Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 14 | NBA AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On May 14, 2025, the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Target Center. Leading the series 3–1, the Timberwolves aim to clinch their first playoff series at home since 2004, while the Warriors, without star Stephen Curry, strive to extend their postseason run.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 14, 2025
Start Time: 9:30 PM EST
Venue: Target Center
Timberwolves Record: (49-33)
Warriors Record: (48-34)
OPENING ODDS
GS Moneyline: +445
MIN Moneyline: -606
GS Spread: +11.5
MIN Spread: -11.5
Over/Under: 203.5
GS
Betting Trends
- The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.
GS vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 33.5 PTS+REB.
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Golden State vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/14/25
Jimmy Butler has taken on a larger offensive role, but he has not been able to consistently carry the load against Minnesota’s swarming defense, while Jonathan Kuminga has flashed athleticism and upside but lacks the consistency to be a primary option. Draymond Green remains a defensive anchor, and Steve Kerr has deployed his usual array of defensive schemes, but with the offense sputtering below 100 points in multiple games and perimeter shooting proving erratic, the Warriors have found themselves outpaced by a Timberwolves team that’s younger, deeper, and better constructed for the current matchup. The Wolves’ defense has clamped down on Golden State’s perimeter threats, while Gobert has neutralized interior drives, forcing the Warriors into rushed, contested shots late in the clock. With the series shifting back to Minnesota, the Timberwolves are in the perfect position to feed off their home crowd, dictate tempo early, and put the pressure on a Warriors squad already stretched thin and running out of options. If Minnesota continues to force turnovers, control the glass, and allow Edwards and Randle to lead the charge offensively, they should be able to put the series away. For the Warriors, Game 5 is do-or-die, but they will need a near-flawless effort from their supporting cast, improved offensive efficiency, and a defensive masterclass to push this series back to Chase Center. Whether they have enough left in the tank without Curry remains to be seen, but the edge clearly lies with a Timberwolves team that’s playing with purpose, composure, and the poise of a squad ready to take the next step on the postseason stage.
"Just gotta go get that one" — Jonathan Kuminga pic.twitter.com/eLgV4dtZCW
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) May 13, 2025
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors enter Game 5 of their Western Conference Semifinals matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves with their postseason hanging by a thread, trailing 3–1 in the series and reeling from the absence of superstar Stephen Curry, who remains sidelined with a hamstring injury suffered in Game 1. Without their leader and floor general, the Warriors have struggled mightily to maintain offensive consistency, failing to score over 100 points in multiple games and relying instead on a patchwork scoring approach that has lacked rhythm and spacing. Jimmy Butler has shouldered much of the offensive responsibility, averaging 21 points per game in the series and providing veteran leadership and toughness, but he’s been forced to operate in isolation far too often due to limited playmaking around him. Jonathan Kuminga has stepped up as a bright spot, using his explosiveness to get downhill and make plays, yet his youth and inconsistency have prevented him from being a consistent scoring anchor. Golden State’s offense, usually defined by ball movement, screening action, and three-point efficiency, has fallen flat, as the loss of Curry’s gravity has allowed Minnesota’s defense to collapse in the paint and close out more aggressively on perimeter shooters. Klay Thompson’s struggles from beyond the arc and Draymond Green’s limitations as a scorer have only exacerbated the Warriors’ offensive woes, while the bench has failed to provide enough of a spark to close the gap.
Defensively, the Warriors remain gritty and well-coached, with Green continuing to anchor their schemes and communicate rotations, but extended minutes and the pressure of defending without consistent offensive support have worn them down late in games. Steve Kerr has experimented with smaller lineups and more touches for Moses Moody and Gary Payton II in hopes of creating mismatches, but none of those adjustments have resulted in sustainable offensive surges. The Warriors must enter Game 5 with a renewed focus on defensive stops, transition opportunities, and perhaps most importantly, finding a way to manufacture easy buckets without their usual half-court engine. If they can contain Anthony Edwards in early sets and force the Timberwolves into contested midrange looks, they can potentially keep the game close enough to give themselves a shot late. However, their margin for error is razor-thin, and unless Butler can produce a vintage postseason performance and the supporting cast drastically steps up, the Warriors risk seeing their postseason come to an end on Wednesday night. With Curry still out and the team lacking a reliable scoring identity, Golden State’s chances hinge on a collective effort built on experience, defensive tenacity, and capitalizing on Minnesota mistakes—a tall task against one of the league’s most complete teams playing on their home floor. Game 5 will either be a display of classic Warriors resilience or the closing chapter of a playoff run defined by attrition and a superstar-sized void they haven’t been able to fill.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves return to Target Center on May 14, 2025, with a 3–1 lead over the Golden State Warriors and a chance to clinch a trip to the Western Conference Finals for the first time since 2004, backed by the home-court advantage and a team playing its best basketball at exactly the right time. Anthony Edwards has emerged as a true playoff superstar, averaging high-impact numbers on both ends of the floor, showcasing his ability to take over games with a combination of explosiveness, shot-making, and defensive pressure that has completely shifted the dynamics of the series. Edwards’ rise has been complemented perfectly by Julius Randle, whose acquisition has paid major dividends, giving Minnesota a versatile big who can score inside and out, pass out of double teams, and take pressure off Edwards in half-court sets. Randle’s physicality and presence on the glass, especially against a smaller Golden State front line, has given the Wolves control of the paint on both ends, while Rudy Gobert has anchored the defense as expected—controlling the rim, altering shots, and forcing the Warriors to rely on perimeter jumpers that have not consistently fallen in the absence of Stephen Curry.
Without Curry, the Warriors’ offense has lacked its usual tempo and spacing, and Minnesota has capitalized by collapsing into driving lanes, switching effectively, and forcing Golden State into tough isolation plays that often end in low-percentage attempts. Chris Finch’s game plans have been sharp and adaptive, as he’s mixed coverages to disrupt Jimmy Butler and challenged the Warriors’ lesser scorers to beat them, a strategy that has worked to near perfection. The Timberwolves’ bench, led by Naz Reid and Donte DiVincenzo, has also played a crucial role, providing energy, perimeter shooting, and defensive hustle that’s helped Minnesota extend leads when starters rest. Collectively, this team has shown maturity, composure, and balance, executing late in games and controlling momentum through smart possessions and dominant stretches of defense. Game 5 now presents a monumental opportunity: close the series out at home, avoid a trip back to the Chase Center, and send a message to the rest of the Western Conference that the Timberwolves are no longer an upstart—they’re a legitimate contender with stars, depth, and identity. If Edwards continues to set the tone early, Randle and Gobert dominate the frontcourt, and the defense maintains its edge, Minnesota should be in excellent position to seal the series in front of a raucous home crowd. This game represents not just a shot at advancement but a franchise-defining moment, and with all the momentum on their side, the Timberwolves appear more than ready to seize it.
Ant and Ju both scored 30+ points.
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) May 13, 2025
first duo since KG and Sam Cassell in 2004. pic.twitter.com/IWwIhxv7yF
Golden State vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
Golden State vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Warriors and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the growing factor emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Warriors team going up against a possibly rested Timberwolves team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Golden State vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Warriors vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Warriors Betting Trends
The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends
Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.
Golden State vs. Minnesota Game Info
What time does Golden State vs Minnesota start on May 14, 2025?
Golden State vs Minnesota starts on May 14, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.
Where is Golden State vs Minnesota being played?
Venue: Target Center.
What are the opening odds for Golden State vs Minnesota?
Spread: Minnesota -11.5
Moneyline: Golden State +445, Minnesota -606
Over/Under: 203.5
What are the records for Golden State vs Minnesota?
Golden State: (48-34) | Minnesota: (49-33)
What is the AI best bet for Golden State vs Minnesota?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 33.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Golden State vs Minnesota trending bets?
Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.
What are Golden State trending bets?
GS trend: The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.
Where can I find AI Picks for Golden State vs Minnesota?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Golden State vs. Minnesota Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Golden State vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Golden State vs Minnesota Opening Odds
GS Moneyline:
+445 MIN Moneyline: -606
GS Spread: +11.5
MIN Spread: -11.5
Over/Under: 203.5
Golden State vs Minnesota Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
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–
–
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+260
-320
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+8 (-115)
-8 (-105)
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O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
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|
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
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–
–
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+150
-175
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+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
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O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
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–
–
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+136
-162
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+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
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O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
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–
–
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+145
-175
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+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-120)
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O 229.5 (+105)
U 229.5 (-125)
|
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Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
|
–
–
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+280
-355
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+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
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O 210.5 (-110)
U 210.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
|
–
–
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+105
-125
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+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
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O 224 (-110)
U 224 (-110)
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|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
|
–
–
|
+195
-238
|
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
|
–
–
|
+285
-360
|
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 226 (-110)
U 226 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-325
+260
|
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
|
-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
|
O 226.5 (-130)
U 226.5 (+105)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
|
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Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
-142
+120
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
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+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
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O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on May 14, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |