Knicks vs Celtics Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 05)
Updated: 2025-05-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks will tip off Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 5, 2025, at TD Garden in Boston. The Celtics, dominant in the regular season and heavily favored, aim to continue their strong postseason performance against a resilient Knicks squad that overcame the Detroit Pistons in the first round.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 05, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: TD Garden
Celtics Record: (61-21)
Knicks Record: (51-31)
OPENING ODDS
NY Moneyline: +298
BOS Moneyline: -380
NY Spread: +8.5
BOS Spread: -8.5
Over/Under: 213
NY
Betting Trends
- The Knicks have a 43-43-1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 50% of the time. They have been inconsistent ATS, particularly on the road, where they face challenges against top-tier teams.
BOS
Betting Trends
- The Celtics hold a 40-45-1 ATS record this season, covering in 47.1% of their games. Despite their strong overall performance, they have struggled to cover the spread consistently, especially as significant favorites.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their four regular-season meetings, the Celtics covered the spread in three games, winning all four matchups. The total points went over in two of those games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs when these teams clash.
NY vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McBride over 4.5 Points.
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New York vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/5/25
Boston’s key to success will be leveraging their transition game, knocking down open threes off ball movement, and keeping Brunson in check through switching and physical on-ball defense. For New York, they’ll need to win the rebounding battle, slow the pace, and keep the Celtics out of rhythm by forcing contested mid-range looks. One of the most intriguing tactical questions will be how Thibodeau adjusts his defensive schemes to deal with Porzingis, whose ability to shoot from deep collapses the paint and stretches opposing bigs far from the basket. Bench production could also swing the series—Boston has reliable secondary scorers in Malcolm Brogdon and Payton Pritchard, while New York’s bench will need major input from Immanuel Quickley and Quentin Grimes to keep pace. In a postseason where depth and durability often determine long-term success, both teams will be tested physically and mentally over the course of this series. Although Boston is the favorite due to superior depth, playoff experience, and the advantage of home court, the Knicks have the tools and defensive toughness to keep games close and frustrate the Celtics into grinding matchups. Game 1 will set the tone, and if the Knicks can punch first and survive Boston’s inevitable runs, they could shake up what many see as a one-sided series. However, should the Celtics dictate pace, hit their threes, and execute late-game possessions with their usual poise, this series could tilt quickly in their favor. Expect a physical, emotionally charged series filled with clutch moments, hard fouls, and signature performances from some of the East’s brightest stars.
the most confidence in ourselves.
— NEW YORK KNICKS (@nyknicks) May 3, 2025
catch the full round 1 all-access recap 👉 https://t.co/aDtdhi5gGf pic.twitter.com/jvrkGebmSs
New York Knicks NBA Preview
The New York Knicks enter their Eastern Conference Semifinals showdown against the Boston Celtics as determined underdogs, looking to disrupt the playoff bracket with their trademark grit, defensive intensity, and disciplined play under head coach Tom Thibodeau. Having finished the regular season with a strong 50-31 record and outlasting the Detroit Pistons in six games during the first round, the Knicks arrive battle-tested and motivated to silence the TD Garden crowd. The heartbeat of this team is Jalen Brunson, whose postseason leadership and ability to create offense in tight windows have been vital—he’s averaged 24.5 points and over 6 assists per game while showcasing clutch shot-making and patience in pick-and-roll scenarios. Julius Randle, a walking double-double threat, provides the physicality and scoring punch in the frontcourt, and his ability to stretch the floor with the occasional three forces defenders out of the paint, though he must improve efficiency against Boston’s length. A major addition for this postseason run has been OG Anunoby, whose perimeter defense will be critical in matching up against Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown, both of whom torched New York in their regular season meetings. Defensively, the Knicks are among the more disciplined teams in the playoffs, rotating well, closing out aggressively, and using their physicality to wear down opponents, but they’ll need to be even sharper against Boston’s deep and balanced offensive arsenal. The return of Mitchell Robinson has shored up the interior, giving the Knicks rim protection and strong rebounding, but the challenge lies in keeping up with Kristaps Porzingis, who pulls opposing bigs out of the paint and opens the floor for Boston’s slashing wings.
Depth remains a question mark for New York—their bench, which includes Immanuel Quickley, Quentin Grimes, and Isaiah Hartenstein, must provide energy, defense, and timely scoring to keep the Celtics from running away during non-Brunson minutes. The Knicks also need to be mindful of their own shooting; if their three-point percentage drops, it could spell trouble, especially against a team like Boston that thrives on runouts and capitalizing on missed long-range attempts. Offensively, they must keep the ball moving, avoid stagnation in half-court sets, and create second-chance points through relentless offensive rebounding, something they’ve excelled at all year. While the regular season did not go in their favor against the Celtics—losing all four matchups—they’ll aim to flip the script with postseason tenacity and execution. The key for New York will be starting strong, absorbing Boston’s early energy, and making this a physical series from the opening tip. With their backs against the wall and expectations tilted against them, the Knicks have the kind of defensive identity and blue-collar resolve that could grind this series into a war of attrition—and if they can steal a game early in Boston, they’ll have a real shot at pushing the Celtics to their limits.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Boston Celtics NBA Preview
The Boston Celtics come into Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the New York Knicks brimming with confidence, playoff composure, and the burden of championship expectations after a dominant 61-21 regular season and a clean sweep of the Orlando Magic in Round 1. They’ve evolved into one of the league’s most complete and balanced teams, boasting top-five rankings in both offensive and defensive efficiency, and enter this series as clear favorites. Jayson Tatum continues to set the tone as the franchise cornerstone, averaging over 27 points, nearly nine rebounds, and four assists per game, seamlessly switching between facilitator and scorer depending on the matchup. Jaylen Brown remains a consistent two-way force, giving the Celtics flexibility in their wing defense and a second elite option who can heat up quickly and take over stretches of games. Kristaps Porzingis has been a game-changer, his ability to stretch the floor with deep shooting pulling big defenders away from the paint, while also giving Boston rim protection and rebounding in key moments. Marcus Smart, the team’s emotional anchor and defensive specialist, will likely draw the Jalen Brunson assignment, and his physicality and instincts could prove crucial in disrupting New York’s rhythm. Robert Williams III adds an above-the-rim dimension defensively, capable of switching on pick-and-rolls and deterring drives to the rim, a must against the Knicks’ physically imposing frontcourt.
From a strategy standpoint, the Celtics thrive when the ball moves freely; head coach Joe Mazzulla’s system emphasizes spacing, rapid decision-making, and finding the best shot rather than forcing isolation plays—making it difficult for defenses to key in on just one player. Their bench, anchored by Malcolm Brogdon, Grant Williams, and Payton Pritchard, brings a mix of IQ, toughness, and scoring versatility that keeps pressure on opponents for all 48 minutes. In their four meetings with the Knicks this season, Boston came out on top each time, often breaking New York’s offense with timely rotations and strong help defense while exploiting mismatches through off-ball movement and three-point shooting. For the Celtics to maintain control of this series, they must keep the pace in their favor, hit early perimeter shots to space the floor, and continue to dominate transition defense to keep the Knicks from generating easy points. Playing in front of their home crowd, where they’ve been especially potent, the Celtics will aim to set the tone physically, mentally, and tactically from the opening tip. While the Knicks are likely to bring a rugged, grind-it-out approach, Boston has the firepower, depth, and postseason experience to respond with poise and precision. If they stay locked in defensively, keep turnovers low, and execute late-game possessions with their typical polish, the Celtics are well-positioned not only to take Game 1 but to command the series from start to finish. With a clear path to the Conference Finals in view, Boston knows the urgency required and will look to send an early statement that their championship window is wide open and fully operational.
48 hours away ⏳ pic.twitter.com/4YzJ1sXIce
— Boston Celtics (@celtics) May 3, 2025
New York vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)
New York vs. Boston Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Knicks and Celtics and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the growing weight human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Knicks team going up against a possibly deflated Celtics team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York vs Boston picks, computer picks Knicks vs Celtics, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Knicks Betting Trends
The Knicks have a 43-43-1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 50% of the time. They have been inconsistent ATS, particularly on the road, where they face challenges against top-tier teams.
Celtics Betting Trends
The Celtics hold a 40-45-1 ATS record this season, covering in 47.1% of their games. Despite their strong overall performance, they have struggled to cover the spread consistently, especially as significant favorites.
Knicks vs. Celtics Matchup Trends
In their four regular-season meetings, the Celtics covered the spread in three games, winning all four matchups. The total points went over in two of those games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs when these teams clash.
New York vs. Boston Game Info
What time does New York vs Boston start on May 05, 2025?
New York vs Boston starts on May 05, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is New York vs Boston being played?
Venue: TD Garden.
What are the opening odds for New York vs Boston?
Spread: Boston -8.5
Moneyline: New York +298, Boston -380
Over/Under: 213
What are the records for New York vs Boston?
New York: (51-31) | Boston: (61-21)
What is the AI best bet for New York vs Boston?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. McBride over 4.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York vs Boston trending bets?
In their four regular-season meetings, the Celtics covered the spread in three games, winning all four matchups. The total points went over in two of those games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs when these teams clash.
What are New York trending bets?
NY trend: The Knicks have a 43-43-1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 50% of the time. They have been inconsistent ATS, particularly on the road, where they face challenges against top-tier teams.
What are Boston trending bets?
BOS trend: The Celtics hold a 40-45-1 ATS record this season, covering in 47.1% of their games. Despite their strong overall performance, they have struggled to cover the spread consistently, especially as significant favorites.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York vs Boston?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Boston Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the New York vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York vs Boston Opening Odds
NY Moneyline:
+298 BOS Moneyline: -380
NY Spread: +8.5
BOS Spread: -8.5
Over/Under: 213
New York vs Boston Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
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–
–
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-172
+139
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-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
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O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
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Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
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–
–
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+703
-1250
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+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
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O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
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Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
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–
–
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-526
+382
|
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
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O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+127
-156
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-161
+132
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 233 (-110)
U 233 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+487
-714
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
|
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Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-222
+178
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
|
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
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Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics on May 05, 2025 at TD Garden.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |