Pacers vs. Cavaliers
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 04 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers will tip off Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Sunday, May 4, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. The Cavaliers enter as the top seed in the East, while the Pacers look to continue their postseason momentum after a strong first-round performance.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 04, 2025

Start Time: 6:00 PM EST​

Venue: Rocket Arena​

Cavaliers Record: (64-18)

Pacers Record: (50-32)

OPENING ODDS

IND Moneyline: +275

CLE Moneyline: -347

IND Spread: +8

CLE Spread: -8.0

Over/Under: 229.5

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Pacers have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games. On the road this season, they have struggled, posting a 4-10 ATS record.

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Cavaliers have a 36-46-1 ATS record for the season. At home, they have been more reliable, covering the spread in 60% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Pacers have covered the spread in four games. The total has gone over in three of those five games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs.

IND vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Garland over 23.5 PTS+AST.

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Indiana vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/4/25

The Eastern Conference Semifinals tip off with a fascinating clash between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Indiana Pacers on May 4, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, featuring two franchises on divergent strategic paths. Cleveland, the top seed in the East, cruised through a dominant regular season with a 64-18 record, building its identity on elite team defense, strong half-court execution, and the steady leadership of Donovan Mitchell. Their defensive rating ranked among the league’s best, anchored by the presence of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley, who have consistently stifled opponents at the rim while dominating the boards. Offensively, Mitchell and Darius Garland form one of the league’s most potent backcourts, capable of dictating tempo, spacing the floor, and collapsing defenses with dribble penetration. On the other side, the Pacers come into this series with serious momentum after dispatching the New York Knicks in the opening round behind a high-octane, up-tempo offense that led the NBA in scoring for much of the season. Indiana is averaging 117.4 points per game and has fully embraced the identity of a transition-heavy, three-point-happy unit driven by Tyrese Haliburton’s vision and Pascal Siakam’s versatility. While their offensive firepower is undeniable, their Achilles’ heel lies in their defense, which has often allowed opponents too many clean looks and second-chance opportunities.

The season series between these two clubs was split 2-2, with each team showcasing their style of play—Cleveland winning the grind-it-out contests and Indiana flourishing in faster-paced games. Key storylines for the series will revolve around whether the Pacers can maintain their offensive rhythm against Cleveland’s disciplined half-court defense, and whether the Cavaliers can keep pace in a game where possessions become quicker and shot attempts rise. Cleveland’s ability to control pace, slow the game down, and turn it into a half-court battle favors their methodical style, while Indiana will attempt to force turnovers and push the tempo. Both benches will also play a crucial role: Caris LeVert and Isaac Okoro will need to bring defensive energy and secondary scoring for the Cavaliers, while Buddy Hield and T.J. McConnell offer Indiana scoring punch and experience. Rebounding and rim protection will be pivotal, especially considering Indiana’s reliance on second-chance threes and Cleveland’s dominance in the paint. With postseason pressure intensifying, every possession will matter, and both coaching staffs—J.B. Bickerstaff for Cleveland and Rick Carlisle for Indiana—will have to make constant adjustments to exploit mismatches. This series has the makings of a high-level chess match between pace and control, with Game 1 offering the initial glimpse into which philosophy will prevail. Expect physicality, tight defensive coverage, and moments of brilliance from both backcourts as the battle begins for a place in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Indiana Pacers NBA Preview

The Indiana Pacers head into Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals with confidence, momentum, and a chip on their shoulder, having emerged from a tough first-round matchup against the New York Knicks with an impressive offensive showcase. Their identity as one of the NBA’s most explosive scoring teams has remained intact, with Tyrese Haliburton running the show from the point with elite passing vision and pace control that few defenders have been able to contain. Averaging over 10 assists per game, Haliburton sets the tone for Indiana’s up-tempo, space-and-pace style that prioritizes quick shots, transition attacks, and spreading defenses thin through continuous movement and off-ball action. The addition of Pascal Siakam midway through the season has significantly expanded Indiana’s offensive playbook; his ability to create his own shot, attack mismatches, and contribute defensively gives the Pacers a much-needed two-way presence in the frontcourt. Together with Myles Turner, who continues to stretch the floor and protect the rim, Indiana’s starting five can keep up with any team offensively. However, their Achilles’ heel has been on the defensive side of the floor, where lapses in perimeter coverage and late closeouts have led to high opponent shooting percentages. Against a Cleveland team that thrives in half-court sets and limits fast-break opportunities, the Pacers will need to show more discipline in switching and contesting shots, especially against Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland, who can shred mismatches with surgical precision.

Indiana’s bench has played an important role all season, with Buddy Hield providing instant offense and T.J. McConnell offering a change-of-pace playmaking role, but they’ll need to elevate their impact to keep pace with Cleveland’s deeper rotation. Another challenge for Indiana will be rebounding, as the Cavaliers possess size and physicality in the paint, and second-chance opportunities could swing close games. Coach Rick Carlisle is likely to experiment with smaller, faster lineups to dictate tempo and disrupt Cleveland’s rhythm, but must be cautious not to sacrifice too much size on defense. Haliburton’s ability to read defenses, push tempo, and find open shooters like Hield and Andrew Nembhard will be essential to pulling the Cavs out of their comfort zone. Indiana’s formula for success lies in turning every game into a track meet, forcing Cleveland to defend on the move, and taking advantage of transition mismatches before the Cavs can get set defensively. The Pacers’ offense is more than capable of winning shootouts, but their playoff survival will depend on how well they can defend in crunch time, rotate effectively, and neutralize Cleveland’s frontcourt presence. If Indiana can strike early, keep the turnovers low, and find a rhythm from beyond the arc, they have every reason to believe they can steal Game 1 and put early pressure on the conference’s top seed.

The Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers will tip off Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series on Sunday, May 4, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. The Cavaliers enter as the top seed in the East, while the Pacers look to continue their postseason momentum after a strong first-round performance. Indiana vs Cleveland AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 04. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers return to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals carrying the weight of expectations and the confidence of a dominant 64-win regular season. As the top seed in the East, Cleveland has built its success on one of the league’s most consistent defensive identities, anchored by the elite interior presence of Jarrett Allen and the versatile shot-altering ability of Evan Mobley. Together, they have made scoring in the paint an uphill battle for opponents, often forcing teams to settle for contested perimeter shots. Offensively, the Cavaliers are paced by All-Star Donovan Mitchell, whose clutch shot-making and leadership continue to be the heartbeat of the franchise. He’s been a reliable scoring engine all season, capable of creating off the dribble, attacking closeouts, and delivering under pressure. Darius Garland complements Mitchell with his ability to initiate offense, stretch defenses with his shooting, and find teammates in advantageous spots. That dynamic backcourt allows Cleveland to control the tempo, especially in half-court settings, which is exactly where they want to keep this series against Indiana’s fast-paced attack. Caris LeVert has embraced his role off the bench, offering two-way play and capable scoring in spurts, while Isaac Okoro has quietly become an invaluable perimeter defender who could draw the Haliburton assignment for stretches.

Cleveland’s challenge lies in resisting Indiana’s push to speed up the game. The Pacers will look to force turnovers, run in transition, and attack before Cleveland’s defense can set up—something the Cavs must prepare for by maintaining careful ball security and rebounding at a high level. One of Cleveland’s underappreciated strengths has been their ability to keep games low-scoring and physical, an area where they should have a clear advantage in this series. Head coach J.B. Bickerstaff has emphasized structure and defensive discipline, and his team has responded by becoming one of the NBA’s most efficient units on both ends of the floor. That poise will be essential as the Cavaliers look to establish themselves early in Game 1, leveraging their home-court advantage where they’ve been particularly effective. The Cavaliers are 60% ATS at home this season, a reflection of how well they feed off the energy of the Cleveland crowd and execute their game plan in familiar surroundings. Containing Haliburton and disrupting Indiana’s ball movement will be priorities, but the Cavs also know they have the weapons to out-execute the Pacers late in games where possessions tighten and matchups matter more. If Cleveland can establish dominance in the paint, limit turnovers, and grind the pace to a crawl, they’ll be in firm control of the series opener. With the pressure of seeding and expectations squarely on their shoulders, the Cavaliers have every reason to come out with urgency and physicality as they look to defend their home court and take the first step toward a deep playoff run.

Indiana vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Pacers and Cavaliers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Rocket Arena in May almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Garland over 23.5 PTS+AST.

Indiana vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Pacers and Cavaliers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Pacers team going up against a possibly improved Cavaliers team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Indiana vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Pacers vs Cavaliers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Pacers Betting Trends

The Pacers have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games. On the road this season, they have struggled, posting a 4-10 ATS record.

Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Cavaliers have a 36-46-1 ATS record for the season. At home, they have been more reliable, covering the spread in 60% of their games.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Pacers have covered the spread in four games. The total has gone over in three of those five games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs.

Indiana vs. Cleveland Game Info

Indiana vs Cleveland starts on May 04, 2025 at 6:00 PM EST.

Spread: Cleveland -8.0
Moneyline: Indiana +275, Cleveland -347
Over/Under: 229.5

Indiana: (50-32)  |  Cleveland: (64-18)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Garland over 23.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Pacers have covered the spread in four games. The total has gone over in three of those five games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs.

IND trend: The Pacers have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games. On the road this season, they have struggled, posting a 4-10 ATS record.

CLE trend: The Cavaliers have a 36-46-1 ATS record for the season. At home, they have been more reliable, covering the spread in 60% of their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Indiana vs. Cleveland Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Indiana vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Indiana vs Cleveland Opening Odds

IND Moneyline: +275
CLE Moneyline: -347
IND Spread: +8
CLE Spread: -8.0
Over/Under: 229.5

Indiana vs Cleveland Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+230
-305
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-114)
U 225.5 (-112)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+135
-167
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-114)
O 224.5 (-112)
U 224.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+145
-182
+4 (-115)
-4 (-110)
O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-182
+4 (-114)
-4 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+240
-315
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+107
-132
+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-109)
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+106
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-190
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-345
+260
-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-113
-110
-1 (-109)
+1 (-117)
O 226.5 (-112)
U 226.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-103
-121
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-143
+115
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-323
+240
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-109
-116
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers on May 04, 2025 at Rocket Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS