Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 09)

Updated: 2025-05-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers are set to face off in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals on Friday, May 9, 2025, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers currently lead the series 2–0 after securing two road victories in Cleveland.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 09, 2025

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse​

Pacers Record: (50-32)

Cavaliers Record: (64-18)

OPENING ODDS

CLE Moneyline: -142

IND Moneyline: +119

CLE Spread: -2.5

IND Spread: +2.5

Over/Under: 229.5

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Cavaliers have a 51–36–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 58.6% of their games.

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Pacers hold a 41–45–3 ATS record for the season, covering in 47.7% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five meetings, the Pacers have covered the spread in four games against the Cavaliers, including two victories on Cleveland’s home court during this series

CLE vs. IND
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mitchell under 41.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Cleveland vs Indiana Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/9/25

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers square off in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals on Friday, May 9, 2025, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with the Pacers returning home holding a stunning 2–0 series lead. After entering the playoffs as the top seed in the East with a 64–18 regular-season record, Cleveland now finds itself in unfamiliar territory, having lost two consecutive games on its home floor to a red-hot Pacers squad that has outplayed them on both ends of the court. The Pacers, led by the steady hand of Tyrese Haliburton and backed by a team-first mentality, have executed their game plan to near perfection, neutralizing Cleveland’s perimeter shooters and forcing the Cavaliers into uncomfortable midrange looks. Despite Donovan Mitchell’s heroic efforts—most recently dropping 48 points in Game 2—the Cavaliers have struggled to find offensive rhythm, plagued by turnovers, missed opportunities, and injuries to key contributors like Darius Garland and Evan Mobley. Cleveland has also been unable to generate consistent ball movement against Indiana’s disciplined, non-switching defense, which has stifled pick-and-roll actions and limited easy shots at the rim. Meanwhile, Indiana’s offense has been surgical, with Haliburton orchestrating high-paced possessions and getting shooters like Buddy Hield and Andrew Nembhard involved, while Pascal Siakam’s inside-out scoring has created constant matchup problems for the Cavs.

The Pacers’ bench has stepped up, too, offering energy and points during key stretches where Cleveland’s depth has faltered. Statistically, Cleveland holds a strong 51–36–1 ATS record this season, but they’ve failed to cover in the first two games of this series, while Indiana, despite a modest 41–45–3 ATS mark, has now covered in four of their last five meetings against the Cavs. As the series shifts to Indiana, the pressure now firmly rests on Cleveland’s shoulders. Coach Kenny Atkinson must find ways to revitalize a stagnant offense while patching up defensive lapses that have allowed the Pacers to dominate the paint and control pace. For the Pacers, the objective is clear: maintain their composure, stick to the system, and feed off a home crowd eager to see their team take a commanding 3–0 lead. Game 3 will ultimately come down to Cleveland’s ability to adjust and rediscover the balance and ball movement that made them so dangerous during the regular season, and Indiana’s ability to keep them off-balance and push the tempo. If the Cavaliers can clean up their execution and get a more complete game from their supporting cast, they’re more than capable of swinging the series back in their favor. But if Indiana continues to dictate terms with energy, discipline, and unselfish play, they could take full control and push the East’s top seed to the brink of elimination far earlier than anyone expected.

Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers enter Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals under significant pressure, trailing 0–2 in the series after suffering back-to-back home losses to the Indiana Pacers. For a team that finished the regular season with a dominant 64–18 record and was praised for its defensive efficiency and balanced scoring, the postseason has thus far exposed vulnerabilities that were largely hidden over the course of their first-round series. Most glaringly, injuries to key players—particularly Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and De’Andre Hunter—have disrupted the Cavaliers’ offensive flow and defensive identity, forcing the team to rely heavily on Donovan Mitchell to carry the scoring load. Mitchell has responded with high-level performances, including an explosive 48-point outing in Game 2, but his individual brilliance hasn’t been enough to offset Cleveland’s lack of depth and overall execution. The supporting cast has been wildly inconsistent—Ty Jerome struggled in Game 2 with a 1-for-14 shooting night, while others like Caris LeVert and Max Strus have failed to stretch the floor effectively against Indiana’s disciplined defense. Offensively, Cleveland’s ball movement has stalled, with Indiana’s refusal to switch screens and tight closeouts forcing the Cavaliers into low-efficiency midrange attempts or contested threes.

Defensively, Cleveland hasn’t looked like the elite unit that ranked near the top in opponent field goal percentage during the regular season; they’ve been vulnerable in transition and late to rotations, especially when defending Tyrese Haliburton-led actions. Coach Kenny Atkinson, who earned Coach of the Year honors for maximizing Cleveland’s roster during the regular season, now faces his toughest challenge—reconfiguring his team’s game plan to generate easier looks while protecting the paint without Mobley’s presence. The Cavaliers still have strengths they can leverage, including the size and athleticism of Jarrett Allen, whose presence could tilt the rebounding battle if used effectively on both ends. Additionally, if Garland is able to return, even in a limited capacity, it could provide the secondary playmaking and spacing that has been sorely lacking. The Cavs were one of the best ATS teams during the regular season at 51–36–1, and they’ve proven resilient all year when coming off losses. Game 3 will test that resilience more than any prior matchup this season. If Cleveland is to climb back into the series, they’ll need to make quick, decisive adjustments—mitigating turnovers, speeding up offensive sets, and getting reliable production from their role players. They must also defend with more urgency, close out possessions, and limit Indiana’s points off turnovers. With their season essentially on the line, the Cavaliers need a total team effort in Indianapolis to avoid a 3–0 deficit and keep their championship aspirations alive.

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers are set to face off in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals on Friday, May 9, 2025, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Pacers currently lead the series 2–0 after securing two road victories in Cleveland. Cleveland vs Indiana AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 09. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Indiana Pacers NBA Preview

The Indiana Pacers return to Gainbridge Fieldhouse riding high with a surprising 2–0 series lead over the Cleveland Cavaliers, having stolen both road games through a combination of disciplined defense, unselfish offense, and timely execution in critical moments. Tyrese Haliburton has been the driving force behind Indiana’s playoff surge, controlling tempo, minimizing turnovers, and creating opportunities for teammates with his elite court vision and basketball IQ. Averaging 18.6 points and 9.2 assists during the regular season, Haliburton’s postseason composure has elevated the Pacers’ offensive ceiling, while veterans like Pascal Siakam and Myles Turner have given the team steady two-way contributions. Siakam’s versatility in particular has created matchup headaches for a depleted Cavaliers frontcourt, as his ability to score inside, stretch the floor, and defend multiple positions has opened the floor for Indiana’s shooters and cutters. The Pacers’ defensive transformation—jumping from 24th to 13th in defensive rating this season—has been fully realized in this series, especially in their refusal to switch on screens, which has flustered Cleveland’s guards and limited open looks. Rick Carlisle’s defensive strategy of sticking to drop coverage and fighting over screens has paid off, keeping Donovan Mitchell in high-difficulty isolation situations, even though he’s still managed to produce big numbers.

Indiana’s bench has also been a major factor, with the likes of T.J. McConnell, Andrew Nembhard, and Ben Sheppard bringing energy, ball movement, and opportunistic scoring in key stretches, exposing Cleveland’s lack of depth amid their injury issues. Despite being just 41–45–3 ATS this season, the Pacers have covered in four of their last five meetings with the Cavaliers and are peaking at the right time, particularly at home where their crowd energy and pace often overwhelm less-cohesive opponents. The Pacers’ fast-paced, ball-sharing style has been difficult for the Cavaliers to contain without their usual rim protection, and with Indiana hitting threes at a steady clip while limiting Cleveland’s transition opportunities, the formula for success is in place. In Game 3, Indiana’s focus will be on continuing to push the pace, hunt mismatches in pick-and-roll, and apply pressure on Cleveland’s ball-handlers early in the shot clock. Defensively, they’ll look to crowd Mitchell and dare others to beat them—something the Cavaliers haven’t been able to do in the first two games. If the Pacers maintain their current level of execution, intensity, and shot-making, they have a legitimate opportunity to take a commanding 3–0 series lead and place Cleveland’s top-seeded campaign on the brink of an early and stunning playoff exit.

Cleveland vs. Indiana Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Cavaliers and Pacers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in May can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mitchell under 41.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Cleveland vs. Indiana Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Cavaliers and Pacers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors tend to put on Cleveland’s strength factors between a Cavaliers team going up against a possibly healthy Pacers team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Indiana picks, computer picks Cavaliers vs Pacers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Cavaliers have a 51–36–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 58.6% of their games.

Pacers Betting Trends

The Pacers hold a 41–45–3 ATS record for the season, covering in 47.7% of their games.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Matchup Trends

In their last five meetings, the Pacers have covered the spread in four games against the Cavaliers, including two victories on Cleveland’s home court during this series

Cleveland vs. Indiana Game Info

Cleveland vs Indiana starts on May 09, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.

Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Spread: Indiana +2.5
Moneyline: Cleveland -142, Indiana +119
Over/Under: 229.5

Cleveland: (64-18)  |  Indiana: (50-32)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mitchell under 41.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five meetings, the Pacers have covered the spread in four games against the Cavaliers, including two victories on Cleveland’s home court during this series

CLE trend: The Cavaliers have a 51–36–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 58.6% of their games.

IND trend: The Pacers hold a 41–45–3 ATS record for the season, covering in 47.7% of their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cleveland vs. Indiana Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Indiana trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Cleveland vs Indiana Opening Odds

CLE Moneyline: -142
IND Moneyline: +119
CLE Spread: -2.5
IND Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 229.5

Cleveland vs Indiana Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-175
+145
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-118)
O 231.5 (-115)
U 231.5 (-105)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+750
-1200
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-115)
U 227.5 (-105)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-500
+380
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+136
-162
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-162
+136
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+500
-700
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-108)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-218
+180
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers on May 09, 2025 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS