Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 24)
Updated: 2025-04-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on April 24, 2025, at FedExForum. The Thunder lead the series 2-0 after dominant performances in the first two games, and the Grizzlies aim to leverage home-court advantage to mount a comeback.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Apr 24, 2025
Start Time: 9:30 PM EST
Venue: FedExForum
Grizzlies Record: (48-34)
Thunder Record: (68-14)
OPENING ODDS
OKC Moneyline: -352
MEM Moneyline: +280
OKC Spread: -8.5
MEM Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 226.5
OKC
Betting Trends
- The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.
OKC vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Edey over 17.5 PTS+REB.
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Oklahoma City vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/24/25
While Jaren Jackson Jr. has shown flashes of scoring and rim protection, it hasn’t been nearly enough to counter Oklahoma City’s speed and cohesion. For Game 3, the Grizzlies must embrace a faster pace, force turnovers, and get out in transition to exploit any cracks in the Thunder’s half-court defense. At the same time, they must improve on the glass and limit OKC’s second-chance points, which have been a consistent problem through the series. Head coach Taylor Jenkins will need to find a way to ignite his team emotionally and tactically, as their margin for error has now evaporated. On the other side, Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault has pushed all the right buttons, managing minutes, leveraging depth, and drawing up game plans that highlight his team’s versatility and trust in one another. Oklahoma City knows that a win in Game 3 would likely seal the series and provide them with rest and preparation time for the next round, so don’t expect any let-up despite their advantage. While the Grizzlies have pride and a passionate home crowd backing them, the Thunder’s current form, confidence, and chemistry make them favorites heading into Thursday night. Game 3 will be a test of Memphis’s character and OKC’s maturity, and though the Grizzlies will surely push back, the Thunder’s combination of athleticism, execution, and elite leadership gives them a clear edge in what could be a decisive game.
Goooodnight 😴 pic.twitter.com/cqJTY1a94h
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) April 23, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder arrive in Memphis for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series brimming with confidence and momentum, holding a 2-0 series lead after two thoroughly commanding victories that have cemented their status as a legitimate championship contender. After securing the top seed in the Western Conference with a breakout regular season, the Thunder have carried that form seamlessly into the postseason, dismantling the Memphis Grizzlies on both ends of the floor in Games 1 and 2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the fulcrum of Oklahoma City’s offensive engine, combining methodical shot creation with graceful finishes and unselfish playmaking. His ability to dictate tempo, create off the dribble, and hit difficult mid-range shots has repeatedly disrupted Memphis’s defensive rhythm. Alongside him, Chet Holmgren has provided exceptional two-way value, serving as a rim protector and secondary scorer, while absorbing physical contact and staying active on the boards. Josh Giddey’s playmaking versatility, Jalen Williams’ aggressive drives, and Lu Dort’s elite on-ball defense further showcase the completeness of this OKC roster, and their bench unit has comfortably held its own, creating matchup problems and sustaining momentum when starters rest. The Thunder’s defensive schemes have been particularly effective, with disciplined rotations, quick closeouts, and ball pressure neutralizing Ja Morant’s explosiveness and forcing Memphis into low-efficiency half-court sets. What makes this Thunder team especially dangerous is their composure—they’ve played with veteran-like calm and focus, avoiding costly turnovers and controlling pace despite the bright playoff spotlight.
Their ball movement has been crisp, their spacing intentional, and their confidence visible in every possession. Head coach Mark Daigneault has done a stellar job blending youthful energy with tactical structure, maximizing the team’s strengths without overcomplicating their identity. Heading into Game 3, the mission for the Thunder is clear: close the door. A win would not only put them up 3-0—a historically insurmountable deficit for opponents—but also signal to the rest of the Western Conference that this team is not just promising, but playoff-hardened and poised for a deep run. While Memphis will certainly be more aggressive and inspired in front of their home crowd, the Thunder know that discipline, not flash, will win the game. They must continue limiting second-chance opportunities, staying out of foul trouble, and capitalizing on transition opportunities created through steals and defensive stops. If Gilgeous-Alexander continues to control the flow and Oklahoma City’s defense remains connected, they’ll be in an excellent position to take Game 3 and set the stage for a potential sweep. The Thunder have turned expectations into execution and are on the brink of advancing, provided they maintain the same hunger and humility that’s defined their season.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies return to FedExForum for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series against the Oklahoma City Thunder facing immense pressure and urgency after falling into a 0-2 series hole following two lopsided losses on the road. After being outclassed 131-80 in Game 1 and again 117-98 in Game 2, the Grizzlies have been unable to match Oklahoma City’s energy, execution, and overall cohesion, leaving them in a desperate position where Game 3 becomes as much about survival as it is about redemption. The return to home court offers a chance for emotional reset and strategic recalibration, and Memphis must seize it to have any hope of staying competitive in the series. Ja Morant, the face of the franchise, has had a rough go offensively through the first two games, struggling against the Thunder’s relentless perimeter defenders who have cut off his driving lanes and forced him into contested jumpers. The lack of spacing and consistent ball movement has made it difficult for Morant to find rhythm, and his teammates have not been able to lift the scoring burden when he’s been bottled up. Jaren Jackson Jr. has shown flashes of his scoring potential and shot-blocking prowess, but too often he’s been forced into difficult positions due to Oklahoma City’s switching and length. For the Grizzlies to find a foothold, Jackson will need to be more aggressive in asserting his presence both in the paint and from beyond the arc, while Desmond Bane and Ziaire Williams must provide perimeter production to prevent the Thunder from collapsing on Morant every possession.
Defensively, Memphis has been thoroughly outmaneuvered, failing to contain Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s pick-and-roll mastery and allowing too many clean looks from Oklahoma City’s array of secondary scorers. The Grizzlies’ transition defense has been porous, giving the Thunder too many easy buckets off live-ball turnovers and long rebounds. Head coach Taylor Jenkins will need to make major adjustments, potentially introducing more zone looks or full-court pressure to disrupt OKC’s flow and force them into uncomfortable offensive scenarios. On offense, the Grizzlies may benefit from speeding up the pace and pushing off makes and misses alike, hoping to catch the Thunder defense in flux before it can get set. Memphis’s bench must also step up in a meaningful way—through two games, their lack of production has allowed OKC’s second unit to extend leads rather than merely maintain them. At home, the Grizzlies will look to feed off the energy of their crowd and play with a level of desperation that could swing momentum, at least temporarily. The keys will be execution, mental focus, and the ability to absorb and respond to adversity, something they haven’t done well thus far in the series. Game 3 presents a do-or-die scenario, and Memphis will need to play its most complete game of the season to avoid a 3-0 deficit that would all but end their playoff run. It’s a test of character, chemistry, and competitive spirit—and if the Grizzlies want to keep their season alive, it all has to come together now.
.@jarenjacksonjr is tonight's Player of the Game presented by @IntlPaperCo pic.twitter.com/MxlH5AfNHR
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) April 23, 2025
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prop Picks (AI)
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Thunder and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Memphis’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly improved Grizzlies team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Memphis picks, computer picks Thunder vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Thunder Betting Trends
The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.
Grizzlies Betting Trends
The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends
In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Game Info
What time does Oklahoma City vs Memphis start on April 24, 2025?
Oklahoma City vs Memphis starts on April 24, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.
Where is Oklahoma City vs Memphis being played?
Venue: FedExForum.
What are the opening odds for Oklahoma City vs Memphis?
Spread: Memphis +8.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -352, Memphis +280
Over/Under: 226.5
What are the records for Oklahoma City vs Memphis?
Oklahoma City: (68-14) | Memphis: (48-34)
What is the AI best bet for Oklahoma City vs Memphis?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Edey over 17.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Oklahoma City vs Memphis trending bets?
In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.
What are Oklahoma City trending bets?
OKC trend: The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.
What are Memphis trending bets?
MEM trend: The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Oklahoma City vs Memphis?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Oklahoma City vs Memphis Opening Odds
OKC Moneyline:
-352 MEM Moneyline: +280
OKC Spread: -8.5
MEM Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 226.5
Oklahoma City vs Memphis Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-160
+138
|
-4 (-105)
+4 (-115)
|
O 232 (-105)
U 232 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+730
-1150
|
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 229.5 (-105)
U 229.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-525
+405
|
-11 (-110)
+11 (-110)
|
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+138
-160
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-155
+134
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+515
-725
|
+13 (-110)
-13 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-105)
U 227.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-215
+183
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
|
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
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Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies on April 24, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |