Bucks vs Pacers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 29)

Updated: 2025-04-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Indiana Pacers host the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on April 29, 2025, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Leading the series 3–1, the Pacers aim to close out the series, while the Bucks look to extend it without injured star Damian Lillard.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 29, 2025

Start Time: 6:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse​

Pacers Record: (50-32)

Bucks Record: (48-34)

OPENING ODDS

MIL Moneyline: +275

IND Moneyline: -347

MIL Spread: +7.5

IND Spread: -7.5

Over/Under: 222

MIL
Betting Trends

  • The Bucks have a 19–20–1 record against the spread (ATS) on the road during the regular season.

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Pacers posted a 29–11 home record in the regular season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Pacers have hit the over in 53.7% of their games this season, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring contests.

MIL vs. IND
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Antetokounmpo under 33.5 Points.

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Milwaukee vs Indiana Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/29/25

The Indiana Pacers return home to Gainbridge Fieldhouse for a pivotal Game 5 against the Milwaukee Bucks, holding a commanding 3–1 series lead and a golden opportunity to close out the series in front of their raucous home crowd. Throughout the series, Indiana has showcased the full range of their offensive depth and versatility, moving the ball crisply, executing their sets with precision, and creating mismatches that have exposed Milwaukee’s defensive lapses, especially with the Bucks dealing with the devastating loss of Damian Lillard to a season-ending Achilles injury in Game 4. Tyrese Haliburton has been the engine for the Pacers, orchestrating the offense brilliantly with his passing vision and timely scoring, while Myles Turner’s inside-outside game and Pascal Siakam’s versatile scoring punch have provided consistent support to keep Milwaukee off-balance defensively. The Pacers’ ability to run in transition, exploit mismatches, and space the floor has given the Bucks’ defense fits, forcing Giannis Antetokounmpo into even heavier usage on both ends of the floor without his All-Star running mate available to alleviate the burden. For Milwaukee, the formula is simple yet incredibly challenging: they must find a way to slow down Indiana’s dynamic offense, contain Haliburton’s playmaking, and manufacture enough half-court offense to keep pace, all without the firepower that Lillard typically brings to late-game situations.

Giannis will likely have to deliver a monster performance to extend the series, but he will also need significant contributions from Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, and the rest of the supporting cast, who must step into larger roles and execute with poise under playoff pressure. Defensively, the Bucks must tighten their rotations, contest Indiana’s shooters more effectively, and win the rebounding battle to limit second-chance opportunities that the Pacers have thrived on during their wins. Special attention will need to be paid to Indiana’s perimeter threats, as the Pacers have hit the over in over 53% of their games this season and are more than capable of turning games into high-scoring track meets if not checked early. With Indiana holding a superb 29–11 home record during the regular season and the home crowd poised to push them to the finish line, the Bucks will need to summon a level of resilience and execution that has eluded them over the past two contests. For the Pacers, the task is to maintain their tempo, continue playing unselfish basketball, and strike quickly to sap the Bucks’ confidence and avoid giving Giannis any opening to drag the series back to Milwaukee. History favors teams leading 3–1, but no team can afford to be complacent in the NBA playoffs, and Indiana will need to approach Game 5 with the same urgency and focus that brought them to the brink of advancement. Expect a fiercely competitive battle, but with the Pacers poised to take full advantage of their momentum and depth to seal the series in front of their home fans.

Milwaukee Bucks NBA Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks head into Game 5 facing elimination and considerable adversity, as they attempt to salvage their playoff hopes without star guard Damian Lillard, whose devastating Achilles injury in Game 4 has left a massive void in their offensive arsenal at the worst possible time. Despite the setback, the Bucks are not without weapons, and their hopes of extending the series rest squarely on the broad shoulders of Giannis Antetokounmpo, who has been magnificent throughout the series with his relentless attacks on the rim, rebounding prowess, and ability to draw fouls and create opportunities for his teammates. Giannis, however, will need significant help from Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez, Bobby Portis, and Malik Beasley, all of whom must raise their level of play to offset the loss of Lillard’s scoring and shot creation, particularly in clutch situations. Middleton’s mid-range scoring and late-game experience will be critical, while Lopez must continue to stretch Indiana’s defense with his three-point shooting and protect the paint at the other end.

Defensively, the Bucks need to regain their early-series form, focusing on contesting Indiana’s perimeter looks, cutting off passing lanes, and forcing the Pacers into more isolation sets rather than allowing the free-flowing, pass-happy offense that has carved them up recently. Head coach Doc Rivers will likely lean into a slower, more deliberate style of play, seeking to control the tempo, minimize turnovers, and make each possession count to keep Indiana from running away early and feeding off the home crowd’s energy. Special teams battles, particularly rebounding and free-throw efficiency, will also be critical, as Milwaukee must maximize every scoring opportunity and limit Indiana’s second-chance points. While the odds are stacked against them, the Bucks’ championship pedigree and Giannis’ singular brilliance mean they cannot be counted out easily, and if they can weather the early storm, find a rhythm offensively, and impose their physicality on both ends, they are more than capable of stealing Game 5 and bringing the series back to Milwaukee. The path is narrow, but for a proud Bucks squad, the belief remains strong that they can force a Game 6 and keep their championship hopes alive, even in the face of immense adversity.

The Indiana Pacers host the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on April 29, 2025, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Leading the series 3–1, the Pacers aim to close out the series, while the Bucks look to extend it without injured star Damian Lillard. Milwaukee vs Indiana AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Indiana Pacers NBA Preview

The Indiana Pacers come into Game 5 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse with all the momentum and an incredible opportunity to close out their first-round series against the Milwaukee Bucks, fueled by an energetic home crowd and the dynamic play that has made them one of the most exciting teams of the postseason so far. Indiana’s offense has been firing on all cylinders throughout the series, thanks largely to the steady hand of Tyrese Haliburton, who has orchestrated the Pacers’ attack with his signature blend of vision, creativity, and composure, consistently finding open teammates and picking apart Milwaukee’s defense both in transition and in the half-court. Myles Turner’s ability to stretch the floor with his shooting while protecting the rim defensively has given Indiana a reliable inside-out presence, and the mid-season addition of Pascal Siakam has provided them with another versatile scorer who can create mismatches and attack the basket aggressively. What has made the Pacers particularly dangerous is their depth, with players like Bennedict Mathurin and Aaron Nesmith stepping up off the bench to deliver valuable minutes and scoring bursts, allowing Indiana to maintain pace and energy throughout all four quarters.

Defensively, the Pacers have focused on making life difficult for Giannis Antetokounmpo by throwing multiple bodies at him and packing the paint, daring Milwaukee’s role players to beat them from the perimeter—a strategy that has paid off, especially with the Bucks missing Damian Lillard’s dynamic outside scoring threat. Head coach Rick Carlisle has pressed all the right buttons, making timely adjustments and emphasizing ball movement and tempo to keep Milwaukee scrambling defensively. In Game 5, the Pacers must maintain that aggressive mindset, continue pushing the pace, and stay locked in defensively to prevent Milwaukee from finding a rhythm early. With a 29–11 home record during the regular season and a perfect setup to feed off the crowd’s energy, Indiana knows that closing out a series at home is crucial, especially against a proud Bucks team that, despite being shorthanded, still boasts a two-time MVP in Giannis. If the Pacers can avoid turnovers, control the glass, and execute their offensive sets with the same sharpness they have shown throughout the series, they should be well-positioned to finish the job and advance to the second round, marking a major step forward for a young, hungry team that has proven it belongs on the playoff stage.

Milwaukee vs. Indiana Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Bucks and Pacers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Apr can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Antetokounmpo under 33.5 Points.

Milwaukee vs. Indiana Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Bucks and Pacers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending weight human bettors often put on Milwaukee’s strength factors between a Bucks team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pacers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Milwaukee vs Indiana picks, computer picks Bucks vs Pacers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Bucks Betting Trends

The Bucks have a 19–20–1 record against the spread (ATS) on the road during the regular season.

Pacers Betting Trends

The Pacers posted a 29–11 home record in the regular season.

Bucks vs. Pacers Matchup Trends

The Pacers have hit the over in 53.7% of their games this season, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring contests.

Milwaukee vs. Indiana Game Info

Milwaukee vs Indiana starts on April 29, 2025 at 6:00 PM EST.

Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Spread: Indiana -7.5
Moneyline: Milwaukee +275, Indiana -347
Over/Under: 222

Milwaukee: (48-34)  |  Indiana: (50-32)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Antetokounmpo under 33.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Pacers have hit the over in 53.7% of their games this season, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring contests.

MIL trend: The Bucks have a 19–20–1 record against the spread (ATS) on the road during the regular season.

IND trend: The Pacers posted a 29–11 home record in the regular season.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Milwaukee vs. Indiana Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Milwaukee vs Indiana trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Milwaukee vs Indiana Opening Odds

MIL Moneyline: +275
IND Moneyline: -347
MIL Spread: +7.5
IND Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 222

Milwaukee vs Indiana Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-175
+145
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-118)
O 231.5 (-115)
U 231.5 (-105)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+750
-1200
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-115)
U 227.5 (-105)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-500
+380
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+136
-162
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-162
+136
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+500
-700
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-108)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-218
+180
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers on April 29, 2025 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS