Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 24)

Updated: 2025-04-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on April 24, 2025, at FedExForum. The Thunder lead the series 2-0 after dominant performances in the first two games, and the Grizzlies aim to leverage home-court advantage to mount a comeback.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 24, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: FedExForum​

Grizzlies Record: (48-34)

Thunder Record: (68-14)

OPENING ODDS

OKC Moneyline: -352

MEM Moneyline: +280

OKC Spread: -8.5

MEM Spread: +8.5

Over/Under: 226.5

OKC
Betting Trends

  • The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.

MEM
Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.

OKC vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Edey over 17.5 PTS+REB.

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Oklahoma City vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/24/25

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies are set to face off in Game 3 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series, with the Thunder holding a commanding 2-0 lead after two dominant performances on their home court. Oklahoma City has looked every bit the top seed in the conference, overwhelming Memphis with balanced scoring, elite perimeter defense, and an offensive flow that has made the Grizzlies appear outmatched from the opening tip. Game 1 was a statement victory, as the Thunder throttled Memphis 131-80 in a performance that showcased their ceiling when firing on all cylinders, and Game 2 followed with a more methodical but equally decisive 117-98 win that highlighted their composure and depth. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the clear alpha in the series, pacing OKC with smooth scoring, timely distribution, and elite decision-making, while Chet Holmgren’s length and timing have disrupted Memphis’s attempts to establish any interior consistency. Lu Dort’s defensive presence on the perimeter has been especially valuable in slowing down Ja Morant, who has struggled to find any rhythm amid constant pressure and help defense. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, are in desperation mode, facing an uphill climb and the potential of a sweep unless they drastically alter their approach. Offensive stagnancy, poor shooting, and an inability to adjust to the Thunder’s ball movement have plagued Memphis in both games, and the absence of reliable bench production has only magnified their issues.

While Jaren Jackson Jr. has shown flashes of scoring and rim protection, it hasn’t been nearly enough to counter Oklahoma City’s speed and cohesion. For Game 3, the Grizzlies must embrace a faster pace, force turnovers, and get out in transition to exploit any cracks in the Thunder’s half-court defense. At the same time, they must improve on the glass and limit OKC’s second-chance points, which have been a consistent problem through the series. Head coach Taylor Jenkins will need to find a way to ignite his team emotionally and tactically, as their margin for error has now evaporated. On the other side, Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault has pushed all the right buttons, managing minutes, leveraging depth, and drawing up game plans that highlight his team’s versatility and trust in one another. Oklahoma City knows that a win in Game 3 would likely seal the series and provide them with rest and preparation time for the next round, so don’t expect any let-up despite their advantage. While the Grizzlies have pride and a passionate home crowd backing them, the Thunder’s current form, confidence, and chemistry make them favorites heading into Thursday night. Game 3 will be a test of Memphis’s character and OKC’s maturity, and though the Grizzlies will surely push back, the Thunder’s combination of athleticism, execution, and elite leadership gives them a clear edge in what could be a decisive game.

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder arrive in Memphis for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series brimming with confidence and momentum, holding a 2-0 series lead after two thoroughly commanding victories that have cemented their status as a legitimate championship contender. After securing the top seed in the Western Conference with a breakout regular season, the Thunder have carried that form seamlessly into the postseason, dismantling the Memphis Grizzlies on both ends of the floor in Games 1 and 2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the fulcrum of Oklahoma City’s offensive engine, combining methodical shot creation with graceful finishes and unselfish playmaking. His ability to dictate tempo, create off the dribble, and hit difficult mid-range shots has repeatedly disrupted Memphis’s defensive rhythm. Alongside him, Chet Holmgren has provided exceptional two-way value, serving as a rim protector and secondary scorer, while absorbing physical contact and staying active on the boards. Josh Giddey’s playmaking versatility, Jalen Williams’ aggressive drives, and Lu Dort’s elite on-ball defense further showcase the completeness of this OKC roster, and their bench unit has comfortably held its own, creating matchup problems and sustaining momentum when starters rest. The Thunder’s defensive schemes have been particularly effective, with disciplined rotations, quick closeouts, and ball pressure neutralizing Ja Morant’s explosiveness and forcing Memphis into low-efficiency half-court sets. What makes this Thunder team especially dangerous is their composure—they’ve played with veteran-like calm and focus, avoiding costly turnovers and controlling pace despite the bright playoff spotlight.

Their ball movement has been crisp, their spacing intentional, and their confidence visible in every possession. Head coach Mark Daigneault has done a stellar job blending youthful energy with tactical structure, maximizing the team’s strengths without overcomplicating their identity. Heading into Game 3, the mission for the Thunder is clear: close the door. A win would not only put them up 3-0—a historically insurmountable deficit for opponents—but also signal to the rest of the Western Conference that this team is not just promising, but playoff-hardened and poised for a deep run. While Memphis will certainly be more aggressive and inspired in front of their home crowd, the Thunder know that discipline, not flash, will win the game. They must continue limiting second-chance opportunities, staying out of foul trouble, and capitalizing on transition opportunities created through steals and defensive stops. If Gilgeous-Alexander continues to control the flow and Oklahoma City’s defense remains connected, they’ll be in an excellent position to take Game 3 and set the stage for a potential sweep. The Thunder have turned expectations into execution and are on the brink of advancing, provided they maintain the same hunger and humility that’s defined their season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series on April 24, 2025, at FedExForum. The Thunder lead the series 2-0 after dominant performances in the first two games, and the Grizzlies aim to leverage home-court advantage to mount a comeback. Oklahoma City vs Memphis AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 24. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies return to FedExForum for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series against the Oklahoma City Thunder facing immense pressure and urgency after falling into a 0-2 series hole following two lopsided losses on the road. After being outclassed 131-80 in Game 1 and again 117-98 in Game 2, the Grizzlies have been unable to match Oklahoma City’s energy, execution, and overall cohesion, leaving them in a desperate position where Game 3 becomes as much about survival as it is about redemption. The return to home court offers a chance for emotional reset and strategic recalibration, and Memphis must seize it to have any hope of staying competitive in the series. Ja Morant, the face of the franchise, has had a rough go offensively through the first two games, struggling against the Thunder’s relentless perimeter defenders who have cut off his driving lanes and forced him into contested jumpers. The lack of spacing and consistent ball movement has made it difficult for Morant to find rhythm, and his teammates have not been able to lift the scoring burden when he’s been bottled up. Jaren Jackson Jr. has shown flashes of his scoring potential and shot-blocking prowess, but too often he’s been forced into difficult positions due to Oklahoma City’s switching and length. For the Grizzlies to find a foothold, Jackson will need to be more aggressive in asserting his presence both in the paint and from beyond the arc, while Desmond Bane and Ziaire Williams must provide perimeter production to prevent the Thunder from collapsing on Morant every possession.

Defensively, Memphis has been thoroughly outmaneuvered, failing to contain Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s pick-and-roll mastery and allowing too many clean looks from Oklahoma City’s array of secondary scorers. The Grizzlies’ transition defense has been porous, giving the Thunder too many easy buckets off live-ball turnovers and long rebounds. Head coach Taylor Jenkins will need to make major adjustments, potentially introducing more zone looks or full-court pressure to disrupt OKC’s flow and force them into uncomfortable offensive scenarios. On offense, the Grizzlies may benefit from speeding up the pace and pushing off makes and misses alike, hoping to catch the Thunder defense in flux before it can get set. Memphis’s bench must also step up in a meaningful way—through two games, their lack of production has allowed OKC’s second unit to extend leads rather than merely maintain them. At home, the Grizzlies will look to feed off the energy of their crowd and play with a level of desperation that could swing momentum, at least temporarily. The keys will be execution, mental focus, and the ability to absorb and respond to adversity, something they haven’t done well thus far in the series. Game 3 presents a do-or-die scenario, and Memphis will need to play its most complete game of the season to avoid a 3-0 deficit that would all but end their playoff run. It’s a test of character, chemistry, and competitive spirit—and if the Grizzlies want to keep their season alive, it all has to come together now.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Grizzlies play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at FedExForum in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Edey over 17.5 PTS+REB.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Thunder and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the growing emphasis human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly unhealthy Grizzlies team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Memphis picks, computer picks Thunder vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Thunder Betting Trends

The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.

Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends

In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Game Info

Oklahoma City vs Memphis starts on April 24, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Memphis +8.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -352, Memphis +280
Over/Under: 226.5

Oklahoma City: (68-14)  |  Memphis: (48-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Edey over 17.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the first two games of the series, the Thunder covered the spread convincingly, including a 131-80 victory in Game 1. For Game 3, the Thunder are favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their dominant form.

OKC trend: The Thunder concluded the regular season with a 54-26-2 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 67.5% of their games, the best in the league.

MEM trend: The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 43-41-1 ATS record, covering in 51.2% of their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Oklahoma City vs Memphis Opening Odds

OKC Moneyline: -352
MEM Moneyline: +280
OKC Spread: -8.5
MEM Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 226.5

Oklahoma City vs Memphis Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:35PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:35PM
Rockets
Thunder
+240
-315
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-114)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-112)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
-121
-104
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-114)
O 224 (-115)
U 224 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+148
-186
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 225.5 (-112)
U 225.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-182
+4 (-113)
-4 (-113)
O 229 (-114)
U 229 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+280
-375
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-115)
O 215 (-112)
U 215 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+110
-136
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 225.5 (-113)
U 225.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-113)
O 235.5 (-114)
U 235.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+9 (-112)
-9 (-114)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+107
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 234.5 (-114)
U 234.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+128
-159
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-113)
O 236 (-114)
U 236 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-385
+285
-9 (-112)
+9 (-114)
O 227 (-112)
U 227 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
+116
-143
+3 (-115)
-3 (-110)
O 225.5 (-113)
U 225.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
+130
-162
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-112)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-159
+128
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
O 219.5 (-113)
U 219.5 (-113)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+260
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-108
-112
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies on April 24, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS