Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 12)
Updated: 2025-05-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors are set to clash in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Monday, May 12, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. With the Timberwolves leading the series 2-1, the Warriors aim to even the series on their home court.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 12, 2025
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center
Warriors Record: (48-34)
Timberwolves Record: (49-33)
OPENING ODDS
MIN Moneyline: -220
GS Moneyline: +182
MIN Spread: -5.5
GS Spread: +5.5
Over/Under: 200
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Timberwolves have a 12-8 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 20 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.
GS
Betting Trends
- The Warriors have a 14-6 record against the spread in their last 20 games, indicating strong performance in covering the spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last meeting on January 15, 2025, the Warriors edged the Timberwolves 116-115, with Golden State covering the spread as underdogs.
MIN vs. GS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hield over 15.5 PTS+AST.
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Minnesota vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/12/25
On the flip side, Golden State has had to reinvent itself without Curry, leaning heavily on midseason acquisition Jimmy Butler, who brings leadership and playoff toughness, and the athleticism of Jonathan Kuminga, who has blossomed into a two-way force with his ability to defend multiple positions and attack the rim with conviction. Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins have each had moments of brilliance but have struggled with consistency, a concern that looms large heading into Game 4 where shot creation and defensive integrity will be paramount against a Timberwolves squad that thrives on wearing opponents down over four quarters. The Warriors’ defense has stepped up, limiting opponents to 41.5% shooting over the last three games, and their ability to switch on the perimeter and protect the paint without fouling has been a major reason they’ve stayed in the series. For Game 4, the keys will be whether Golden State can continue to generate offense in Curry’s absence, particularly through ball movement and backdoor cuts, and whether Minnesota can maintain its composure in a hostile environment and find ways to get Edwards clean looks against a defense now zeroing in on him. Special attention will be paid to rebounding and turnovers, two categories that have swung momentum in each game, and whoever wins the possession battle may gain the upper hand. With the Warriors aiming to even the series before it returns to Minnesota and the Timberwolves looking to take a commanding 3-1 lead, expect Game 4 to be a high-intensity, physical chess match with postseason stakes that will demand execution, resilience, and star power at both ends of the court.
one more sleep. 😴 pic.twitter.com/n9Dpc164Uu
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) May 12, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves arrive at Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal matchup against the Golden State Warriors with a 2-1 series lead, a wave of confidence, and the chance to take a commanding grip on the series if they can steal another win on the road inside Chase Center. Their performance so far in this series has been defined by two core elements: the elite-level ascension of Anthony Edwards and the suffocating, structured team defense that head coach Chris Finch has preached all season long. Edwards has averaged 30.2 points per game during the postseason and continues to carry Minnesota’s offense with a fearless approach, attacking defenders off the dribble, pulling up in transition, and drawing contact with the poise of a player far beyond his years. Game 2 was a showcase of what this team can do when clicking—blowing out the Warriors 112-88 behind a balanced scoring effort, lockdown defense, and relentless rebounding on both ends of the floor. But Game 3 reminded them of how quickly momentum can shift in the playoffs, as Golden State tightened its defense and closed out a 105-98 win despite another strong showing from Edwards, placing the burden back on Minnesota’s supporting cast to deliver in high-pressure road situations. Karl-Anthony Towns has been relatively quiet by his standards and will need to assert himself more in the post and stretch Golden State’s defense with his shooting touch, while Mike Conley Jr.’s steady hand as floor general remains vital for controlling tempo and keeping the offense organized when the Warriors shift defensive coverages.
Jaden McDaniels and Rudy Gobert have both played pivotal roles defensively, with Gobert patrolling the paint and contesting everything at the rim, and McDaniels often tasked with checking perimeter scorers like Andrew Wiggins or Klay Thompson. The Timberwolves rank sixth in the NBA with a 111.5 defensive rating and have held their postseason opponents to just 109.3 points per game, thanks to disciplined rotations, strong communication, and a rebounding mentality that has limited Golden State’s second-chance points. The bench unit, featuring contributions from Naz Reid and Nickeil Alexander-Walker, will also be tested in Game 4 as Finch looks to manage fatigue and match Golden State’s energy during pivotal second-quarter and early fourth-quarter stretches. In a game that could swing the direction of the series, Minnesota must stay locked in on the fundamentals—taking care of the ball, executing in the half court, and keeping their foot on the gas when they build leads—knowing that any lapse in focus can lead to a Golden State surge that erases double-digit margins in mere minutes. If Edwards continues his stellar play and Towns can rise to the moment offensively while the Timberwolves maintain their defensive identity, they have the pieces in place to silence the crowd, return home with a 3-1 series lead, and put the Timberwolves one win away from their first trip to the Western Conference Finals since 2004.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors return to the Chase Center for Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Minnesota Timberwolves with a familiar mission—to protect home court, tie the series at 2-2, and continue proving that playoff experience and adaptability can overcome even the toughest adversity, including the absence of their superstar Stephen Curry. With Curry still sidelined, the Warriors have leaned into their depth and resilience, finding ways to compete through ball movement, defensive intensity, and the leadership of Jimmy Butler, whose midseason arrival has provided invaluable postseason mettle and a stabilizing presence in crunch time. In Game 3, Butler’s 22-point, 8-rebound performance anchored Golden State’s 105-98 victory, a must-win outing after dropping the first two games of the series and facing the possibility of falling into a near-insurmountable 3-0 hole. The Warriors executed their game plan effectively, slowing the tempo, switching defensively to keep Minnesota’s perimeter threats in check, and forcing difficult shots down the stretch, particularly from Anthony Edwards, who had previously torched them in Games 1 and 2. Jonathan Kuminga has stepped up in Curry’s absence with his athleticism and shot creation, while Andrew Wiggins and Klay Thompson have played complementary roles, delivering in spurts while also being tasked with guarding Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns in crucial stretches. Defensively, Golden State has found its rhythm, holding opponents to 41.5% shooting over the last three games and thriving on home energy to create turnovers and fuel transition offense, something they’ll aim to replicate in Game 4 to keep the Timberwolves off balance.
With Draymond Green anchoring the defense and acting as the emotional catalyst, the Warriors are locking in on details—hedging on screens, communicating rotations, and boxing out to win key rebounding battles that have defined tight fourth quarters throughout the series. On offense, they’ve become less reliant on hero ball and more focused on precise execution, running plays through Butler, utilizing Kuminga’s cuts and drives, and spacing the floor to generate high-percentage looks for shooters like Thompson and Moses Moody. As the series intensifies, coach Steve Kerr’s strategic adjustments have become critical, including his rotation tweaks that have allowed Golden State to stay fresh and counter Minnesota’s length and physicality. The Warriors are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games, including strong showings at Chase Center, and the familiarity of playing in front of their home crowd has proven to be a valuable edge in moments when momentum hangs by a thread. To win Game 4 and even the series, Golden State will need Butler to continue asserting himself, Thompson to find his rhythm from beyond the arc, and their defense to once again rise to the challenge of containing Edwards without fouling or allowing easy second-chance points. If the Warriors replicate their Game 3 energy and continue to play with composure and grit, they’ll not only level the series but also reestablish themselves as legitimate threats in the West despite the absence of their franchise cornerstone, keeping alive their hopes for yet another deep playoff run.
Buckets delivered. Hustle unmatched. pic.twitter.com/IXK3vvZtu9
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) May 11, 2025
Minnesota vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)
Minnesota vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Timberwolves and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight human bettors often put on Minnesota’s strength factors between a Timberwolves team going up against a possibly unhealthy Warriors team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Golden State picks, computer picks Timberwolves vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Timberwolves have a 12-8 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 20 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.
Warriors Betting Trends
The Warriors have a 14-6 record against the spread in their last 20 games, indicating strong performance in covering the spread.
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchup Trends
In their last meeting on January 15, 2025, the Warriors edged the Timberwolves 116-115, with Golden State covering the spread as underdogs.
Minnesota vs. Golden State Game Info
What time does Minnesota vs Golden State start on May 12, 2025?
Minnesota vs Golden State starts on May 12, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.
Where is Minnesota vs Golden State being played?
Venue: Chase Center.
What are the opening odds for Minnesota vs Golden State?
Spread: Golden State +5.5
Moneyline: Minnesota -220, Golden State +182
Over/Under: 200
What are the records for Minnesota vs Golden State?
Minnesota: (49-33) | Golden State: (48-34)
What is the AI best bet for Minnesota vs Golden State?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hield over 15.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Minnesota vs Golden State trending bets?
In their last meeting on January 15, 2025, the Warriors edged the Timberwolves 116-115, with Golden State covering the spread as underdogs.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Timberwolves have a 12-8 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 20 games, showcasing consistent performance in covering the spread.
What are Golden State trending bets?
GS trend: The Warriors have a 14-6 record against the spread in their last 20 games, indicating strong performance in covering the spread.
Where can I find AI Picks for Minnesota vs Golden State?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Minnesota vs. Golden State Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Minnesota vs Golden State Opening Odds
MIN Moneyline:
-220 GS Moneyline: +182
MIN Spread: -5.5
GS Spread: +5.5
Over/Under: 200
Minnesota vs Golden State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
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Milwaukee Bucks
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–
–
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-168
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-4 (-108)
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O 232.5 (-108)
U 232.5 (-112)
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+750
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+16.5 (-114)
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O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
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-560
+420
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-10.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
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O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
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Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
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Orlando Magic
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–
–
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+126
-148
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+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
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O 226.5 (-108)
U 226.5 (-112)
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Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
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–
–
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-164
+138
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-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
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Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
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–
–
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+490
-670
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
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O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
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Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-230
+190
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-112)
U 234.5 (-108)
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Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
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+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
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Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
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+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
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O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
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Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
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–
–
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+175
-220
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+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors on May 12, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |