Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 24)

Updated: 2025-04-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on April 24, 2025, at FedExForum. The Thunder lead the series 2-0 after dominant performances in the first two games, and the Grizzlies aim to leverage home-court advantage to mount a comeback.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 24, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: FedExForum​

Grizzlies Record: (48-34)

Thunder Record: (68-14)

OPENING ODDS

OKC Moneyline: -352

MEM Moneyline: +280

OKC Spread: -8.5

MEM Spread: +8.5

Over/Under: 226.5

OKC
Betting Trends

  • The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.

MEM
Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.

OKC vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Edey over 17.5 PTS+REB.

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Oklahoma City vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/24/25

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies are set to face off in Game 3 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series, with the Thunder holding a commanding 2-0 lead after two dominant performances on their home court. Oklahoma City has looked every bit the top seed in the conference, overwhelming Memphis with balanced scoring, elite perimeter defense, and an offensive flow that has made the Grizzlies appear outmatched from the opening tip. Game 1 was a statement victory, as the Thunder throttled Memphis 131-80 in a performance that showcased their ceiling when firing on all cylinders, and Game 2 followed with a more methodical but equally decisive 117-98 win that highlighted their composure and depth. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the clear alpha in the series, pacing OKC with smooth scoring, timely distribution, and elite decision-making, while Chet Holmgren’s length and timing have disrupted Memphis’s attempts to establish any interior consistency. Lu Dort’s defensive presence on the perimeter has been especially valuable in slowing down Ja Morant, who has struggled to find any rhythm amid constant pressure and help defense. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are in desperation mode, facing an uphill climb and the potential of a sweep unless they drastically alter their approach. Offensive stagnancy, poor shooting, and an inability to adjust to the Thunder’s ball movement have plagued Memphis in both games, and the absence of reliable bench production has only magnified their issues.

While Jaren Jackson Jr. has shown flashes of scoring and rim protection, it hasn’t been nearly enough to counter Oklahoma City’s speed and cohesion. For Game 3, the Grizzlies must embrace a faster pace, force turnovers, and get out in transition to exploit any cracks in the Thunder’s half-court defense. At the same time, they must improve on the glass and limit OKC’s second-chance points, which have been a consistent problem through the series. Head coach Taylor Jenkins will need to find a way to ignite his team emotionally and tactically, as their margin for error has now evaporated. On the other side, Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault has pushed all the right buttons, managing minutes, leveraging depth, and drawing up game plans that highlight his team’s versatility and trust in one another. Oklahoma City knows that a win in Game 3 would likely seal the series and provide them with rest and preparation time for the next round, so don’t expect any let-up despite their advantage. While the Grizzlies have pride and a passionate home crowd backing them, the Thunder’s current form, confidence, and chemistry make them favorites heading into Thursday night. Game 3 will be a test of Memphis’s character and OKC’s maturity, and though the Grizzlies will surely push back, the Thunder’s combination of athleticism, execution, and elite leadership gives them a clear edge in what could be a decisive game.

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder arrive in Memphis for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series brimming with confidence and momentum, holding a 2-0 series lead after two thoroughly commanding victories that have cemented their status as a legitimate championship contender. After securing the top seed in the Western Conference with a breakout regular season, the Thunder have carried that form seamlessly into the postseason, dismantling the Memphis Grizzlies on both ends of the floor in Games 1 and 2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the fulcrum of Oklahoma City’s offensive engine, combining methodical shot creation with graceful finishes and unselfish playmaking. His ability to dictate tempo, create off the dribble, and hit difficult mid-range shots has repeatedly disrupted Memphis’s defensive rhythm. Alongside him, Chet Holmgren has provided exceptional two-way value, serving as a rim protector and secondary scorer, while absorbing physical contact and staying active on the boards. Josh Giddey’s playmaking versatility, Jalen Williams’ aggressive drives, and Lu Dort’s elite on-ball defense further showcase the completeness of this OKC roster, and their bench unit has comfortably held its own, creating matchup problems and sustaining momentum when starters rest. The Thunder’s defensive schemes have been particularly effective, with disciplined rotations, quick closeouts, and ball pressure neutralizing Ja Morant’s explosiveness and forcing Memphis into low-efficiency half-court sets. What makes this Thunder team especially dangerous is their composure—they’ve played with veteran-like calm and focus, avoiding costly turnovers and controlling pace despite the bright playoff spotlight.

Their ball movement has been crisp, their spacing intentional, and their confidence visible in every possession. Head coach Mark Daigneault has done a stellar job blending youthful energy with tactical structure, maximizing the team’s strengths without overcomplicating their identity. Heading into Game 3, the mission for the Thunder is clear: close the door. A win would not only put them up 3-0—a historically insurmountable deficit for opponents—but also signal to the rest of the Western Conference that this team is not just promising, but playoff-hardened and poised for a deep run. While Memphis will certainly be more aggressive and inspired in front of their home crowd, the Thunder know that discipline, not flash, will win the game. They must continue limiting second-chance opportunities, staying out of foul trouble, and capitalizing on transition opportunities created through steals and defensive stops. If Gilgeous-Alexander continues to control the flow and Oklahoma City’s defense remains connected, they’ll be in an excellent position to take Game 3 and set the stage for a potential sweep. The Thunder have turned expectations into execution and are on the brink of advancing, provided they maintain the same hunger and humility that’s defined their season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on April 24, 2025, at FedExForum. The Thunder lead the series 2-0 after dominant performances in the first two games, and the Grizzlies aim to leverage home-court advantage to mount a comeback. Oklahoma City vs Memphis AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 24. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies return to FedExForum for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series against the Oklahoma City Thunder facing immense pressure and urgency after falling into a 0-2 series hole following two lopsided losses on the road. After being outclassed 131-80 in Game 1 and again 117-98 in Game 2, the Grizzlies have been unable to match Oklahoma City’s energy, execution, and overall cohesion, leaving them in a desperate position where Game 3 becomes as much about survival as it is about redemption. The return to home court offers a chance for emotional reset and strategic recalibration, and Memphis must seize it to have any hope of staying competitive in the series. Ja Morant, the face of the franchise, has had a rough go offensively through the first two games, struggling against the Thunder’s relentless perimeter defenders who have cut off his driving lanes and forced him into contested jumpers. The lack of spacing and consistent ball movement has made it difficult for Morant to find rhythm, and his teammates have not been able to lift the scoring burden when he’s been bottled up. Jaren Jackson Jr. has shown flashes of his scoring potential and shot-blocking prowess, but too often he’s been forced into difficult positions due to Oklahoma City’s switching and length. For the Grizzlies to find a foothold, Jackson will need to be more aggressive in asserting his presence both in the paint and from beyond the arc, while Desmond Bane and Ziaire Williams must provide perimeter production to prevent the Thunder from collapsing on Morant every possession.

Defensively, Memphis has been thoroughly outmaneuvered, failing to contain Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s pick-and-roll mastery and allowing too many clean looks from Oklahoma City’s array of secondary scorers. The Grizzlies’ transition defense has been porous, giving the Thunder too many easy buckets off live-ball turnovers and long rebounds. Head coach Taylor Jenkins will need to make major adjustments, potentially introducing more zone looks or full-court pressure to disrupt OKC’s flow and force them into uncomfortable offensive scenarios. On offense, the Grizzlies may benefit from speeding up the pace and pushing off makes and misses alike, hoping to catch the Thunder defense in flux before it can get set. Memphis’s bench must also step up in a meaningful way—through two games, their lack of production has allowed OKC’s second unit to extend leads rather than merely maintain them. At home, the Grizzlies will look to feed off the energy of their crowd and play with a level of desperation that could swing momentum, at least temporarily. The keys will be execution, mental focus, and the ability to absorb and respond to adversity, something they haven’t done well thus far in the series. Game 3 presents a do-or-die scenario, and Memphis will need to play its most complete game of the season to avoid a 3-0 deficit that would all but end their playoff run. It’s a test of character, chemistry, and competitive spirit—and if the Grizzlies want to keep their season alive, it all has to come together now.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Grizzlies play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at FedExForum in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Edey over 17.5 PTS+REB.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Thunder and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Memphis’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly improved Grizzlies team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Memphis picks, computer picks Thunder vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Thunder Betting Trends

The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.

Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends

In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Game Info

Oklahoma City vs Memphis starts on April 24, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Memphis +8.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -352, Memphis +280
Over/Under: 226.5

Oklahoma City: (68-14)  |  Memphis: (48-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Edey over 17.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.

OKC trend: The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.

MEM trend: The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Oklahoma City vs Memphis Opening Odds

OKC Moneyline: -352
MEM Moneyline: +280
OKC Spread: -8.5
MEM Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 226.5

Oklahoma City vs Memphis Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-160
+138
-4 (-105)
+4 (-115)
O 232 (-105)
U 232 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+730
-1150
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-105)
U 229.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-525
+405
-11 (-110)
+11 (-110)
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+138
-160
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-155
+134
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+515
-725
+13 (-110)
-13 (-110)
O 227.5 (-105)
U 227.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-215
+183
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies on April 24, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS