Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 22 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves face off in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals on May 22, 2025, at Paycom Center, with the Thunder leading the series 1-0 after a dominant 114-88 victory in Game 1. Both teams are vying for their first NBA Finals appearance since the franchise’s relocation, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle between two rising Western Conference powers.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 22, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Paycom Center​

Thunder Record: (68-14)

Timberwolves Record: (49-33)

OPENING ODDS

MIN Moneyline: +248

OKC Moneyline: -310

MIN Spread: +7.5

OKC Spread: -7.5

Over/Under: 214.5

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five Western Conference Finals games.

OKC
Betting Trends

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.

MIN vs. OKC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Edwards over 30.5 PTS+REB.

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Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/22/25

Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Oklahoma City Thunder looms large as a defining moment in this high-stakes series, with the Thunder holding a 1-0 advantage following a dominant 114-88 victory in the opener. Oklahoma City showcased an impressive blend of defensive energy, tactical discipline, and offensive balance that left Minnesota scrambling to respond, and they’ll look to replicate that performance on Thursday night at the Paycom Center. The Thunder’s young core, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s masterful control of pace and scoring tempo, had its way against a Timberwolves defense that had previously looked formidable in earlier rounds. Chet Holmgren’s ability to alter shots in the paint and Jalen Williams’ aggressive off-ball movement further stressed Minnesota’s defensive rotations, creating a cascade of open looks and transition opportunities. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, enter Game 2 with pressing questions about their offensive stagnation and defensive lapses, having struggled to generate high-percentage shots or keep up with OKC’s relentless motion offense. Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards, typically the engines of Minnesota’s scoring, were neutralized by the Thunder’s physicality and help-side anticipation, while Mike Conley and Rudy Gobert failed to provide the necessary secondary impact.

From a betting perspective, the Thunder’s 56-28-2 ATS record this season reflects a team that consistently outperforms expectations, especially at home, while Minnesota’s narrower 46-45-1 mark suggests more variance in performance outcomes. The 7.5-point spread for Game 2 mirrors the perception of OKC’s growing edge in the matchup, and with the total set at 214.5, bookmakers are anticipating a slower, more physical game—something Minnesota may welcome as a way to disrupt the Thunder’s flow. The Timberwolves will need to bring a more urgent, physical brand of basketball into Game 2, limiting turnovers, closing out on shooters more aggressively, and ensuring Towns and Edwards get better spacing and rhythm in their shot selection. The Thunder, conversely, will aim to keep the tempo high, exploit Minnesota’s slower defensive reactions, and stay disciplined in switching schemes that stifled the Wolves’ ball movement. Coaching adjustments will play a key role, as Chris Finch will be under pressure to unlock his offense while Mark Daigneault continues to tweak lineups and coverages with remarkable success. Both teams know the implications of this contest—either a 2-0 stranglehold for the Thunder or a critical reset by the Timberwolves to regain home-court momentum. With the stakes rising and intensity expected to follow, Game 2 is shaping up to be a compelling chess match that will demand toughness, execution, and composure from both sides as they chase the NBA Finals.

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves arrive at Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals with both urgency and uncertainty after being outclassed in a 114-88 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 1, a performance that highlighted both strategic shortcomings and a worrying lack of execution on both ends of the court. The Wolves struggled to find offensive rhythm as Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns were stifled by OKC’s length and switching defense, combining for just 33 points while shooting inefficiently and looking visibly frustrated by the Thunder’s help schemes and physicality. Edwards, often the catalyst for Minnesota’s pace and energy, failed to find the open floor in transition or create consistent lanes to the basket, while Towns was pushed out of his comfort zone in the post and forced into awkward, contested looks. Compounding their offensive woes were breakdowns on defense, where the Timberwolves were late on rotations, failed to close out on perimeter shooters, and allowed Oklahoma City’s ball movement to dictate tempo throughout the game. Mike Conley’s veteran presence wasn’t enough to stabilize Minnesota’s offense, and Rudy Gobert’s defensive presence in the paint was neutralized by the Thunder’s ability to pull him out with five-out spacing and quick ball reversals.

Game 2 represents a crossroads for the Timberwolves—either they respond with the kind of defensive edge and offensive assertiveness that carried them past Phoenix and Denver earlier in the playoffs, or they risk falling into a 2-0 series hole that could prove insurmountable given Oklahoma City’s poise and home-court advantage. Chris Finch and his staff will need to consider major tactical tweaks, potentially involving more dribble hand-offs to create separation for Edwards, quicker decision-making out of the post for Towns, and perhaps tighter defensive assignments that favor switching to cut off OKC’s perimeter fluidity. There’s also the mental aspect: the Timberwolves cannot afford to play tentative basketball again—Game 2 demands they set the tone physically, attack the glass with intensity, and apply constant ball pressure to disrupt Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s playmaking rhythm. Their 46-45-1 ATS record speaks to their inconsistency, but it also suggests they are capable of bouncing back, especially when playing with a chip on their shoulder. Rebounding from such a lopsided loss will take more than lineup changes—it will require the Timberwolves to reclaim their identity as a defensively rugged, offensively opportunistic unit that competes with energy and cohesion. The pressure is squarely on Minnesota to answer the bell on Thursday night, and how they respond will speak volumes about their readiness for the moment and their legitimacy as championship contenders.

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves face off in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals on May 22, 2025, at Paycom Center, with the Thunder leading the series 1-0 after a dominant 114-88 victory in Game 1. Both teams are vying for their first NBA Finals appearance since the franchise’s relocation, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle between two rising Western Conference powers. Minnesota vs Oklahoma City AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals with confidence, momentum, and a 1-0 series lead after completely dismantling the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1 with a statement-making 114-88 victory that showcased their youth, balance, and elite defensive structure. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the charge with his usual calm, calculated dominance, efficiently orchestrating the offense and scoring at will, while his teammates executed coach Mark Daigneault’s game plan to near perfection. Chet Holmgren played a pivotal role as both rim protector and floor spacer, anchoring the Thunder’s defense while disrupting Minnesota’s interior attack and adding valuable scoring with his outside shooting. Jalen Williams and Lu Dort provided two-way impact, aggressively defending the Timberwolves’ perimeter threats while maintaining floor balance and contributing opportunistic buckets. What stood out most was OKC’s energy and cohesion—despite being one of the youngest teams in the league, they played with a maturity that belied their age, executing sharp switches, helping efficiently on drives, and consistently forcing Minnesota into contested, low-percentage shots. Their defensive coverage was stifling, particularly in transition and the half-court, where they trapped Edwards into tough decisions and neutralized Towns with timely doubles and fronting in the post.

The Thunder’s 56-28-2 record against the spread this season reflects their ability to exceed market expectations, especially at home where they feed off the raucous crowd energy at Paycom Center and use it to turn defense into transition buckets. Offensively, OKC’s strength lies in their versatility—whether it’s Gilgeous-Alexander getting to the line, Holmgren spacing the floor, or Williams slicing through defenses off the dribble, they have multiple players capable of initiating offense and keeping defenses on edge. Heading into Game 2, the Thunder are aware that Minnesota will look to punch back, but their focus will be on sustaining the same level of physicality and tempo that overwhelmed the Timberwolves on Tuesday. If they can maintain their defensive intensity, limit fouls, and continue moving the ball with precision, they stand an excellent chance of defending home court and taking a 2-0 series lead into Minneapolis. With Daigneault pulling the right strings and his young roster executing with unshakable poise, the Thunder are on the brink of establishing themselves not just as a feel-good playoff story, but as a legitimate Finals-caliber team with the tools to outmatch even the most experienced postseason opponents. As they prepare for tip-off in Game 2, the Thunder are poised, prepared, and playing with the confidence of a team that knows it belongs on this stage and is determined to prove it with every possession.

Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Timberwolves and Thunder play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Paycom Center in May can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Edwards over 30.5 PTS+REB.

Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Timberwolves and Thunder and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Timberwolves team going up against a possibly healthy Thunder team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Oklahoma City picks, computer picks Timberwolves vs Thunder, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five Western Conference Finals games.

Thunder Betting Trends

The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.

Timberwolves vs. Thunder Matchup Trends

The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.

Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Game Info

Minnesota vs Oklahoma City starts on May 22, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Spread: Oklahoma City -7.5
Moneyline: Minnesota +248, Oklahoma City -310
Over/Under: 214.5

Minnesota: (49-33)  |  Oklahoma City: (68-14)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Edwards over 30.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.

MIN trend: The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five Western Conference Finals games.

OKC trend: The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Oklahoma City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Opening Odds

MIN Moneyline: +248
OKC Moneyline: -310
MIN Spread: +7.5
OKC Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 214.5

Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+245
-300
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-106)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+138
-164
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+145
-182
+4 (-115)
-4 (-110)
O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-182
+4 (-114)
-4 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+240
-315
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+107
-132
+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-109)
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+106
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-190
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-345
+260
-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-113
-110
-1 (-109)
+1 (-117)
O 226.5 (-112)
U 226.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-103
-121
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-143
+115
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-110
-110
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on May 22, 2025 at Paycom Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS