Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 14)

Updated: 2025-05-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 14, 2025, the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Target Center. Leading the series 3–1, the Timberwolves aim to clinch their first playoff series at home since 2004, while the Warriors, without star Stephen Curry, strive to extend their postseason run.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 14, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: Target Center​

Timberwolves Record: (49-33)

Warriors Record: (48-34)

OPENING ODDS

GS Moneyline: +445

MIN Moneyline: -606

GS Spread: +11.5

MIN Spread: -11.5

Over/Under: 203.5

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.

GS vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 33.5 PTS+REB.

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Golden State vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/14/25

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors will face off in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals on May 14, 2025, at Target Center in Minneapolis, where the Timberwolves will look to close out the series and advance to their first Western Conference Finals in over two decades. Leading the series 3–1, Minnesota has controlled the pace and physicality through a defensive identity and timely offensive execution, led by the dynamic play of Anthony Edwards and the critical addition of Julius Randle, who has given the team a versatile scoring option in the frontcourt. Edwards has emerged as a true superstar in this postseason, delivering with relentless energy, clutch shooting, and an elevated sense of leadership that’s helped the Wolves outmatch a depleted Warriors squad. Randle’s presence has not only spaced the floor but also opened up driving lanes, giving the Timberwolves a dual-threat attack that complements Rudy Gobert’s rim protection and rebounding dominance. On the other side, the Warriors are on the brink of elimination, down 3–1 and without Stephen Curry, whose absence due to a hamstring injury sustained in Game 1 has dramatically limited Golden State’s offensive ceiling.

Jimmy Butler has taken on a larger offensive role, but he has not been able to consistently carry the load against Minnesota’s swarming defense, while Jonathan Kuminga has flashed athleticism and upside but lacks the consistency to be a primary option. Draymond Green remains a defensive anchor, and Steve Kerr has deployed his usual array of defensive schemes, but with the offense sputtering below 100 points in multiple games and perimeter shooting proving erratic, the Warriors have found themselves outpaced by a Timberwolves team that’s younger, deeper, and better constructed for the current matchup. The Wolves’ defense has clamped down on Golden State’s perimeter threats, while Gobert has neutralized interior drives, forcing the Warriors into rushed, contested shots late in the clock. With the series shifting back to Minnesota, the Timberwolves are in the perfect position to feed off their home crowd, dictate tempo early, and put the pressure on a Warriors squad already stretched thin and running out of options. If Minnesota continues to force turnovers, control the glass, and allow Edwards and Randle to lead the charge offensively, they should be able to put the series away. For the Warriors, Game 5 is do-or-die, but they will need a near-flawless effort from their supporting cast, improved offensive efficiency, and a defensive masterclass to push this series back to Chase Center. Whether they have enough left in the tank without Curry remains to be seen, but the edge clearly lies with a Timberwolves team that’s playing with purpose, composure, and the poise of a squad ready to take the next step on the postseason stage.

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors enter Game 5 of their Western Conference Semifinals matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves with their postseason hanging by a thread, trailing 3–1 in the series and reeling from the absence of superstar Stephen Curry, who remains sidelined with a hamstring injury suffered in Game 1. Without their leader and floor general, the Warriors have struggled mightily to maintain offensive consistency, failing to score over 100 points in multiple games and relying instead on a patchwork scoring approach that has lacked rhythm and spacing. Jimmy Butler has shouldered much of the offensive responsibility, averaging 21 points per game in the series and providing veteran leadership and toughness, but he’s been forced to operate in isolation far too often due to limited playmaking around him. Jonathan Kuminga has stepped up as a bright spot, using his explosiveness to get downhill and make plays, yet his youth and inconsistency have prevented him from being a consistent scoring anchor. Golden State’s offense, usually defined by ball movement, screening action, and three-point efficiency, has fallen flat, as the loss of Curry’s gravity has allowed Minnesota’s defense to collapse in the paint and close out more aggressively on perimeter shooters. Klay Thompson’s struggles from beyond the arc and Draymond Green’s limitations as a scorer have only exacerbated the Warriors’ offensive woes, while the bench has failed to provide enough of a spark to close the gap.

Defensively, the Warriors remain gritty and well-coached, with Green continuing to anchor their schemes and communicate rotations, but extended minutes and the pressure of defending without consistent offensive support have worn them down late in games. Steve Kerr has experimented with smaller lineups and more touches for Moses Moody and Gary Payton II in hopes of creating mismatches, but none of those adjustments have resulted in sustainable offensive surges. The Warriors must enter Game 5 with a renewed focus on defensive stops, transition opportunities, and perhaps most importantly, finding a way to manufacture easy buckets without their usual half-court engine. If they can contain Anthony Edwards in early sets and force the Timberwolves into contested midrange looks, they can potentially keep the game close enough to give themselves a shot late. However, their margin for error is razor-thin, and unless Butler can produce a vintage postseason performance and the supporting cast drastically steps up, the Warriors risk seeing their postseason come to an end on Wednesday night. With Curry still out and the team lacking a reliable scoring identity, Golden State’s chances hinge on a collective effort built on experience, defensive tenacity, and capitalizing on Minnesota mistakes—a tall task against one of the league’s most complete teams playing on their home floor. Game 5 will either be a display of classic Warriors resilience or the closing chapter of a playoff run defined by attrition and a superstar-sized void they haven’t been able to fill.

On May 14, 2025, the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Target Center. Leading the series 3–1, the Timberwolves aim to clinch their first playoff series at home since 2004, while the Warriors, without star Stephen Curry, strive to extend their postseason run. Golden State vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves return to Target Center on May 14, 2025, with a 3–1 lead over the Golden State Warriors and a chance to clinch a trip to the Western Conference Finals for the first time since 2004, backed by the home-court advantage and a team playing its best basketball at exactly the right time. Anthony Edwards has emerged as a true playoff superstar, averaging high-impact numbers on both ends of the floor, showcasing his ability to take over games with a combination of explosiveness, shot-making, and defensive pressure that has completely shifted the dynamics of the series. Edwards’ rise has been complemented perfectly by Julius Randle, whose acquisition has paid major dividends, giving Minnesota a versatile big who can score inside and out, pass out of double teams, and take pressure off Edwards in half-court sets. Randle’s physicality and presence on the glass, especially against a smaller Golden State front line, has given the Wolves control of the paint on both ends, while Rudy Gobert has anchored the defense as expected—controlling the rim, altering shots, and forcing the Warriors to rely on perimeter jumpers that have not consistently fallen in the absence of Stephen Curry.

Without Curry, the Warriors’ offense has lacked its usual tempo and spacing, and Minnesota has capitalized by collapsing into driving lanes, switching effectively, and forcing Golden State into tough isolation plays that often end in low-percentage attempts. Chris Finch’s game plans have been sharp and adaptive, as he’s mixed coverages to disrupt Jimmy Butler and challenged the Warriors’ lesser scorers to beat them, a strategy that has worked to near perfection. The Timberwolves’ bench, led by Naz Reid and Donte DiVincenzo, has also played a crucial role, providing energy, perimeter shooting, and defensive hustle that’s helped Minnesota extend leads when starters rest. Collectively, this team has shown maturity, composure, and balance, executing late in games and controlling momentum through smart possessions and dominant stretches of defense. Game 5 now presents a monumental opportunity: close the series out at home, avoid a trip back to the Chase Center, and send a message to the rest of the Western Conference that the Timberwolves are no longer an upstart—they’re a legitimate contender with stars, depth, and identity. If Edwards continues to set the tone early, Randle and Gobert dominate the frontcourt, and the defense maintains its edge, Minnesota should be in excellent position to seal the series in front of a raucous home crowd. This game represents not just a shot at advancement but a franchise-defining moment, and with all the momentum on their side, the Timberwolves appear more than ready to seize it.

Golden State vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Warriors and Timberwolves play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Center in May rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 33.5 PTS+REB.

Golden State vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Warriors and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Warriors team going up against a possibly healthy Timberwolves team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Golden State vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Warriors vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends

Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.

Golden State vs. Minnesota Game Info

Golden State vs Minnesota starts on May 14, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota -11.5
Moneyline: Golden State +445, Minnesota -606
Over/Under: 203.5

Golden State: (48-34)  |  Minnesota: (49-33)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 33.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite trailing in the series, the Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs in Game 5, reflecting the impact of Curry’s absence and the Timberwolves’ strong home-court advantage.

GS trend: The Golden State Warriors have a 45–44–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

MIN trend: The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 44–45–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, including playoffs.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Golden State vs. Minnesota Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Golden State vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Golden State vs Minnesota Opening Odds

GS Moneyline: +445
MIN Moneyline: -606
GS Spread: +11.5
MIN Spread: -11.5
Over/Under: 203.5

Golden State vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-175
+145
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+800
-1400
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-550
+400
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-105)
U 234.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+135
-160
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-160
+135
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+525
-750
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
O 227.5 (-105)
U 227.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-220
+180
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
O 235.5 (-105)
U 235.5 (-115)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on May 14, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS