Rockets vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (May 02)
Updated: 2025-04-30T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Golden State Warriors host the Houston Rockets on May 2, 2025, for Game 6 of their first-round playoff series. The Warriors lead the series 3–2 and aim to close it out at home, while the Rockets look to force a decisive Game 7.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 02, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center
Warriors Record: (48-34)
Rockets Record: (52-30)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: +185
GS Moneyline: -225
HOU Spread: +5
GS Spread: -5.0
Over/Under: 204
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Houston Rockets have a 17–12 against-the-spread (ATS) record on the road this season.
GS
Betting Trends
- The Golden State Warriors have a 43–41–3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in approximately 51.2% of their games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Rockets are 3–11 ATS in their last 14 games against the Warriors, and the total has gone UNDER in all of Golden State’s last seven games with Houston.
HOU vs. GS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Smith over 7.5 PTS+AST.
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Houston vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 5/2/25
Golden State’s defense must do a better job limiting dribble penetration, rotating quickly on help assignments, and closing out on shooters to contain Houston’s offense. Head coach Steve Kerr will also be tasked with finding the right rotations to neutralize Houston’s athletic wings and maintain tempo control. Historically strong in elimination-clinching games at home, the Warriors will need to summon all their composure and precision to avoid a Game 7 scenario. The Rockets, meanwhile, arrive with confidence and a renewed sense of belief after Game 5’s breakthrough performance. Fred VanVleet continues to serve as the on-court leader, balancing scoring and facilitating while keeping his team grounded. Amen Thompson’s athleticism and defensive presence disrupted Golden State’s rhythm in Game 5, and his evolution into a two-way threat is giving the Rockets a critical edge on the wing. Alperen Şengün has played a versatile role inside, nearly registering a triple-double in the last outing despite foul trouble, and his high-IQ passing and interior scoring make Houston difficult to defend when spacing is right. Head coach Ime Udoka has pushed the right buttons throughout the series, and his team’s unselfish ball movement, defensive effort, and shot-making have all trended upward. The Rockets’ challenge in Game 6 will be maintaining their defensive discipline on the road, handling Golden State’s crowd-fueled runs, and continuing to share the scoring load. If they can stay aggressive, limit turnovers, and control the glass, the Rockets have a real chance to force a Game 7 and send this series back to Houston with everything on the line.
Not done yet ✅ pic.twitter.com/ZUMo2bvZF2
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) May 1, 2025
Houston Rockets NBA Preview
The Houston Rockets enter Game 6 against the Golden State Warriors riding high after a statement-making 131–116 win in Game 5 that extended their playoff hopes and injected new life into a first-round series that had appeared to be slipping away. Now trailing 3–2, the Rockets head to Chase Center with momentum and a belief that they can force a decisive Game 7. That belief is rooted in a balanced, dynamic Game 5 performance that saw all five starters score in double figures and exposed Golden State’s defensive vulnerabilities. Fred VanVleet was the engine of the offense, dropping 26 points while controlling the pace and setting the tone with poise and shot-making under pressure. Amen Thompson turned heads with a breakout showing, delivering 25 points alongside five steals and three blocks, proving to be a disruptive force on both ends. Meanwhile, Alperen Şengün’s near triple-double performance (15 points, nine rebounds, nine assists) underscored the Rockets’ depth and versatility, even as he played through foul trouble. That kind of multifaceted production will be essential if Houston is to replicate its success in a notoriously tough road environment. Houston’s strength has been its physicality and defensive energy, which it applied effectively in Game 5 to force turnovers and shut down the Warriors’ off-ball movement—an essential element of Golden State’s offensive identity.
Ime Udoka’s defensive scheme successfully neutralized Draymond Green’s playmaking, limiting him to just 2.5 assists per game in the series, and kept the Warriors out of rhythm by switching intelligently and denying clean perimeter looks. The Rockets will need to bring that same intensity and discipline into Game 6, especially against a Warriors team that typically elevates its performance at home and thrives on momentum fueled by crowd energy. Transition defense will be key, as will maintaining composure during expected Golden State scoring runs. The Rockets’ bench has been reliable in spurts, and continued production from role players like Jalen Green and Jabari Smith Jr. will be vital to sustaining offensive balance and withstanding the playoff pressure cooker that Chase Center can become. Offensively, the Rockets must again emphasize ball movement, spacing, and calculated aggression. In Game 5, they avoided iso-heavy possessions and instead worked through quick passes and cuts, creating quality looks and maximizing mismatches against Golden State’s slower perimeter defenders. Maintaining this approach in Game 6 will be critical, especially if the game slows down in the half court. Houston’s ability to close quarters strong and win the battle on the boards will be under a microscope, and they must also avoid the kind of foul trouble that allowed Golden State to stay in games earlier in the series. With their backs still against the wall, the Rockets have no margin for error, but they’ve shown they can win when they play their brand of intense, connected basketball. If VanVleet leads decisively, Thompson continues his two-way dominance, and Şengün controls the paint, Houston has a real shot at pushing this series to a Game 7 and reshaping the Western Conference playoff picture.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors return to Chase Center for Game 6 with a chance to close out the Houston Rockets and avoid a nerve-wracking Game 7. Holding a 3–2 series lead, the Warriors must shake off a disappointing Game 5 performance in which they were thoroughly outplayed on both ends of the court. Pulled from the game early in the third quarter, Golden State’s starters watched as Houston ran away with a 131–116 victory behind balanced scoring and high defensive intensity. Head coach Steve Kerr will be looking for his squad to bounce back with sharper execution, greater defensive urgency, and a more assertive tone from the opening tip. The Warriors’ playoff identity has long been tied to their ability to respond to adversity—particularly at home—and Game 6 is a prime opportunity for that identity to reassert itself in front of a raucous San Francisco crowd. Stephen Curry remains the heart of the Warriors’ offensive efforts, and his ability to move without the ball, draw defenders, and hit shots from well beyond the arc will be crucial to breaking Houston’s perimeter pressure. Yet Curry can’t do it alone. Jimmy Butler, brought in for his leadership and postseason toughness, must increase his offensive aggression and create shot opportunities both in isolation and in transition. Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins are also under the spotlight—neither has consistently delivered in this series, and their shot-making will be vital in stretching Houston’s defense and opening up driving lanes. Draymond Green, once the engine of Golden State’s ball movement, has seen his assist numbers dip significantly, averaging just 2.5 in this series. For the Warriors to rediscover their offensive rhythm, Green must become more involved as a playmaker, screening, facilitating from the elbows, and pushing the tempo in transition.
The Warriors’ system thrives on movement and cohesion, and Game 6 will require the highest level of unselfishness and precision if they are to close the door on Houston. Defensively, Golden State must make major adjustments. They were routinely burned by Houston’s pick-and-roll action and struggled to contain Amen Thompson’s drives and Fred VanVleet’s shooting in Game 5. The Warriors need to communicate better on switches, avoid unnecessary fouls, and protect the rim more effectively. With Alperen Şengün orchestrating from the high post and dominating passing lanes, the Warriors must apply more pressure on the ball and rotate decisively to cut off backdoor cuts and second-chance opportunities. Limiting turnovers will also be a focal point—too often, giveaways have fueled Houston’s transition offense and swung momentum. Historically one of the NBA’s most dangerous home teams, the Warriors boast the experience, depth, and championship DNA to deliver in this moment. Game 6 represents not only a chance to advance but a test of whether this iteration of Golden State still possesses the killer instinct that defined its dynasty. If they execute defensively, stay disciplined offensively, and unleash the collective firepower that once made them unbeatable at Chase Center, the Warriors will move on—and leave Houston with nothing but what-ifs.
See you tomorrow, #DubNation pic.twitter.com/rfPPQY93Bo
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) May 2, 2025
Houston vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)
Houston vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Rockets and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Rockets team going up against a possibly unhealthy Warriors team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs Golden State picks, computer picks Rockets vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Rockets Betting Trends
The Houston Rockets have a 17–12 against-the-spread (ATS) record on the road this season.
Warriors Betting Trends
The Golden State Warriors have a 43–41–3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in approximately 51.2% of their games.
Rockets vs. Warriors Matchup Trends
The Rockets are 3–11 ATS in their last 14 games against the Warriors, and the total has gone UNDER in all of Golden State’s last seven games with Houston.
Houston vs. Golden State Game Info
What time does Houston vs Golden State start on May 02, 2025?
Houston vs Golden State starts on May 02, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Where is Houston vs Golden State being played?
Venue: Chase Center.
What are the opening odds for Houston vs Golden State?
Spread: Golden State -5.0
Moneyline: Houston +185, Golden State -225
Over/Under: 204
What are the records for Houston vs Golden State?
Houston: (52-30) | Golden State: (48-34)
What is the AI best bet for Houston vs Golden State?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Smith over 7.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Houston vs Golden State trending bets?
The Rockets are 3–11 ATS in their last 14 games against the Warriors, and the total has gone UNDER in all of Golden State’s last seven games with Houston.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Houston Rockets have a 17–12 against-the-spread (ATS) record on the road this season.
What are Golden State trending bets?
GS trend: The Golden State Warriors have a 43–41–3 ATS record this season, covering the spread in approximately 51.2% of their games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Houston vs Golden State?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. Golden State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Houston vs Golden State Opening Odds
HOU Moneyline:
+185 GS Moneyline: -225
HOU Spread: +5
GS Spread: -5.0
Over/Under: 204
Houston vs Golden State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-168
+140
|
-4 (-108)
+4 (-112)
|
O 232.5 (-108)
U 232.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+16.5 (-114)
-16.5 (-106)
|
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-560
+420
|
-10.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+126
-148
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-108)
U 226.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-164
+138
|
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+490
-670
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-230
+190
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-112)
U 234.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
|
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors on May 02, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |