Knicks vs. Celtics
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 05 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks will tip off Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 5, 2025, at TD Garden in Boston. The Celtics, dominant in the regular season and heavily favored, aim to continue their strong postseason performance against a resilient Knicks squad that overcame the Detroit Pistons in the first round.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 05, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: TD Garden​

Celtics Record: (61-21)

Knicks Record: (51-31)

OPENING ODDS

NY Moneyline: +298

BOS Moneyline: -380

NY Spread: +8.5

BOS Spread: -8.5

Over/Under: 213

NY
Betting Trends

  • The Knicks have a 43-43-1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 50% of the time. They have been inconsistent ATS, particularly on the road, where they face challenges against top-tier teams.

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Celtics hold a 40-45-1 ATS record this season, covering in 47.1% of their games. Despite their strong overall performance, they have struggled to cover the spread consistently, especially as significant favorites.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their four regular-season meetings, the Celtics covered the spread in three games, winning all four matchups. The total points went over in two of those games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs when these teams clash.

NY vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McBride over 4.5 Points.

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New York vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/5/25

The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks will square off in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals on May 5, 2025, reigniting a classic rivalry under the bright lights of TD Garden. The Celtics, fresh off a dominant 61-21 regular season and a comfortable first-round sweep of the Orlando Magic, enter the series with championship aspirations and the firepower to match. Led by the dynamic duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, Boston boasts a blend of elite scoring, switch-heavy defense, and lineup versatility that has overwhelmed most opponents. Their offseason addition of Kristaps Porzingis has stretched opposing defenses to the breaking point, offering them a true five-out offensive system while maintaining rim protection. Marcus Smart continues to anchor the perimeter defensively, while Robert Williams III protects the paint and energizes with timely blocks and putbacks. They face a Knicks team that, while entering as the underdog, brings grit, cohesion, and a defensive identity that mirrors their coach Tom Thibodeau’s no-nonsense approach. The Knicks edged past the Detroit Pistons in six tough games, powered by Jalen Brunson’s scoring and leadership and Julius Randle’s all-around contributions. OG Anunoby has been instrumental in tightening the defensive rotations, and Mitchell Robinson’s interior presence has proven vital in both rebounding and deterring drives. Yet despite their rugged style, the Knicks were swept 0-4 by Boston in the regular season, exposing concerns about their ability to generate enough offense against the Celtics’ versatile defense.

Boston’s key to success will be leveraging their transition game, knocking down open threes off ball movement, and keeping Brunson in check through switching and physical on-ball defense. For New York, they’ll need to win the rebounding battle, slow the pace, and keep the Celtics out of rhythm by forcing contested mid-range looks. One of the most intriguing tactical questions will be how Thibodeau adjusts his defensive schemes to deal with Porzingis, whose ability to shoot from deep collapses the paint and stretches opposing bigs far from the basket. Bench production could also swing the series—Boston has reliable secondary scorers in Malcolm Brogdon and Payton Pritchard, while New York’s bench will need major input from Immanuel Quickley and Quentin Grimes to keep pace. In a postseason where depth and durability often determine long-term success, both teams will be tested physically and mentally over the course of this series. Although Boston is the favorite due to superior depth, playoff experience, and the advantage of home court, the Knicks have the tools and defensive toughness to keep games close and frustrate the Celtics into grinding matchups. Game 1 will set the tone, and if the Knicks can punch first and survive Boston’s inevitable runs, they could shake up what many see as a one-sided series. However, should the Celtics dictate pace, hit their threes, and execute late-game possessions with their usual poise, this series could tilt quickly in their favor. Expect a physical, emotionally charged series filled with clutch moments, hard fouls, and signature performances from some of the East’s brightest stars.

New York Knicks NBA Preview

The New York Knicks enter their Eastern Conference Semifinals showdown against the Boston Celtics as determined underdogs, looking to disrupt the playoff bracket with their trademark grit, defensive intensity, and disciplined play under head coach Tom Thibodeau. Having finished the regular season with a strong 50-31 record and outlasting the Detroit Pistons in six games during the first round, the Knicks arrive battle-tested and motivated to silence the TD Garden crowd. The heartbeat of this team is Jalen Brunson, whose postseason leadership and ability to create offense in tight windows have been vital—he’s averaged 24.5 points and over 6 assists per game while showcasing clutch shot-making and patience in pick-and-roll scenarios. Julius Randle, a walking double-double threat, provides the physicality and scoring punch in the frontcourt, and his ability to stretch the floor with the occasional three forces defenders out of the paint, though he must improve efficiency against Boston’s length. A major addition for this postseason run has been OG Anunoby, whose perimeter defense will be critical in matching up against Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown, both of whom torched New York in their regular season meetings. Defensively, the Knicks are among the more disciplined teams in the playoffs, rotating well, closing out aggressively, and using their physicality to wear down opponents, but they’ll need to be even sharper against Boston’s deep and balanced offensive arsenal. The return of Mitchell Robinson has shored up the interior, giving the Knicks rim protection and strong rebounding, but the challenge lies in keeping up with Kristaps Porzingis, who pulls opposing bigs out of the paint and opens the floor for Boston’s slashing wings.

Depth remains a question mark for New York—their bench, which includes Immanuel Quickley, Quentin Grimes, and Isaiah Hartenstein, must provide energy, defense, and timely scoring to keep the Celtics from running away during non-Brunson minutes. The Knicks also need to be mindful of their own shooting; if their three-point percentage drops, it could spell trouble, especially against a team like Boston that thrives on runouts and capitalizing on missed long-range attempts. Offensively, they must keep the ball moving, avoid stagnation in half-court sets, and create second-chance points through relentless offensive rebounding, something they’ve excelled at all year. While the regular season did not go in their favor against the Celtics—losing all four matchups—they’ll aim to flip the script with postseason tenacity and execution. The key for New York will be starting strong, absorbing Boston’s early energy, and making this a physical series from the opening tip. With their backs against the wall and expectations tilted against them, the Knicks have the kind of defensive identity and blue-collar resolve that could grind this series into a war of attrition—and if they can steal a game early in Boston, they’ll have a real shot at pushing the Celtics to their limits.

The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks will tip off Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 5, 2025, at TD Garden in Boston. The Celtics, dominant in the regular season and heavily favored, aim to continue their strong postseason performance against a resilient Knicks squad that overcame the Detroit Pistons in the first round. New York vs Boston AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Boston Celtics NBA Preview

The Boston Celtics come into Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the New York Knicks brimming with confidence, playoff composure, and the burden of championship expectations after a dominant 61-21 regular season and a clean sweep of the Orlando Magic in Round 1. They’ve evolved into one of the league’s most complete and balanced teams, boasting top-five rankings in both offensive and defensive efficiency, and enter this series as clear favorites. Jayson Tatum continues to set the tone as the franchise cornerstone, averaging over 27 points, nearly nine rebounds, and four assists per game, seamlessly switching between facilitator and scorer depending on the matchup. Jaylen Brown remains a consistent two-way force, giving the Celtics flexibility in their wing defense and a second elite option who can heat up quickly and take over stretches of games. Kristaps Porzingis has been a game-changer, his ability to stretch the floor with deep shooting pulling big defenders away from the paint, while also giving Boston rim protection and rebounding in key moments. Marcus Smart, the team’s emotional anchor and defensive specialist, will likely draw the Jalen Brunson assignment, and his physicality and instincts could prove crucial in disrupting New York’s rhythm. Robert Williams III adds an above-the-rim dimension defensively, capable of switching on pick-and-rolls and deterring drives to the rim, a must against the Knicks’ physically imposing frontcourt.

From a strategy standpoint, the Celtics thrive when the ball moves freely; head coach Joe Mazzulla’s system emphasizes spacing, rapid decision-making, and finding the best shot rather than forcing isolation plays—making it difficult for defenses to key in on just one player. Their bench, anchored by Malcolm Brogdon, Grant Williams, and Payton Pritchard, brings a mix of IQ, toughness, and scoring versatility that keeps pressure on opponents for all 48 minutes. In their four meetings with the Knicks this season, Boston came out on top each time, often breaking New York’s offense with timely rotations and strong help defense while exploiting mismatches through off-ball movement and three-point shooting. For the Celtics to maintain control of this series, they must keep the pace in their favor, hit early perimeter shots to space the floor, and continue to dominate transition defense to keep the Knicks from generating easy points. Playing in front of their home crowd, where they’ve been especially potent, the Celtics will aim to set the tone physically, mentally, and tactically from the opening tip. While the Knicks are likely to bring a rugged, grind-it-out approach, Boston has the firepower, depth, and postseason experience to respond with poise and precision. If they stay locked in defensively, keep turnovers low, and execute late-game possessions with their typical polish, the Celtics are well-positioned not only to take Game 1 but to command the series from start to finish. With a clear path to the Conference Finals in view, Boston knows the urgency required and will look to send an early statement that their championship window is wide open and fully operational.

New York vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Knicks and Celtics play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at TD Garden in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McBride over 4.5 Points.

New York vs. Boston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Knicks and Celtics and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the growing weight human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Knicks team going up against a possibly rested Celtics team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York vs Boston picks, computer picks Knicks vs Celtics, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Knicks Betting Trends

The Knicks have a 43-43-1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 50% of the time. They have been inconsistent ATS, particularly on the road, where they face challenges against top-tier teams.

Celtics Betting Trends

The Celtics hold a 40-45-1 ATS record this season, covering in 47.1% of their games. Despite their strong overall performance, they have struggled to cover the spread consistently, especially as significant favorites.

Knicks vs. Celtics Matchup Trends

In their four regular-season meetings, the Celtics covered the spread in three games, winning all four matchups. The total points went over in two of those games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs when these teams clash.

New York vs. Boston Game Info

New York vs Boston starts on May 05, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Boston -8.5
Moneyline: New York +298, Boston -380
Over/Under: 213

New York: (51-31)  |  Boston: (61-21)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McBride over 4.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their four regular-season meetings, the Celtics covered the spread in three games, winning all four matchups. The total points went over in two of those games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs when these teams clash.

NY trend: The Knicks have a 43-43-1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 50% of the time. They have been inconsistent ATS, particularly on the road, where they face challenges against top-tier teams.

BOS trend: The Celtics hold a 40-45-1 ATS record this season, covering in 47.1% of their games. Despite their strong overall performance, they have struggled to cover the spread consistently, especially as significant favorites.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York vs. Boston Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the New York vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York vs Boston Opening Odds

NY Moneyline: +298
BOS Moneyline: -380
NY Spread: +8.5
BOS Spread: -8.5
Over/Under: 213

New York vs Boston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+270
-340
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+130
-155
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+136
-162
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-175
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 228 (-110)
U 228 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+280
-355
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 210.5 (-110)
U 210.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+105
-125
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 224 (-110)
U 224 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+195
-238
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-360
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 226 (-110)
U 226 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-130
+110
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-180
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-325
+260
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-110
-110
-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-105
-115
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-142
+120
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-310
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-108
-112
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics on May 05, 2025 at TD Garden.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS