playoffs.
Where can I find AI Picks for Oklahoma City vs Minnesota?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Opening Odds
OKC Moneyline:
-143 MIN Moneyline: +121
OKC Spread: -2.5
MIN Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 218
Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-175
+145
|
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-118)
|
O 231.5 (-115)
U 231.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-115)
U 227.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-500
+380
|
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-162
+136
|
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+500
-700
|
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
|
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-218
+180
|
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
|
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
|
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on May 24, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |