Raptors vs Mavericks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 11)
Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Dallas Mavericks (38–42) host the Toronto Raptors (30–50) at the American Airlines Center on April 11, 2025. While the Mavericks aim to bolster their position in the Western Conference play-in tournament, the Raptors look to finish their season on a positive note.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Apr 11, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Mavericks Record: (38-42)
Raptors Record: (30-50)
OPENING ODDS
TOR Moneyline: +431
DAL Moneyline: -595
TOR Spread: +11
DAL Spread: -11.0
Over/Under: 225
TOR
Betting Trends
- The Raptors have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 28–47 ATS record this season.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Mavericks have been more reliable ATS, posting a 37–38 ATS record this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last three meetings, the Mavericks have won two games against the Raptors, including a 125–118 victory on December 7, 2024.
TOR vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Marshall over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Toronto vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/11/25
However, the Raptors have struggled to find a consistent rhythm, averaging 110.9 points per game while allowing 114.9—numbers that speak to both offensive inefficiency and defensive breakdowns. Pascal Siakam’s midseason trade and injuries to key contributors like Scottie Barnes have thinned the rotation and left head coach Darko Rajaković experimenting with lineups that offer more upside than stability. Still, the Raptors view matchups like this one as a chance to challenge their young core against battle-tested veterans, while building confidence and evaluating future pieces. Dallas enters the contest with a 1–0 lead in the season series, following a 125–118 victory over Toronto earlier this year. In that game, the Mavericks capitalized on fast starts and perimeter shooting, exploiting Toronto’s inconsistent transition defense. With the added weight of play-in positioning, expect the Mavs to come out focused and aggressive, pushing the pace and leveraging Davis’ interior presence to collapse the defense and open shots for Thompson and their guards. Toronto, meanwhile, will look to keep things competitive through Barrett’s shot creation, rookie intensity on the boards, and energy from players like Gradey Dick and Dennis Schröder. However, if Dallas controls the tempo early and avoids defensive lapses, they should be able to create enough separation to manage minutes and secure a crucial win. For the Mavericks, this game is about survival and positioning. For the Raptors, it’s about identity and progress. And for both, it’s a final chapter with its own meaning before attention shifts to the postseason or offseason reset.
To the best city edition court the league's ever seen: it's not goodbye, only see you later. Shot on Google Pixel @googlecanada 🔥 #paidpartnership pic.twitter.com/AtiVblbyUD
— Toronto Raptors (@Raptors) April 10, 2025
Toronto Raptors NBA Preview
The Toronto Raptors travel to Dallas on April 11 carrying a 30–50 record and the full weight of a challenging, transitional season that’s now nearing its close. Eliminated from playoff contention weeks ago, the Raptors are focused on the long-term development of their young core and assessing the roster as they prepare for an important offseason. RJ Barrett has emerged as the team’s offensive focal point, averaging 21.1 points per game since arriving in a midseason trade, and his assertiveness in attacking the basket has given Toronto a reliable, if not elite, scoring option. With Pascal Siakam dealt to Indiana earlier in the year and injuries sidelining rising star Scottie Barnes, the Raptors have turned to a rotating cast of young players including Gradey Dick, Jordan Nwora, and backup point guard Malachi Flynn to carry heavier minutes and learn on the fly. While this late-season stretch hasn’t translated into wins, it has created valuable game experience and opportunities for role clarity. Offensively, Toronto averages 110.9 points per game, shooting 45.8% from the field—numbers that point to a team still trying to establish an identity in the half court. Without a true floor-spacing big or high-volume three-point shooting presence, the Raptors often rely on dribble penetration and midrange looks rather than modern perimeter-focused spacing. Barrett and Immanuel Quickley, both acquired in the same trade package, have done their best to push the tempo and initiate early offense, but consistency remains elusive. Their lack of size and rim protection has also exposed them on the defensive end, where they allow 114.9 points per game.
Teams have frequently attacked them in transition and exploited pick-and-roll coverages, particularly when the Raptors are forced into small-ball lineups. These defensive shortcomings have made it difficult to sustain leads or stop opposing teams’ scoring runs, especially late in games. While their season will soon be over, this matchup against the Mavericks provides Toronto a chance to close out the year with urgency and competitive fire. Head coach Darko Rajaković will be watching intently to evaluate who shows fight, execution, and composure against a team that’s still playing for postseason survival. The Raptors lost the earlier meeting this season, 125–118, in a game where their defense faltered in key stretches despite a strong offensive effort from Barrett and Quickley. To keep things close in Dallas, Toronto will need to take care of the ball, crash the boards to limit second-chance points, and generate open looks through consistent ball movement. A win won’t change their fate, but a strong showing would offer a small morale boost and highlight which players may be ready to take the next step in 2025–26. For the Raptors, the stakes may be low—but the learning, visibility, and growth remain critically important.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Mavericks NBA Preview
The Dallas Mavericks return to American Airlines Center on April 11 with a 38–42 record and everything to play for as they continue their push to lock in a spot in the Western Conference play-in tournament. While their season has seen its share of inconsistency, late-season urgency and the leadership of veterans like Anthony Davis and Klay Thompson have begun to steer the ship toward postseason contention. Davis, acquired earlier in the season, has brought much-needed interior presence, averaging a double-double and anchoring the defense with blocks, contested shots, and rebounding dominance. Klay Thompson, though no longer at his All-Star peak, remains a dangerous shooter who draws defensive attention and helps space the floor for Dallas’ drive-and-kick game. Together, they’ve helped re-establish a competitive identity for a Mavericks squad that struggled earlier in the year with depth issues and defensive lapses. With two games remaining and limited margin for error, this game against the Raptors is a must-win if Dallas hopes to climb or stabilize their place in the play-in seeding. Offensively, Dallas has been sharp, averaging 114.3 points per game on 47.8% shooting from the field, ranking among the top half of the league in scoring efficiency. Their system thrives on inside-out execution, transition opportunities, and ball movement that allows players like Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, and Maxi Kleber to find rhythm in supporting roles.
Anthony Davis’ ability to attract attention in the paint opens up looks for shooters, while Thompson’s perimeter threat continues to stretch defenses thin. In recent games, the Mavericks have looked more cohesive, using better off-ball action and executing late-game possessions with improved patience. Their biggest hurdle remains defense, where they allow 115.4 points per game, and at times struggle to defend in transition or rotate quickly enough to contest threes. While Davis has improved their rim protection, the perimeter defense still needs tightening, especially if they’re to survive in the play-in and beyond. At home, the Mavericks are 19–15—a respectable mark and a source of comfort heading into a matchup they are expected to control. Earlier this season, they defeated the Raptors 125–118, and they’ll be looking to replicate that performance with added playoff urgency. The key will be starting strong, establishing defensive tone early, and maintaining consistent offensive pressure against a Toronto squad with nothing to lose but plenty of young talent eager to prove itself. Head coach Jason Kidd will emphasize the importance of limiting turnovers, attacking mismatches, and controlling the glass—particularly given Toronto’s small-ball rotations and defensive inconsistencies. A win not only keeps Dallas in the postseason hunt but could also serve as a launchpad for a late run and perhaps a higher seed in the play-in bracket. For the Mavericks, this game is about asserting control, reinforcing identity, and showing that they have the veteran leadership and resolve to handle business when it counts. With their season on the line, expect Dallas to come out locked in and ready to capitalize.
🔒🔒🔒#MFFL pic.twitter.com/BUQfkaGXik
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) April 10, 2025
Toronto vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Toronto vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Raptors and Mavericks and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors tend to put on Toronto’s strength factors between a Raptors team going up against a possibly improved Mavericks team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Toronto vs Dallas picks, computer picks Raptors vs Mavericks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Raptors Betting Trends
The Raptors have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 28–47 ATS record this season.
Mavericks Betting Trends
The Mavericks have been more reliable ATS, posting a 37–38 ATS record this season.
Raptors vs. Mavericks Matchup Trends
In their last three meetings, the Mavericks have won two games against the Raptors, including a 125–118 victory on December 7, 2024.
Toronto vs. Dallas Game Info
What time does Toronto vs Dallas start on April 11, 2025?
Toronto vs Dallas starts on April 11, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Where is Toronto vs Dallas being played?
Venue: American Airlines Center.
What are the opening odds for Toronto vs Dallas?
Spread: Dallas -11.0
Moneyline: Toronto +431, Dallas -595
Over/Under: 225
What are the records for Toronto vs Dallas?
Toronto: (30-50) | Dallas: (38-42)
What is the AI best bet for Toronto vs Dallas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Marshall over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Toronto vs Dallas trending bets?
In their last three meetings, the Mavericks have won two games against the Raptors, including a 125–118 victory on December 7, 2024.
What are Toronto trending bets?
TOR trend: The Raptors have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 28–47 ATS record this season.
What are Dallas trending bets?
DAL trend: The Mavericks have been more reliable ATS, posting a 37–38 ATS record this season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Toronto vs Dallas?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Toronto vs. Dallas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Toronto vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Toronto vs Dallas Opening Odds
TOR Moneyline:
+431 DAL Moneyline: -595
TOR Spread: +11
DAL Spread: -11.0
Over/Under: 225
Toronto vs Dallas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-172
+139
|
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
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–
–
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+703
-1250
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+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
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O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
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-526
+382
|
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
|
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+127
-156
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-161
+132
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 233 (-110)
U 233 (-110)
|
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|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+487
-714
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
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|
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-222
+178
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
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Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
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Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
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O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
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Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
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+175
-220
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+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks on April 11, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |