Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 04)
Updated: 2025-04-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Denver Nuggets will visit the Golden State Warriors on April 4, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. This Western Conference matchup features two teams vying for playoff positioning as the regular season approaches its conclusion.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Apr 04, 2025
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center
Warriors Record: (45-31)
Nuggets Record: (47-30)
OPENING ODDS
DEN Moneyline: -123
GS Moneyline: +103
DEN Spread: -1.5
GS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 233.5
DEN
Betting Trends
- The Nuggets have a 23-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating a fairly balanced performance in covering the spread.
GS
Betting Trends
- The Warriors have a 6-1 record against the spread this season, showcasing a strong ability to cover the spread in their games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Nuggets’ ATS performance suggests they have been inconsistent in covering the spread, while the Warriors’ impressive ATS record highlights their effectiveness in surpassing betting expectations.
DEN vs. GS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Curry under 38.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Denver vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/4/25
The team’s depth received a jolt with the midseason addition of Russell Westbrook, who has embraced a complementary role and brings energy and playmaking off the bench. Still, the Nuggets’ Achilles heel this year has been inconsistency, especially on the road and against fast-paced, perimeter-heavy teams like the Warriors. They’re going to have to execute with discipline, because Golden State loves nothing more than punishing lazy rotations and slow closeouts. Golden State, on the other hand, is thriving off urgency and pride. Stephen Curry remains a flamethrower, averaging 24 points per game, and the team’s identity remains firmly rooted in ball movement and chaos. Klay Thompson’s return to form has been bumpy but promising, and Draymond Green continues to quarterback the defense with equal parts vision and menace. They recently added Kevin Knox to the rotation, a low-risk move aimed at adding forward depth as they gear up for the playoffs. Their offense still hums when they’re in rhythm, but defense has been the biggest question mark all season. Against Denver, their ability to swarm Jokić, rotate quickly, and close out on Murray and MPJ will be the difference between stealing a statement win and getting buried by size and precision. This isn’t just a battle of seeding. It’s a test of contrast: Denver’s structured versatility versus Golden State’s freewheeling brilliance. The Nuggets took the last meeting on March 17 with a 114-105 win in San Francisco, and the Warriors will be eager to return the favor. Expect playoff-level intensity, mismatches galore, and at least three Steph Curry heat checks. The stakes are real. The vibes? Electric.
Double-doubles from our vets pic.twitter.com/FctAjUGKSO
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) April 3, 2025
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
The Denver Nuggets arrive at the Chase Center on April 4, 2025, with their sights set on more than just a regular season win—they’re playing for playoff positioning, psychological edge, and a reminder that they’re still the reigning chaos managers of the West. With a 47-28 record, Denver holds strong in the top three of the conference, but with the margins razor-thin among contenders, every game counts, especially ones against teams like Golden State. This isn’t just a battle of records; it’s a referendum on postseason readiness. The Nuggets beat the Warriors at Chase Center just weeks ago (114-105 on March 17), and now they return to San Francisco looking to repeat the dose and perhaps deliver a louder message in the process. The center of that message, as usual, is Nikola Jokić. Averaging 29.3 points per game, the two-time MVP continues to bend the rules of what a center can do. He scores like a forward, passes like a point guard, and controls the game’s tempo like a coach on the floor. His basketball IQ is borderline alien. If Golden State doesn’t double-team him quickly or rotate with precision, Jokić can dismantle a defense without ever needing to score 30. The Nuggets’ offense flows through him like a current, creating open looks for cutters, corner shooters, and bigs rolling to the rim. Defending him isn’t just about individual matchups—it’s about systemic resistance. Spoiler: most systems fail. Jamal Murray remains the ideal co-star. He’s putting up 21.3 points per game this season, mixing scoring bursts with pick-and-roll chemistry alongside Jokić.
His ability to get hot in short bursts makes him a nightmare for teams like the Warriors, who have struggled with defensive consistency and backcourt containment. Supporting them is a core group that knows its roles well. Aaron Gordon brings physicality, rebounding, and underrated passing; Michael Porter Jr. stretches the floor and punishes slow closeouts; and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope does the dirty work while knocking down timely shots. Then there’s Russell Westbrook, acquired midseason and now a valuable bench piece bringing energy, rebounding, and playmaking. While he’s no longer an MVP, his impact in second units has helped Denver maintain rhythm when the starters rest. Defensively, Denver is not elite, but they’re no slouch either. They use size and positioning well, especially in the paint, and they’re capable of locking in when the moment calls for it. Against Golden State, their defensive key will be chasing Curry around endless screens, protecting the arc, and not letting Draymond Green orchestrate free-flowing ball movement. If Denver keeps the game in the halfcourt and limits transition opportunities, they’ll control the pace and force Golden State into a grind. This road game is a litmus test for the Nuggets: can they shut down the noise, stay locked in, and secure a win in one of the NBA’s toughest arenas? They’ve done it before, and they’ll need to do it again. For a team that has its eyes on another deep postseason run, these are the moments that define April—and determine how far they’ll go in May and June.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors return to the Chase Center on April 4, 2025, for a high-stakes matchup against the Denver Nuggets with more than just pride on the line. Sporting a 43-31 record, the Warriors currently find themselves nestled in the middle of the Western Conference playoff picture, flirting with the 5th or 6th seed depending on the day and the mood of the basketball gods. After a rocky start to the season that had many wondering if the dynasty window had finally slammed shut, Golden State has recalibrated and reasserted itself as a serious threat. The familiar formula remains intact: unleash Steph Curry, bend the floor with ball movement and off-ball screens, and let Draymond Green stir the pot on defense while yelling at anyone in a 30-foot radius. Curry, even at 37, continues to make the absurd look routine. He’s averaging 24 points per game, and while his three-point volume is slightly down from his peak years, his efficiency and gravity remain unmatched. Defenses still contort themselves trying to keep up with him—often in vain. Klay Thompson has had his share of ups and downs this season, but he’s shown just enough flashes to remind everyone that he can still swing games with a heat-check quarter. Andrew Wiggins’ production has been inconsistent, and the team has leaned more heavily on its bench than in previous title-contending years. One of the newer names in that second unit is Kevin Knox, recently signed to bolster the forward rotation. Knox may not move the needle much, but in a postseason where depth matters, every contribution counts.
Defensively, the Warriors are no longer the ferocious unit they once were in their title runs, but they remain capable—especially when engaged. Draymond Green is still the heartbeat on that end of the floor, quarterbacking the rotations, calling out switches, and occasionally baiting opponents into techs with his patented brand of chaos. The team’s success on defense hinges on their ability to communicate and execute switches, particularly when facing a team like Denver that thrives on interior touches and ball movement. In their last meeting, the Nuggets picked apart the Warriors in the halfcourt, exposing Golden State’s size disadvantage and lack of rim protection. Fixing that won’t be easy—but slowing down the tempo, forcing Denver into perimeter jumpers, and generating turnovers could swing the balance. Playing at home gives Golden State a key advantage. They’re a different team at Chase Center—faster, looser, and far more confident. Their crowd is playoff-level loud, and the building’s energy tends to lift the bench players and swing momentum. With playoff seeding still uncertain and every game a potential tiebreaker scenario, this contest is crucial. The Warriors can’t afford to drop home games, especially not to teams like Denver, who sit ahead of them in the standings. Ultimately, this game represents the Warriors’ opportunity to declare—again—that they aren’t done yet. If they can shoot well, limit turnovers, and not get completely flattened by Nikola Jokić, they’ll be in position to grab a huge win and build momentum heading into the postseason.
Needed a three
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) April 4, 2025
& Stephen delivered!
📺 @NBAonTNT pic.twitter.com/sZ5CTZ6dBh
Denver vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)
Denver vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Nuggets and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors regularly put on Denver’s strength factors between a Nuggets team going up against a possibly strong Warriors team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Denver vs Golden State picks, computer picks Nuggets vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Nuggets Betting Trends
The Nuggets have a 23-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating a fairly balanced performance in covering the spread.
Warriors Betting Trends
The Warriors have a 6-1 record against the spread this season, showcasing a strong ability to cover the spread in their games.
Nuggets vs. Warriors Matchup Trends
The Nuggets’ ATS performance suggests they have been inconsistent in covering the spread, while the Warriors’ impressive ATS record highlights their effectiveness in surpassing betting expectations.
Denver vs. Golden State Game Info
What time does Denver vs Golden State start on April 04, 2025?
Denver vs Golden State starts on April 04, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.
Where is Denver vs Golden State being played?
Venue: Chase Center.
What are the opening odds for Denver vs Golden State?
Spread: Golden State +1.5
Moneyline: Denver -123, Golden State +103
Over/Under: 233.5
What are the records for Denver vs Golden State?
Denver: (47-30) | Golden State: (45-31)
What is the AI best bet for Denver vs Golden State?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Curry under 38.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Denver vs Golden State trending bets?
The Nuggets’ ATS performance suggests they have been inconsistent in covering the spread, while the Warriors’ impressive ATS record highlights their effectiveness in surpassing betting expectations.
What are Denver trending bets?
DEN trend: The Nuggets have a 23-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating a fairly balanced performance in covering the spread.
What are Golden State trending bets?
GS trend: The Warriors have a 6-1 record against the spread this season, showcasing a strong ability to cover the spread in their games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Denver vs Golden State?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Denver vs. Golden State Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Denver vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Denver vs Golden State Opening Odds
DEN Moneyline:
-123 GS Moneyline: +103
DEN Spread: -1.5
GS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 233.5
Denver vs Golden State Live Odds
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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–
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O 232 (-105)
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O 229.5 (-105)
U 229.5 (-115)
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-11 (-110)
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O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
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–
–
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+138
-160
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+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
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O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
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Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
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–
–
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-155
+134
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-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
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O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
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Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
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Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
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–
–
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+515
-725
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+13 (-110)
-13 (-110)
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O 227.5 (-105)
U 227.5 (-115)
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Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
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Timberwolves
Kings
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–
–
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-215
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-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
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O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
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Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
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–
–
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+117
-143
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+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
|
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Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
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–
–
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+150
-195
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+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
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O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
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Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
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–
–
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+175
-220
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+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors on April 04, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |