Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 13)

Updated: 2025-05-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers will face off in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday, May 13, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. With the series tied at 2-2, both teams aim to gain a crucial advantage in this best-of-seven showdown.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 13, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Rocket Arena​

Cavaliers Record: (64-18)

Pacers Record: (50-32)

OPENING ODDS

IND Moneyline: +216

CLE Moneyline: -267

IND Spread: +7

CLE Spread: -7.0

Over/Under: 229.5

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Pacers have a 7-3 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite, indicating challenges in covering the spread at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Pacers have won 3 straight games against the Cavaliers, covering the spread in each of those matchups.

IND vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mitchell under 40.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Indiana vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/13/25

The Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers are set to collide in a pivotal Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday, May 13, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse with the series tied 2-2, momentum swinging back and forth, and both teams eager to seize control in what’s been one of the most competitive matchups of the postseason. The Cavaliers, who finished the regular season with a league-best 64-18 record, entered the playoffs as heavy favorites but have found themselves in a dogfight against a Pacers squad that continues to thrive with a high-octane offense and the poise of a veteran group under head coach Rick Carlisle. Indiana, powered by the elite playmaking of Tyrese Haliburton, who is averaging 10.0 assists per game, has leaned into its identity as one of the NBA’s top offensive units, scoring 117.4 points per game and attacking early in the shot clock, spreading the floor with Pascal Siakam and Buddy Hield, and pushing the pace against Cleveland’s methodical, defense-first approach. The Cavaliers, led by the sensational play of Donovan Mitchell who has averaged 31.3 points per game in the playoffs, have battled through injuries to key players such as Darius Garland and Evan Mobley, placing even more pressure on Mitchell to carry the offensive load and maintain the team’s elite defensive efficiency that allowed just 111.3 points per game during the regular season.

While Cleveland has the deeper bench and more playoff experience, the Pacers have played fearlessly, covering the spread in seven of their last ten games and winning three straight against the Cavaliers dating back to the regular season, including Games 2 and 4 of this series in convincing fashion. Myles Turner’s interior defense has anchored Indiana’s efforts to neutralize Cleveland’s size advantage in the paint, while Andrew Nembhard’s emergence as a two-way pest has added an extra layer of versatility to a team that thrives on mismatches and constant movement. The Cavaliers, however, remain dangerous on their home floor despite being just 3-7 ATS in their last ten games as home favorites, and will look to rebound behind the leadership of Coach Kenny Atkinson—recently named NBA Coach of the Year—who will need to unlock more consistent secondary scoring and defensive rotations to slow down Indiana’s rhythm and reassert Cleveland’s physicality in the half-court. Expect the pace to fluctuate based on which team controls the glass and dictates tempo, with Indiana pushing to run and Cleveland attempting to grind out possessions and force isolation play. With the series tied, the stakes could not be higher, and Game 5 will likely hinge on which superstar—Haliburton or Mitchell—can command the moment, whether Cleveland’s bruising defense can finally clamp down on Indiana’s ball movement, and if either bench can provide the spark that swings what is shaping up to be a down-to-the-wire showdown in a series defined by clutch shot-making, bruising interior battles, and high-stakes playoff drama.

Indiana Pacers NBA Preview

The Indiana Pacers enter Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal showdown against the Cleveland Cavaliers with the momentum of a tied series and the confidence of a team that has continually risen to the occasion, showcasing one of the league’s most dynamic and high-powered offenses behind the leadership of All-Star guard Tyrese Haliburton. With the series knotted at 2-2 and their Game 4 performance highlighting their offensive balance and strategic execution, the Pacers now aim to take a crucial road win in Cleveland and move one step closer to their first Conference Finals appearance in over a decade. Indiana’s offensive identity is built on pace, ball movement, and spacing, ranking seventh in the league in scoring at 117.4 points per game, and Haliburton has been the engine behind that, averaging 10.0 assists per contest in the playoffs while orchestrating a fluid attack that stretches defenses thin. His ability to read opposing coverages, get into the paint, and create open looks for shooters like Buddy Hield and Obi Toppin has been the catalyst for a Pacers team that has consistently scored in bunches and rarely relies on isolation to generate offense. Alongside Haliburton, Pascal Siakam has provided veteran scoring and playmaking, while Andrew Nembhard has delivered timely buckets and contributed defensively, giving Indiana a well-rounded lineup that thrives on versatility and unselfishness. In the paint, Myles Turner continues to be a defensive anchor, swatting 2.6 shots per game and controlling the boards, where Indiana has battled against Cleveland’s size despite giving up physical advantages in the frontcourt.

Defensively, the Pacers have focused on switching schemes, closing out hard on three-point shooters, and limiting Donovan Mitchell’s supporting cast, recognizing that while Mitchell is capable of scoring 30-plus, the key to winning lies in containing Cleveland’s secondary options. Rick Carlisle has managed his rotations wisely, spreading minutes across his bench and leaning on matchups that exploit Cleveland’s depleted depth, especially in the absence of Darius Garland and Evan Mobley, whose injuries have forced the Cavaliers into a tighter rotation. Indiana has also been effective on the road, winning in Cleveland earlier in the series and showing the poise needed to quiet hostile crowds with disciplined execution and transition scoring. The Pacers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games, a testament to their ability to perform in high-pressure spots and cover as both underdogs and favorites, and their recent trend of success against the Cavaliers—three straight wins including regular season matchups—speaks to the confidence this group has in its game plan and personnel. If Indiana can continue pushing the pace, limit turnovers, and knock down open perimeter looks while keeping Mitchell from taking over late, they have every opportunity to steal Game 5 and set themselves up for a potential closeout on their home floor. With Haliburton leading the way, Turner anchoring the paint, and a versatile cast of shooters and slashers ready to contribute, the Pacers are primed for another statement performance in a series that has already seen them defy expectations and prove they belong on the Eastern Conference’s biggest stage.

The Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers will face off in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Tuesday, May 13, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. With the series tied at 2-2, both teams aim to gain a crucial advantage in this best-of-seven showdown. Indiana vs Cleveland AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 13. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers return to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse for Game 5 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against the Indiana Pacers with the series tied 2-2 and the weight of expectations growing heavier as they look to reassert themselves after two disappointing losses that have exposed cracks in their depth and defensive rotations, despite being the top seed in the East with a 64-18 regular-season record. After splitting the first two games at home and then watching the Pacers steal momentum with their fast-paced offense and dynamic guard play, the Cavaliers are now in urgent need of a complete performance, particularly from their supporting cast around Donovan Mitchell, who has carried much of the offensive load with a blistering 31.3 points per game average in the playoffs. Mitchell has been the heart of Cleveland’s postseason run, displaying leadership, shot creation, and a relentless will to win, but his efforts alone haven’t been enough to consistently overwhelm Indiana’s defensive schemes, which have focused on forcing the ball out of his hands and daring Cleveland’s other scorers to step up. The injuries to Darius Garland and Evan Mobley have significantly hampered Cleveland’s offensive rhythm and interior defense, forcing Coach Kenny Atkinson to adjust lineups and rely on less experienced contributors who have struggled to maintain intensity and execution for full stretches. Caris LeVert and Max Strus have had their moments but have also been inconsistent, and the Cavaliers’ lack of reliable secondary shot creation has made their half-court offense stagnant at times, especially when Indiana dictates tempo and collapses the paint to neutralize driving lanes.

Defensively, Cleveland has been strong in spurts, allowing just 111.3 points per game during the regular season, but the fast pace and ball movement of the Pacers have created matchup problems, especially when Myles Turner stretches the floor or Tyrese Haliburton runs the break after long rebounds. Cleveland’s perimeter defenders have struggled to contain Indiana’s dribble penetration and off-ball motion, and unless the Cavaliers tighten their rotations, improve communication on switches, and close out more aggressively on shooters, they risk letting Game 5 slip away despite the home crowd advantage. Atkinson, named NBA Coach of the Year, will be counted on to deliver a tactical adjustment that slows down Indiana’s attack, whether by increasing pressure full court, sending double teams earlier, or slowing the game down with deliberate offensive sets that get Mitchell touches in high-efficiency zones. The Cavaliers have been a subpar 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games as home favorites, a worrying trend that underscores the need for urgency and discipline in Game 5, which now feels like a must-win to avoid going back to Indiana down 3-2 and needing to survive two straight elimination games. With Mitchell leading the way, the Cavaliers must find a way to rediscover their identity—defense, physicality, and balanced scoring—and if they can do so while feeding off the energy of their home crowd, they’ll be in a position to retake control of the series and restore belief that their dominant regular season wasn’t a fluke but the foundation of a true title-contending team.

Indiana vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Pacers and Cavaliers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Rocket Arena in May can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mitchell under 40.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Indiana vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Pacers and Cavaliers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Pacers team going up against a possibly tired Cavaliers team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Indiana vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Pacers vs Cavaliers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Pacers Betting Trends

The Pacers have a 7-3 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.

Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite, indicating challenges in covering the spread at home.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers Matchup Trends

The Pacers have won 3 straight games against the Cavaliers, covering the spread in each of those matchups.

Indiana vs. Cleveland Game Info

Indiana vs Cleveland starts on May 13, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Cleveland -7.0
Moneyline: Indiana +216, Cleveland -267
Over/Under: 229.5

Indiana: (50-32)  |  Cleveland: (64-18)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mitchell under 40.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Pacers have won 3 straight games against the Cavaliers, covering the spread in each of those matchups.

IND trend: The Pacers have a 7-3 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.

CLE trend: The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite, indicating challenges in covering the spread at home.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Indiana vs. Cleveland Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Indiana vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Indiana vs Cleveland Opening Odds

IND Moneyline: +216
CLE Moneyline: -267
IND Spread: +7
CLE Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 229.5

Indiana vs Cleveland Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:35PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:35PM
Rockets
Thunder
+243
-336
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
-128
+101
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+149
-192
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+140
-182
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+278
-385
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
O 214.5 (-110)
U 214.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+111
-143
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+180
-238
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+286
-400
+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-135
+106
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+128
-164
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 237 (-110)
U 237 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-385
+272
-9 (-110)
+9 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
+114
-145
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
+129
-164
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-169
+131
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 219 (-110)
U 219 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-115
-105
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers on May 13, 2025 at Rocket Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS