Rockets vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 02)

Updated: 2025-04-30T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Golden State Warriors host the Houston Rockets on May 2, 2025, for Game 6 of their first-round playoff series. The Warriors lead the series 3–2 and aim to close it out at home, while the Rockets look to force a decisive Game 7.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 02, 2025

Start Time: 9:00 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Center​

Warriors Record: (48-34)

Rockets Record: (52-30)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: +185

GS Moneyline: -225

HOU Spread: +5

GS Spread: -5.0

Over/Under: 204

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Houston Rockets have a 17–12 against-the-spread (ATS) record on the road this season.

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Golden State Warriors have a 43–41–3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in approximately 51.2% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Rockets are 3–11 ATS in their last 14 games against the Warriors, and the total has gone UNDER in all of Golden State’s last seven games with Houston.

HOU vs. GS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Smith over 7.5 PTS+AST.

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Houston vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/2/25

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets are set for a high-stakes Game 6 showdown on May 2, 2025, at Chase Center, with the Warriors holding a 3–2 lead and the Rockets riding the momentum of a dominant Game 5 victory. The series has been a fascinating clash of veteran experience and youthful energy, with Golden State relying on playoff-tested stars like Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler, while Houston has leaned into the dynamism and athleticism of their rising core. Game 5 was a wake-up call for the Warriors, who were outplayed in nearly every phase and pulled their starters midway through the third quarter as Houston ran away with a 131–116 victory. The Rockets’ ability to generate consistent offense, force turnovers, and get contributions across the board—from Fred VanVleet’s 26 points to Amen Thompson’s 25 points and defensive brilliance—completely disrupted Golden State’s usual rhythm. As the series shifts back to San Francisco, the Warriors will look to regain control through their home-court advantage and playoff experience, but they’ll need a renewed focus and stronger defensive energy to prevent the Rockets from pushing this series to a Game 7. Golden State’s playoff pedigree is unquestionable, but they’ve looked vulnerable throughout this series, especially when asked to keep pace with Houston’s transition offense. Their defense has been inconsistent, and Draymond Green, long a defensive anchor and playmaker, has seen his impact diminish—averaging just 2.5 assists per game, well below his season average. While Stephen Curry remains a constant scoring threat, and Jimmy Butler provides grit and two-way value, the Warriors have lacked cohesion, particularly when the Rockets trap and switch defensively. Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins will be crucial swing factors in Game 6; if they can space the floor and knock down perimeter shots, it could open up the game for Curry to take over.

Golden State’s defense must do a better job limiting dribble penetration, rotating quickly on help assignments, and closing out on shooters to contain Houston’s offense. Head coach Steve Kerr will also be tasked with finding the right rotations to neutralize Houston’s athletic wings and maintain tempo control. Historically strong in elimination-clinching games at home, the Warriors will need to summon all their composure and precision to avoid a Game 7 scenario. The Rockets, meanwhile, arrive with confidence and a renewed sense of belief after Game 5’s breakthrough performance. Fred VanVleet continues to serve as the on-court leader, balancing scoring and facilitating while keeping his team grounded. Amen Thompson’s athleticism and defensive presence disrupted Golden State’s rhythm in Game 5, and his evolution into a two-way threat is giving the Rockets a critical edge on the wing. Alperen Şengün has played a versatile role inside, nearly registering a triple-double in the last outing despite foul trouble, and his high-IQ passing and interior scoring make Houston difficult to defend when spacing is right. Head coach Ime Udoka has pushed the right buttons throughout the series, and his team’s unselfish ball movement, defensive effort, and shot-making have all trended upward. The Rockets’ challenge in Game 6 will be maintaining their defensive discipline on the road, handling Golden State’s crowd-fueled runs, and continuing to share the scoring load. If they can stay aggressive, limit turnovers, and control the glass, the Rockets have a real chance to force a Game 7 and send this series back to Houston with everything on the line.

Houston Rockets NBA Preview

The Houston Rockets enter Game 6 against the Golden State Warriors riding high after a statement-making 131–116 win in Game 5 that extended their playoff hopes and injected new life into a first-round series that had appeared to be slipping away. Now trailing 3–2, the Rockets head to Chase Center with momentum and a belief that they can force a decisive Game 7. That belief is rooted in a balanced, dynamic Game 5 performance that saw all five starters score in double figures and exposed Golden State’s defensive vulnerabilities. Fred VanVleet was the engine of the offense, dropping 26 points while controlling the pace and setting the tone with poise and shot-making under pressure. Amen Thompson turned heads with a breakout showing, delivering 25 points alongside five steals and three blocks, proving to be a disruptive force on both ends. Meanwhile, Alperen Şengün’s near triple-double performance (15 points, nine rebounds, nine assists) underscored the Rockets’ depth and versatility, even as he played through foul trouble. That kind of multifaceted production will be essential if Houston is to replicate its success in a notoriously tough road environment. Houston’s strength has been its physicality and defensive energy, which it applied effectively in Game 5 to force turnovers and shut down the Warriors’ off-ball movement—an essential element of Golden State’s offensive identity.

Ime Udoka’s defensive scheme successfully neutralized Draymond Green’s playmaking, limiting him to just 2.5 assists per game in the series, and kept the Warriors out of rhythm by switching intelligently and denying clean perimeter looks. The Rockets will need to bring that same intensity and discipline into Game 6, especially against a Warriors team that typically elevates its performance at home and thrives on momentum fueled by crowd energy. Transition defense will be key, as will maintaining composure during expected Golden State scoring runs. The Rockets’ bench has been reliable in spurts, and continued production from role players like Jalen Green and Jabari Smith Jr. will be vital to sustaining offensive balance and withstanding the playoff pressure cooker that Chase Center can become. Offensively, the Rockets must again emphasize ball movement, spacing, and calculated aggression. In Game 5, they avoided iso-heavy possessions and instead worked through quick passes and cuts, creating quality looks and maximizing mismatches against Golden State’s slower perimeter defenders. Maintaining this approach in Game 6 will be critical, especially if the game slows down in the half court. Houston’s ability to close quarters strong and win the battle on the boards will be under a microscope, and they must also avoid the kind of foul trouble that allowed Golden State to stay in games earlier in the series. With their backs still against the wall, the Rockets have no margin for error, but they’ve shown they can win when they play their brand of intense, connected basketball. If VanVleet leads decisively, Thompson continues his two-way dominance, and Şengün controls the paint, Houston has a real shot at pushing this series to a Game 7 and reshaping the Western Conference playoff picture.

The Golden State Warriors host the Houston Rockets on May 2, 2025, for Game 6 of their first-round playoff series. The Warriors lead the series 3–2 and aim to close it out at home, while the Rockets look to force a decisive Game 7. Houston vs Golden State AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for May 02. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors return to Chase Center for Game 6 with a chance to close out the Houston Rockets and avoid a nerve-wracking Game 7. Holding a 3–2 series lead, the Warriors must shake off a disappointing Game 5 performance in which they were thoroughly outplayed on both ends of the court. Pulled from the game early in the third quarter, Golden State’s starters watched as Houston ran away with a 131–116 victory behind balanced scoring and high defensive intensity. Head coach Steve Kerr will be looking for his squad to bounce back with sharper execution, greater defensive urgency, and a more assertive tone from the opening tip. The Warriors’ playoff identity has long been tied to their ability to respond to adversity—particularly at home—and Game 6 is a prime opportunity for that identity to reassert itself in front of a raucous San Francisco crowd. Stephen Curry remains the heart of the Warriors’ offensive efforts, and his ability to move without the ball, draw defenders, and hit shots from well beyond the arc will be crucial to breaking Houston’s perimeter pressure. Yet Curry can’t do it alone. Jimmy Butler, brought in for his leadership and postseason toughness, must increase his offensive aggression and create shot opportunities both in isolation and in transition. Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins are also under the spotlight—neither has consistently delivered in this series, and their shot-making will be vital in stretching Houston’s defense and opening up driving lanes. Draymond Green, once the engine of Golden State’s ball movement, has seen his assist numbers dip significantly, averaging just 2.5 in this series. For the Warriors to rediscover their offensive rhythm, Green must become more involved as a playmaker, screening, facilitating from the elbows, and pushing the tempo in transition.

The Warriors’ system thrives on movement and cohesion, and Game 6 will require the highest level of unselfishness and precision if they are to close the door on Houston. Defensively, Golden State must make major adjustments. They were routinely burned by Houston’s pick-and-roll action and struggled to contain Amen Thompson’s drives and Fred VanVleet’s shooting in Game 5. The Warriors need to communicate better on switches, avoid unnecessary fouls, and protect the rim more effectively. With Alperen Şengün orchestrating from the high post and dominating passing lanes, the Warriors must apply more pressure on the ball and rotate decisively to cut off backdoor cuts and second-chance opportunities. Limiting turnovers will also be a focal point—too often, giveaways have fueled Houston’s transition offense and swung momentum. Historically one of the NBA’s most dangerous home teams, the Warriors boast the experience, depth, and championship DNA to deliver in this moment. Game 6 represents not only a chance to advance but a test of whether this iteration of Golden State still possesses the killer instinct that defined its dynasty. If they execute defensively, stay disciplined offensively, and unleash the collective firepower that once made them unbeatable at Chase Center, the Warriors will move on—and leave Houston with nothing but what-ifs.

Houston vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Rockets and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in May can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Smith over 7.5 PTS+AST.

Houston vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Rockets and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Houston’s strength factors between a Rockets team going up against a possibly tired Warriors team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs Golden State picks, computer picks Rockets vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Rockets Betting Trends

The Houston Rockets have a 17–12 against-the-spread (ATS) record on the road this season.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors have a 43–41–3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in approximately 51.2% of their games.

Rockets vs. Warriors Matchup Trends

The Rockets are 3–11 ATS in their last 14 games against the Warriors, and the total has gone UNDER in all of Golden State’s last seven games with Houston.

Houston vs. Golden State Game Info

Houston vs Golden State starts on May 02, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.

Spread: Golden State -5.0
Moneyline: Houston +185, Golden State -225
Over/Under: 204

Houston: (52-30)  |  Golden State: (48-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Smith over 7.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Rockets are 3–11 ATS in their last 14 games against the Warriors, and the total has gone UNDER in all of Golden State’s last seven games with Houston.

HOU trend: The Houston Rockets have a 17–12 against-the-spread (ATS) record on the road this season.

GS trend: The Golden State Warriors have a 43–41–3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in approximately 51.2% of their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. Golden State Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Houston vs Golden State Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: +185
GS Moneyline: -225
HOU Spread: +5
GS Spread: -5.0
Over/Under: 204

Houston vs Golden State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:35PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:35PM
Rockets
Thunder
+245
-300
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
-130
+110
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+150
-180
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+140
-170
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+280
-350
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
O 215.5 (-110)
U 215.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+115
-140
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-240
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+300
-375
+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-140
+115
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+130
-160
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 237 (-110)
U 237 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-375
+300
-9 (-110)
+9 (-110)
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
+120
-145
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 226.5 (+100)
U 226.5 (-120)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
+140
-170
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-170
+140
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 219.5 (-110)
U 219.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-115
-105
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors on May 02, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS