Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 28)

Updated: 2025-04-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cleveland Cavaliers aim to complete a first-round sweep against the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Playoffs on Monday, April 28, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Leading the series 3–0, the Cavaliers are favored by 9 points, with the over/under set at 210.5 points.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 28, 2025

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Kaseya Center​

Heat Record: (37-45)

Cavaliers Record: (64-18)

OPENING ODDS

CLE Moneyline: -403

MIA Moneyline: +313

CLE Spread: -9

MIA Spread: +9.0

Over/Under: 210.5

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.

CLE vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware over 5.5 Points.

LIVE NBA ODDS

NBA ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
341-258
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+373.5
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,349
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1598-1366
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+376.6
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,657

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Cleveland vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/28/25

The Cleveland Cavaliers are on the verge of completing a first-round sweep as they face the Miami Heat in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff matchup at Kaseya Center, carrying the momentum of a dominant 124–87 victory in Game 3 that left little doubt about their control over the series. Cleveland has executed its game plan with surgical precision throughout the series, using its suffocating defense anchored by newly crowned Defensive Player of the Year Evan Mobley and the relentless scoring prowess of Donovan Mitchell to overwhelm a shorthanded and inconsistent Heat team. Mitchell has been nothing short of spectacular, averaging over 30 points per game and consistently breaking down Miami’s defensive coverages with his explosive first step and perimeter shooting, while Mobley has anchored the paint, neutralizing Bam Adebayo’s impact around the rim and deterring easy drives. The Cavaliers’ depth has proven to be a major asset as well, with De’Andre Hunter providing reliable scoring and perimeter defense, and backup guard Ty Jerome delivering quality minutes that have helped maintain Cleveland’s high energy when the starters rest. Meanwhile, the Heat have been plagued by injuries and inconsistency, with key players Terry Rozier and Kevin Love sidelined and limited contributions outside of Tyler Herro, who has battled valiantly to keep Miami competitive but has not received the needed support from a depleted supporting cast. Miami’s offense has struggled mightily to create clean looks against Cleveland’s swarming defense, and the Heat’s perimeter shooting has been erratic at best, making it difficult to keep pace with a Cavaliers team that moves the ball crisply and capitalizes on defensive lapses.

Head coach Kenny Atkinson’s strategy of pressuring the Heat’s ball-handlers and forcing difficult shots has paid off handsomely, and Cleveland’s collective length and athleticism have made scoring in the half-court an uphill battle for Miami all series long. Heading into Game 4, the Cavaliers are favored by 9 points, a reflection of both their dominance thus far and the growing sense that the Heat may be running out of answers. For Miami to stave off elimination, they will need an extraordinary effort from Bam Adebayo on both ends, along with a breakout performance from someone beyond Herro, whether it’s Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., or another bench contributor who can help stretch the floor and alleviate the offensive burden. For Cleveland, the focus will be on maintaining their defensive intensity, continuing to push the tempo when opportunities arise, and closing out possessions with strong rebounding to prevent second-chance points. Should the Cavaliers maintain their composure and execute at the level they have shown throughout the first three games, they will likely punch their ticket to the second round and position themselves as a legitimate threat to make a deeper postseason run. With the Heat facing an elimination game in front of their home crowd and the Cavaliers smelling blood in the water, Game 4 promises to be a battle of desperation against dominance, with Cleveland heavily favored to come out on top.

Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers arrive at Game 4 with an opportunity to complete a first-round sweep and send a strong message to the rest of the Eastern Conference that they are serious contenders this postseason, having thoroughly outclassed the Miami Heat through three games. Powered by Donovan Mitchell’s dynamic scoring and leadership, the Cavaliers have maintained a sharp focus, dictating the pace of play and overwhelming Miami with their defensive tenacity and offensive efficiency. Mitchell has consistently created scoring opportunities, whether through isolation, pick-and-roll action, or quick ball movement that forces the Heat’s depleted defense into breakdowns. Evan Mobley, recently crowned Defensive Player of the Year, has anchored Cleveland’s efforts on the other end, using his length, timing, and instincts to erase shots at the rim, contest perimeter jumpers, and provide seamless switches that have suffocated Miami’s half-court offense. Supporting pieces like Darius Garland, De’Andre Hunter, and Ty Jerome have stepped up admirably, keeping the Cavaliers’ energy high even when rotations tighten, and their contributions have ensured that Cleveland has not suffered any letdowns even when Mitchell sits.

Head coach Kenny Atkinson’s game plan has been executed with precision, emphasizing spacing, ball sharing, and relentless defensive pressure, all of which have worn down a Heat team struggling to keep pace. Entering Game 4, the Cavaliers will look to maintain their defensive intensity, continue dominating the rebounding battle, and attack Miami’s weakened interior defense with a blend of dribble penetration and smart kick-outs for open threes. Cleveland’s ability to stay composed under playoff pressure, combined with their superior depth and execution, puts them in prime position to close out the series without giving Miami any chance to build momentum. While they will undoubtedly expect a fierce push from the Heat desperate to avoid elimination, the Cavaliers know that maintaining their defensive standards and playing with the same energy and unselfishness that have defined the first three games will likely lead to another convincing victory. A sweep would not only give Cleveland valuable rest before the second round but would also further cement their growing reputation as one of the most dangerous teams in the postseason field.

The Cleveland Cavaliers aim to complete a first-round sweep against the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Playoffs on Monday, April 28, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Leading the series 3–0, the Cavaliers are favored by 9 points, with the over/under set at 210.5 points. Cleveland vs Miami AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Heat NBA Preview

The Miami Heat enter Game 4 of their first-round playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers with their backs firmly against the wall, trailing 3–0 and desperately needing a victory to extend their season and avoid a sweep on their home floor at Kaseya Center. Injuries have devastated Miami’s depth and game plan, with Terry Rozier and Kevin Love both sidelined and Jimmy Butler’s absence felt acutely on both ends of the floor, leaving a heavy burden on Tyler Herro to carry the offensive load. Herro has battled admirably, providing scoring bursts and facilitating when needed, but without reliable secondary scoring options and consistent ball movement, Miami’s offense has stagnated far too often against Cleveland’s relentless defensive pressure. Bam Adebayo has provided a solid presence in the paint, but Cleveland’s length and mobility, particularly with Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen patrolling the interior, have made it extremely difficult for the Heat to score efficiently around the rim. Caleb Martin and Duncan Robinson have been called upon to offer perimeter shooting and energy, but their production has been inconsistent, leaving head coach Erik Spoelstra searching for answers and lineup combinations that can spark both defensive stops and quick scoring runs.

Defensively, Miami’s traditionally aggressive schemes have been ineffective against Donovan Mitchell, who has relentlessly attacked closeouts, exploited mismatches, and carved up Miami’s rotations with sharp perimeter shooting and fearless drives to the basket. If the Heat are to pull off a Game 4 victory, they must first tighten their defensive communication, reduce careless turnovers that fuel Cleveland’s transition game, and rediscover the gritty, disciplined identity that has defined their playoff success in years past. A stronger rebounding effort, particularly on the defensive glass, will also be critical to limit Cleveland’s second-chance points, an area that hurt Miami badly in Game 3. Spoelstra will undoubtedly have his team prepared to fight, but without a breakout performance from multiple role players and a substantial uptick in energy and execution across the board, Miami faces a steep uphill battle to keep their playoff hopes alive. A win would breathe life back into the series and send the Heat back to Cleveland with renewed purpose, but the margin for error is razor-thin, and only a near-flawless performance will be enough to overcome the deficit and the Cavaliers’ growing confidence.

Cleveland vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Cavaliers and Heat play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kaseya Center in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware over 5.5 Points.

Cleveland vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Cavaliers and Heat and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Cavaliers team going up against a possibly strong Heat team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Miami picks, computer picks Cavaliers vs Heat, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Cavaliers Betting Trends

The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.

Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Matchup Trends

In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.

Cleveland vs. Miami Game Info

Cleveland vs Miami starts on April 28, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +9.0
Moneyline: Cleveland -403, Miami +313
Over/Under: 210.5

Cleveland: (64-18)  |  Miami: (37-45)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware over 5.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.

CLE trend: The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.

MIA trend: The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cleveland vs. Miami Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cleveland vs Miami Opening Odds

CLE Moneyline: -403
MIA Moneyline: +313
CLE Spread: -9
MIA Spread: +9.0
Over/Under: 210.5

Cleveland vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-162
+130
-3.5 (-113)
+3.5 (-112)
O 232 (-113)
U 232 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+700
-1250
+16 (-115)
-16 (-110)
O 228.5 (-114)
U 228.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-530
+370
-10.5 (-115)
+10.5 (-110)
O 233.5 (-112)
U 233.5 (-114)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+125
-155
+3.5 (-117)
-3.5 (-109)
O 226.5 (-113)
U 226.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-175
+135
-4 (-109)
+4 (-115)
O 232.5 (-114)
U 232.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+450
-670
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-115)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-235
+185
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-114)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat on April 28, 2025 at Kaseya Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS