Warriors vs Rockets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 23)
Updated: 2025-04-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Golden State Warriors will face the Houston Rockets in Game 2 of their first-round playoff series on April 23, 2025, at the Toyota Center. The Warriors lead the series 1-0 after a narrow victory in Game 1, and the Rockets aim to even the series on their home court.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 23, 2025
Start Time: 9:30 PM EST
Venue: Toyota Center
Rockets Record: (52-30)
Warriors Record: (48-34)
OPENING ODDS
GS Moneyline: +136
HOU Moneyline: -161
GS Spread: +3.5
HOU Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 203.5
GS
Betting Trends
- The Warriors concluded the regular season with a 42-39-3 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 51.9% of their games. Their ATS performance was consistent, reflecting their competitive play throughout the season.
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Rockets finished the regular season with a 43-39-1 ATS record, also covering in 52.4% of their games. Their strong home performance contributed significantly to their overall ATS success.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite being the No. 2 seed, the Rockets are only slight favorites in Game 2, with a spread of -3.5 points. This narrow margin reflects the closely contested nature of Game 1 and suggests expectations for another tight matchup.
GS vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Eason over 14.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Golden State vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/23/25
The Rockets’ ability to respond under pressure will be tested, especially with the energy of their home crowd providing a potential X-factor. Both teams are dealing with contrasting timelines: the Warriors are navigating the twilight of a dynasty, still potent and cohesive, while the Rockets are building toward the future, seeking credibility and postseason experience. For Golden State, a win in Game 2 would give them commanding control of the series and validate their playoff pedigree, while a Houston victory would not only even the series but signify a coming-of-age moment for their young core. The battle between discipline and dynamism, structure and spontaneity, will be at the heart of this matchup. Expect adjustments on both sides—Golden State may slow the game down to force Houston into half-court execution, while the Rockets might push pace to exploit their athletic advantage and create transition opportunities. Foul trouble, bench contributions, and three-point efficiency will also play pivotal roles in determining the outcome. With so much on the line and momentum hanging in the balance, Game 2 is poised to be a showcase of strategic evolution, clutch performance, and the intangible qualities that define postseason basketball. The intensity is expected to rise, and whichever team can better execute under playoff pressure will walk away one step closer to advancing in this compelling first-round matchup.
Took care of Game 1.
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) April 23, 2025
Game 2 tomorrow — let’s run it back 🗣️ pic.twitter.com/sNGX472byQ
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors enter Game 2 of their first-round playoff series against the Houston Rockets with a 1-0 lead and a renewed sense of confidence following a narrow road victory in the opener that highlighted their postseason experience and strategic clarity. While this iteration of the Warriors no longer holds the aura of invincibility that defined their championship runs, they remain a formidable playoff unit anchored by a core that knows exactly how to navigate high-stakes basketball. Stephen Curry remains the undisputed leader of this group, and his Game 1 performance served as a reminder of his unmatched ability to control the pace, create space off the dribble, and deliver in the clutch. His deep shooting continues to warp opposing defenses, and his off-ball movement puts constant pressure on Houston’s younger defenders. The mid-season addition of Jimmy Butler has added a new layer of toughness and two-way reliability that Golden State had been missing. Butler brings not only a defensive edge—often taking on the opposing team’s top perimeter threat—but also a level-headedness in tight moments that complements Curry’s explosive scoring. Draymond Green continues to serve as the emotional and strategic backbone, quarterbacking the defense and delivering key assists that reflect his court vision and leadership. In the frontcourt, Kevon Looney remains a steady rebounder and interior defender, providing critical second-chance opportunities and absorbing tough matchups in the paint.
The Warriors’ bench also played a pivotal role in Game 1, with players like Moses Moody and Jonathan Kuminga offering energy and defensive hustle that helped maintain tempo when the starters rested. Going into Game 2, head coach Steve Kerr will likely emphasize maintaining defensive discipline, especially in transition, where the Rockets can be most dangerous. The goal will be to continue forcing Houston into half-court sets where Golden State’s experience and communication give them the edge. Offensively, the Warriors will look to exploit mismatches created by Curry and Butler’s versatility, and a renewed focus on rebounding and limiting turnovers will be critical in a hostile road environment. Despite the narrow margin in Game 1, the Warriors appeared more composed during key stretches and exhibited the kind of poise that often decides close playoff games. Another win on the road would put them firmly in control of the series and validate the front office’s decision to make mid-season tweaks aimed at retooling for one more deep playoff push. With championship DNA, veteran savvy, and the belief that their best basketball is still ahead of them, the Warriors are poised to assert themselves once again in a postseason setting that continues to reward experience and execution over flash. Game 2 will be a test of consistency, adaptability, and willpower for Golden State, and if history is any indicator, the Warriors are unlikely to shy away from the moment.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Houston Rockets NBA Preview
The Houston Rockets approach Game 2 of their playoff series against the Golden State Warriors with both determination and urgency after dropping Game 1 in a tightly contested battle that illuminated the promise and pitfalls of their youthful roster. As the second seed in the Western Conference, the Rockets have earned home-court advantage through consistent, high-energy basketball built around a talented core that has matured significantly under head coach Ime Udoka. Alperen Şengün continues to emerge as the offensive anchor of the team, with a polished post game, high basketball IQ, and excellent passing vision for a big man, making him a mismatch problem for many defenses. Alongside him, Jalen Green provides the scoring punch with his elite athleticism, explosive first step, and improving shot selection, giving Houston a dynamic inside-out threat when both players are operating in sync. However, Game 1 exposed some growing pains that can haunt a young playoff team—missed assignments on defense, poorly timed turnovers, and rushed shot decisions in crunch time all contributed to their narrow defeat despite a strong effort. The Rockets’ bench, a source of depth during the regular season, failed to make a substantial impact and will need to respond more assertively if Houston wants to regain control of the series. Players like Amen Thompson and Dillon Brooks must be more assertive on both ends, with Brooks in particular expected to help contain Golden State’s perimeter threats.
Defensively, the Rockets struggled to contain Stephen Curry’s movement and Jimmy Butler’s physicality, something that will need to be addressed through better communication and tighter perimeter rotations. Ime Udoka will likely look to tweak his matchups and increase the use of help-side defenders to challenge the Warriors’ three-point looks while keeping the paint protected. Offensively, Houston needs to play more under control—while they thrive in transition, slowing down at times and executing in the half-court can allow their stars to get into more favorable positions and draw fouls, especially when playing a veteran team like the Warriors that knows how to exploit chaos. The Rockets also need to capitalize on their home crowd advantage at the Toyota Center, using the energy of the fans to build momentum early and establish a rhythm that forces Golden State to chase the game rather than dictate the flow. Despite the Game 1 loss, this is a Rockets team that has evolved significantly throughout the season, gaining the kind of grit and structure that makes them dangerous when firing on all cylinders. Game 2 offers Houston a chance to showcase resilience and growth—qualities that have defined their season—and a win would swing momentum and restore confidence before the series shifts to the Bay Area. The challenge is clear, but so is the opportunity: play smart, play together, and protect home court to show that this rising Rockets team is more than just a regular-season success story.
Another opportunity tomorrow.
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) April 22, 2025
Game 2 on deck in Houston 👏@MemorialHermann | #Liftoff pic.twitter.com/EU03Csn3X8
Golden State vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)
Golden State vs. Houston Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Warriors and Rockets and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Warriors team going up against a possibly deflated Rockets team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Golden State vs Houston picks, computer picks Warriors vs Rockets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Warriors Betting Trends
The Warriors concluded the regular season with a 42-39-3 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 51.9% of their games. Their ATS performance was consistent, reflecting their competitive play throughout the season.
Rockets Betting Trends
The Rockets finished the regular season with a 43-39-1 ATS record, also covering in 52.4% of their games. Their strong home performance contributed significantly to their overall ATS success.
Warriors vs. Rockets Matchup Trends
Despite being the No. 2 seed, the Rockets are only slight favorites in Game 2, with a spread of -3.5 points. This narrow margin reflects the closely contested nature of Game 1 and suggests expectations for another tight matchup.
Golden State vs. Houston Game Info
What time does Golden State vs Houston start on April 23, 2025?
Golden State vs Houston starts on April 23, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.
Where is Golden State vs Houston being played?
Venue: Toyota Center.
What are the opening odds for Golden State vs Houston?
Spread: Houston -3.5
Moneyline: Golden State +136, Houston -161
Over/Under: 203.5
What are the records for Golden State vs Houston?
Golden State: (48-34) | Houston: (52-30)
What is the AI best bet for Golden State vs Houston?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Eason over 14.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Golden State vs Houston trending bets?
Despite being the No. 2 seed, the Rockets are only slight favorites in Game 2, with a spread of -3.5 points. This narrow margin reflects the closely contested nature of Game 1 and suggests expectations for another tight matchup.
What are Golden State trending bets?
GS trend: The Warriors concluded the regular season with a 42-39-3 record against the spread (ATS), covering in 51.9% of their games. Their ATS performance was consistent, reflecting their competitive play throughout the season.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Rockets finished the regular season with a 43-39-1 ATS record, also covering in 52.4% of their games. Their strong home performance contributed significantly to their overall ATS success.
Where can I find AI Picks for Golden State vs Houston?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Golden State vs. Houston Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Golden State vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Golden State vs Houston Opening Odds
GS Moneyline:
+136 HOU Moneyline: -161
GS Spread: +3.5
HOU Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 203.5
Golden State vs Houston Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21, 2025 7:35PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:35PM
Rockets
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+245
-300
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
|
O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
|
O 215.5 (-110)
U 215.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
|
–
–
|
+115
-140
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
|
–
–
|
+190
-240
|
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
|
–
–
|
+300
-375
|
+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
|
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-140
+115
|
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
+130
-160
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 237 (-110)
U 237 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-375
+300
|
-9 (-110)
+9 (-110)
|
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
|
–
–
|
+120
-145
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 226.5 (+100)
U 226.5 (-120)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
-170
+140
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 219.5 (-110)
U 219.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
-115
-105
|
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets on April 23, 2025 at Toyota Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |