Knicks vs Celtics Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 14)

Updated: 2025-05-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Knicks and Boston Celtics will face off in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on May 14, 2025, at TD Garden. The Knicks lead the series 3–1 and aim to close it out, while the Celtics strive to stay alive despite the absence of star player Jayson Tatum due to injury.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 14, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: TD Garden​

Celtics Record: (61-21)

Knicks Record: (51-31)

OPENING ODDS

NY Moneyline: +155

BOS Moneyline: -185

NY Spread: +4.5

BOS Spread: -4.5

Over/Under: 207.5

NY
Betting Trends

  • The New York Knicks have a 47–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Boston Celtics have a 42–48–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite trailing in the series, the Celtics are 4.5-point favorites in Game 5, highlighting their strong home-court advantage and the betting market’s confidence in a potential comeback.

NY vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Bridges over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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New York vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/14/25

The New York Knicks and Boston Celtics face off in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals on May 14, 2025, at TD Garden in a high-stakes matchup with contrasting narratives, as the Knicks look to close out the series and the Celtics fight to stave off elimination in front of their home crowd. New York holds a surprising 3–1 lead in the series, largely fueled by the stellar play of Jalen Brunson, who has taken control of the series with his ability to score in isolation, facilitate the offense, and hit big shots when it matters most. Brunson has been complemented by Karl-Anthony Towns, whose versatility as a big man—scoring from the perimeter and post—has added another dimension to the Knicks’ offense, while Tom Thibodeau’s defense has limited Boston’s ability to find rhythm, especially in transition and late shot-clock scenarios. The Celtics, meanwhile, are reeling from the devastating loss of Jayson Tatum to a season-ending Achilles injury, a blow that has significantly altered their game plan and placed an enormous burden on Jaylen Brown to carry the scoring load while trying to match the physicality and pace of New York’s attack. Although the Celtics are slight 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 5, they’ve struggled to generate consistent offense without Tatum, and their reliance on high-volume three-point shooting has produced streaky results that New York has been able to capitalize on with key rebounds and defensive stops.

Boston will need more from Derrick White and Marcus Smart, both of whom have played admirably but are now being asked to do more than their typical roles require. Despite trailing in the series, the Celtics’ experience, home-court advantage, and defensive capability keep them very much in the fight, particularly if they can limit turnovers and convert their perimeter looks at a higher clip. For the Knicks, the strategy heading into Game 5 will be to maintain their defensive pressure, force the Celtics into contested jumpers, and allow Brunson to continue orchestrating the offense while feeding Towns in mismatches. Supporting players like RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley have been vital on both ends of the floor, offering secondary scoring and perimeter defense that has helped contain Boston’s backcourt penetration. The Celtics have the personnel to make this a competitive game and possibly extend the series, but they will need to play with near-perfect execution, limit Brunson’s touches in space, and find new ways to generate half-court offense without their top scorer. For the Knicks, this game is about composure, poise, and seizing the opportunity to reach the Eastern Conference Finals for the first time in over two decades. If they stick to the formula that’s brought them this far—defensive tenacity, clutch playmaking, and balanced scoring—they have the tools to close out Boston and continue what has become one of the more compelling postseason runs in franchise

New York Knicks NBA Preview

The New York Knicks enter Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against the Boston Celtics with a commanding 3–1 lead and a golden opportunity to close out the series on the road, fueled by the sensational play of Jalen Brunson and the team’s collective buy-in to Tom Thibodeau’s defensive-first identity. Brunson has been the undisputed leader of the Knicks throughout this postseason, showcasing an elite combination of poise, shot-making, and leadership that has enabled New York to control the tempo of the series even against one of the league’s most talented rosters. His ability to exploit mismatches, create space off the dribble, and execute in clutch moments has been the engine of a Knicks offense that doesn’t rely on overwhelming firepower but thrives on efficiency and execution, especially in half-court settings. Karl-Anthony Towns has been the perfect complement to Brunson, adding a versatile frontcourt scoring option who can stretch the floor or work inside, making life difficult for Boston’s bigs, particularly with Kristaps Porzingis sidelined earlier in the postseason and now Jayson Tatum out with a torn Achilles. The Knicks have also benefited from crucial contributions across the rotation, with RJ Barrett stepping up as a consistent secondary scorer and Immanuel Quickley providing energy, perimeter shooting, and perimeter defense off the bench, reinforcing the depth and cohesion that have defined New York’s success so far.

Thibodeau’s defensive schemes have smothered Boston’s ball movement, limiting their fast-break opportunities and forcing the Celtics into tough, contested three-point shots, which have fallen flat without Tatum’s shot creation and gravity. The Knicks’ physicality on the boards, led by Towns and Isaiah Hartenstein, has also been a major factor, denying Boston second-chance points and allowing the Knicks to control possessions and dictate the pace. Entering a hostile environment like TD Garden will test the Knicks’ composure, but their gritty style of play and playoff-tested resilience suggest they are fully prepared to embrace the moment and finish the job. They’ve already proven they can win on the road, and with the Celtics scrambling to fill the offensive void left by Tatum, New York has a clear path to victory if they stay disciplined and continue to trust the system that has brought them within one win of their first Eastern Conference Finals appearance in over 20 years. Game 5 represents more than just a chance to end the series—it’s an opportunity for the Knicks to send a statement to the rest of the league that their rise is no longer a feel-good story but the product of elite guard play, defensive toughness, and strategic excellence that translates into legitimate championship contention. If Brunson remains in control and the supporting cast continues to deliver, New York has everything it needs to silence Boston’s crowd and punch its ticket to the next round.

The New York Knicks and Boston Celtics will face off in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on May 14, 2025, at TD Garden. The Knicks lead the series 3–1 and aim to close it out, while the Celtics strive to stay alive despite the absence of star player Jayson Tatum due to injury. New York vs Boston AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Boston Celtics NBA Preview

The Boston Celtics return to TD Garden for Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series trailing the New York Knicks 3–1 and facing elimination without their franchise cornerstone Jayson Tatum, whose season-ending Achilles injury has dramatically altered the team’s playoff outlook and forced others to shoulder the offensive and emotional burden. Despite the adversity, the Celtics still possess a wealth of talent, leadership, and playoff experience, and their mission is clear: extend the series and keep their championship hopes alive by protecting home court and rediscovering the two-way intensity that made them one of the NBA’s most dominant regular-season teams. Jaylen Brown now sits firmly in the spotlight, expected to be the Celtics’ go-to scorer and perimeter anchor, and although he’s had strong individual performances in the series, Boston needs him to be transcendent in Game 5—initiating offense, creating scoring opportunities in isolation, and stepping into the void left by Tatum’s absence with full confidence. Around him, role players like Derrick White, Marcus Smart, and Jrue Holiday will need to raise their level of play both offensively and defensively, especially when it comes to slowing down Jalen Brunson, whose surgical control of pace and late-clock execution has buried Boston in multiple games already.

The Celtics have leaned heavily on their three-point shooting all season, but without Tatum drawing doubles and shifting defensive rotations, those looks have become more contested and less reliable, making it critical that Boston finds creative ways to generate better shots, attack the paint more aggressively, and get to the free-throw line. Coach Joe Mazzulla is likely to mix defensive looks, perhaps throwing traps or hedges at Brunson to disrupt his rhythm and force other Knicks to make plays under pressure, but the Celtics must also clean up their transition defense and rebounding if they want to prevent New York from controlling tempo and getting second-chance points. Defensively, the Celtics still have the tools to clamp down—Al Horford’s positioning, Smart’s versatility, and White’s off-ball instincts all remain valuable weapons—but they must string together full quarters of focus and physicality to neutralize a Knicks team that thrives on outworking opponents and capitalizing on mistakes. The energy inside TD Garden should provide a boost, especially if the Celtics can start fast and build an early lead to shake off the weight of the series deficit and remind themselves of what they’re capable of. While the loss of Tatum narrows their margin for error, the Celtics are still too deep, too battle-tested, and too tough to go down without a fight, and a Game 5 win would not only shift momentum but reassert Boston’s identity as a team that thrives when its back is against the wall. If Brown plays like a superstar, the role players step up, and the defense returns to form, the Celtics have every reason to believe they can protect home court and send this series back to Madison Square Garden for Game 6.

New York vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Knicks and Celtics play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at TD Garden in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Bridges over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.

New York vs. Boston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Knicks and Celtics and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Knicks team going up against a possibly healthy Celtics team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York vs Boston picks, computer picks Knicks vs Celtics, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Knicks Betting Trends

The New York Knicks have a 47–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics have a 42–48–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

Knicks vs. Celtics Matchup Trends

Despite trailing in the series, the Celtics are 4.5-point favorites in Game 5, highlighting their strong home-court advantage and the betting market’s confidence in a potential comeback.

New York vs. Boston Game Info

New York vs Boston starts on May 14, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Boston -4.5
Moneyline: New York +155, Boston -185
Over/Under: 207.5

New York: (51-31)  |  Boston: (61-21)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Bridges over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite trailing in the series, the Celtics are 4.5-point favorites in Game 5, highlighting their strong home-court advantage and the betting market’s confidence in a potential comeback.

NY trend: The New York Knicks have a 47–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

BOS trend: The Boston Celtics have a 42–48–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York vs. Boston Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the New York vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York vs Boston Opening Odds

NY Moneyline: +155
BOS Moneyline: -185
NY Spread: +4.5
BOS Spread: -4.5
Over/Under: 207.5

New York vs Boston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-160
+141
-4 (-106)
+4 (-106)
O 232 (-102)
U 232 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+757
-1126
+15.5 (-106)
-15.5 (-106)
O 229.5 (-102)
U 229.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-525
+400
-11 (-108)
+11 (-112)
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+140
-160
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-154
+134
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+533
-713
+13 (-106)
-13 (-106)
O 227.5 (-102)
U 227.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-214
+185
-5.5 (-106)
+5.5 (-106)
O 234.5 (-113)
U 234.5 (-102)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics on May 14, 2025 at TD Garden.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS