Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 11)
Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Denver Nuggets (47–32) host the Memphis Grizzlies (47–32) at Ball Arena on April 11, 2025, in a pivotal Western Conference matchup. Both teams are vying for playoff positioning, making this game crucial for determining seeding as the regular season concludes.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 11, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Ball Arena
Nuggets Record: (48-32)
Grizzlies Record: (47-33)
OPENING ODDS
MEM Moneyline: +236
DEN Moneyline: -296
MEM Spread: +7
DEN Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 241
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, showing resilience despite injury challenges.
DEN
Betting Trends
- The Nuggets have been reliable at home, covering the spread in 4 of their last 6 games at Ball Arena.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Nuggets have covered the spread in four games against the Grizzlies, indicating a recent trend of dominance in this series.
MEM vs. DEN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Gordon over 24.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Memphis vs Denver Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/11/25
The Grizzlies average 122.1 points per game—among the league’s best—relying on ball movement, quick cuts, and relentless pace to generate offense. Despite their injuries, young players like Scotty Pippen Jr. and GG Jackson have provided a lift, injecting fresh energy and solid minutes into a depleted rotation. Memphis has covered the spread in three of their last five games and continues to show the kind of grit that makes them a dangerous opponent for any contender, even when short-handed. Historically, the Nuggets have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning four of the last five meetings against the Grizzlies and covering the spread in those contests. Denver’s home-court dominance, combined with their late-season momentum, positions them as the favorite once again. However, Memphis’s tenacity and depth make them far from a pushover, and with both teams tied in the standings, the competitive intensity will be closer to playoff-level than a typical regular-season game. Key matchups will likely include Jokić versus Jackson Jr. in the paint, and the backcourt duel between Murray and Bane. With playoff implications, a history of competitive clashes, and star power on both sides, fans can expect a physical, fast-paced battle where execution, discipline, and composure in the final minutes could determine not just the winner of the night—but also a pivotal shift in the Western Conference bracket.
First Half Frames 📸〽️ pic.twitter.com/L3vQa6Xwo7
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) April 11, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies enter Ball Arena on April 11 with a 47–32 record and a reputation as one of the Western Conference’s most resilient and battle-tested teams this season. Despite being plagued by injuries to several core players, most notably Ja Morant, the Grizzlies have managed to remain firmly in the playoff mix, largely due to their depth, defensive identity, and the emergence of new contributors in expanded roles. Leading the charge is Jaren Jackson Jr., who has embraced the role of centerpiece on both ends of the floor. He is averaging 22.4 points per game while serving as the team’s defensive linchpin with his shot-blocking and versatility in guarding multiple positions. Alongside him, Desmond Bane has continued to flourish as a high-efficiency scorer and capable playmaker, averaging well over 20 points per game and drawing tough defensive assignments night in and night out. Memphis’s offensive profile is impressive, averaging 122.1 points per game thanks to a system built on tempo, transition, and movement without the ball. Even in Morant’s absence, the Grizzlies have maintained a fast pace and committed to sharing the basketball, often overwhelming opponents with their ability to push in transition and create open looks from the perimeter. Young players like Scotty Pippen Jr., GG Jackson, and Vince Williams Jr. have taken advantage of increased minutes, injecting energy and scoring into the rotation and giving the Grizzlies a deeper bench than many expected this late in the season. While their offensive numbers are strong, their defense—once a top-tier staple—has become more matchup-dependent without their full complement of starters.
Nevertheless, Memphis continues to rely on its defensive schemes to generate fast-break opportunities and keep games within reach, even against elite competition. Heading into Denver, Memphis faces one of its toughest road tests, especially with both teams tied in the standings and playoff seeding at stake. The Grizzlies have shown they can compete on the road, but Ball Arena’s altitude and Denver’s strong home record pose a legitimate challenge, particularly for a roster with so many young players in pivotal roles. For Memphis to secure a win, they will need Jackson Jr. to control the paint against Nikola Jokić while avoiding early foul trouble, and for Bane to stretch Denver’s defense with his off-the-dribble scoring and perimeter threat. The Grizzlies will also need to crash the boards aggressively and take care of the ball, limiting Denver’s second-chance points and fast-break chances. Though underdogs, Memphis’s grit and ability to adapt in high-pressure moments make them dangerous—especially in games where the stakes resemble playoff intensity. With seeding, pride, and postseason readiness all on the line, the Grizzlies will look to prove they’re more than just a resilient team—they’re a serious threat no matter the circumstances.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
The Denver Nuggets return to Ball Arena on April 11 with a 47–32 record and the advantage of playing on their home floor in a game that could significantly impact the Western Conference playoff picture. With both the Nuggets and the visiting Grizzlies tied in the standings, Denver understands the magnitude of this contest—not just for seeding, but for setting the tone ahead of the postseason. At the heart of Denver’s success remains Nikola Jokić, the engine of one of the NBA’s most fluid and efficient offenses. Averaging 29.1 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game, Jokić continues to redefine the center position with his vision, touch, and control of tempo. His chemistry with Jamal Murray has been a cornerstone of Denver’s identity, with Murray excelling in the pick-and-roll and stepping into clutch moments when games tighten. Michael Porter Jr. adds scoring on the wing, stretching defenses with his shooting and creating space for Jokić to operate in the post and elbow zones. Offensively, the Nuggets average 120.7 points per game, emphasizing unselfishness, ball movement, and high-percentage looks. Whether it’s Jokić initiating offense from the high post, Murray breaking down defenses with dribble penetration, or Porter Jr. curling off screens for catch-and-shoot opportunities, Denver’s offense is balanced and difficult to predict. The team has benefited from key contributions off the bench as well, with Aaron Gordon and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope providing toughness, rebounding, and defensive stability. At Ball Arena, Denver is particularly dangerous, boasting one of the league’s best home records. The altitude gives them a subtle but real edge, especially in the second half when opponents often show signs of fatigue.
This advantage has helped them execute at a higher pace and maintain focus through the grind of the schedule, and it will be especially useful against a Memphis team that thrives in transition. Defensively, the Nuggets have improved as the season has progressed, anchoring their success with communication and smart rotations. They allow 111.4 points per game and have done well defending the three-point line and forcing opponents into contested midrange shots. Jokić’s positioning, while not built on athleticism, has become highly effective due to his anticipation and timing. With playoff seeding on the line and a chance to break the tie with the Grizzlies, Denver will aim to impose their will early, control the glass, and dictate pace through their half-court execution. Head coach Michael Malone will emphasize discipline, defensive focus, and closing out quarters strong—hallmarks of Denver’s most successful stretches this season. With home-court advantage, a seasoned roster, and one of the game’s true superstars leading the way, the Nuggets are poised to send a strong message that they are ready not just for this challenge, but for the playoff battles ahead.
DeAndre talks about the next man up mentality, maintaining consistency, and more in an all-new episode of Road to Gold!
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) April 10, 2025
Watch now 🎥 https://t.co/fLxu4oUmkW pic.twitter.com/7Owthybizl
Memphis vs. Denver Prop Picks (AI)
Memphis vs. Denver Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Grizzlies and Nuggets and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending weight human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly improved Nuggets team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Memphis vs Denver picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Nuggets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Grizzlies Betting Trends
The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, showing resilience despite injury challenges.
Nuggets Betting Trends
The Nuggets have been reliable at home, covering the spread in 4 of their last 6 games at Ball Arena.
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Matchup Trends
In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Nuggets have covered the spread in four games against the Grizzlies, indicating a recent trend of dominance in this series.
Memphis vs. Denver Game Info
What time does Memphis vs Denver start on April 11, 2025?
Memphis vs Denver starts on April 11, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Where is Memphis vs Denver being played?
Venue: Ball Arena.
What are the opening odds for Memphis vs Denver?
Spread: Denver -7.0
Moneyline: Memphis +236, Denver -296
Over/Under: 241
What are the records for Memphis vs Denver?
Memphis: (47-33) | Denver: (48-32)
What is the AI best bet for Memphis vs Denver?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Gordon over 24.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Memphis vs Denver trending bets?
In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Nuggets have covered the spread in four games against the Grizzlies, indicating a recent trend of dominance in this series.
What are Memphis trending bets?
MEM trend: The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, showing resilience despite injury challenges.
What are Denver trending bets?
DEN trend: The Nuggets have been reliable at home, covering the spread in 4 of their last 6 games at Ball Arena.
Where can I find AI Picks for Memphis vs Denver?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Memphis vs. Denver Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Denver trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Memphis vs Denver Opening Odds
MEM Moneyline:
+236 DEN Moneyline: -296
MEM Spread: +7
DEN Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 241
Memphis vs Denver Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21, 2025 7:35PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:35PM
Rockets
Thunder
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–
–
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+240
-315
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+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-114)
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O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-112)
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Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
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Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
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–
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-121
-104
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-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-114)
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O 224 (-115)
U 224 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
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+148
-186
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+4.5 (-112)
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O 225.5 (-112)
U 225.5 (-114)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
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–
–
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+145
-182
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+4 (-113)
-4 (-113)
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O 229 (-114)
U 229 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
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–
–
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+280
-375
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+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-115)
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O 215 (-112)
U 215 (-114)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
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–
–
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+110
-136
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+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
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O 225.5 (-113)
U 225.5 (-112)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
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–
–
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+190
-245
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+6 (-113)
-6 (-113)
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O 235.5 (-114)
U 235.5 (-112)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
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–
–
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+285
-385
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+9 (-112)
-9 (-114)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
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–
–
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-132
+107
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-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
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O 234.5 (-114)
U 234.5 (-112)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
|
–
–
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+128
-159
|
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-113)
|
O 236 (-114)
U 236 (-112)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
|
–
–
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-385
+285
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-9 (-112)
+9 (-114)
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O 227 (-112)
U 227 (-114)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
|
–
–
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+116
-143
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+3 (-115)
-3 (-110)
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O 225.5 (-113)
U 225.5 (-113)
|
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Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
|
–
–
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+130
-162
|
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-112)
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O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-113)
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Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
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–
–
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-159
+128
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
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O 219.5 (-113)
U 219.5 (-113)
|
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Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
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–
–
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-325
+260
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
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Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
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–
–
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-108
-112
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+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
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O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Denver Nuggets on April 11, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |