Rockets vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 06)

Updated: 2025-04-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Houston Rockets will visit the Golden State Warriors on April 6, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. Both teams are battling for playoff positioning in the Western Conference, making this a crucial matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 06, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Center​

Warriors Record: (46-31)

Rockets Record: (51-27)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: +159

GS Moneyline: -191

HOU Spread: +4.5

GS Spread: -4.5

Over/Under: 226.5

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Rockets have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 39-31 this season, covering the spread approximately 55.7% of the time.

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Warriors hold an ATS record of 42-31, covering the spread in about 57.5% of their games this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Warriors have dominated recent matchups against the Rockets, boasting a 15-0 record in their last 15 regular-season meetings.

HOU vs. GS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler over 21.5 PTS+REB.

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Houston vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/6/25

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors square off in a high-stakes Western Conference clash on April 6, 2025, at the Chase Center, where playoff urgency meets historical dominance in a matchup that could shift momentum for both squads heading into the postseason. The Warriors, owners of a 42-31 record, are riding a strong second-half surge fueled by the acquisition of Jimmy Butler and the continued brilliance of Stephen Curry, while the upstart Rockets have defied expectations, climbing into postseason relevance behind their youthful core and the transformative leadership of head coach Ime Udoka. Golden State has won 15 straight regular-season meetings against Houston, a streak that represents more than just statistical dominance—it reflects years of systemic superiority and championship pedigree. Yet this version of the Rockets is not a team content with being the underdog. Houston enters the game at 39-31 with a gritty, athletic, and defensively focused identity, anchored by the blossoming Alperen Şengün, who is averaging near-double-double figures while orchestrating offense with vision and craft from the high post. Paired with Jalen Green’s improved shot creation and the emergence of rookie Amen Thompson, the Rockets have developed a balance of half-court execution and transition explosiveness that allows them to attack in waves. Their defense, once a glaring weakness, has become a strength in recent weeks, particularly in how they pressure ball handlers, contest shots at the rim, and limit second-chance points.

That said, the Chase Center remains one of the most difficult places to play, and the Warriors’ depth of experience, especially with Butler now in the fold, gives them the tools to break down young teams that thrive on pace but struggle with situational discipline. Curry continues to be the gravitational force that shapes defensive game plans, averaging over 27 points per game and forcing defenses into uncomfortable switches and rotations that often leave role players like Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins with open looks. Draymond Green, as always, anchors Golden State’s defensive schemes, and the addition of Butler has only fortified their perimeter pressure and late-game decision-making. Both teams have strong ATS records—Houston at 39-31 and Golden State slightly better at 42-31—making this a tight contest in the eyes of oddsmakers. But while the Warriors’ system thrives on high IQ and late-game execution, the Rockets will look to counter with energy, speed, and interior toughness, hoping to wear down the older Golden State lineup over four quarters. This game could hinge on turnovers, three-point variance, and bench production, especially if the pace stays high and both teams lean on rotation depth. For the Warriors, it’s about securing seeding and reminding the West that they remain a threat; for the Rockets, it’s about proving that their rebuild has turned the corner and that they can finally exorcise the ghost of their losing streak against a longtime nemesis. Expect a playoff-like atmosphere, heavy minutes for both starting units, and a game that may ultimately come down to execution in the final four minutes—where both coaching philosophies will be tested under pressure.

Houston Rockets NBA Preview

The Houston Rockets head into their April 6, 2025 clash with the Golden State Warriors as one of the most surprising and rejuvenated teams of the NBA season, sitting at 39-31 with renewed purpose, identity, and playoff ambition. After years of rebuilding, the arrival of head coach Ime Udoka has breathed life into the Rockets’ system, emphasizing defensive accountability, structure, and toughness while unlocking the considerable potential of their young core. Leading the resurgence has been the breakout performance of center Alperen Şengün, whose blend of post skills, court vision, and footwork has drawn comparisons to elite modern bigs. Şengün has not only improved as a scorer but has become a fulcrum for Houston’s half-court offense, routinely facilitating from the high post and creating high-efficiency looks for teammates. Alongside him, Jalen Green continues to mature as a scorer, blending explosive athleticism with improved shot selection and defensive effort. Green’s ability to push the pace and create his own shot makes him a constant threat in transition and late in the shot clock. The midseason emergence of rookie Amen Thompson has added another dimension to Houston’s dynamic guard play. Thompson, a versatile, two-way playmaker with exceptional speed and defensive instincts, has earned increased minutes as a secondary ball handler and on-ball defender, giving Udoka flexibility in various matchups. The Rockets’ offense ranks in the top half of the league in fast-break points and points in the paint, highlighting their athleticism and aggressive attacking style, while their defense has steadily improved, particularly in limiting opponents’ second-chance opportunities and creating turnovers.

However, their youth often reveals itself in the form of inconsistent decision-making, especially during close fourth-quarter scenarios against experienced playoff teams. That vulnerability will be tested heavily against the veteran-heavy Warriors, who have beaten the Rockets in 15 straight regular-season matchups and know how to exploit lapses in defensive focus or half-court discipline. Despite that historical disadvantage, this version of the Rockets carries far more confidence and composure than in recent years. Their 39-31 ATS record is a testament to their ability to exceed expectations and stay competitive, even against the league’s elite. As they enter the Chase Center, Houston will need to focus on controlling the tempo, minimizing turnovers, and leveraging their youthful legs to push the pace whenever possible. Şengün’s matchup with Draymond Green will be key, as will the ability of Houston’s wings to defend the perimeter against the Warriors’ relentless off-ball movement. A strong performance in this game could not only boost their seeding chances but also solidify their standing as a legitimate playoff threat. For a young team still finding its identity, these late-season road tests against championship-caliber opponents serve as critical benchmarks. The Rockets are not just playing for wins—they’re playing to prove that their rebuild is ahead of schedule and that their exciting core has the grit and maturity to compete when the stakes are highest.

The Houston Rockets will visit the Golden State Warriors on April 6, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. Both teams are battling for playoff positioning in the Western Conference, making this a crucial matchup. Houston vs Golden State AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors enter their April 6, 2025 home matchup against the Houston Rockets with a 42-31 record and a clear mission: tighten their grip on playoff positioning while continuing to fine-tune the chemistry of their recently reinforced roster. The midseason acquisition of Jimmy Butler has reshaped the narrative around Golden State, injecting veteran leadership, tenacious perimeter defense, and clutch scoring into a team already built around the generational brilliance of Stephen Curry. Since Butler joined the roster, the Warriors have gone 20-5, a blistering pace that speaks to the seamless integration of his skills with the existing framework head coach Steve Kerr has meticulously cultivated over the years. Curry continues to be the team’s offensive anchor, averaging north of 27 points per game while still pulling defenders out to 30 feet and igniting the Warriors’ off-ball movement with his gravitational pull. Butler’s presence has eased the load on Curry, allowing Golden State to diversify its offensive attack with more post-up sets, midrange isolations, and pick-and-roll reads that weren’t as prevalent earlier in the season. This additional layer of offensive structure has not come at the expense of pace; the Warriors still run the floor effectively and punish teams in transition, but they now have more half-court stability to fall back on when games slow down. Draymond Green continues to be the heartbeat of the defense and the vocal leader on the floor, coordinating switches and serving as a safety valve on offense with his elite passing from the top of the key.

Complementing the core trio is Andrew Wiggins, whose two-way contributions are invaluable in matchups against athletic wing-heavy teams like Houston. Wiggins’ ability to take on primary perimeter assignments allows Butler and Curry to conserve energy for the offensive end, while his slashing and corner shooting add layers to Golden State’s spacing. Klay Thompson, now in more of a specialist role, remains dangerous when his feet are set, and his playoff experience brings an extra layer of confidence in high-stakes situations. Off the bench, Kevon Looney and Gary Payton II continue to play crucial roles, offering rebounding, toughness, and defensive hustle. The Warriors’ home dominance has been well-documented, and Chase Center has once again become a fortress where they feed off the crowd’s energy and push tempo to devastating effect. Against a young Rockets team, the Warriors will look to capitalize on their veteran savvy, slowing the game down when needed and forcing Houston’s youthful core into difficult decision-making late in possessions. Golden State’s key to success in this matchup will be to control the boards, limit second-chance opportunities, and bait the Rockets into rushed three-point attempts. If Curry gets going early and Butler continues his hot streak in late-game situations, the Warriors will be well-positioned to not only extend their winning streak over Houston but also deliver a performance that reinforces their status as a true postseason contender. With seeding implications on the line, expect Golden State to come out sharp, poised, and ready to send another message to the rest of the Western Conference.

Houston vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Rockets and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in Apr can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler over 21.5 PTS+REB.

Houston vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Rockets and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Houston’s strength factors between a Rockets team going up against a possibly rested Warriors team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs Golden State picks, computer picks Rockets vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Rockets Betting Trends

The Rockets have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 39-31 this season, covering the spread approximately 55.7% of the time.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Warriors hold an ATS record of 42-31, covering the spread in about 57.5% of their games this season.

Rockets vs. Warriors Matchup Trends

The Warriors have dominated recent matchups against the Rockets, boasting a 15-0 record in their last 15 regular-season meetings.

Houston vs. Golden State Game Info

Houston vs Golden State starts on April 06, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Spread: Golden State -4.5
Moneyline: Houston +159, Golden State -191
Over/Under: 226.5

Houston: (51-27)  |  Golden State: (46-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Butler over 21.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Warriors have dominated recent matchups against the Rockets, boasting a 15-0 record in their last 15 regular-season meetings.

HOU trend: The Rockets have an Against The Spread (ATS) record of 39-31 this season, covering the spread approximately 55.7% of the time.

GS trend: The Warriors hold an ATS record of 42-31, covering the spread in about 57.5% of their games this season.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. Golden State Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Houston vs Golden State Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: +159
GS Moneyline: -191
HOU Spread: +4.5
GS Spread: -4.5
Over/Under: 226.5

Houston vs Golden State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:35PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:35PM
Rockets
Thunder
+240
-315
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-114)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-112)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
-121
-104
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-114)
O 224 (-115)
U 224 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+148
-186
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 225.5 (-112)
U 225.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-182
+4 (-113)
-4 (-113)
O 229 (-114)
U 229 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+280
-375
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-115)
O 215 (-112)
U 215 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+110
-136
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 225.5 (-113)
U 225.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-113)
O 235.5 (-114)
U 235.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+9 (-112)
-9 (-114)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+107
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 234.5 (-114)
U 234.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+128
-159
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-113)
O 236 (-114)
U 236 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-385
+285
-9 (-112)
+9 (-114)
O 227 (-112)
U 227 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
+116
-143
+3 (-115)
-3 (-110)
O 225.5 (-113)
U 225.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
+130
-162
+3.5 (-113)
-3.5 (-112)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-159
+128
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
O 219.5 (-113)
U 219.5 (-113)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+260
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-108
-112
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors on April 06, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS