Spurs vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 09)
Updated: 2025-04-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On April 9, 2025, the San Antonio Spurs will face the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors, with a 45-31 record, are vying for playoff positioning, while the Spurs, at 31-43, aim to finish their season on a positive note.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Apr 09, 2025
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center
Warriors Record: (47-32)
Spurs Record: (32-47)
OPENING ODDS
SA Moneyline: +750
GS Moneyline: -1220
SA Spread: +15.5
GS Spread: -15.5
Over/Under: 232
SA
Betting Trends
- The Spurs have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, holding a 13-20-0 record.
GS
Betting Trends
- The Warriors have a 13-15-0 ATS record at home, indicating challenges in covering the spread on their home court.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Spurs have hit the over in eight of their last ten games, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring contests.
SA vs. GS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Castle under 26.5 PTS+REB.
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San Antonio vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/9/25
The 7-foot-4 phenom has been a defensive force, leading the league with 3.8 blocks per game while also providing scoring versatility with deep range, transition finishing, and interior footwork far beyond his years. His growth has been the cornerstone of San Antonio’s rebuild, and the Spurs have built their strategy around his evolving skill set, flanked by Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, and other youthful contributors. Offensively, the Spurs average a respectable 114.2 points per game, and they’ve leaned into pace and floor spacing, making them dangerous when their shooters are clicking. However, they have struggled to sustain consistency, particularly on the road where they are 11-24 with a -3 point differential and a 13-20 ATS record. Still, San Antonio has been trending toward higher-scoring games lately, hitting the over in eight of their last 10 contests, suggesting that their games have been less about defense and more about open-floor play and developmental experimentation. With nothing to lose, the Spurs could again play spoiler, especially if Wembanyama disrupts Golden State’s rhythm on both ends. For bettors and fans alike, the matchup offers compelling contrasts: experience vs. potential, playoff polish vs. rebuilding hunger, and strategy vs. improvisation. With Golden State needing every win to secure its playoff standing and San Antonio free to test its limits, expect a high-energy contest filled with three-point barrages, breakout moments, and maybe even another upset if the Warriors don’t match the Spurs’ tempo and hunger.
Road trip continues at Golden State tomorrow!@FrostBank | #sponsored pic.twitter.com/U5WrxNhYoz
— San Antonio Spurs (@spurs) April 9, 2025
San Antonio Spurs NBA Preview
The San Antonio Spurs travel to Chase Center on April 9, 2025, to take on the playoff-hopeful Golden State Warriors, bringing with them a 31-43 record and a clear developmental mindset focused on building around their generational rookie talent, Victor Wembanyama. While the Spurs have long been eliminated from playoff contention, they have embraced the second half of the season as a runway for growth, experimentation, and giving young players valuable exposure in high-pressure matchups like this one. Wembanyama, the 7-foot-4 phenom, has emerged as the cornerstone of San Antonio’s rebuild, leading the league with 3.8 blocks per game while showcasing a unique blend of defensive dominance, perimeter shooting, and court vision that defies his rookie status. His presence alone changes the geometry of the floor on both ends, as opposing offenses are forced to rethink drives to the rim, and defenses must stretch to the perimeter where he can knock down threes or initiate offense. Around him, the Spurs have continued to cultivate a young core that includes Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan, and Tre Jones—all of whom have shown flashes of becoming long-term foundational pieces. Offensively, San Antonio has been surprisingly capable, averaging 114.2 points per game by relying on pace, spacing, and a willingness to share the ball across multiple ball-handlers. However, their defensive execution remains a work in progress, particularly on the road where lapses in communication and perimeter containment have led to high-scoring games. This is evident in their road record of 11-24, combined with a 13-20 ATS record away from home and a recent stretch where they’ve hit the over in eight of their last 10 games, pointing to both their scoring ability and defensive vulnerability.
Against Golden State, the Spurs will need to be hyper-focused defensively, especially on the perimeter where Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson operate with relentless movement and deep shooting range. Expect Gregg Popovich to deploy multiple looks, from switching schemes to zone traps, in an effort to disrupt the Warriors’ flow and give Wembanyama chances to make impact plays as a help defender. Offensively, the Spurs must take care of the ball and exploit moments when Golden State’s transition defense is vulnerable, with Wembanyama trailing for pick-and-pop jumpers and Vassell attacking gaps off of secondary actions. While winning may not be the priority at this stage of the season, the Spurs have already demonstrated their ability to compete with playoff teams—they beat the Warriors earlier this season—and they won’t lack motivation to test themselves against elite competition. A strong showing from Wembanyama on national display could spark a late-season morale boost for San Antonio’s young roster and reinforce the notion that their rebuild is not only on schedule but has already produced a legitimate future superstar. In an arena that has been the site of so many iconic performances, Wembanyama’s continued rise could make this matchup more than just another box score—it could be another glimpse at what’s next for the Spurs and the league as a whole.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors return to Chase Center on April 9, 2025, to host the San Antonio Spurs in a matchup that, while uneven in terms of standings, is highly important for a Warriors squad that enters with a 45-31 record and firmly entrenched in the Western Conference playoff hunt. With just a few games remaining in the regular season, Golden State is aiming to secure optimal seeding and avoid the volatility of the play-in tournament, making this home contest against a rebuilding Spurs team a must-win. Led by Stephen Curry, who continues to defy age and fatigue with 4.5 made three-pointers per game—the highest mark in the league—Golden State’s offense remains one of the most dynamic and difficult to defend when firing on all cylinders. Curry’s combination of off-ball movement, lightning-quick release, and leadership remains the team’s lifeline, while Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins offer secondary scoring and spacing to stretch defenses. Draymond Green continues to orchestrate the defense and half-court offense, providing a blend of on-court intelligence, physicality, and veteran stability. The Warriors’ defensive rating of 110.0 ranks among the league’s better units, thanks to their ability to switch screens, defend in transition, and protect the rim with collective effort rather than size alone. That said, Golden State has had mixed success at home against the spread, holding a 13-15-0 ATS record at Chase Center, which reflects their tendency to win games outright but fall short of covering betting margins—often due to late-game lapses or opponents keeping games close with high-tempo offense.
The Warriors know they can’t afford such letdowns with playoff positioning on the line, and against a young Spurs team that already handed them an early-season upset loss, the message from the coaching staff will be one of urgency, defensive focus, and crisp execution. The game plan will undoubtedly revolve around exploiting San Antonio’s inexperience with high-ball movement, staggered screens for Curry and Thompson, and aggressive pace control to prevent the Spurs from gaining momentum in transition. Expect Golden State to also test Victor Wembanyama’s defensive mobility by pulling him out to the perimeter and forcing switches that could lead to mismatches—especially for Curry in pick-and-roll actions. While San Antonio has talent and athleticism, the Warriors’ championship-tested core and bench depth—including contributions from Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody, and Gary Payton II—should offer the edge in shot-making and defensive reliability. This matchup serves not only as a chance to secure a much-needed win, but as a proving ground for the Warriors to display playoff readiness—tight rotations, efficient possessions, and elite execution. Golden State’s championship DNA has always been built on balance—blistering offense, versatile defense, and mental toughness—and this late-season home game presents the perfect opportunity to reassert all three. Against a team still finding its identity, the Warriors must make a statement that their playoff push is not just about survival, but about launching into the postseason with authority and cohesion.
Got the bench on their feet 💥-@MichelobULTRA || Joy Cam pic.twitter.com/I7IPnbp442
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) April 9, 2025
San Antonio vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)
San Antonio vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Spurs and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Golden State’s strength factors between a Spurs team going up against a possibly deflated Warriors team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI San Antonio vs Golden State picks, computer picks Spurs vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Spurs Betting Trends
The Spurs have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, holding a 13-20-0 record.
Warriors Betting Trends
The Warriors have a 13-15-0 ATS record at home, indicating challenges in covering the spread on their home court.
Spurs vs. Warriors Matchup Trends
The Spurs have hit the over in eight of their last ten games, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring contests.
San Antonio vs. Golden State Game Info
What time does San Antonio vs Golden State start on April 09, 2025?
San Antonio vs Golden State starts on April 09, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.
Where is San Antonio vs Golden State being played?
Venue: Chase Center.
What are the opening odds for San Antonio vs Golden State?
Spread: Golden State -15.5
Moneyline: San Antonio +750, Golden State -1220
Over/Under: 232
What are the records for San Antonio vs Golden State?
San Antonio: (32-47) | Golden State: (47-32)
What is the AI best bet for San Antonio vs Golden State?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Castle under 26.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are San Antonio vs Golden State trending bets?
The Spurs have hit the over in eight of their last ten games, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring contests.
What are San Antonio trending bets?
SA trend: The Spurs have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, holding a 13-20-0 record.
What are Golden State trending bets?
GS trend: The Warriors have a 13-15-0 ATS record at home, indicating challenges in covering the spread on their home court.
Where can I find AI Picks for San Antonio vs Golden State?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
San Antonio vs. Golden State Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the San Antonio vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
San Antonio vs Golden State Opening Odds
SA Moneyline:
+750 GS Moneyline: -1220
SA Spread: +15.5
GS Spread: -15.5
Over/Under: 232
San Antonio vs Golden State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-175
+150
|
-4 (-115)
+4 (-105)
|
O 232 (-110)
U 232 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+725
-1300
|
+15.5 (-105)
-15.5 (-115)
|
O 228 (-110)
U 228 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-525
+375
|
-10.5 (-115)
+10.5 (-105)
|
O 233.5 (-105)
U 233.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+130
-150
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 228 (-115)
U 228 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-170
+145
|
-4 (-115)
+4 (-105)
|
O 232 (-110)
U 232 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+430
-625
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-210
+175
|
-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
|
O 236 (-110)
U 236 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
|
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
|
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Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors on April 09, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |