Pacers vs. Bucks
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 27 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks face off in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series on Sunday, April 27, 2025, at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. The Pacers lead the series 2–1, with the Bucks aiming to even the series on their home court.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 27, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: Fiserv Forum​

Bucks Record: (48-34)

Pacers Record: (50-32)

OPENING ODDS

IND Moneyline: +158

MIL Moneyline: -190

IND Spread: +4.5

MIL Spread: -4.5

Over/Under: 226

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Pacers have a 38–43–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season. As underdogs of 4.5 points or more, they are 11–9 ATS.

MIL
Betting Trends

  • The Bucks have a 42–39–1 ATS record this season. At home, they are 24–17–1 ATS, covering 57.1% of the time.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The over/under for Game 4 is set at 226.5 points. Combined, the Pacers and Bucks average 232.9 points per game, suggesting a potential for the over to hit.

IND vs. MIL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Lillard over 18.5 Points.

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Indiana vs Milwaukee Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/27/25

The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks prepare for a critical Game 4 clash at Fiserv Forum on April 27, 2025, with the Pacers holding a narrow 2–1 series advantage but the Bucks having regained momentum following a dominant 117–101 victory in Game 3. After falling into a 0–2 hole on the road, Milwaukee responded emphatically behind another monster performance from Giannis Antetokounmpo, whose relentless energy, interior dominance, and leadership have kept the Bucks’ championship hopes alive despite the continued absence of Damian Lillard due to injury. Brook Lopez and Gary Trent Jr. stepped up in Lillard’s absence, providing much-needed secondary scoring and defensive resistance, while the Bucks’ bench, led by Bobby Portis and Kevin Porter Jr., delivered timely hustle plays that helped swing the momentum firmly in Milwaukee’s favor. Head coach Doc Rivers emphasized a return to defensive fundamentals in Game 3, and the Bucks responded by closing down the Pacers’ transition opportunities, contesting perimeter shots more effectively, and controlling the glass. Meanwhile, the Pacers will look to reset and refocus after struggling to match Milwaukee’s heightened physicality and energy; Tyrese Haliburton continues to orchestrate Indiana’s offense with his elite vision and quickness, but he will need to be more aggressive looking for his own shot to help counter Milwaukee’s switching defensive schemes. Pascal Siakam remains a critical factor for the Pacers with his versatility inside and out, but Indiana’s supporting cast, including Myles Turner, Bennedict Mathurin, and Andrew Nembhard, must offer more consistency on both ends if they hope to steal another game on the road.

The series has grown increasingly physical and tense, with multiple technical fouls and hard fouls highlighting the rising stakes and animosity between the teams, and emotions are likely to run high again in Game 4 as both sides battle for control. Special teams factors—three-point shooting efficiency, turnover margin, and rebounding differential—are expected to be decisive once again, particularly with Milwaukee’s home crowd ready to provide a boost whenever the Bucks generate momentum swings. For the Pacers, regaining pace, spacing the floor more effectively, and getting Haliburton back into rhythm as both a scorer and facilitator will be key, while Milwaukee’s formula remains clear: ride Giannis’ brilliance, force the Pacers into half-court sets, and capitalize on the size and strength advantages they have around the rim. A Bucks victory would even the series at 2–2 and fully reframe the narrative ahead of a crucial Game 5 in Indiana, while a Pacers win would put Milwaukee on the brink of elimination and validate Indiana’s emergence as a dangerous playoff threat. With both teams understanding the magnitude of the moment, expect an intense, physical, and fiercely contested Game 4 where each possession could determine the course of the series.

Indiana Pacers NBA Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks enter Game 4 with a renewed sense of urgency and momentum, having earned a much-needed 117–101 victory in Game 3 that restored belief in their ability to win this bruising first-round series against the Indiana Pacers. Behind another sensational performance from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who posted his third straight 30-point game of the series, and an unexpected scoring eruption from Gary Trent Jr., who knocked down nine three-pointers, the Bucks delivered a complete team effort that reenergized both the roster and the Fiserv Forum faithful. James Harden’s leadership and Damian Lillard’s return to action have added depth to a Milwaukee backcourt that, although not at full strength, showed glimpses of the offensive balance that made them one of the most feared teams during the regular season. Defensively, Milwaukee’s improvement was evident as they tightened perimeter coverage, contested shots more aggressively, and controlled the glass, holding the Pacers to rushed looks and limiting their fast-break opportunities.

Head coach Doc Rivers has emphasized physicality and focus, and his adjustments—particularly in slowing down Tyrese Haliburton and switching more effectively on pick-and-rolls—paid clear dividends in Game 3. Role players like Bobby Portis and Brook Lopez also made significant impacts, bringing energy, rebounding, and defensive toughness that helped Milwaukee win crucial possessions. The Bucks’ home-court advantage has been a critical weapon all season, reflected in their strong ATS record at Fiserv Forum, and they will look to once again feed off their crowd’s intensity in a game that feels like a must-win to avoid falling into a 3–1 series deficit. Offensively, the formula remains simple: allow Giannis to attack downhill, trust the ball movement to find open shooters like Trent Jr. and Khris Middleton, and keep defensive intensity high to disrupt Indiana’s rhythm. If the Bucks can replicate their Game 3 blueprint while continuing to wear down the Pacers with their size and experience, they will have a strong chance to even the series and reassert themselves as legitimate Eastern Conference contenders.

The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks face off in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series on Sunday, April 27, 2025, at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. The Pacers lead the series 2–1, with the Bucks aiming to even the series on their home court. Indiana vs Milwaukee AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Milwaukee Bucks NBA Preview

The Indiana Pacers come into Game 4 with a 2–1 series advantage, but Friday night’s loss served as a harsh reminder that closing out a veteran, battle-tested team like the Milwaukee Bucks will require near-flawless execution and mental toughness. Indiana had dominated the early stages of the series with their speed, ball movement, and shot-making, but Game 3 saw some of their flaws exposed, particularly in dealing with heightened defensive pressure and a resurgent Milwaukee attack. Pascal Siakam continues to be a pillar of consistency for the Pacers, averaging nearly 26 points and 8 rebounds per game while providing veteran leadership and crucial interior scoring. Tyrese Haliburton’s orchestration remains central to Indiana’s offensive identity, but Milwaukee’s adjustments in defending the pick-and-roll slowed his ability to create easy looks, meaning others like Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard, and Bennedict Mathurin must step up with more decisive contributions.

Defensively, Indiana will need to be sharper in closing out on shooters and containing Giannis’ drives, both of which hurt them significantly in Game 3. Head coach Rick Carlisle will almost certainly stress the importance of maintaining composure under physical pressure and getting back to pushing the pace, an area where Indiana can regain its advantage by forcing Milwaukee into transition defense, where the Bucks have been more vulnerable. The Pacers’ depth has been a strength throughout the season, and getting stronger bench production could be a major factor if they hope to withstand Milwaukee’s inevitable runs. A win in Game 4 would put Indiana in a commanding 3–1 lead heading back to Indianapolis, giving them a golden opportunity to close out the series in front of their home fans, but it will require a far better overall performance than what they delivered Friday night, particularly in matching Milwaukee’s physical intensity and focus for a full 48 minutes.

Indiana vs. Milwaukee Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Pacers and Bucks play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Fiserv Forum in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Lillard over 18.5 Points.

Indiana vs. Milwaukee Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Pacers and Bucks and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Pacers team going up against a possibly deflated Bucks team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Indiana vs Milwaukee picks, computer picks Pacers vs Bucks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Pacers Betting Trends

The Pacers have a 38–43–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season. As underdogs of 4.5 points or more, they are 11–9 ATS.

Bucks Betting Trends

The Bucks have a 42–39–1 ATS record this season. At home, they are 24–17–1 ATS, covering 57.1% of the time.

Pacers vs. Bucks Matchup Trends

The over/under for Game 4 is set at 226.5 points. Combined, the Pacers and Bucks average 232.9 points per game, suggesting a potential for the over to hit.

Indiana vs. Milwaukee Game Info

Indiana vs Milwaukee starts on April 27, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Milwaukee -4.5
Moneyline: Indiana +158, Milwaukee -190
Over/Under: 226

Indiana: (50-32)  |  Milwaukee: (48-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Lillard over 18.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The over/under for Game 4 is set at 226.5 points. Combined, the Pacers and Bucks average 232.9 points per game, suggesting a potential for the over to hit.

IND trend: The Pacers have a 38–43–1 record against the spread (ATS) this season. As underdogs of 4.5 points or more, they are 11–9 ATS.

MIL trend: The Bucks have a 42–39–1 ATS record this season. At home, they are 24–17–1 ATS, covering 57.1% of the time.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Indiana vs. Milwaukee Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Indiana vs Milwaukee trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Indiana vs Milwaukee Opening Odds

IND Moneyline: +158
MIL Moneyline: -190
IND Spread: +4.5
MIL Spread: -4.5
Over/Under: 226

Indiana vs Milwaukee Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+230
-305
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-114)
U 225.5 (-112)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+135
-167
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-114)
O 224.5 (-112)
U 224.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+145
-182
+4 (-115)
-4 (-110)
O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-182
+4 (-114)
-4 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+240
-315
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+107
-132
+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-109)
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+106
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-190
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-345
+260
-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-113
-110
-1 (-109)
+1 (-117)
O 226.5 (-112)
U 226.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-103
-121
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-143
+115
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-323
+240
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-109
-116
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks on April 27, 2025 at Fiserv Forum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS