Timberwolves vs. Warriors
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 10 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-08T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors face off in Game 3 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at Chase Center in San Francisco. The series is tied 1-1, with the Warriors stealing Game 1 on the road and the Timberwolves bouncing back in Game 2.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 10, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Center​

Warriors Record: (48-34)

Timberwolves Record: (49-33)

OPENING ODDS

MIN Moneyline: -225

GS Moneyline: +185

MIN Spread: -5.5

GS Spread: +5.5

Over/Under: 200.5

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games.

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Golden State Warriors have a 45-43-3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in 51.1% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Warriors were 3-1 against the Timberwolves in the regular season, including a 1-point win in Minnesota on January 15, 2025.

MIN vs. GS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 23.5 Points.

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Minnesota vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/10/25

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors are set for a crucial Game 3 showdown in their Western Conference Semifinal series on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at Chase Center, with the series tied 1-1 and the momentum up for grabs. The Timberwolves rebounded from a frustrating Game 1 loss with a gutsy Game 2 win, leaning on their defensive identity and timely plays in the paint to even the series. Now they face the test of translating that formula to a hostile road environment in San Francisco, where the Warriors are historically tough to beat. One major storyline heading into Game 3 is the absence of Stephen Curry, who is sidelined with a knee injury, leaving Golden State without its offensive engine. In his absence, the Warriors have turned to Jimmy Butler and Buddy Hield to generate scoring, while Jonathan Kuminga’s athleticism has been leveraged more heavily, particularly on fast breaks and defensive switches. Defensively, the Warriors have performed admirably, holding opponents to just 41.5% shooting over their last three games and contesting shots at all three levels. However, without Curry’s spacing and gravity, their offensive rhythm has become more stagnant, forcing others to take on unfamiliar playmaking responsibilities. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have had shooting problems of their own, going a combined 7-for-60 from beyond the arc since Game 5 of their first-round series against the Lakers.

Despite the cold perimeter shooting, Minnesota has found success by doubling down on their defensive strengths. Anchored by Rudy Gobert’s rim protection and Jaden McDaniels’ perimeter defense, the Wolves limited Golden State’s ball movement and second-chance opportunities in Game 2. Anthony Edwards continues to shoulder the offensive load, while Karl-Anthony Towns’ ability to stretch the floor—even with limited success from deep—still commands attention from defenders. Minnesota’s physicality and rebounding edge were apparent in Game 2, and they’ll need to replicate that intensity to control pace and limit Golden State’s transition chances in Game 3. With the series effectively resetting, both teams understand the pivotal nature of Saturday’s game—it’s the kind of swing game that often defines a series. Expect Golden State to attempt a more aggressive offensive approach early on, feeding off the home crowd’s energy and looking to get Butler and Hield hot early. The Timberwolves, on the other hand, will aim to slow things down, dominate the glass, and force Golden State into contested mid-range shots. If Minnesota’s defense continues to operate at a high level and they can finally get some threes to fall, they’ll have a great chance to steal a road win and retake home-court advantage. Conversely, if Golden State finds just enough offense in Curry’s absence and continues to defend with discipline, they could keep their postseason hopes strong and shift pressure back onto Minnesota. With high stakes, contrasting styles, and both teams adjusting on the fly, Game 3 is set to be a chess match—and perhaps the most telling moment of the series so far.

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves enter Game 3 of their Western Conference Semifinal against the Golden State Warriors with a renewed sense of purpose and an opportunity to reclaim home-court advantage after knotting the series 1-1 in Game 2. That win was a much-needed response to a disappointing Game 1, where Minnesota fell flat offensively and struggled to slow Golden State’s supporting cast. Despite ongoing issues with three-point shooting—just 7-for-60 combined over their last three playoff games—the Timberwolves have managed to stay competitive by sticking to their bread and butter: elite defense, rebounding dominance, and interior physicality. Minnesota finished the regular season ranked fifth in the NBA in opponent points per game (109.3), and that defensive identity has traveled well into the playoffs. Rudy Gobert remains a dominant presence in the paint, altering shots and cleaning the glass, while Jaden McDaniels and Kyle Anderson bring crucial versatility on switches and help defense. Offensively, Anthony Edwards continues to carry the scoring load, using his explosiveness to get to the rim and draw fouls when his jumper isn’t falling. Karl-Anthony Towns has struggled from beyond the arc but remains a threat with his pick-and-pop game and post-up ability, stretching defenses even when his shot is off. What’s keeping the Timberwolves afloat is their commitment to winning the possession battle—they’re crashing the boards hard, limiting second-chance opportunities for opponents, and creating transition chances off their defense.

Head coach Chris Finch has emphasized controlling the tempo and playing to the team’s size advantage, especially against a smaller Golden State lineup missing Stephen Curry. Minnesota’s game plan for Game 3 will likely involve sagging off weaker shooters, packing the paint, and daring the Warriors’ role players to win it from deep. Their biggest challenge will be generating enough consistent offense to outpace Golden State at home, especially if the Warriors’ crowd energizes players like Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler, or Jonathan Kuminga into breakout performances. The Timberwolves will also need to clean up unforced turnovers, which have led to easy transition buckets for Golden State in both games thus far. Edwards must continue to be aggressive while also trusting his teammates to finish plays and knock down open shots. If Minnesota can get even league-average three-point shooting in Game 3, combined with their defensive intensity and rebounding edge, they’ll be in prime position to steal a game on the road. With the series shifting to Chase Center, the pressure now tilts slightly back to the Timberwolves—they’ve leveled the series, but a Game 3 win would solidify their standing as a legitimate threat to advance to the Western Conference Finals. To do that, they’ll need to bring the same toughness, poise, and focus that carried them through Game 2, while hoping their long-range shooting finally finds its rhythm under playoff pressure.

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors face off in Game 3 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at Chase Center in San Francisco. The series is tied 1-1, with the Warriors stealing Game 1 on the road and the Timberwolves bouncing back in Game 2. Minnesota vs Golden State AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 10. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors return to the Chase Center for Game 3 of their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Minnesota Timberwolves with the series tied 1-1 and their postseason hopes hanging in the balance as they navigate unfamiliar territory without their franchise cornerstone, Stephen Curry. Golden State stole Game 1 in Minnesota with gritty defense and timely scoring from Jimmy Butler and Buddy Hield, but faltered in Game 2 as their offensive limitations without Curry began to surface. Despite the loss, the Warriors’ defense has remained consistently strong, holding opponents to just 41.5% shooting over their last three games and forcing Minnesota into long stretches of inefficiency, especially from beyond the arc. Jonathan Kuminga has emerged as a dynamic contributor, injecting athleticism and defensive versatility that the team sorely needs with Curry sidelined, while Draymond Green’s leadership and ability to orchestrate the offense from the high post continues to be invaluable. Jimmy Butler has embraced the challenge of leading the team in Curry’s absence, taking on primary playmaking duties and defending Minnesota’s top wings, though the physical toll of doing both at a high level may begin to show as the series progresses. Buddy Hield’s sharpshooting will be pivotal in Game 3; when he gets hot, Golden State can hang offensively even without their MVP. Kevon Looney’s work on the boards and in screen-setting has also been critical to freeing up space in halfcourt sets, especially in a series where transition opportunities are few and far between.

Offensively, Golden State’s ball movement and floor spacing still show flashes of their vintage style, but it’s clear that Curry’s absence has forced a heavier reliance on isolation sets and mid-range jumpers. Head coach Steve Kerr has had to make creative adjustments to compensate for the lack of shot creation, including staggered lineups to balance offense and defense, and increased minutes for young bench players who bring energy but lack playoff seasoning. Back at home, the Warriors will lean on the energy of the Chase Center crowd to fuel their tempo and defensive intensity, hoping to create a more frenetic pace that disrupts Minnesota’s halfcourt execution. Golden State’s home-court advantage has long been one of the league’s most formidable, and they’ll need to harness it fully to out-execute a Timberwolves team that has the size, rebounding, and defensive chops to grind out low-scoring games. The key for the Warriors will be to generate enough three-point offense to spread Minnesota’s defense, which has excelled in closing off driving lanes and forcing contested twos. If Butler and Hield can shoulder the scoring load, Kuminga continues to impact both ends, and the defense maintains its discipline, the Warriors have a strong chance to reclaim the series lead. But with Curry still sidelined, there’s little margin for error—every possession, every defensive rotation, and every bench contribution will count. Game 3 will be a test of Golden State’s depth, resilience, and championship mettle in the face of adversity.

Minnesota vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Timberwolves and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 23.5 Points.

Minnesota vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Timberwolves and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing weight human bettors tend to put on Golden State’s strength factors between a Timberwolves team going up against a possibly unhealthy Warriors team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Golden State picks, computer picks Timberwolves vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors have a 45-43-3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in 51.1% of their games.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchup Trends

The Warriors were 3-1 against the Timberwolves in the regular season, including a 1-point win in Minnesota on January 15, 2025.

Minnesota vs. Golden State Game Info

Minnesota vs Golden State starts on May 10, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Spread: Golden State +5.5
Moneyline: Minnesota -225, Golden State +185
Over/Under: 200.5

Minnesota: (49-33)  |  Golden State: (48-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler under 23.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Warriors were 3-1 against the Timberwolves in the regular season, including a 1-point win in Minnesota on January 15, 2025.

MIN trend: The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games.

GS trend: The Golden State Warriors have a 45-43-3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in 51.1% of their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Minnesota vs. Golden State Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Minnesota vs Golden State Opening Odds

MIN Moneyline: -225
GS Moneyline: +185
MIN Spread: -5.5
GS Spread: +5.5
Over/Under: 200.5

Minnesota vs Golden State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+260
-320
+8 (-115)
-8 (-105)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+150
-175
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+136
-162
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-175
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-120)
O 229.5 (+105)
U 229.5 (-125)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+280
-355
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 210.5 (-110)
U 210.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+105
-125
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 224 (-110)
U 224 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+195
-238
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-360
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 226 (-110)
U 226 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-130
+110
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-180
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-325
+260
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-110
-110
-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
O 226.5 (-130)
U 226.5 (+105)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-105
-115
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-142
+120
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-110
-110
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors on May 10, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS