Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 22)
Updated: 2025-05-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves face off in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals on May 22, 2025, at Paycom Center, with the Thunder leading the series 1-0 after a dominant 114-88 victory in Game 1. Both teams are vying for their first NBA Finals appearance since the franchise’s relocation, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle between two rising Western Conference powers.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 22, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Paycom Center
Thunder Record: (68-14)
Timberwolves Record: (49-33)
OPENING ODDS
MIN Moneyline: +248
OKC Moneyline: -310
MIN Spread: +7.5
OKC Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 214.5
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five Western Conference Finals games.
OKC
Betting Trends
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
MIN vs. OKC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Edwards over 30.5 PTS+REB.
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Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/22/25
From a betting perspective, the Thunder’s 56-28-2 ATS record this season reflects a team that consistently outperforms expectations, especially at home, while Minnesota’s narrower 46-45-1 mark suggests more variance in performance outcomes. The 7.5-point spread for Game 2 mirrors the perception of OKC’s growing edge in the matchup, and with the total set at 214.5, bookmakers are anticipating a slower, more physical game—something Minnesota may welcome as a way to disrupt the Thunder’s flow. The Timberwolves will need to bring a more urgent, physical brand of basketball into Game 2, limiting turnovers, closing out on shooters more aggressively, and ensuring Towns and Edwards get better spacing and rhythm in their shot selection. The Thunder, conversely, will aim to keep the tempo high, exploit Minnesota’s slower defensive reactions, and stay disciplined in switching schemes that stifled the Wolves’ ball movement. Coaching adjustments will play a key role, as Chris Finch will be under pressure to unlock his offense while Mark Daigneault continues to tweak lineups and coverages with remarkable success. Both teams know the implications of this contest—either a 2-0 stranglehold for the Thunder or a critical reset by the Timberwolves to regain home-court momentum. With the stakes rising and intensity expected to follow, Game 2 is shaping up to be a compelling chess match that will demand toughness, execution, and composure from both sides as they chase the NBA Finals.
WE GO AGAIN TOMORROW. 🍿 pic.twitter.com/ob6sTlqva8
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) May 22, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves arrive at Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals with both urgency and uncertainty after being outclassed in a 114-88 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 1, a performance that highlighted both strategic shortcomings and a worrying lack of execution on both ends of the court. The Wolves struggled to find offensive rhythm as Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns were stifled by OKC’s length and switching defense, combining for just 33 points while shooting inefficiently and looking visibly frustrated by the Thunder’s help schemes and physicality. Edwards, often the catalyst for Minnesota’s pace and energy, failed to find the open floor in transition or create consistent lanes to the basket, while Towns was pushed out of his comfort zone in the post and forced into awkward, contested looks. Compounding their offensive woes were breakdowns on defense, where the Timberwolves were late on rotations, failed to close out on perimeter shooters, and allowed Oklahoma City’s ball movement to dictate tempo throughout the game. Mike Conley’s veteran presence wasn’t enough to stabilize Minnesota’s offense, and Rudy Gobert’s defensive presence in the paint was neutralized by the Thunder’s ability to pull him out with five-out spacing and quick ball reversals.
Game 2 represents a crossroads for the Timberwolves—either they respond with the kind of defensive edge and offensive assertiveness that carried them past Phoenix and Denver earlier in the playoffs, or they risk falling into a 2-0 series hole that could prove insurmountable given Oklahoma City’s poise and home-court advantage. Chris Finch and his staff will need to consider major tactical tweaks, potentially involving more dribble hand-offs to create separation for Edwards, quicker decision-making out of the post for Towns, and perhaps tighter defensive assignments that favor switching to cut off OKC’s perimeter fluidity. There’s also the mental aspect: the Timberwolves cannot afford to play tentative basketball again—Game 2 demands they set the tone physically, attack the glass with intensity, and apply constant ball pressure to disrupt Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s playmaking rhythm. Their 46-45-1 ATS record speaks to their inconsistency, but it also suggests they are capable of bouncing back, especially when playing with a chip on their shoulder. Rebounding from such a lopsided loss will take more than lineup changes—it will require the Timberwolves to reclaim their identity as a defensively rugged, offensively opportunistic unit that competes with energy and cohesion. The pressure is squarely on Minnesota to answer the bell on Thursday night, and how they respond will speak volumes about their readiness for the moment and their legitimacy as championship contenders.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals with confidence, momentum, and a 1-0 series lead after completely dismantling the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1 with a statement-making 114-88 victory that showcased their youth, balance, and elite defensive structure. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the charge with his usual calm, calculated dominance, efficiently orchestrating the offense and scoring at will, while his teammates executed coach Mark Daigneault’s game plan to near perfection. Chet Holmgren played a pivotal role as both rim protector and floor spacer, anchoring the Thunder’s defense while disrupting Minnesota’s interior attack and adding valuable scoring with his outside shooting. Jalen Williams and Lu Dort provided two-way impact, aggressively defending the Timberwolves’ perimeter threats while maintaining floor balance and contributing opportunistic buckets. What stood out most was OKC’s energy and cohesion—despite being one of the youngest teams in the league, they played with a maturity that belied their age, executing sharp switches, helping efficiently on drives, and consistently forcing Minnesota into contested, low-percentage shots. Their defensive coverage was stifling, particularly in transition and the half-court, where they trapped Edwards into tough decisions and neutralized Towns with timely doubles and fronting in the post.
The Thunder’s 56-28-2 record against the spread this season reflects their ability to exceed market expectations, especially at home where they feed off the raucous crowd energy at Paycom Center and use it to turn defense into transition buckets. Offensively, OKC’s strength lies in their versatility—whether it’s Gilgeous-Alexander getting to the line, Holmgren spacing the floor, or Williams slicing through defenses off the dribble, they have multiple players capable of initiating offense and keeping defenses on edge. Heading into Game 2, the Thunder are aware that Minnesota will look to punch back, but their focus will be on sustaining the same level of physicality and tempo that overwhelmed the Timberwolves on Tuesday. If they can maintain their defensive intensity, limit fouls, and continue moving the ball with precision, they stand an excellent chance of defending home court and taking a 2-0 series lead into Minneapolis. With Daigneault pulling the right strings and his young roster executing with unshakable poise, the Thunder are on the brink of establishing themselves not just as a feel-good playoff story, but as a legitimate Finals-caliber team with the tools to outmatch even the most experienced postseason opponents. As they prepare for tip-off in Game 2, the Thunder are poised, prepared, and playing with the confidence of a team that knows it belongs on this stage and is determined to prove it with every possession.
Break down last night's Game 1 W with 3 Things from @royceyoung 🎙️ pic.twitter.com/bQ6YBRWkGV
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) May 21, 2025
Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Prop Picks (AI)
Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Timberwolves and Thunder and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Timberwolves team going up against a possibly unhealthy Thunder team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Oklahoma City picks, computer picks Timberwolves vs Thunder, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five Western Conference Finals games.
Thunder Betting Trends
The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Matchup Trends
The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Game Info
What time does Minnesota vs Oklahoma City start on May 22, 2025?
Minnesota vs Oklahoma City starts on May 22, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Where is Minnesota vs Oklahoma City being played?
Venue: Paycom Center.
What are the opening odds for Minnesota vs Oklahoma City?
Spread: Oklahoma City -7.5
Moneyline: Minnesota +248, Oklahoma City -310
Over/Under: 214.5
What are the records for Minnesota vs Oklahoma City?
Minnesota: (49-33) | Oklahoma City: (68-14)
What is the AI best bet for Minnesota vs Oklahoma City?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Edwards over 30.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Minnesota vs Oklahoma City trending bets?
The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five Western Conference Finals games.
What are Oklahoma City trending bets?
OKC trend: The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
Where can I find AI Picks for Minnesota vs Oklahoma City?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Oklahoma City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Opening Odds
MIN Moneyline:
+248 OKC Moneyline: -310
MIN Spread: +7.5
OKC Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 214.5
Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-175
+145
|
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
|
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+800
-1400
|
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-550
+400
|
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-105)
U 234.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+135
-160
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-160
+135
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+525
-750
|
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
|
O 227.5 (-105)
U 227.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-220
+180
|
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
|
O 235.5 (-105)
U 235.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
|
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on May 22, 2025 at Paycom Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |