Celtics vs. Knicks
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 12 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks are set to clash in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks currently lead the series 2-1, having taken the first two games in Boston before the Celtics responded with a win in Game 3, setting the stage for a pivotal contest.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 12, 2025

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Madison Square Garden​

Knicks Record: (51-31)

Celtics Record: (61-21)

OPENING ODDS

BOS Moneyline: -256

NY Moneyline: +207

BOS Spread: -6.5

NY Spread: +6.5

Over/Under: 209

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Boston Celtics have a 40-44 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 47.6% of their games.

NY
Betting Trends

  • The New York Knicks have a 46-43-1 ATS record this season, covering 51.7% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite the Knicks’ superior ATS record, the Celtics have been favored in each game of the series, including being 10.5-point favorites in Game 2, indicating continued market confidence in Boston’s ability to cover spreads.

BOS vs. NY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Brown under 32.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Boston vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/12/25

The Eastern Conference Semifinal battle between the Boston Celtics and New York Knicks has quickly transformed into one of the most gripping series of the 2025 NBA Playoffs, filled with intensity, strategic maneuvering, and razor-thin margins. Heading into Game 4, the Knicks hold a 2-1 series lead after delivering consecutive upsets in Boston and nearly pulling off a third straight win before narrowly falling 91-90 in Game 3 at Madison Square Garden. The Celtics entered the series as the defending champions and top overall seed, widely expected to assert their dominance early, but New York’s gritty defense, timely shooting, and emotional energy disrupted that narrative. Jalen Brunson has been the emotional and tactical heartbeat of the Knicks, averaging over 30 points per game and orchestrating their offense with poise while consistently hitting big-time shots late in games. His ability to dissect Boston’s perimeter defense and draw help has created space for shooters like Mikal Bridges and Karl-Anthony Towns, the latter of whom has added a vital stretch-five dynamic with his ability to shoot from deep and post-up against smaller matchups. Meanwhile, the Knicks’ defense, anchored by OG Anunoby’s versatility and bolstered by Josh Hart’s hustle plays and rebounding, has successfully forced the Celtics into contested looks and disrupted their rhythm. Boston, however, showed signs of revival in Game 3.

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown finally clicked in unison, combining for strong scoring nights while embracing defensive assignments and moving the ball more freely to involve role players like Derrick White and Al Horford. The Celtics’ defense also stepped up, with better rotations, improved rebounding focus, and a tighter contest rate on three-point attempts. Coach Joe Mazzulla made key adjustments, including less switching on Brunson to limit mismatches and a more deliberate offensive pace that cut down turnovers and poor possessions. As Game 4 approaches, both teams face pivotal questions: can Boston maintain its rediscovered defensive identity on the road again, or will the Knicks respond with renewed urgency in front of a raucous Garden crowd? The pressure is mounting for both sides—Boston knows a win ties the series and reestablishes home-court advantage, while a loss would leave them on the brink of elimination. Conversely, a Knicks win would position them just one victory away from their first Eastern Conference Finals appearance in 25 years, igniting a city starving for basketball glory. The stakes, emotion, and tactical chess match will be amplified in Game 4, and every possession will carry weight. Expect another low-scoring, physical contest where second-chance points, defensive intensity, and late-game composure determine the outcome in a series that is far from over but rapidly approaching a breaking point.

Boston Celtics NBA Preview

The Boston Celtics head into Game 4 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against the New York Knicks with both renewed urgency and cautious optimism after clawing out a gritty 91-90 win in Game 3 to avoid a disastrous 0-3 series hole. Widely viewed as favorites to return to the NBA Finals, the Celtics stumbled out of the gate in this series, losing Games 1 and 2 at home and raising questions about their focus, rotations, and defensive energy. But Game 3 showed glimpses of the championship DNA that defined their 2024 title run. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, after uneven starts to the series, delivered in critical moments—Tatum with a renewed focus on attacking the rim and Brown with key stops and timely shooting. While neither has dominated individually, their two-man game began to flow more smoothly in Game 3, creating better looks for themselves and teammates. Derrick White’s presence has also been a stabilizing factor; his on-ball defense and corner shooting have helped stretch New York’s defense while taking some pressure off the stars. Veteran Al Horford brought much-needed composure and toughness to the frontcourt, especially in helping contain Karl-Anthony Towns. Perhaps more importantly, the Celtics finally tightened their defensive rotations, limiting Jalen Brunson’s drives and contesting New York’s perimeter shots more aggressively. Coach Joe Mazzulla adjusted by reducing switch-heavy schemes that had given Brunson mismatches in the first two games, opting instead for targeted traps and hedges that forced the ball out of his hands.

Boston also showed better effort on the boards, an area where they were previously outmuscled. Yet concerns remain—the Celtics’ offensive execution still appears disjointed at times, with possessions too often ending in isolation or contested jumpers late in the shot clock. They’ll need more consistent bench production as well, with players like Sam Hauser and Payton Pritchard needing to contribute meaningful minutes, especially if the starters log heavy workloads again. The health of Kristaps Porzingis continues to hang over the team; without his rim protection and spacing, Boston lacks a true interior anchor on both ends. Nevertheless, Game 4 is a golden opportunity for the Celtics to reset the series and reclaim control, knowing that heading back to Boston with the series tied at 2-2 would erase the early series stumbles and reestablish their championship trajectory. The key lies in sustained defensive intensity, smarter ball movement, and a focus on limiting second-chance points—a Knicks strength that has burned them repeatedly. If the Celtics can bring the same level of toughness and discipline that won them Game 3, they’ll be well-positioned to shift the pressure back onto New York and flip the tone of a series that once threatened to become a historic upset. Game 4 is about survival and statement—and Boston now knows exactly what it takes to deliver both.

The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks are set to clash in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks currently lead the series 2-1, having taken the first two games in Boston before the Celtics responded with a win in Game 3, setting the stage for a pivotal contest. Boston vs New York AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 12. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Knicks NBA Preview

The New York Knicks return to Madison Square Garden for Game 4 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against the Boston Celtics with a 2-1 lead and a deep sense of opportunity after dropping a heartbreaker in Game 3 that came down to a single point. The Knicks entered the series as underdogs against the defending champions but flipped the script with back-to-back wins at TD Garden, riding the hot hand of Jalen Brunson and their suffocating team defense. Brunson has been spectacular throughout the postseason, averaging over 30 points per game in this series, routinely carving up Boston’s defense with patient dribble penetration, creative finishes, and tough shot-making in the clutch. His leadership and composure have galvanized the team, while his chemistry with Karl-Anthony Towns and Mikal Bridges continues to open up scoring avenues for the Knicks’ offense. Towns has provided a versatile threat as both a floor spacer and physical post presence, and his ability to draw Boston’s bigs away from the rim has opened driving lanes and rebounding opportunities. Bridges and OG Anunoby have contributed crucial minutes on both ends, defending Boston’s perimeter scorers and hitting timely threes to keep the defense honest. Off the bench, Josh Hart’s motor has been relentless—he leads the team in hustle stats, has been one of the best rebounders at his position in the playoffs, and always seems to make the extra-effort play that turns the tide of a quarter.

Defensively, New York’s success has hinged on switching effectively, applying ball pressure, and boxing out against a physical Celtics team, and outside of a few breakdowns in Game 3, their execution has been sharp and consistent. Coach Tom Thibodeau’s rotations have remained tight, favoring veterans and players who can defend multiple positions, and his commitment to defensive intensity and possession-by-possession accountability has fit perfectly with the playoff atmosphere. However, Game 3 showed where the Knicks still need to improve—they struggled to close out the fourth quarter, turning the ball over and missing free throws in key moments, and their late-game execution lacked the polish needed to finish off an elite opponent. That loss stung, not only because of its closeness but because it allowed Boston to regain some psychological footing in the series. Still, the Knicks have an opportunity to strike right back, and with Madison Square Garden expected to be at full throttle, they’ll lean heavily on the energy of their fans to reassert control. If Brunson stays hot, Towns stays out of foul trouble, and the Knicks continue to win the battle of the boards and defend the arc, they have all the tools to push the Celtics to the brink. A win in Game 4 would not only give New York a commanding 3-1 series edge but also put them one step away from the franchise’s first trip to the Eastern Conference Finals in over two decades—a moment that would validate their season and electrify an already surging fan base.

Boston vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Celtics and Knicks play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Madison Square Garden in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Brown under 32.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Boston vs. New York Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Celtics and Knicks and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Celtics team going up against a possibly tired Knicks team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Boston vs New York picks, computer picks Celtics vs Knicks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics have a 40-44 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 47.6% of their games.

Knicks Betting Trends

The New York Knicks have a 46-43-1 ATS record this season, covering 51.7% of their games.

Celtics vs. Knicks Matchup Trends

Despite the Knicks’ superior ATS record, the Celtics have been favored in each game of the series, including being 10.5-point favorites in Game 2, indicating continued market confidence in Boston’s ability to cover spreads.

Boston vs. New York Game Info

Boston vs New York starts on May 12, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.

Venue: Madison Square Garden.

Spread: New York +6.5
Moneyline: Boston -256, New York +207
Over/Under: 209

Boston: (61-21)  |  New York: (51-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Brown under 32.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite the Knicks’ superior ATS record, the Celtics have been favored in each game of the series, including being 10.5-point favorites in Game 2, indicating continued market confidence in Boston’s ability to cover spreads.

BOS trend: The Boston Celtics have a 40-44 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 47.6% of their games.

NY trend: The New York Knicks have a 46-43-1 ATS record this season, covering 51.7% of their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Boston vs. New York Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Boston vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Boston vs New York Opening Odds

BOS Moneyline: -256
NY Moneyline: +207
BOS Spread: -6.5
NY Spread: +6.5
Over/Under: 209

Boston vs New York Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+260
-320
+8 (-115)
-8 (-105)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+150
-175
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+145
-182
+4 (-115)
-4 (-110)
O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+140
-170
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (+105)
U 229.5 (-125)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+240
-315
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+107
-132
+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-109)
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+106
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-190
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-345
+260
-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-110
-110
-1 (+100)
+1 (-120)
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-103
-121
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-143
+115
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-105
-115
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks on May 12, 2025 at Madison Square Garden.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS