Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 26)
Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Oklahoma City Thunder aim to complete a first-round sweep of the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 4 on April 26, 2025, at FedExForum. Leading the series 3-0, the Thunder have showcased dominance, with a notable 131-80 victory in Game 1.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Apr 26, 2025
Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: FedExForum
Grizzlies Record: (48-34)
Thunder Record: (68-14)
OPENING ODDS
OKC Moneyline: -1136
MEM Moneyline: +717
OKC Spread: -15
MEM Spread: +15.0
Over/Under: 222.5
OKC
Betting Trends
- The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 68-14 record, covering the spread in 56 of 82 games (68.3%). In the playoffs, they’ve continued this trend, covering the spread in all three games against the Grizzlies.
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 48-34 record, covering the spread in 44 of 82 games (53.7%). However, in the current playoff series, they’ve failed to cover the spread in all three games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Throughout the series, the Thunder have consistently covered the spread, including a significant 51-point win in Game 1. The Grizzlies, conversely, have struggled to meet expectations, failing to cover the spread in each game.
OKC vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Dort over 8.5 Points.
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Oklahoma City vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/26/25
As Game 4 approaches, the Thunder will look to maintain their focus and avoid any temptation to let up, understanding that a sweep would provide valuable rest before a deeper playoff run. Head coach Mark Daigneault has emphasized discipline and staying aggressive, warning against the dangers of giving a proud Memphis team any hope of swinging momentum back their way. On the other side, Memphis head coach Taylor Jenkins will be urging his team to play with desperation and pride, focusing on improving their defensive rotations, limiting second-chance points, and trying to force Oklahoma City into more contested shots. The Grizzlies will need a near-perfect performance and likely a career night from Morant to avoid elimination, but the odds heavily favor a Thunder sweep if they continue executing at the level they’ve displayed throughout the series. Expect the Thunder to come out sharp, pushing the pace, pressuring ball-handlers defensively, and looking to establish an early lead that could deflate the home crowd at FedExForum. If Oklahoma City continues to dominate the glass, force turnovers, and shoot efficiently from beyond the arc, it is difficult to envision anything other than a clean four-game sweep and a statement that the Thunder are a true championship contender this postseason.
Good morning Thunder fans 🗣️🗣️ pic.twitter.com/jlJwQ6xzmZ
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) April 25, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder head into Game 4 against the Memphis Grizzlies with a commanding 3-0 series lead and a golden opportunity to complete a dominant first-round sweep, sending a strong message to the rest of the NBA about their championship intentions. Throughout the series, Oklahoma City has looked every bit like the team that earned the league’s best record at 68-14, combining stifling defense, unselfish offense, and relentless energy to overwhelm a Memphis squad that has been unable to match their consistency and depth. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the catalyst, slicing through the Grizzlies’ defense with surgical precision and making clutch plays whenever needed, while Chet Holmgren has provided a major presence inside, altering shots, grabbing rebounds, and stretching the floor with his shooting ability. What makes the Thunder especially dangerous is their balance; Jalen Williams, Josh Giddey, and Isaiah Joe have all delivered significant contributions, making it nearly impossible for Memphis to key on any single player. Defensively, Oklahoma City has executed their game plan to near perfection, forcing Memphis into contested shots, shutting down transition opportunities, and collapsing quickly on Morant’s drives to prevent him from getting easy looks at the basket.
Coach Mark Daigneault deserves credit for instilling a disciplined, team-first mentality that has served the Thunder well in this series, with players buying into their roles and consistently making the extra pass or the extra rotation needed to stifle Memphis’ offense. Heading into Game 4, the Thunder’s focus must be on closing out the series with the same level of intensity and discipline that has defined their postseason run so far; complacency is the only real threat to their momentum. Maintaining strong defensive pressure, controlling the boards, and pushing the pace when opportunities arise will be key factors, while minimizing turnovers and avoiding foul trouble will ensure they don’t give the Grizzlies any life. Sweeping the series would not only validate Oklahoma City’s regular season dominance but also provide valuable rest before the much tougher challenges ahead in the Western Conference semifinals. The Thunder have shown they are built to win now, blending youth, talent, and maturity in a way that makes them a true contender, and Game 4 offers the perfect chance to continue building that postseason identity with a professional, ruthless finish to what has been an impressive first-round performance.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies face a daunting challenge in Game 4 of their first-round playoff series against the Oklahoma City Thunder, trailing 3-0 and teetering on the brink of elimination at FedExForum. After a regular season that saw them battle through injuries and adversity to finish 48-34, Memphis hoped to bring their trademark grit-and-grind mentality into the playoffs, but so far the series has exposed the limitations of a roster missing key pieces and struggling to match the Thunder’s depth and firepower. Ja Morant has tried to carry the load, showcasing his dynamic scoring ability and fearless drives to the rim, but the Thunder’s defensive schemes have successfully crowded him and forced him into low-percentage shots or turnovers. Jaren Jackson Jr., a key to Memphis’ success, has been inconsistent on both ends of the floor, struggling to stay out of foul trouble and unable to dominate in the paint as he did at times during the regular season. The Grizzlies’ supporting cast has failed to rise to the occasion, with players like Desmond Bane and Ziaire Williams unable to provide the secondary scoring needed to relieve pressure from Morant. Defensively, Memphis has had no answers for Oklahoma City’s ball movement and balanced attack, often leaving open shooters on the perimeter or getting outworked on second-chance opportunities.
The Grizzlies’ inability to control the boards has also been a significant issue, allowing the Thunder to extend possessions and wear down Memphis’ already thin rotation. Head coach Taylor Jenkins faces the unenviable task of rallying a group that has been outplayed and outclassed through three games, and he may look to shake up the starting lineup or lean on his younger players to inject some energy and unpredictability. To have any chance of forcing a Game 5, the Grizzlies must drastically tighten their defense, limit turnovers, and find a way to generate easier scoring opportunities, whether through fast breaks, backdoor cuts, or exploiting mismatches against the Thunder’s second unit. The home crowd at FedExForum will undoubtedly bring passion and energy, but the Grizzlies must give them something to cheer about early, as falling behind again could deflate the atmosphere and seal their fate. This is a proud team with a resilient core, and while their season is hanging by a thread, Memphis still has the talent and heart to deliver a performance worthy of their fighting spirit. However, it will take a level of execution, focus, and defensive intensity that has been sorely lacking so far if they hope to stave off elimination and extend the series against a Thunder squad playing some of the best basketball of any team in the postseason.
〽️emphis 〽️emphis 〽️emphis
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) April 25, 2025
𝘎𝘢𝘮𝘦 4 𝘛𝘰𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘰𝘸 🎟️ https://t.co/xsPWJdUzMs pic.twitter.com/wXKFhianhD
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prop Picks (AI)
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Thunder and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly strong Grizzlies team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Memphis picks, computer picks Thunder vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Thunder Betting Trends
The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 68-14 record, covering the spread in 56 of 82 games (68.3%). In the playoffs, they’ve continued this trend, covering the spread in all three games against the Grizzlies.
Grizzlies Betting Trends
The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 48-34 record, covering the spread in 44 of 82 games (53.7%). However, in the current playoff series, they’ve failed to cover the spread in all three games.
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends
Throughout the series, the Thunder have consistently covered the spread, including a significant 51-point win in Game 1. The Grizzlies, conversely, have struggled to meet expectations, failing to cover the spread in each game.
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Game Info
What time does Oklahoma City vs Memphis start on April 26, 2025?
Oklahoma City vs Memphis starts on April 26, 2025 at 3:30 PM EST.
Where is Oklahoma City vs Memphis being played?
Venue: FedExForum.
What are the opening odds for Oklahoma City vs Memphis?
Spread: Memphis +15.0
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -1136, Memphis +717
Over/Under: 222.5
What are the records for Oklahoma City vs Memphis?
Oklahoma City: (68-14) | Memphis: (48-34)
What is the AI best bet for Oklahoma City vs Memphis?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Dort over 8.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Oklahoma City vs Memphis trending bets?
Throughout the series, the Thunder have consistently covered the spread, including a significant 51-point win in Game 1. The Grizzlies, conversely, have struggled to meet expectations, failing to cover the spread in each game.
What are Oklahoma City trending bets?
OKC trend: The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 68-14 record, covering the spread in 56 of 82 games (68.3%). In the playoffs, they’ve continued this trend, covering the spread in all three games against the Grizzlies.
What are Memphis trending bets?
MEM trend: The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 48-34 record, covering the spread in 44 of 82 games (53.7%). However, in the current playoff series, they’ve failed to cover the spread in all three games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Oklahoma City vs Memphis?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Oklahoma City vs Memphis Opening Odds
OKC Moneyline:
-1136 MEM Moneyline: +717
OKC Spread: -15
MEM Spread: +15.0
Over/Under: 222.5
Oklahoma City vs Memphis Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
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–
–
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-160
+141
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-4 (-106)
+4 (-106)
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O 232 (-102)
U 232 (-113)
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Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
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11/9/25 6PM
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–
–
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+757
-1126
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+15.5 (-106)
-15.5 (-106)
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O 229.5 (-102)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
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Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
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-525
+400
|
-11 (-108)
+11 (-112)
|
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+140
-160
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-154
+134
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+533
-713
|
+13 (-106)
-13 (-106)
|
O 227.5 (-102)
U 227.5 (-113)
|
|
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Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-214
+185
|
-5.5 (-106)
+5.5 (-106)
|
O 234.5 (-113)
U 234.5 (-102)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
|
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies on April 26, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |