Cavaliers vs. Heat
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 28 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cleveland Cavaliers aim to complete a first-round sweep against the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Playoffs on Monday, April 28, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Leading the series 3–0, the Cavaliers are favored by 9 points, with the over/under set at 210.5 points.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 28, 2025

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Kaseya Center​

Heat Record: (37-45)

Cavaliers Record: (64-18)

OPENING ODDS

CLE Moneyline: -403

MIA Moneyline: +313

CLE Spread: -9

MIA Spread: +9.0

Over/Under: 210.5

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.

CLE vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware over 5.5 Points.

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Cleveland vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/28/25

The Cleveland Cavaliers are on the verge of completing a first-round sweep as they face the Miami Heat in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff matchup at Kaseya Center, carrying the momentum of a dominant 124–87 victory in Game 3 that left little doubt about their control over the series. Cleveland has executed its game plan with surgical precision throughout the series, using its suffocating defense anchored by newly crowned Defensive Player of the Year Evan Mobley and the relentless scoring prowess of Donovan Mitchell to overwhelm a shorthanded and inconsistent Heat team. Mitchell has been nothing short of spectacular, averaging over 30 points per game and consistently breaking down Miami’s defensive coverages with his explosive first step and perimeter shooting, while Mobley has anchored the paint, neutralizing Bam Adebayo’s impact around the rim and deterring easy drives. The Cavaliers’ depth has proven to be a major asset as well, with De’Andre Hunter providing reliable scoring and perimeter defense, and backup guard Ty Jerome delivering quality minutes that have helped maintain Cleveland’s high energy when the starters rest. Meanwhile, the Heat have been plagued by injuries and inconsistency, with key players Terry Rozier and Kevin Love sidelined and limited contributions outside of Tyler Herro, who has battled valiantly to keep Miami competitive but has not received the needed support from a depleted supporting cast. Miami’s offense has struggled mightily to create clean looks against Cleveland’s swarming defense, and the Heat’s perimeter shooting has been erratic at best, making it difficult to keep pace with a Cavaliers team that moves the ball crisply and capitalizes on defensive lapses.

Head coach Kenny Atkinson’s strategy of pressuring the Heat’s ball-handlers and forcing difficult shots has paid off handsomely, and Cleveland’s collective length and athleticism have made scoring in the half-court an uphill battle for Miami all series long. Heading into Game 4, the Cavaliers are favored by 9 points, a reflection of both their dominance thus far and the growing sense that the Heat may be running out of answers. For Miami to stave off elimination, they will need an extraordinary effort from Bam Adebayo on both ends, along with a breakout performance from someone beyond Herro, whether it’s Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., or another bench contributor who can help stretch the floor and alleviate the offensive burden. For Cleveland, the focus will be on maintaining their defensive intensity, continuing to push the tempo when opportunities arise, and closing out possessions with strong rebounding to prevent second-chance points. Should the Cavaliers maintain their composure and execute at the level they have shown throughout the first three games, they will likely punch their ticket to the second round and position themselves as a legitimate threat to make a deeper postseason run. With the Heat facing an elimination game in front of their home crowd and the Cavaliers smelling blood in the water, Game 4 promises to be a battle of desperation against dominance, with Cleveland heavily favored to come out on top.

Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers arrive at Game 4 with an opportunity to complete a first-round sweep and send a strong message to the rest of the Eastern Conference that they are serious contenders this postseason, having thoroughly outclassed the Miami Heat through three games. Powered by Donovan Mitchell’s dynamic scoring and leadership, the Cavaliers have maintained a sharp focus, dictating the pace of play and overwhelming Miami with their defensive tenacity and offensive efficiency. Mitchell has consistently created scoring opportunities, whether through isolation, pick-and-roll action, or quick ball movement that forces the Heat’s depleted defense into breakdowns. Evan Mobley, recently crowned Defensive Player of the Year, has anchored Cleveland’s efforts on the other end, using his length, timing, and instincts to erase shots at the rim, contest perimeter jumpers, and provide seamless switches that have suffocated Miami’s half-court offense. Supporting pieces like Darius Garland, De’Andre Hunter, and Ty Jerome have stepped up admirably, keeping the Cavaliers’ energy high even when rotations tighten, and their contributions have ensured that Cleveland has not suffered any letdowns even when Mitchell sits.

Head coach Kenny Atkinson’s game plan has been executed with precision, emphasizing spacing, ball sharing, and relentless defensive pressure, all of which have worn down a Heat team struggling to keep pace. Entering Game 4, the Cavaliers will look to maintain their defensive intensity, continue dominating the rebounding battle, and attack Miami’s weakened interior defense with a blend of dribble penetration and smart kick-outs for open threes. Cleveland’s ability to stay composed under playoff pressure, combined with their superior depth and execution, puts them in prime position to close out the series without giving Miami any chance to build momentum. While they will undoubtedly expect a fierce push from the Heat desperate to avoid elimination, the Cavaliers know that maintaining their defensive standards and playing with the same energy and unselfishness that have defined the first three games will likely lead to another convincing victory. A sweep would not only give Cleveland valuable rest before the second round but would also further cement their growing reputation as one of the most dangerous teams in the postseason field.

The Cleveland Cavaliers aim to complete a first-round sweep against the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Playoffs on Monday, April 28, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Leading the series 3–0, the Cavaliers are favored by 9 points, with the over/under set at 210.5 points. Cleveland vs Miami AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Heat NBA Preview

The Miami Heat enter Game 4 of their first-round playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers with their backs firmly against the wall, trailing 3–0 and desperately needing a victory to extend their season and avoid a sweep on their home floor at Kaseya Center. Injuries have devastated Miami’s depth and game plan, with Terry Rozier and Kevin Love both sidelined and Jimmy Butler’s absence felt acutely on both ends of the floor, leaving a heavy burden on Tyler Herro to carry the offensive load. Herro has battled admirably, providing scoring bursts and facilitating when needed, but without reliable secondary scoring options and consistent ball movement, Miami’s offense has stagnated far too often against Cleveland’s relentless defensive pressure. Bam Adebayo has provided a solid presence in the paint, but Cleveland’s length and mobility, particularly with Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen patrolling the interior, have made it extremely difficult for the Heat to score efficiently around the rim. Caleb Martin and Duncan Robinson have been called upon to offer perimeter shooting and energy, but their production has been inconsistent, leaving head coach Erik Spoelstra searching for answers and lineup combinations that can spark both defensive stops and quick scoring runs.

Defensively, Miami’s traditionally aggressive schemes have been ineffective against Donovan Mitchell, who has relentlessly attacked closeouts, exploited mismatches, and carved up Miami’s rotations with sharp perimeter shooting and fearless drives to the basket. If the Heat are to pull off a Game 4 victory, they must first tighten their defensive communication, reduce careless turnovers that fuel Cleveland’s transition game, and rediscover the gritty, disciplined identity that has defined their playoff success in years past. A stronger rebounding effort, particularly on the defensive glass, will also be critical to limit Cleveland’s second-chance points, an area that hurt Miami badly in Game 3. Spoelstra will undoubtedly have his team prepared to fight, but without a breakout performance from multiple role players and a substantial uptick in energy and execution across the board, Miami faces a steep uphill battle to keep their playoff hopes alive. A win would breathe life back into the series and send the Heat back to Cleveland with renewed purpose, but the margin for error is razor-thin, and only a near-flawless performance will be enough to overcome the deficit and the Cavaliers’ growing confidence.

Cleveland vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Cavaliers and Heat play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kaseya Center in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware over 5.5 Points.

Cleveland vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Cavaliers and Heat and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Cavaliers team going up against a possibly healthy Heat team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Miami picks, computer picks Cavaliers vs Heat, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.

Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Matchup Trends

In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.

Cleveland vs. Miami Game Info

Cleveland vs Miami starts on April 28, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +9.0
Moneyline: Cleveland -403, Miami +313
Over/Under: 210.5

Cleveland: (64-18)  |  Miami: (37-45)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware over 5.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.

CLE trend: The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.

MIA trend: The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cleveland vs. Miami Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cleveland vs Miami Opening Odds

CLE Moneyline: -403
MIA Moneyline: +313
CLE Spread: -9
MIA Spread: +9.0
Over/Under: 210.5

Cleveland vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+230
-305
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-114)
U 225.5 (-112)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+135
-167
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-114)
O 224.5 (-112)
U 224.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+145
-182
+4 (-115)
-4 (-110)
O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-182
+4 (-114)
-4 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+240
-315
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+107
-132
+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-109)
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+106
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-190
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-345
+260
-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-113
-110
-1 (-109)
+1 (-117)
O 226.5 (-112)
U 226.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-103
-121
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-143
+115
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-323
+240
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-109
-116
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat on April 28, 2025 at Kaseya Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS