Spurs vs. Warriors
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 09 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On April 9, 2025, the San Antonio Spurs will face the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors, with a 45-31 record, are vying for playoff positioning, while the Spurs, at 31-43, aim to finish their season on a positive note.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 09, 2025

Start Time: 10:00 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Center​

Warriors Record: (47-32)

Spurs Record: (32-47)

OPENING ODDS

SA Moneyline: +750

GS Moneyline: -1220

SA Spread: +15.5

GS Spread: -15.5

Over/Under: 232

SA
Betting Trends

  • The Spurs have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, holding a 13-20-0 record.

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Warriors have a 13-15-0 ATS record at home, indicating challenges in covering the spread on their home court.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Spurs have hit the over in eight of their last ten games, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring contests.

SA vs. GS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Castle under 26.5 PTS+REB.

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San Antonio vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/9/25

The April 9, 2025 showdown between the San Antonio Spurs and the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center presents a clash of vastly different trajectories, as the Spurs look to close out a developmental year with pride, while the Warriors remain focused on sharpening their play for the postseason. The Warriors enter the contest with a 45-31 record and a four-game winning streak, currently jockeying for playoff seeding in the loaded Western Conference. Led by future Hall of Famer Stephen Curry, who continues to lead the NBA in made three-pointers per game at 4.5, Golden State’s offense is as lethal as ever, built around spacing, movement, and rapid-fire perimeter shooting. Curry’s presence continues to bend defenses in ways few others can, and with Klay Thompson regaining rhythm and Draymond Green anchoring the defense and facilitating from the high post, the Warriors’ core continues to be a model of veteran cohesion and playoff readiness. Defensively, Golden State is solid, posting a defensive rating of 110.0, ranking them among the more disciplined teams in the league. That said, they’ve been inconsistent at covering the spread at home with a 13-15-0 ATS mark, often winning but failing to dominate the scoreboard margins as expected. They’ll need to be sharper against a young but competitive Spurs team that’s already beaten them once this season, a 126-121 upset on November 23, 2024. San Antonio comes in at 31-43, long removed from playoff contention, but not short on intrigue or ambition, thanks in large part to the sensational emergence of rookie Victor Wembanyama.

The 7-foot-4 phenom has been a defensive force, leading the league with 3.8 blocks per game while also providing scoring versatility with deep range, transition finishing, and interior footwork far beyond his years. His growth has been the cornerstone of San Antonio’s rebuild, and the Spurs have built their strategy around his evolving skill set, flanked by Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, and other youthful contributors. Offensively, the Spurs average a respectable 114.2 points per game, and they’ve leaned into pace and floor spacing, making them dangerous when their shooters are clicking. However, they have struggled to sustain consistency, particularly on the road where they are 11-24 with a -3 point differential and a 13-20 ATS record. Still, San Antonio has been trending toward higher-scoring games lately, hitting the over in eight of their last 10 contests, suggesting that their games have been less about defense and more about open-floor play and developmental experimentation. With nothing to lose, the Spurs could again play spoiler, especially if Wembanyama disrupts Golden State’s rhythm on both ends. For bettors and fans alike, the matchup offers compelling contrasts: experience vs. potential, playoff polish vs. rebuilding hunger, and strategy vs. improvisation. With Golden State needing every win to secure its playoff standing and San Antonio free to test its limits, expect a high-energy contest filled with three-point barrages, breakout moments, and maybe even another upset if the Warriors don’t match the Spurs’ tempo and hunger.

San Antonio Spurs NBA Preview

The San Antonio Spurs travel to Chase Center on April 9, 2025, to take on the playoff-hopeful Golden State Warriors, bringing with them a 31-43 record and a clear developmental mindset focused on building around their generational rookie talent, Victor Wembanyama. While the Spurs have long been eliminated from playoff contention, they have embraced the second half of the season as a runway for growth, experimentation, and giving young players valuable exposure in high-pressure matchups like this one. Wembanyama, the 7-foot-4 phenom, has emerged as the cornerstone of San Antonio’s rebuild, leading the league with 3.8 blocks per game while showcasing a unique blend of defensive dominance, perimeter shooting, and court vision that defies his rookie status. His presence alone changes the geometry of the floor on both ends, as opposing offenses are forced to rethink drives to the rim, and defenses must stretch to the perimeter where he can knock down threes or initiate offense. Around him, the Spurs have continued to cultivate a young core that includes Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Jeremy Sochan, and Tre Jones—all of whom have shown flashes of becoming long-term foundational pieces. Offensively, San Antonio has been surprisingly capable, averaging 114.2 points per game by relying on pace, spacing, and a willingness to share the ball across multiple ball-handlers. However, their defensive execution remains a work in progress, particularly on the road where lapses in communication and perimeter containment have led to high-scoring games. This is evident in their road record of 11-24, combined with a 13-20 ATS record away from home and a recent stretch where they’ve hit the over in eight of their last 10 games, pointing to both their scoring ability and defensive vulnerability.

Against Golden State, the Spurs will need to be hyper-focused defensively, especially on the perimeter where Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson operate with relentless movement and deep shooting range. Expect Gregg Popovich to deploy multiple looks, from switching schemes to zone traps, in an effort to disrupt the Warriors’ flow and give Wembanyama chances to make impact plays as a help defender. Offensively, the Spurs must take care of the ball and exploit moments when Golden State’s transition defense is vulnerable, with Wembanyama trailing for pick-and-pop jumpers and Vassell attacking gaps off of secondary actions. While winning may not be the priority at this stage of the season, the Spurs have already demonstrated their ability to compete with playoff teams—they beat the Warriors earlier this season—and they won’t lack motivation to test themselves against elite competition. A strong showing from Wembanyama on national display could spark a late-season morale boost for San Antonio’s young roster and reinforce the notion that their rebuild is not only on schedule but has already produced a legitimate future superstar. In an arena that has been the site of so many iconic performances, Wembanyama’s continued rise could make this matchup more than just another box score—it could be another glimpse at what’s next for the Spurs and the league as a whole.

On April 9, 2025, the San Antonio Spurs will face the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors, with a 45-31 record, are vying for playoff positioning, while the Spurs, at 31-43, aim to finish their season on a positive note. San Antonio vs Golden State AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 09. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors return to Chase Center on April 9, 2025, to host the San Antonio Spurs in a matchup that, while uneven in terms of standings, is highly important for a Warriors squad that enters with a 45-31 record and firmly entrenched in the Western Conference playoff hunt. With just a few games remaining in the regular season, Golden State is aiming to secure optimal seeding and avoid the volatility of the play-in tournament, making this home contest against a rebuilding Spurs team a must-win. Led by Stephen Curry, who continues to defy age and fatigue with 4.5 made three-pointers per game—the highest mark in the league—Golden State’s offense remains one of the most dynamic and difficult to defend when firing on all cylinders. Curry’s combination of off-ball movement, lightning-quick release, and leadership remains the team’s lifeline, while Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins offer secondary scoring and spacing to stretch defenses. Draymond Green continues to orchestrate the defense and half-court offense, providing a blend of on-court intelligence, physicality, and veteran stability. The Warriors’ defensive rating of 110.0 ranks among the league’s better units, thanks to their ability to switch screens, defend in transition, and protect the rim with collective effort rather than size alone. That said, Golden State has had mixed success at home against the spread, holding a 13-15-0 ATS record at Chase Center, which reflects their tendency to win games outright but fall short of covering betting margins—often due to late-game lapses or opponents keeping games close with high-tempo offense.

The Warriors know they can’t afford such letdowns with playoff positioning on the line, and against a young Spurs team that already handed them an early-season upset loss, the message from the coaching staff will be one of urgency, defensive focus, and crisp execution. The game plan will undoubtedly revolve around exploiting San Antonio’s inexperience with high-ball movement, staggered screens for Curry and Thompson, and aggressive pace control to prevent the Spurs from gaining momentum in transition. Expect Golden State to also test Victor Wembanyama’s defensive mobility by pulling him out to the perimeter and forcing switches that could lead to mismatches—especially for Curry in pick-and-roll actions. While San Antonio has talent and athleticism, the Warriors’ championship-tested core and bench depth—including contributions from Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody, and Gary Payton II—should offer the edge in shot-making and defensive reliability. This matchup serves not only as a chance to secure a much-needed win, but as a proving ground for the Warriors to display playoff readiness—tight rotations, efficient possessions, and elite execution. Golden State’s championship DNA has always been built on balance—blistering offense, versatile defense, and mental toughness—and this late-season home game presents the perfect opportunity to reassert all three. Against a team still finding its identity, the Warriors must make a statement that their playoff push is not just about survival, but about launching into the postseason with authority and cohesion.

San Antonio vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Spurs and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in Apr can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Castle under 26.5 PTS+REB.

San Antonio vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Spurs and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the growing weight emotional bettors regularly put on San Antonio’s strength factors between a Spurs team going up against a possibly deflated Warriors team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI San Antonio vs Golden State picks, computer picks Spurs vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Spurs Betting Trends

The Spurs have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, holding a 13-20-0 record.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Warriors have a 13-15-0 ATS record at home, indicating challenges in covering the spread on their home court.

Spurs vs. Warriors Matchup Trends

The Spurs have hit the over in eight of their last ten games, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring contests.

San Antonio vs. Golden State Game Info

San Antonio vs Golden State starts on April 09, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.

Spread: Golden State -15.5
Moneyline: San Antonio +750, Golden State -1220
Over/Under: 232

San Antonio: (32-47)  |  Golden State: (47-32)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Castle under 26.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Spurs have hit the over in eight of their last ten games, suggesting a trend toward high-scoring contests.

SA trend: The Spurs have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, holding a 13-20-0 record.

GS trend: The Warriors have a 13-15-0 ATS record at home, indicating challenges in covering the spread on their home court.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

San Antonio vs. Golden State Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the San Antonio vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

San Antonio vs Golden State Opening Odds

SA Moneyline: +750
GS Moneyline: -1220
SA Spread: +15.5
GS Spread: -15.5
Over/Under: 232

San Antonio vs Golden State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+245
-300
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-106)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+138
-164
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+152
-180
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 221.5 (-110)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+134
-158
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+265
-330
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 207.5 (-106)
U 207.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+108
-126
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 222.5 (-110)
U 222.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+184
-220
+6.5 (-114)
-6.5 (-106)
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+275
-340
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-152
+128
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+136
-162
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-330
+265
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-102
-116
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-105)
U 226.5 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-102
-116
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-152
+128
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 218.5 (-115)
U 218.5 (-105)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-310
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-108
-112
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors on April 09, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS