Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 12)

Updated: 2025-05-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors are set to clash in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Monday, May 12, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. With the Timberwolves leading the series 2-1, the Warriors aim to even the series on their home court.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 12, 2025

Start Time: 10:00 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Center​

Warriors Record: (48-34)

Timberwolves Record: (49-33)

OPENING ODDS

MIN Moneyline: -220

GS Moneyline: +182

MIN Spread: -5.5

GS Spread: +5.5

Over/Under: 200

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves have a 12-8 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 20 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Warriors have a 14-6 record against the spread in their last 20 games, indicating strong performance in covering the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last meeting on January 15, 2025, the Warriors edged the Timberwolves 116-115, with Golden State covering the spread as underdogs.

MIN vs. GS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hield over 15.5 PTS+AST.

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Minnesota vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/12/25

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors prepare to square off in Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 12, 2025, at the Chase Center in what is shaping up to be a highly competitive and potentially series-defining matchup, with Minnesota holding a narrow 2-1 lead after three tightly contested games. The Timberwolves opened the series with a statement win and followed it up with a dominant 112-88 blowout in Game 2, before the Warriors clawed back in Game 3 with a gritty 105-98 home victory that reminded everyone of their veteran mettle and ability to respond under pressure. The series has highlighted the strengths of both teams—Minnesota’s suffocating defense and young star power versus Golden State’s depth, experience, and resilience despite the absence of their franchise centerpiece Stephen Curry, who remains sidelined with injury. The Timberwolves, finishing sixth in the West during the regular season, have surged behind the electric play of Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 30.2 points per game in the postseason while carrying the scoring load and emerging as a legitimate two-way superstar with his improved shot selection and defensive engagement. Alongside Edwards, the Timberwolves have benefited from the inside-out threat of Karl-Anthony Towns, the paint presence of Rudy Gobert, and timely contributions from a deep bench that includes Jaden McDaniels and Mike Conley Jr., whose veteran savvy has stabilized key stretches. Defensively, Minnesota has smothered Golden State at times, holding opponents to 109.3 points per game and using length, mobility, and well-timed rotations to contest shots and close driving lanes, particularly effective against the Warriors’ usually fluid perimeter game.

On the flip side, Golden State has had to reinvent itself without Curry, leaning heavily on midseason acquisition Jimmy Butler, who brings leadership and playoff toughness, and the athleticism of Jonathan Kuminga, who has blossomed into a two-way force with his ability to defend multiple positions and attack the rim with conviction. Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins have each had moments of brilliance but have struggled with consistency, a concern that looms large heading into Game 4 where shot creation and defensive integrity will be paramount against a Timberwolves squad that thrives on wearing opponents down over four quarters. The Warriors’ defense has stepped up, limiting opponents to 41.5% shooting over the last three games, and their ability to switch on the perimeter and protect the paint without fouling has been a major reason they’ve stayed in the series. For Game 4, the keys will be whether Golden State can continue to generate offense in Curry’s absence, particularly through ball movement and backdoor cuts, and whether Minnesota can maintain its composure in a hostile environment and find ways to get Edwards clean looks against a defense now zeroing in on him. Special attention will be paid to rebounding and turnovers, two categories that have swung momentum in each game, and whoever wins the possession battle may gain the upper hand. With the Warriors aiming to even the series before it returns to Minnesota and the Timberwolves looking to take a commanding 3-1 lead, expect Game 4 to be a high-intensity, physical chess match with postseason stakes that will demand execution, resilience, and star power at both ends of the court.

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves arrive at Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal matchup against the Golden State Warriors with a 2-1 series lead, a wave of confidence, and the chance to take a commanding grip on the series if they can steal another win on the road inside Chase Center. Their performance so far in this series has been defined by two core elements: the elite-level ascension of Anthony Edwards and the suffocating, structured team defense that head coach Chris Finch has preached all season long. Edwards has averaged 30.2 points per game during the postseason and continues to carry Minnesota’s offense with a fearless approach, attacking defenders off the dribble, pulling up in transition, and drawing contact with the poise of a player far beyond his years. Game 2 was a showcase of what this team can do when clicking—blowing out the Warriors 112-88 behind a balanced scoring effort, lockdown defense, and relentless rebounding on both ends of the floor. But Game 3 reminded them of how quickly momentum can shift in the playoffs, as Golden State tightened its defense and closed out a 105-98 win despite another strong showing from Edwards, placing the burden back on Minnesota’s supporting cast to deliver in high-pressure road situations. Karl-Anthony Towns has been relatively quiet by his standards and will need to assert himself more in the post and stretch Golden State’s defense with his shooting touch, while Mike Conley Jr.’s steady hand as floor general remains vital for controlling tempo and keeping the offense organized when the Warriors shift defensive coverages.

Jaden McDaniels and Rudy Gobert have both played pivotal roles defensively, with Gobert patrolling the paint and contesting everything at the rim, and McDaniels often tasked with checking perimeter scorers like Andrew Wiggins or Klay Thompson. The Timberwolves rank sixth in the NBA with a 111.5 defensive rating and have held their postseason opponents to just 109.3 points per game, thanks to disciplined rotations, strong communication, and a rebounding mentality that has limited Golden State’s second-chance points. The bench unit, featuring contributions from Naz Reid and Nickeil Alexander-Walker, will also be tested in Game 4 as Finch looks to manage fatigue and match Golden State’s energy during pivotal second-quarter and early fourth-quarter stretches. In a game that could swing the direction of the series, Minnesota must stay locked in on the fundamentals—taking care of the ball, executing in the half court, and keeping their foot on the gas when they build leads—knowing that any lapse in focus can lead to a Golden State surge that erases double-digit margins in mere minutes. If Edwards continues his stellar play and Towns can rise to the moment offensively while the Timberwolves maintain their defensive identity, they have the pieces in place to silence the crowd, return home with a 3-1 series lead, and put the Timberwolves one win away from their first trip to the Western Conference Finals since 2004.

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors are set to clash in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Monday, May 12, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. With the Timberwolves leading the series 2-1, the Warriors aim to even the series on their home court. Minnesota vs Golden State AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 12. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors return to the Chase Center for Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Minnesota Timberwolves with a familiar mission—to protect home court, tie the series at 2-2, and continue proving that playoff experience and adaptability can overcome even the toughest adversity, including the absence of their superstar Stephen Curry. With Curry still sidelined, the Warriors have leaned into their depth and resilience, finding ways to compete through ball movement, defensive intensity, and the leadership of Jimmy Butler, whose midseason arrival has provided invaluable postseason mettle and a stabilizing presence in crunch time. In Game 3, Butler’s 22-point, 8-rebound performance anchored Golden State’s 105-98 victory, a must-win outing after dropping the first two games of the series and facing the possibility of falling into a near-insurmountable 3-0 hole. The Warriors executed their game plan effectively, slowing the tempo, switching defensively to keep Minnesota’s perimeter threats in check, and forcing difficult shots down the stretch, particularly from Anthony Edwards, who had previously torched them in Games 1 and 2. Jonathan Kuminga has stepped up in Curry’s absence with his athleticism and shot creation, while Andrew Wiggins and Klay Thompson have played complementary roles, delivering in spurts while also being tasked with guarding Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns in crucial stretches. Defensively, Golden State has found its rhythm, holding opponents to 41.5% shooting over the last three games and thriving on home energy to create turnovers and fuel transition offense, something they’ll aim to replicate in Game 4 to keep the Timberwolves off balance.

With Draymond Green anchoring the defense and acting as the emotional catalyst, the Warriors are locking in on details—hedging on screens, communicating rotations, and boxing out to win key rebounding battles that have defined tight fourth quarters throughout the series. On offense, they’ve become less reliant on hero ball and more focused on precise execution, running plays through Butler, utilizing Kuminga’s cuts and drives, and spacing the floor to generate high-percentage looks for shooters like Thompson and Moses Moody. As the series intensifies, coach Steve Kerr’s strategic adjustments have become critical, including his rotation tweaks that have allowed Golden State to stay fresh and counter Minnesota’s length and physicality. The Warriors are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games, including strong showings at Chase Center, and the familiarity of playing in front of their home crowd has proven to be a valuable edge in moments when momentum hangs by a thread. To win Game 4 and even the series, Golden State will need Butler to continue asserting himself, Thompson to find his rhythm from beyond the arc, and their defense to once again rise to the challenge of containing Edwards without fouling or allowing easy second-chance points. If the Warriors replicate their Game 3 energy and continue to play with composure and grit, they’ll not only level the series but also reestablish themselves as legitimate threats in the West despite the absence of their franchise cornerstone, keeping alive their hopes for yet another deep playoff run.

Minnesota vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Timberwolves and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hield over 15.5 PTS+AST.

Minnesota vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Timberwolves and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the trending factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Timberwolves team going up against a possibly healthy Warriors team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Golden State picks, computer picks Timberwolves vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Timberwolves have a 12-8 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 20 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Warriors have a 14-6 record against the spread in their last 20 games, indicating strong performance in covering the spread.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchup Trends

In their last meeting on January 15, 2025, the Warriors edged the Timberwolves 116-115, with Golden State covering the spread as underdogs.

Minnesota vs. Golden State Game Info

Minnesota vs Golden State starts on May 12, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.

Spread: Golden State +5.5
Moneyline: Minnesota -220, Golden State +182
Over/Under: 200

Minnesota: (49-33)  |  Golden State: (48-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hield over 15.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last meeting on January 15, 2025, the Warriors edged the Timberwolves 116-115, with Golden State covering the spread as underdogs.

MIN trend: The Timberwolves have a 12-8 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 20 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.

GS trend: The Warriors have a 14-6 record against the spread in their last 20 games, indicating strong performance in covering the spread.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Minnesota vs. Golden State Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Minnesota vs Golden State Opening Odds

MIN Moneyline: -220
GS Moneyline: +182
MIN Spread: -5.5
GS Spread: +5.5
Over/Under: 200

Minnesota vs Golden State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:35PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:35PM
Rockets
Thunder
+240
-315
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-114)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-112)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
-121
-104
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-114)
O 224 (-115)
U 224 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+148
-186
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 225.5 (-112)
U 225.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-182
+4 (-113)
-4 (-113)
O 229 (-114)
U 229 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+280
-375
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-115)
O 215 (-112)
U 215 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+110
-136
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 225.5 (-113)
U 225.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-113)
O 235.5 (-114)
U 235.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+9 (-112)
-9 (-114)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+107
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 234.5 (-114)
U 234.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+128
-159
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-113)
O 236 (-114)
U 236 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-385
+285
-9 (-112)
+9 (-114)
O 227 (-112)
U 227 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
+116
-143
+3 (-115)
-3 (-110)
O 225.5 (-113)
U 225.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
+130
-162
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-112)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-159
+128
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
O 219.5 (-113)
U 219.5 (-113)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+260
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-108
-112
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors on May 12, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS