Cavaliers vs. Heat
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 28 | NBA AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cleveland Cavaliers aim to complete a first-round sweep against the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Playoffs on Monday, April 28, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Leading the series 3–0, the Cavaliers are favored by 9 points, with the over/under set at 210.5 points.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 28, 2025
Start Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Kaseya Center
Heat Record: (37-45)
Cavaliers Record: (64-18)
OPENING ODDS
CLE Moneyline: -403
MIA Moneyline: +313
CLE Spread: -9
MIA Spread: +9.0
Over/Under: 210.5
CLE
Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.
CLE vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware over 5.5 Points.
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Cleveland vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/28/25
Head coach Kenny Atkinson’s strategy of pressuring the Heat’s ball-handlers and forcing difficult shots has paid off handsomely, and Cleveland’s collective length and athleticism have made scoring in the half-court an uphill battle for Miami all series long. Heading into Game 4, the Cavaliers are favored by 9 points, a reflection of both their dominance thus far and the growing sense that the Heat may be running out of answers. For Miami to stave off elimination, they will need an extraordinary effort from Bam Adebayo on both ends, along with a breakout performance from someone beyond Herro, whether it’s Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., or another bench contributor who can help stretch the floor and alleviate the offensive burden. For Cleveland, the focus will be on maintaining their defensive intensity, continuing to push the tempo when opportunities arise, and closing out possessions with strong rebounding to prevent second-chance points. Should the Cavaliers maintain their composure and execute at the level they have shown throughout the first three games, they will likely punch their ticket to the second round and position themselves as a legitimate threat to make a deeper postseason run. With the Heat facing an elimination game in front of their home crowd and the Cavaliers smelling blood in the water, Game 4 promises to be a battle of desperation against dominance, with Cleveland heavily favored to come out on top.
Not finished yet. #LetEmKnow pic.twitter.com/Ea5dvLjLQO
— Cleveland Cavaliers (@cavs) April 26, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers arrive at Game 4 with an opportunity to complete a first-round sweep and send a strong message to the rest of the Eastern Conference that they are serious contenders this postseason, having thoroughly outclassed the Miami Heat through three games. Powered by Donovan Mitchell’s dynamic scoring and leadership, the Cavaliers have maintained a sharp focus, dictating the pace of play and overwhelming Miami with their defensive tenacity and offensive efficiency. Mitchell has consistently created scoring opportunities, whether through isolation, pick-and-roll action, or quick ball movement that forces the Heat’s depleted defense into breakdowns. Evan Mobley, recently crowned Defensive Player of the Year, has anchored Cleveland’s efforts on the other end, using his length, timing, and instincts to erase shots at the rim, contest perimeter jumpers, and provide seamless switches that have suffocated Miami’s half-court offense. Supporting pieces like Darius Garland, De’Andre Hunter, and Ty Jerome have stepped up admirably, keeping the Cavaliers’ energy high even when rotations tighten, and their contributions have ensured that Cleveland has not suffered any letdowns even when Mitchell sits.
Head coach Kenny Atkinson’s game plan has been executed with precision, emphasizing spacing, ball sharing, and relentless defensive pressure, all of which have worn down a Heat team struggling to keep pace. Entering Game 4, the Cavaliers will look to maintain their defensive intensity, continue dominating the rebounding battle, and attack Miami’s weakened interior defense with a blend of dribble penetration and smart kick-outs for open threes. Cleveland’s ability to stay composed under playoff pressure, combined with their superior depth and execution, puts them in prime position to close out the series without giving Miami any chance to build momentum. While they will undoubtedly expect a fierce push from the Heat desperate to avoid elimination, the Cavaliers know that maintaining their defensive standards and playing with the same energy and unselfishness that have defined the first three games will likely lead to another convincing victory. A sweep would not only give Cleveland valuable rest before the second round but would also further cement their growing reputation as one of the most dangerous teams in the postseason field.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Heat NBA Preview
The Miami Heat enter Game 4 of their first-round playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers with their backs firmly against the wall, trailing 3–0 and desperately needing a victory to extend their season and avoid a sweep on their home floor at Kaseya Center. Injuries have devastated Miami’s depth and game plan, with Terry Rozier and Kevin Love both sidelined and Jimmy Butler’s absence felt acutely on both ends of the floor, leaving a heavy burden on Tyler Herro to carry the offensive load. Herro has battled admirably, providing scoring bursts and facilitating when needed, but without reliable secondary scoring options and consistent ball movement, Miami’s offense has stagnated far too often against Cleveland’s relentless defensive pressure. Bam Adebayo has provided a solid presence in the paint, but Cleveland’s length and mobility, particularly with Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen patrolling the interior, have made it extremely difficult for the Heat to score efficiently around the rim. Caleb Martin and Duncan Robinson have been called upon to offer perimeter shooting and energy, but their production has been inconsistent, leaving head coach Erik Spoelstra searching for answers and lineup combinations that can spark both defensive stops and quick scoring runs.
Defensively, Miami’s traditionally aggressive schemes have been ineffective against Donovan Mitchell, who has relentlessly attacked closeouts, exploited mismatches, and carved up Miami’s rotations with sharp perimeter shooting and fearless drives to the basket. If the Heat are to pull off a Game 4 victory, they must first tighten their defensive communication, reduce careless turnovers that fuel Cleveland’s transition game, and rediscover the gritty, disciplined identity that has defined their playoff success in years past. A stronger rebounding effort, particularly on the defensive glass, will also be critical to limit Cleveland’s second-chance points, an area that hurt Miami badly in Game 3. Spoelstra will undoubtedly have his team prepared to fight, but without a breakout performance from multiple role players and a substantial uptick in energy and execution across the board, Miami faces a steep uphill battle to keep their playoff hopes alive. A win would breathe life back into the series and send the Heat back to Cleveland with renewed purpose, but the margin for error is razor-thin, and only a near-flawless performance will be enough to overcome the deficit and the Cavaliers’ growing confidence.
Final frame otw pic.twitter.com/RcQjfkyDnU
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) April 26, 2025
Cleveland vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
Cleveland vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Cavaliers and Heat and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Cavaliers team going up against a possibly healthy Heat team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Miami picks, computer picks Cavaliers vs Heat, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Cavaliers Betting Trends
The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.
Heat Betting Trends
The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.
Cavaliers vs. Heat Matchup Trends
In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.
Cleveland vs. Miami Game Info
What time does Cleveland vs Miami start on April 28, 2025?
Cleveland vs Miami starts on April 28, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.
Where is Cleveland vs Miami being played?
Venue: Kaseya Center.
What are the opening odds for Cleveland vs Miami?
Spread: Miami +9.0
Moneyline: Cleveland -403, Miami +313
Over/Under: 210.5
What are the records for Cleveland vs Miami?
Cleveland: (64-18) | Miami: (37-45)
What is the AI best bet for Cleveland vs Miami?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware over 5.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Cleveland vs Miami trending bets?
In their three playoff games against the Heat, the Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, including a 124–87 victory in Game 3 as 5-point favorites.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: The Cavaliers have a 55–26–2 record against the spread (ATS) for the 2024–25 season, covering 67.9% of the time.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Miami Heat have a 15–22–1 ATS record at home this season, covering 40.5% of the time.
Where can I find AI Picks for Cleveland vs Miami?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Cleveland vs. Miami Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Cleveland vs Miami Opening Odds
CLE Moneyline:
-403 MIA Moneyline: +313
CLE Spread: -9
MIA Spread: +9.0
Over/Under: 210.5
Cleveland vs Miami Live Odds
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–
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+230
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O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
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–
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+145
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+4 (-114)
-4 (-112)
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O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
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–
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+240
-315
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+7.5 (-113)
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O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
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+107
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+2 (-110)
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O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
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+190
-245
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+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
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O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
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Wizards
Bucks
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+285
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O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
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-132
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O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
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–
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+150
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+4.5 (-112)
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O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
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–
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-345
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-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
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O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
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Spurs
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–
–
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-113
-110
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-1 (-109)
+1 (-117)
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O 226.5 (-112)
U 226.5 (-113)
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Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
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Kings
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–
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-103
-121
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+1.5 (-114)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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Minnesota Timberwolves
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-143
+115
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-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
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O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
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Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
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–
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-323
+240
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
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Denver Nuggets
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O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat on April 28, 2025 at Kaseya Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |