Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 06)

Updated: 2025-04-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Indiana Pacers will face the Denver Nuggets on April 6, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Both teams are vying for favorable playoff positioning in their respective conferences.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 06, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Ball Arena​

Nuggets Record: (47-31)

Pacers Record: (46-31)

OPENING ODDS

IND Moneyline: +202

DEN Moneyline: -248

IND Spread: +6

DEN Spread: -6.0

Over/Under: 238.5

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Pacers have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 32-37-2 this season, covering the spread 46.4% of the time.

DEN
Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.

IND vs. DEN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Haliburton under 22.5 Points.

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Indiana vs Denver Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/6/25

The Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets will square off on April 6, 2025, at Ball Arena in a critical inter-conference clash with meaningful playoff implications for both teams. The Nuggets enter the matchup with a 47-28 record, firmly entrenched in the top tier of the Western Conference and looking to solidify home-court advantage for the postseason, while the Pacers, at 46-31, remain in a tightly contested race in the East, seeking to climb into the top four. Both teams come in with a sense of urgency and momentum, although their recent trajectories diverge slightly. Denver has battled through injuries, particularly to Jamal Murray, who remains day-to-day with a knee issue, placing more pressure on Nikola Jokić to shoulder an even heavier load. Jokić has been up to the challenge, putting up MVP-caliber numbers with averages of 29.1 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game, once again proving himself as the league’s premier all-around big man. His ability to manipulate defenses as both a scorer and facilitator makes him the focal point of Denver’s offense, and his matchup with Indiana’s frontcourt will be one of the evening’s most critical battles. Denver’s supporting cast—Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope—has contributed steadily, but the team’s ceiling often hinges on Jokić’s efficiency and whether the second unit can maintain leads when he sits. Meanwhile, the Pacers are coming off a red-hot 16-5 stretch that has vaulted them into serious contention for home-court advantage in the first round. Indiana’s success has come through balance and depth, with Tyrese Haliburton orchestrating their fast-paced attack and distributing the ball at an elite level.

The Pacers are one of the top-scoring teams in the league, with efficient shooting from the perimeter, aggressive drives to the rim, and a knack for exploiting mismatches in transition. Players like Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, and Pascal Siakam give Indiana versatility across positions, allowing them to play big or small depending on the matchup. However, the Pacers’ main weakness remains rebounding and half-court defense, areas that Denver can exploit if Jokić is able to dominate the glass and initiate offense from the high post. Historically, Denver has controlled this matchup, having won eight straight against Indiana, and Ball Arena’s elevation and hostile environment present a significant challenge for a Pacers team that prefers an up-tempo game. Still, Indiana’s recent form and offensive cohesion suggest they can hang with anyone if they dictate pace and hit from the perimeter early. From a betting perspective, neither team has excelled ATS, with both floating just under 50% this season, but the Nuggets’ dominance in the series and home-court edge are noteworthy trends. Expect a high-level chess match between two playoff-bound teams, each with distinct strengths: Denver’s methodical, inside-out style driven by Jokić’s genius, and Indiana’s fast-paced, perimeter-heavy system spearheaded by Haliburton. The winner could gain more than just a mark in the win column—it could be a momentum-shifting result with postseason ramifications.

Indiana Pacers NBA Preview

The Indiana Pacers arrive in Denver on April 6, 2025, with a 46-31 record and a growing sense of urgency as they look to climb higher in the Eastern Conference standings before the postseason begins. Under the direction of head coach Rick Carlisle, the Pacers have crafted an identity rooted in pace, movement, and offensive depth, making them one of the most entertaining and unpredictable teams in the NBA this season. Their recent 16-5 stretch has not only thrust them into the playoff spotlight but also showcased a roster that is finding rhythm at the right time. Tyrese Haliburton continues to shine as the engine of Indiana’s offense, averaging double-digit assists while maintaining excellent efficiency from beyond the arc and midrange. His court vision and tempo control set the tone for an offense that thrives in transition and early-clock opportunities. Surrounding Haliburton is a balanced group of contributors, including the versatile and ever-reliable Pascal Siakam, who has brought championship experience and frontcourt versatility since his midseason acquisition. Siakam’s ability to score from multiple levels and defend multiple positions has significantly elevated the Pacers’ two-way profile. Myles Turner continues to be a steady presence at center, providing rim protection, floor spacing, and interior toughness. Meanwhile, young talents like Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard have grown into key rotation roles, giving the team scoring punch and defensive energy off the bench.

Offensively, Indiana ranks near the top of the league in both points per game and assists per game, indicative of a free-flowing, unselfish system that can put up points in bunches. However, their weaknesses lie primarily on the defensive end, particularly in rebounding and post defense, where they often struggle to match up against dominant bigs like Nikola Jokić. This has made previous matchups against Denver especially difficult, as evidenced by the Nuggets winning eight straight games in the series. Indiana’s transition defense and ability to contest second-chance points will be severely tested in the altitude of Ball Arena, where many visiting teams wilt in the second half due to Denver’s tempo and physicality. From a betting standpoint, the Pacers have been average ATS this season, with a 32-37-2 record, often underperforming as underdogs in tightly contested matchups. That said, their current form, boosted by improved bench production and more consistent perimeter defense, makes them a dangerous opponent regardless of location. For the Pacers to pull off a statement road win, they’ll need Haliburton to control the pace, Siakam to be active on both ends, and their shooters to hit at a high clip. Defensive discipline—especially in containing Jokić’s passing lanes and limiting fouls—will be vital. While the odds may tilt in Denver’s favor given their dominance at home, Indiana has shown resilience and poise in recent weeks, and a win here would not only break a long losing streak to the Nuggets but also serve as a playoff-intensity confidence boost heading into the final stretch.

The Indiana Pacers will face the Denver Nuggets on April 6, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Both teams are vying for favorable playoff positioning in their respective conferences. Indiana vs Denver AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Denver Nuggets NBA Preview

The Denver Nuggets return to Ball Arena on April 6, 2025, carrying a 47-28 record and focused on cementing their position among the Western Conference elite as the postseason draws near. The reigning NBA champions have followed up their title-winning campaign with another strong season, led once again by the all-world brilliance of Nikola Jokić. Jokić, averaging 29.1 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game, remains the central engine of Denver’s offensive and defensive schemes, dictating pace, manipulating defenses with his vision, and scoring efficiently from every spot on the floor. His elite passing continues to unlock easy buckets for teammates, and his unmatched basketball IQ ensures that Denver rarely gets rattled, even against the league’s top defenses. While Jamal Murray’s recent knee injury has cast some doubt on Denver’s backcourt consistency, the Nuggets have found stability in the contributions of Michael Porter Jr. and Aaron Gordon. Porter Jr. is enjoying his most efficient scoring stretch of the season, knocking down perimeter shots and creating space with his size and smooth shooting mechanics. Gordon continues to thrive in his hybrid forward role, offering transition finishing, interior toughness, and crucial versatility on defense, where he often guards the opponent’s top wing threat. The Nuggets’ offensive system remains one of the most efficient in the NBA, marked by high assist numbers, fluid ball movement, and an unselfish approach that allows role players like Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Christian Braun to shine in their roles.

Denver’s bench, a quiet strength of last year’s title run, has remained effective, with Reggie Jackson, Peyton Watson, and Zeke Nnaji providing quality minutes and two-way effort, especially in protecting leads and maintaining tempo when the starters rest. Defensively, Denver ranks in the upper tier of the league, particularly in half-court sets where their discipline, rotations, and communication help neutralize opponent strengths. At Ball Arena, the Nuggets have been dominant, with one of the league’s best home records, benefiting from the altitude, fan energy, and familiarity with their system in their own environment. That edge is likely to be crucial against an Indiana Pacers squad that plays fast and thrives in transition, as Denver will look to control the pace and limit runouts by dominating the glass and minimizing live-ball turnovers. The Nuggets have also been dominant in recent meetings with the Pacers, having won eight straight in the series, including a comfortable win earlier this season. From a betting perspective, Denver’s ATS performance has been slightly underwhelming at 34-38-1, but their straight-up dominance at home and against Indiana gives them a clear psychological edge. With the playoffs looming, the Nuggets understand the value of each remaining game for seeding and rhythm, and they are expected to bring intensity, focus, and execution on both ends. If Jokić plays to his MVP standard and the supporting cast continues its efficient contributions, Denver should be well-positioned to deliver another statement performance and inch closer to securing a top-two seed in the West.

Indiana vs. Denver Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Pacers and Nuggets play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ball Arena in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Haliburton under 22.5 Points.

Indiana vs. Denver Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Pacers and Nuggets and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Pacers team going up against a possibly improved Nuggets team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Indiana vs Denver picks, computer picks Pacers vs Nuggets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Pacers Betting Trends

The Pacers have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 32-37-2 this season, covering the spread 46.4% of the time.

Nuggets Betting Trends

The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.

Pacers vs. Nuggets Matchup Trends

The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.

Indiana vs. Denver Game Info

Indiana vs Denver starts on April 06, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Spread: Denver -6.0
Moneyline: Indiana +202, Denver -248
Over/Under: 238.5

Indiana: (46-31)  |  Denver: (47-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Haliburton under 22.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.

IND trend: The Pacers have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 32-37-2 this season, covering the spread 46.4% of the time.

DEN trend: The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Indiana vs. Denver Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Indiana vs Denver trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Indiana vs Denver Opening Odds

IND Moneyline: +202
DEN Moneyline: -248
IND Spread: +6
DEN Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 238.5

Indiana vs Denver Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-175
+145
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+800
-1400
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-550
+400
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-105)
U 234.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+135
-160
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-160
+135
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+525
-750
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
O 227.5 (-105)
U 227.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-220
+180
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
O 235.5 (-105)
U 235.5 (-115)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Indiana Pacers vs. Denver Nuggets on April 06, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS