The Memphis Grizzlies return home to FedExForum for their regular-season finale with a 47–34 record, a firm grip on a play-in tournament spot, and a golden opportunity to solidify their postseason position with a win over the visiting Dallas Mavericks. After enduring a tough 117–109 loss to the Denver Nuggets, the Grizzlies are looking to shake off a recent four-game home losing skid and recapture the dominant form that helped them build a strong foundation throughout the year. Memphis has been steady ATS at home, going 21–17–2, and will enter Sunday’s game as slight favorites, thanks to a balanced, high-energy roster centered around franchise star Ja Morant. Averaging 23.2 points and 7.3 assists per game, Morant continues to be the team’s offensive catalyst, with his burst, court vision, and ability to finish through contact keeping defenders honest and generating opportunities for teammates. Alongside him, Jaren Jackson Jr. has quietly pieced together an excellent season, averaging 22.2 points and 5.6 rebounds while anchoring the defense with rim protection and help-side awareness that routinely alters opponents’ shot selection in the paint. Memphis thrives when these two set the tone, pushing tempo after rebounds and collapsing defenses with aggressive drives and pick-and-roll action. While their home form has dipped slightly in recent weeks, the Grizzlies still hold a 25–15 overall home record, and Sunday’s game presents a crucial opportunity to reestablish their arena as a postseason fortress.

Their success hinges on defensive execution—especially limiting second-chance points and closing out on Dallas’ perimeter shooters—while also avoiding foul trouble and capitalizing on turnovers, an area where Morant and Desmond Bane have been opportunistic all season. The absence of key bench pieces has forced head coach Taylor Jenkins to lean more heavily on his starters, but the Grizzlies’ depth has responded, with players like Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., and David Roddy stepping up to contribute defensively and space the floor. Memphis will also need to stay composed in half-court sets, particularly when Davis is patrolling the interior, by moving the ball and creating open looks off secondary action rather than relying solely on Morant’s shot creation. Their ability to withstand Dallas’ physicality and match their urgency will be pivotal, especially in the first quarter where setting the tone could mean everything. The Grizzlies are well aware of the stakes—win and potentially improve their seeding; lose and face a trickier road in the play-in—and that awareness, combined with home-court intensity, should give them the emotional edge. A sharp, assertive showing will not only end their home skid but also send a message that Memphis is poised to defend its playoff place with the same energy and attitude that made them one of the league’s most promising young teams just a season ago. With Morant ready to rise to the occasion and Jackson patrolling both ends of the court, the Grizzlies are well-positioned to close out the regular season with confidence, momentum, and their identity intact.