Rockets vs. Warriors
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 26 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are set to clash in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on April 26, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The series is currently tied 1-1, with both teams showcasing their strengths in the initial games.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 26, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Center​

Warriors Record: (48-34)

Rockets Record: (52-30)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: +117

GS Moneyline: -139

HOU Spread: +2.5

GS Spread: -2.5

Over/Under: 203.5

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Rockets have an ATS record of 43-39-1 this season, covering in approximately 52.4% of their games.

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Warriors have an ATS record of 42-39-3 this season, covering in about 51.9% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 6 meetings between the Rockets and Warriors, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games when these teams face off.

HOU vs. GS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Adams over 9.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Houston vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/26/25

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are set to square off in a crucial Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on April 26, 2025, with the series tied 1-1 and both teams eager to seize momentum as the action shifts to Chase Center in San Francisco. In Game 1, the Warriors used their trademark playoff poise, defensive grit, and a standout debut from Jimmy Butler to secure a convincing 95-85 victory, demonstrating their ability to control pace and capitalize on key possessions when it mattered most. However, the young and energetic Rockets answered loudly in Game 2, with Jalen Green putting on a dynamic performance that showcased the team’s explosive potential and offensive versatility, earning a well-deserved victory to even the series. Both games have been marked by physicality, strategic defensive battles, and stretches where scoring became a grind, highlighting the critical importance of execution and composure in this matchup. The Warriors, relying heavily on Stephen Curry’s playmaking and Butler’s two-way impact, have struggled at times to generate secondary scoring, while the Rockets have thrived when they’re able to push the pace, create chaos defensively, and get contributions from their deep roster of athletic young players. For Golden State, returning home presents an opportunity to recalibrate offensively and lean into their extensive playoff experience, using better ball movement, disciplined shot selection, and physical defense to try and wear down the Rockets’ youthful energy. The Warriors know they must find answers beyond their stars; role players like Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, and Jonathan Kuminga need to step up with timely shooting and defensive pressure to avoid getting overwhelmed by Houston’s speed and length.

Defensively, containing Jalen Green’s drives and limiting transition opportunities will be a top priority, especially given how Houston fed off fast breaks and quick scoring runs in their Game 2 win. Golden State’s coaching staff, led by Steve Kerr, will likely emphasize patience on offense to avoid playing into Houston’s preferred up-tempo style, while doubling down on physical half-court defense to force the Rockets into contested shots late in the shot clock. The Warriors are well aware that a loss at home would shift the series dramatically in Houston’s favor and test their championship mettle in a way they’ve rarely faced this early in the playoffs. For the Rockets, Game 3 represents a massive opportunity to assert themselves as more than just a young, exciting team—they can prove they are legitimate postseason threats by taking a game on the road against a team loaded with playoff pedigree. Houston’s formula for success revolves around aggressive defense, transition offense, and fearless shot-making, particularly from Jalen Green, Alperen Şengün, and Amen Thompson, whose energy and versatility have created matchup headaches for Golden State. Head coach Ime Udoka’s emphasis on defensive intensity and ball movement was evident in Game 2, and the Rockets will need to double down on that approach to neutralize the Warriors’ experience advantage. Staying disciplined, avoiding unnecessary fouls, and maintaining composure when Golden State inevitably makes runs will be critical for a young Rockets squad eager to show they belong on this stage. If Houston can maintain defensive pressure, limit turnovers, and continue to play with the fearless confidence that earned them a split on the road, they have a legitimate chance to take control of a series that many initially thought would be an easy path for the Warriors.

Houston Rockets NBA Preview

The Houston Rockets come into Game 3 of their first-round playoff series against the Golden State Warriors full of confidence after earning a gritty win in Game 2, evening the series at 1-1 and proving that their youth and athleticism can hang with Golden State’s battle-tested veterans. Led by Jalen Green’s electrifying performance, the Rockets showcased their dynamic scoring ability and aggressive defensive mentality, two elements that were instrumental in neutralizing the Warriors’ offensive rhythm and forcing turnovers that turned into easy transition buckets. Green’s explosiveness, combined with the all-around contributions from Alperen Şengün and Amen Thompson, has given Houston the kind of multidimensional attack that Golden State has struggled to contain, particularly when the Rockets are able to push the pace and play free-flowing basketball. Defensively, the Rockets tightened up considerably in Game 2, disrupting passing lanes, contesting shots aggressively at the rim and the perimeter, and showing maturity beyond their years by maintaining composure during the Warriors’ inevitable scoring runs. Houston’s ability to close out defensive possessions with rebounds and get out in transition was a major key to their success, as was their willingness to share the ball offensively, making them unpredictable and harder to defend. One of the biggest reasons for Houston’s success in Game 2 was their defensive discipline; they forced Golden State into difficult shots without relying too heavily on fouling, a major improvement from their Game 1 loss where frustration led to cheap fouls and lost composure. Şengün’s physicality in the paint, combined with Thompson’s versatility on the perimeter, has made Houston’s defense increasingly tough to crack when they’re communicating and rotating properly.

Offensively, Jalen Green’s ability to break down defenders one-on-one and either finish at the rim or create opportunities for his teammates has added a layer of unpredictability that the Warriors have yet to fully solve. Houston’s bench has also provided valuable minutes, allowing the starters to stay fresh and maintain the level of defensive intensity required to disrupt Golden State’s preferred offensive flow. Coach Ime Udoka’s game plan to emphasize aggressive closeouts, crash the boards with collective effort, and attack mismatches relentlessly was executed almost flawlessly in Game 2, and a similar level of focus and energy will be required to steal a game at Chase Center, where the Warriors are notoriously difficult to beat. As the Rockets head into Game 3, they know the formula for success hinges on maintaining that same defensive tenacity, taking care of the basketball, and making the most of their athletic advantages to keep Golden State on the defensive. Staying mentally tough will be paramount, especially when the Warriors inevitably make their trademark third-quarter pushes fueled by the home crowd. If Houston can withstand those surges, continue to spread the floor effectively, and get another high-impact performance from Green while getting timely contributions from their role players, they have a very real chance to flip this series in their favor. Game 3 offers a pivotal moment for the Rockets to show the league that they are not just a young team happy to be in the playoffs, but a dangerous and legitimate contender capable of pulling off a major upset against one of the NBA’s most storied franchises.

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are set to clash in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on April 26, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The series is currently tied 1-1, with both teams showcasing their strengths in the initial games. Houston vs Golden State AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors return home to Chase Center for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series against the Houston Rockets with the series tied 1-1, fully aware that they let a critical opportunity slip away in Game 2 and must now reassert themselves to avoid falling into a dangerous hole against a hungry, confident opponent. Golden State’s Game 1 victory showcased everything fans expect from this team in the postseason: sharp defense, timely shooting, and veteran poise anchored by the leadership of Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and newcomer Jimmy Butler, who immediately made his presence felt with scoring, defense, and gritty toughness. However, Game 2 revealed some troubling trends for the Warriors, as their offense became stagnant under Houston’s relentless defensive pressure, and their usual crisp ball movement dissolved into isolation plays and rushed three-point attempts. The Rockets’ young legs and fearless pace exposed some cracks in Golden State’s transition defense, and without consistent secondary scoring beyond Curry and Butler, the Warriors found themselves unable to match Houston’s energy when the game sped up. Turnovers, which have haunted this Warriors core during their down moments over the years, reemerged as a problem, leading to fast-break points that tilted momentum squarely in the Rockets’ favor. Golden State knows that their path to regaining control of the series lies in tightening their fundamentals: valuing every possession, maintaining defensive discipline without fouling, and reestablishing the offensive flow that has been the bedrock of their dynasty. Stephen Curry remains the engine that drives everything, but the Warriors need more from their supporting cast, particularly Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, and Jonathan Kuminga, all of whom have struggled with consistency through the first two games.

Offensively, the Warriors must return to their signature style—constant off-ball movement, screens, and unselfish passing—to create open looks and prevent Houston’s athletic defenders from locking onto isolation plays. Defensively, Draymond Green’s role will be critical, not just in protecting the paint but in orchestrating switches and communication to neutralize Houston’s transition attack. At home, where their role players typically shoot and defend better, Golden State has a golden opportunity to reestablish their dominance, but they must play with the urgency and focus that a 1-1 series demands, especially against an opponent gaining confidence with every possession. Game 3 is a defining moment for these Warriors, not only in this series but for the trajectory of their postseason aspirations. With Jimmy Butler adding toughness and playoff credibility to an already battle-tested core, Golden State has all the pieces necessary to make a deep run, but execution and discipline will dictate whether they can capitalize on that potential. Expect Steve Kerr to make strategic adjustments—potentially quickening substitutions to keep defensive intensity high and adjusting matchups to limit Jalen Green’s impact. If the Warriors can dictate tempo, protect the ball, and generate easier shots through ball movement and pace, they’ll be in a strong position to regain the upper hand and remind the Rockets—and the rest of the NBA—that the Chase Center remains one of the toughest arenas for playoff opponents to conquer. Game 3 offers Golden State the opportunity not just to regain series control but to send a clear message that they still have the championship DNA to survive and advance.

Houston vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Rockets and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Adams over 9.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Houston vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Rockets and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Rockets team going up against a possibly rested Warriors team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs Golden State picks, computer picks Rockets vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Rockets Betting Trends

The Rockets have an ATS record of 43-39-1 this season, covering in approximately 52.4% of their games.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Warriors have an ATS record of 42-39-3 this season, covering in about 51.9% of their games.

Rockets vs. Warriors Matchup Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 6 meetings between the Rockets and Warriors, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games when these teams face off.

Houston vs. Golden State Game Info

Houston vs Golden State starts on April 26, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Spread: Golden State -2.5
Moneyline: Houston +117, Golden State -139
Over/Under: 203.5

Houston: (52-30)  |  Golden State: (48-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Adams over 9.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 6 meetings between the Rockets and Warriors, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games when these teams face off.

HOU trend: The Rockets have an ATS record of 43-39-1 this season, covering in approximately 52.4% of their games.

GS trend: The Warriors have an ATS record of 42-39-3 this season, covering in about 51.9% of their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. Golden State Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Houston vs Golden State Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: +117
GS Moneyline: -139
HOU Spread: +2.5
GS Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 203.5

Houston vs Golden State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+270
-340
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+130
-155
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+136
-162
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-175
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 228 (-110)
U 228 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+280
-355
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 210.5 (-110)
U 210.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+105
-125
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 224 (-110)
U 224 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+195
-238
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-360
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 226 (-110)
U 226 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-130
+110
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-180
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-325
+260
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-110
-110
-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-105
-115
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-142
+120
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-310
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-108
-112
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors on April 26, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS