Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 14 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 14, 2025, the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Target Center. Leading the series 3–1, the Timberwolves aim to clinch their first playoff series at home since 2004, while the Warriors, without star Stephen Curry, strive to extend their postseason run.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 14, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: Target Center​

Timberwolves Record: (49-33)

Warriors Record: (48-34)

OPENING ODDS

GS Moneyline: +445

MIN Moneyline: -606

GS Spread: +11.5

MIN Spread: -11.5

Over/Under: 203.5

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.

GS vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 33.5 PTS+REB.

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Golden State vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/14/25

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors will face off in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals on May 14, 2025, at Target Center in Minneapolis, where the Timberwolves will look to close out the series and advance to their first Western Conference Finals in over two decades. Leading the series 3–1, Minnesota has controlled the pace and physicality through a defensive identity and timely offensive execution, led by the dynamic play of Anthony Edwards and the critical addition of Julius Randle, who has given the team a versatile scoring option in the frontcourt. Edwards has emerged as a true superstar in this postseason, delivering with relentless energy, clutch shooting, and an elevated sense of leadership that’s helped the Wolves outmatch a depleted Warriors squad. Randle’s presence has not only spaced the floor but also opened up driving lanes, giving the Timberwolves a dual-threat attack that complements Rudy Gobert’s rim protection and rebounding dominance. On the other side, the Warriors are on the brink of elimination, down 3–1 and without Stephen Curry, whose absence due to a hamstring injury sustained in Game 1 has dramatically limited Golden State’s offensive ceiling.

Jimmy Butler has taken on a larger offensive role, but he has not been able to consistently carry the load against Minnesota’s swarming defense, while Jonathan Kuminga has flashed athleticism and upside but lacks the consistency to be a primary option. Draymond Green remains a defensive anchor, and Steve Kerr has deployed his usual array of defensive schemes, but with the offense sputtering below 100 points in multiple games and perimeter shooting proving erratic, the Warriors have found themselves outpaced by a Timberwolves team that’s younger, deeper, and better constructed for the current matchup. The Wolves’ defense has clamped down on Golden State’s perimeter threats, while Gobert has neutralized interior drives, forcing the Warriors into rushed, contested shots late in the clock. With the series shifting back to Minnesota, the Timberwolves are in the perfect position to feed off their home crowd, dictate tempo early, and put the pressure on a Warriors squad already stretched thin and running out of options. If Minnesota continues to force turnovers, control the glass, and allow Edwards and Randle to lead the charge offensively, they should be able to put the series away. For the Warriors, Game 5 is do-or-die, but they will need a near-flawless effort from their supporting cast, improved offensive efficiency, and a defensive masterclass to push this series back to Chase Center. Whether they have enough left in the tank without Curry remains to be seen, but the edge clearly lies with a Timberwolves team that’s playing with purpose, composure, and the poise of a squad ready to take the next step on the postseason stage.

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors enter Game 5 of their Western Conference Semifinals matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves with their postseason hanging by a thread, trailing 3–1 in the series and reeling from the absence of superstar Stephen Curry, who remains sidelined with a hamstring injury suffered in Game 1. Without their leader and floor general, the Warriors have struggled mightily to maintain offensive consistency, failing to score over 100 points in multiple games and relying instead on a patchwork scoring approach that has lacked rhythm and spacing. Jimmy Butler has shouldered much of the offensive responsibility, averaging 21 points per game in the series and providing veteran leadership and toughness, but he’s been forced to operate in isolation far too often due to limited playmaking around him. Jonathan Kuminga has stepped up as a bright spot, using his explosiveness to get downhill and make plays, yet his youth and inconsistency have prevented him from being a consistent scoring anchor. Golden State’s offense, usually defined by ball movement, screening action, and three-point efficiency, has fallen flat, as the loss of Curry’s gravity has allowed Minnesota’s defense to collapse in the paint and close out more aggressively on perimeter shooters. Klay Thompson’s struggles from beyond the arc and Draymond Green’s limitations as a scorer have only exacerbated the Warriors’ offensive woes, while the bench has failed to provide enough of a spark to close the gap.

Defensively, the Warriors remain gritty and well-coached, with Green continuing to anchor their schemes and communicate rotations, but extended minutes and the pressure of defending without consistent offensive support have worn them down late in games. Steve Kerr has experimented with smaller lineups and more touches for Moses Moody and Gary Payton II in hopes of creating mismatches, but none of those adjustments have resulted in sustainable offensive surges. The Warriors must enter Game 5 with a renewed focus on defensive stops, transition opportunities, and perhaps most importantly, finding a way to manufacture easy buckets without their usual half-court engine. If they can contain Anthony Edwards in early sets and force the Timberwolves into contested midrange looks, they can potentially keep the game close enough to give themselves a shot late. However, their margin for error is razor-thin, and unless Butler can produce a vintage postseason performance and the supporting cast drastically steps up, the Warriors risk seeing their postseason come to an end on Wednesday night. With Curry still out and the team lacking a reliable scoring identity, Golden State’s chances hinge on a collective effort built on experience, defensive tenacity, and capitalizing on Minnesota mistakes—a tall task against one of the league’s most complete teams playing on their home floor. Game 5 will either be a display of classic Warriors resilience or the closing chapter of a playoff run defined by attrition and a superstar-sized void they haven’t been able to fill.

On May 14, 2025, the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Target Center. Leading the series 3–1, the Timberwolves aim to clinch their first playoff series at home since 2004, while the Warriors, without star Stephen Curry, strive to extend their postseason run. Golden State vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves return to Target Center on May 14, 2025, with a 3–1 lead over the Golden State Warriors and a chance to clinch a trip to the Western Conference Finals for the first time since 2004, backed by the home-court advantage and a team playing its best basketball at exactly the right time. Anthony Edwards has emerged as a true playoff superstar, averaging high-impact numbers on both ends of the floor, showcasing his ability to take over games with a combination of explosiveness, shot-making, and defensive pressure that has completely shifted the dynamics of the series. Edwards’ rise has been complemented perfectly by Julius Randle, whose acquisition has paid major dividends, giving Minnesota a versatile big who can score inside and out, pass out of double teams, and take pressure off Edwards in half-court sets. Randle’s physicality and presence on the glass, especially against a smaller Golden State front line, has given the Wolves control of the paint on both ends, while Rudy Gobert has anchored the defense as expected—controlling the rim, altering shots, and forcing the Warriors to rely on perimeter jumpers that have not consistently fallen in the absence of Stephen Curry.

Without Curry, the Warriors’ offense has lacked its usual tempo and spacing, and Minnesota has capitalized by collapsing into driving lanes, switching effectively, and forcing Golden State into tough isolation plays that often end in low-percentage attempts. Chris Finch’s game plans have been sharp and adaptive, as he’s mixed coverages to disrupt Jimmy Butler and challenged the Warriors’ lesser scorers to beat them, a strategy that has worked to near perfection. The Timberwolves’ bench, led by Naz Reid and Donte DiVincenzo, has also played a crucial role, providing energy, perimeter shooting, and defensive hustle that’s helped Minnesota extend leads when starters rest. Collectively, this team has shown maturity, composure, and balance, executing late in games and controlling momentum through smart possessions and dominant stretches of defense. Game 5 now presents a monumental opportunity: close the series out at home, avoid a trip back to the Chase Center, and send a message to the rest of the Western Conference that the Timberwolves are no longer an upstart—they’re a legitimate contender with stars, depth, and identity. If Edwards continues to set the tone early, Randle and Gobert dominate the frontcourt, and the defense maintains its edge, Minnesota should be in excellent position to seal the series in front of a raucous home crowd. This game represents not just a shot at advancement but a franchise-defining moment, and with all the momentum on their side, the Timberwolves appear more than ready to seize it.

Golden State vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Warriors and Timberwolves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Center in May can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 33.5 PTS+REB.

Golden State vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Warriors and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the growing factor emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Warriors team going up against a possibly rested Timberwolves team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Golden State vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Warriors vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends

Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.

Golden State vs. Minnesota Game Info

Golden State vs Minnesota starts on May 14, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota -11.5
Moneyline: Golden State +445, Minnesota -606
Over/Under: 203.5

Golden State: (48-34)  |  Minnesota: (49-33)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 33.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.

GS trend: The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MIN trend: The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Golden State vs. Minnesota Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Golden State vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Golden State vs Minnesota Opening Odds

GS Moneyline: +445
MIN Moneyline: -606
GS Spread: +11.5
MIN Spread: -11.5
Over/Under: 203.5

Golden State vs Minnesota Live Odds

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Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
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+260
-320
+8 (-115)
-8 (-105)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+150
-175
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
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+136
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O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
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+145
-175
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-120)
O 229.5 (+105)
U 229.5 (-125)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
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+280
-355
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 210.5 (-110)
U 210.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
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+105
-125
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 224 (-110)
U 224 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
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+195
-238
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
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+285
-360
+8.5 (-110)
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O 226 (-110)
U 226 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-130
+110
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-180
+4.5 (-110)
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O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-325
+260
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-110
-110
-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
O 226.5 (-130)
U 226.5 (+105)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-105
-115
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-142
+120
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-110
-110
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on May 14, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS