Pacers vs. Nuggets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 06 | NBA AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Indiana Pacers will face the Denver Nuggets on April 6, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Both teams are vying for favorable playoff positioning in their respective conferences.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 06, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​
Venue: Ball Arena​
Nuggets Record: (47-31)
Pacers Record: (46-31)
OPENING ODDS
IND Moneyline: +202
DEN Moneyline: -248
IND Spread: +6
DEN Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 238.5
IND
Betting Trends
- The Pacers have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 32-37-2 this season, covering the spread 46.4% of the time.
DEN
Betting Trends
- The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.
IND vs. DEN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Haliburton under 22.5 Points.
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Indiana vs Denver Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/6/25
The Pacers are one of the top-scoring teams in the league, with efficient shooting from the perimeter, aggressive drives to the rim, and a knack for exploiting mismatches in transition. Players like Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, and Pascal Siakam give Indiana versatility across positions, allowing them to play big or small depending on the matchup. However, the Pacers’ main weakness remains rebounding and half-court defense, areas that Denver can exploit if Jokić is able to dominate the glass and initiate offense from the high post. Historically, Denver has controlled this matchup, having won eight straight against Indiana, and Ball Arena’s elevation and hostile environment present a significant challenge for a Pacers team that prefers an up-tempo game. Still, Indiana’s recent form and offensive cohesion suggest they can hang with anyone if they dictate pace and hit from the perimeter early. From a betting perspective, neither team has excelled ATS, with both floating just under 50% this season, but the Nuggets’ dominance in the series and home-court edge are noteworthy trends. Expect a high-level chess match between two playoff-bound teams, each with distinct strengths: Denver’s methodical, inside-out style driven by Jokić’s genius, and Indiana’s fast-paced, perimeter-heavy system spearheaded by Haliburton. The winner could gain more than just a mark in the win column—it could be a momentum-shifting result with postseason ramifications.
Tyrese Haliburton in 18 games since the All-Star break:
— Indiana Pacers (@Pacers) April 5, 2025
201 AST
20 TO
he's one of only two players since at least 1983-84 to have 200+ AST with 20 or fewer turnovers over an 18-game stretch (Muggsy Bogues). pic.twitter.com/BglasMCglK
Indiana Pacers NBA Preview
The Indiana Pacers arrive in Denver on April 6, 2025, with a 46-31 record and a growing sense of urgency as they look to climb higher in the Eastern Conference standings before the postseason begins. Under the direction of head coach Rick Carlisle, the Pacers have crafted an identity rooted in pace, movement, and offensive depth, making them one of the most entertaining and unpredictable teams in the NBA this season. Their recent 16-5 stretch has not only thrust them into the playoff spotlight but also showcased a roster that is finding rhythm at the right time. Tyrese Haliburton continues to shine as the engine of Indiana’s offense, averaging double-digit assists while maintaining excellent efficiency from beyond the arc and midrange. His court vision and tempo control set the tone for an offense that thrives in transition and early-clock opportunities. Surrounding Haliburton is a balanced group of contributors, including the versatile and ever-reliable Pascal Siakam, who has brought championship experience and frontcourt versatility since his midseason acquisition. Siakam’s ability to score from multiple levels and defend multiple positions has significantly elevated the Pacers’ two-way profile. Myles Turner continues to be a steady presence at center, providing rim protection, floor spacing, and interior toughness. Meanwhile, young talents like Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard have grown into key rotation roles, giving the team scoring punch and defensive energy off the bench.
Offensively, Indiana ranks near the top of the league in both points per game and assists per game, indicative of a free-flowing, unselfish system that can put up points in bunches. However, their weaknesses lie primarily on the defensive end, particularly in rebounding and post defense, where they often struggle to match up against dominant bigs like Nikola Jokić. This has made previous matchups against Denver especially difficult, as evidenced by the Nuggets winning eight straight games in the series. Indiana’s transition defense and ability to contest second-chance points will be severely tested in the altitude of Ball Arena, where many visiting teams wilt in the second half due to Denver’s tempo and physicality. From a betting standpoint, the Pacers have been average ATS this season, with a 32-37-2 record, often underperforming as underdogs in tightly contested matchups. That said, their current form, boosted by improved bench production and more consistent perimeter defense, makes them a dangerous opponent regardless of location. For the Pacers to pull off a statement road win, they’ll need Haliburton to control the pace, Siakam to be active on both ends, and their shooters to hit at a high clip. Defensive discipline—especially in containing Jokić’s passing lanes and limiting fouls—will be vital. While the odds may tilt in Denver’s favor given their dominance at home, Indiana has shown resilience and poise in recent weeks, and a win here would not only break a long losing streak to the Nuggets but also serve as a playoff-intensity confidence boost heading into the final stretch.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
The Denver Nuggets return to Ball Arena on April 6, 2025, carrying a 47-28 record and focused on cementing their position among the Western Conference elite as the postseason draws near. The reigning NBA champions have followed up their title-winning campaign with another strong season, led once again by the all-world brilliance of Nikola Jokić. Jokić, averaging 29.1 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game, remains the central engine of Denver’s offensive and defensive schemes, dictating pace, manipulating defenses with his vision, and scoring efficiently from every spot on the floor. His elite passing continues to unlock easy buckets for teammates, and his unmatched basketball IQ ensures that Denver rarely gets rattled, even against the league’s top defenses. While Jamal Murray’s recent knee injury has cast some doubt on Denver’s backcourt consistency, the Nuggets have found stability in the contributions of Michael Porter Jr. and Aaron Gordon. Porter Jr. is enjoying his most efficient scoring stretch of the season, knocking down perimeter shots and creating space with his size and smooth shooting mechanics. Gordon continues to thrive in his hybrid forward role, offering transition finishing, interior toughness, and crucial versatility on defense, where he often guards the opponent’s top wing threat. The Nuggets’ offensive system remains one of the most efficient in the NBA, marked by high assist numbers, fluid ball movement, and an unselfish approach that allows role players like Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Christian Braun to shine in their roles.
Denver’s bench, a quiet strength of last year’s title run, has remained effective, with Reggie Jackson, Peyton Watson, and Zeke Nnaji providing quality minutes and two-way effort, especially in protecting leads and maintaining tempo when the starters rest. Defensively, Denver ranks in the upper tier of the league, particularly in half-court sets where their discipline, rotations, and communication help neutralize opponent strengths. At Ball Arena, the Nuggets have been dominant, with one of the league’s best home records, benefiting from the altitude, fan energy, and familiarity with their system in their own environment. That edge is likely to be crucial against an Indiana Pacers squad that plays fast and thrives in transition, as Denver will look to control the pace and limit runouts by dominating the glass and minimizing live-ball turnovers. The Nuggets have also been dominant in recent meetings with the Pacers, having won eight straight in the series, including a comfortable win earlier this season. From a betting perspective, Denver’s ATS performance has been slightly underwhelming at 34-38-1, but their straight-up dominance at home and against Indiana gives them a clear psychological edge. With the playoffs looming, the Nuggets understand the value of each remaining game for seeding and rhythm, and they are expected to bring intensity, focus, and execution on both ends. If Jokić plays to his MVP standard and the supporting cast continues its efficient contributions, Denver should be well-positioned to deliver another statement performance and inch closer to securing a top-two seed in the West.
Rising in the ranks 👌 pic.twitter.com/zXUjcORByF
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) April 5, 2025
Indiana vs. Denver Prop Picks (AI)
Indiana vs. Denver Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Pacers and Nuggets and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Pacers team going up against a possibly rested Nuggets team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Indiana vs Denver picks, computer picks Pacers vs Nuggets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Pacers Betting Trends
The Pacers have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 32-37-2 this season, covering the spread 46.4% of the time.
Nuggets Betting Trends
The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.
Pacers vs. Nuggets Matchup Trends
The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.
Indiana vs. Denver Game Info
What time does Indiana vs Denver start on April 06, 2025?
Indiana vs Denver starts on April 06, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Where is Indiana vs Denver being played?
Venue: Ball Arena.
What are the opening odds for Indiana vs Denver?
Spread: Denver -6.0
Moneyline: Indiana +202, Denver -248
Over/Under: 238.5
What are the records for Indiana vs Denver?
Indiana: (46-31) Â |Â Denver: (47-31)
What is the AI best bet for Indiana vs Denver?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Haliburton under 22.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Indiana vs Denver trending bets?
The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.
What are Indiana trending bets?
IND trend: The Pacers have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 32-37-2 this season, covering the spread 46.4% of the time.
What are Denver trending bets?
DEN trend: The Nuggets hold an ATS record of 34-38-1, covering the spread in 47.2% of their games this season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Indiana vs Denver?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Indiana vs. Denver Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Indiana vs Denver trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Indiana vs Denver Opening Odds
IND Moneyline:
+202 DEN Moneyline: -248
IND Spread: +6
DEN Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 238.5
Indiana vs Denver Live Odds
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O 228 (-110)
U 228 (-110)
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U 210.5 (-110)
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O 224 (-110)
U 224 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
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Raptors
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+195
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+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
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O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
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–
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+285
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O 226 (-110)
U 226 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
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-130
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O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
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+150
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+4.5 (-110)
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O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
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-325
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-8 (-110)
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O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
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San Antonio Spurs
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-110
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-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
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O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
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+1 (-110)
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O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
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O 220 (-110)
U 220 (-110)
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-310
+250
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O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
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U 232.5 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Indiana Pacers vs. Denver Nuggets on April 06, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |