Thunder vs. Grizzlies
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 26 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Oklahoma City Thunder aim to complete a first-round sweep of the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 4 on April 26, 2025, at FedExForum. Leading the series 3-0, the Thunder have showcased dominance, with a notable 131-80 victory in Game 1.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 26, 2025

Start Time: 3:30 PM EST​

Venue: FedExForum​

Grizzlies Record: (48-34)

Thunder Record: (68-14)

OPENING ODDS

OKC Moneyline: -1136

MEM Moneyline: +717

OKC Spread: -15

MEM Spread: +15.0

Over/Under: 222.5

OKC
Betting Trends

  • The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 68-14 record, covering the spread in 56 of 82 games (68.3%). In the playoffs, they’ve continued this trend, covering the spread in all three games against the Grizzlies.

MEM
Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 48-34 record, covering the spread in 44 of 82 games (53.7%). However, in the current playoff series, they’ve failed to cover the spread in all three games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Throughout the series, the Thunder have consistently covered the spread, including a significant 51-point win in Game 1. The Grizzlies, conversely, have struggled to meet expectations, failing to cover the spread in each game.

OKC vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Dort over 8.5 Points.

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Oklahoma City vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/26/25

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies meet for Game 4 of their first-round playoff series on April 26, 2025, at FedExForum, with the Thunder firmly in control, holding a 3-0 series lead and looking to complete a decisive sweep. Oklahoma City has showcased exactly why they finished the regular season with an impressive 68-14 record, bringing relentless energy, defensive toughness, and offensive efficiency to a series that has been largely one-sided from the outset. Game 1 set the tone emphatically, with the Thunder cruising to a 131-80 victory, and while Games 2 and 3 were more competitive, Oklahoma City’s superiority in execution, depth, and composure has remained evident. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has led the charge, averaging over 28 points per game in the series, while rookie sensation Chet Holmgren has been a major difference-maker on both ends, altering shots defensively and stretching the floor offensively. The Thunder’s perimeter defense has been particularly stifling, forcing Ja Morant into difficult shots and containing Memphis’ secondary scorers, leaving the Grizzlies struggling to generate consistent offense. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City’s ball movement and unselfish play have created open looks for a variety of contributors, including Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey, making it difficult for Memphis to focus their defensive efforts on any single player. For the Grizzlies, the story has been a familiar and frustrating one, plagued by inconsistent shooting, an inability to protect the basketball, and defensive lapses that the Thunder have punished ruthlessly. Injuries to key rotation players have further exposed Memphis’ lack of depth, and despite Ja Morant’s heroics in stretches, the Grizzlies have been unable to put together a complete game to challenge Oklahoma City’s dominance.

As Game 4 approaches, the Thunder will look to maintain their focus and avoid any temptation to let up, understanding that a sweep would provide valuable rest before a deeper playoff run. Head coach Mark Daigneault has emphasized discipline and staying aggressive, warning against the dangers of giving a proud Memphis team any hope of swinging momentum back their way. On the other side, Memphis head coach Taylor Jenkins will be urging his team to play with desperation and pride, focusing on improving their defensive rotations, limiting second-chance points, and trying to force Oklahoma City into more contested shots. The Grizzlies will need a near-perfect performance and likely a career night from Morant to avoid elimination, but the odds heavily favor a Thunder sweep if they continue executing at the level they’ve displayed throughout the series. Expect the Thunder to come out sharp, pushing the pace, pressuring ball-handlers defensively, and looking to establish an early lead that could deflate the home crowd at FedExForum. If Oklahoma City continues to dominate the glass, force turnovers, and shoot efficiently from beyond the arc, it is difficult to envision anything other than a clean four-game sweep and a statement that the Thunder are a true championship contender this postseason.

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder head into Game 4 against the Memphis Grizzlies with a commanding 3-0 series lead and a golden opportunity to complete a dominant first-round sweep, sending a strong message to the rest of the NBA about their championship intentions. Throughout the series, Oklahoma City has looked every bit like the team that earned the league’s best record at 68-14, combining stifling defense, unselfish offense, and relentless energy to overwhelm a Memphis squad that has been unable to match their consistency and depth. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the catalyst, slicing through the Grizzlies’ defense with surgical precision and making clutch plays whenever needed, while Chet Holmgren has provided a major presence inside, altering shots, grabbing rebounds, and stretching the floor with his shooting ability. What makes the Thunder especially dangerous is their balance; Jalen Williams, Josh Giddey, and Isaiah Joe have all delivered significant contributions, making it nearly impossible for Memphis to key on any single player. Defensively, Oklahoma City has executed their game plan to near perfection, forcing Memphis into contested shots, shutting down transition opportunities, and collapsing quickly on Morant’s drives to prevent him from getting easy looks at the basket.

Coach Mark Daigneault deserves credit for instilling a disciplined, team-first mentality that has served the Thunder well in this series, with players buying into their roles and consistently making the extra pass or the extra rotation needed to stifle Memphis’ offense. Heading into Game 4, the Thunder’s focus must be on closing out the series with the same level of intensity and discipline that has defined their postseason run so far; complacency is the only real threat to their momentum. Maintaining strong defensive pressure, controlling the boards, and pushing the pace when opportunities arise will be key factors, while minimizing turnovers and avoiding foul trouble will ensure they don’t give the Grizzlies any life. Sweeping the series would not only validate Oklahoma City’s regular season dominance but also provide valuable rest before the much tougher challenges ahead in the Western Conference semifinals. The Thunder have shown they are built to win now, blending youth, talent, and maturity in a way that makes them a true contender, and Game 4 offers the perfect chance to continue building that postseason identity with a professional, ruthless finish to what has been an impressive first-round performance.

The Oklahoma City Thunder aim to complete a first-round sweep of the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 4 on April 26, 2025, at FedExForum. Leading the series 3-0, the Thunder have showcased dominance, with a notable 131-80 victory in Game 1. Oklahoma City vs Memphis AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies face a daunting challenge in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series against the Oklahoma City Thunder, trailing 3-0 and teetering on the brink of elimination at FedExForum. After a regular season that saw them battle through injuries and adversity to finish 48-34, Memphis hoped to bring their trademark grit-and-grind mentality into the playoffs, but so far the series has exposed the limitations of a roster missing key pieces and struggling to match the Thunder’s depth and firepower. Ja Morant has tried to carry the load, showcasing his dynamic scoring ability and fearless drives to the rim, but the Thunder’s defensive schemes have successfully crowded him and forced him into low-percentage shots or turnovers. Jaren Jackson Jr., a key to Memphis’ success, has been inconsistent on both ends of the floor, struggling to stay out of foul trouble and unable to dominate in the paint as he did at times during the regular season. The Grizzlies’ supporting cast has failed to rise to the occasion, with players like Desmond Bane and Ziaire Williams unable to provide the secondary scoring needed to relieve pressure from Morant. Defensively, Memphis has had no answers for Oklahoma City’s ball movement and balanced attack, often leaving open shooters on the perimeter or getting outworked on second-chance opportunities.

The Grizzlies’ inability to control the boards has also been a significant issue, allowing the Thunder to extend possessions and wear down Memphis’ already thin rotation. Head coach Taylor Jenkins faces the unenviable task of rallying a group that has been outplayed and outclassed through three games, and he may look to shake up the starting lineup or lean on his younger players to inject some energy and unpredictability. To have any chance of forcing a Game 5, the Grizzlies must drastically tighten their defense, limit turnovers, and find a way to generate easier scoring opportunities, whether through fast breaks, backdoor cuts, or exploiting mismatches against the Thunder’s second unit. The home crowd at FedExForum will undoubtedly bring passion and energy, but the Grizzlies must give them something to cheer about early, as falling behind again could deflate the atmosphere and seal their fate. This is a proud team with a resilient core, and while their season is hanging by a thread, Memphis still has the talent and heart to deliver a performance worthy of their fighting spirit. However, it will take a level of execution, focus, and defensive intensity that has been sorely lacking so far if they hope to stave off elimination and extend the series against a Thunder squad playing some of the best basketball of any team in the postseason.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Grizzlies play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at FedExForum in Apr can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Dort over 8.5 Points.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Thunder and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing emphasis human bettors tend to put on Memphis’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly deflated Grizzlies team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Memphis picks, computer picks Thunder vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Thunder Betting Trends

The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 68-14 record, covering the spread in 56 of 82 games (68.3%). In the playoffs, they’ve continued this trend, covering the spread in all three games against the Grizzlies.

Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 48-34 record, covering the spread in 44 of 82 games (53.7%). However, in the current playoff series, they’ve failed to cover the spread in all three games.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends

Throughout the series, the Thunder have consistently covered the spread, including a significant 51-point win in Game 1. The Grizzlies, conversely, have struggled to meet expectations, failing to cover the spread in each game.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Game Info

Oklahoma City vs Memphis starts on April 26, 2025 at 3:30 PM EST.

Spread: Memphis +15.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -1136, Memphis +717
Over/Under: 222.5

Oklahoma City: (68-14)  |  Memphis: (48-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Dort over 8.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Throughout the series, the Thunder have consistently covered the spread, including a significant 51-point win in Game 1. The Grizzlies, conversely, have struggled to meet expectations, failing to cover the spread in each game.

OKC trend: The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 68-14 record, covering the spread in 56 of 82 games (68.3%). In the playoffs, they’ve continued this trend, covering the spread in all three games against the Grizzlies.

MEM trend: The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 48-34 record, covering the spread in 44 of 82 games (53.7%). However, in the current playoff series, they’ve failed to cover the spread in all three games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Oklahoma City vs Memphis Opening Odds

OKC Moneyline: -1136
MEM Moneyline: +717
OKC Spread: -15
MEM Spread: +15.0
Over/Under: 222.5

Oklahoma City vs Memphis Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+245
-300
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-106)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+138
-164
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+152
-180
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 221.5 (-110)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+134
-158
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+265
-330
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 207.5 (-106)
U 207.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+108
-126
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 222.5 (-110)
U 222.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+184
-220
+6.5 (-114)
-6.5 (-106)
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+275
-340
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-152
+128
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+136
-162
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-330
+265
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-102
-116
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-105)
U 226.5 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-102
-116
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-152
+128
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 218.5 (-115)
U 218.5 (-105)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-310
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-108
-112
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies on April 26, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS