Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Apr 04)

Updated: 2025-04-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Denver Nuggets will visit the Golden State Warriors on April 4, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. This Western Conference matchup features two teams vying for playoff positioning as the regular season approaches its conclusion.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 04, 2025

Start Time: 10:00 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Center​

Warriors Record: (45-31)

Nuggets Record: (47-30)

OPENING ODDS

DEN Moneyline: -123

GS Moneyline: +103

DEN Spread: -1.5

GS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 233.5

DEN
Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have a 23-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating a fairly balanced performance in covering the spread.

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Warriors have a 6-1 record against the spread this season, showcasing a strong ability to cover the spread in their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Nuggets’ ATS performance suggests they have been inconsistent in covering the spread, while the Warriors’ impressive ATS record highlights their effectiveness in surpassing betting expectations.

DEN vs. GS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Curry under 38.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Denver vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 4/4/25

Friday night’s Western Conference clash between the Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center isn’t just another date on the calendar—it’s a seeding chess match between two teams with very different strengths, styles, and timelines. The Nuggets, sitting at 47-28, are once again among the conference’s elite, anchored by the relentless consistency of Nikola Jokić and a deep, playoff-tested roster. They’ve had some bumps recently but remain within striking distance of a top-two seed. Meanwhile, the Warriors (43-31) have recovered from a rocky start and are surging at the right time, trying to avoid the play-in mess while clinging to the hope of one more postseason run powered by the usual suspects: Steph, Klay, and Draymond. With less than two weeks left in the regular season, this game could very well dictate which of these teams grabs a firmer hold on home-court advantage—or tumbles toward a tougher playoff road. The Nuggets are led—as always—by Jokić, who is putting together yet another MVP-caliber season, averaging over 29 points per game while doing everything short of selling popcorn in the stands. He’s a walking triple-double and an offensive system unto himself. But Denver isn’t just about Jokić. Jamal Murray’s 21.3 points per game provide a much-needed perimeter scoring punch, and Aaron Gordon, Michael Porter Jr., and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope have all chipped in to create one of the most well-rounded starting fives in the league.

The team’s depth received a jolt with the midseason addition of Russell Westbrook, who has embraced a complementary role and brings energy and playmaking off the bench. Still, the Nuggets’ Achilles heel this year has been inconsistency, especially on the road and against fast-paced, perimeter-heavy teams like the Warriors. They’re going to have to execute with discipline, because Golden State loves nothing more than punishing lazy rotations and slow closeouts. Golden State, on the other hand, is thriving off urgency and pride. Stephen Curry remains a flamethrower, averaging 24 points per game, and the team’s identity remains firmly rooted in ball movement and chaos. Klay Thompson’s return to form has been bumpy but promising, and Draymond Green continues to quarterback the defense with equal parts vision and menace. They recently added Kevin Knox to the rotation, a low-risk move aimed at adding forward depth as they gear up for the playoffs. Their offense still hums when they’re in rhythm, but defense has been the biggest question mark all season. Against Denver, their ability to swarm Jokić, rotate quickly, and close out on Murray and MPJ will be the difference between stealing a statement win and getting buried by size and precision. This isn’t just a battle of seeding. It’s a test of contrast: Denver’s structured versatility versus Golden State’s freewheeling brilliance. The Nuggets took the last meeting on March 17 with a 114-105 win in San Francisco, and the Warriors will be eager to return the favor. Expect playoff-level intensity, mismatches galore, and at least three Steph Curry heat checks. The stakes are real. The vibes? Electric.

Denver Nuggets NBA Preview

The Denver Nuggets arrive at the Chase Center on April 4, 2025, with their sights set on more than just a regular season win—they’re playing for playoff positioning, psychological edge, and a reminder that they’re still the reigning chaos managers of the West. With a 47-28 record, Denver holds strong in the top three of the conference, but with the margins razor-thin among contenders, every game counts, especially ones against teams like Golden State. This isn’t just a battle of records; it’s a referendum on postseason readiness. The Nuggets beat the Warriors at Chase Center just weeks ago (114-105 on March 17), and now they return to San Francisco looking to repeat the dose and perhaps deliver a louder message in the process. The center of that message, as usual, is Nikola Jokić. Averaging 29.3 points per game, the two-time MVP continues to bend the rules of what a center can do. He scores like a forward, passes like a point guard, and controls the game’s tempo like a coach on the floor. His basketball IQ is borderline alien. If Golden State doesn’t double-team him quickly or rotate with precision, Jokić can dismantle a defense without ever needing to score 30. The Nuggets’ offense flows through him like a current, creating open looks for cutters, corner shooters, and bigs rolling to the rim. Defending him isn’t just about individual matchups—it’s about systemic resistance. Spoiler: most systems fail. Jamal Murray remains the ideal co-star. He’s putting up 21.3 points per game this season, mixing scoring bursts with pick-and-roll chemistry alongside Jokić.

His ability to get hot in short bursts makes him a nightmare for teams like the Warriors, who have struggled with defensive consistency and backcourt containment. Supporting them is a core group that knows its roles well. Aaron Gordon brings physicality, rebounding, and underrated passing; Michael Porter Jr. stretches the floor and punishes slow closeouts; and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope does the dirty work while knocking down timely shots. Then there’s Russell Westbrook, acquired midseason and now a valuable bench piece bringing energy, rebounding, and playmaking. While he’s no longer an MVP, his impact in second units has helped Denver maintain rhythm when the starters rest. Defensively, Denver is not elite, but they’re no slouch either. They use size and positioning well, especially in the paint, and they’re capable of locking in when the moment calls for it. Against Golden State, their defensive key will be chasing Curry around endless screens, protecting the arc, and not letting Draymond Green orchestrate free-flowing ball movement. If Denver keeps the game in the halfcourt and limits transition opportunities, they’ll control the pace and force Golden State into a grind. This road game is a litmus test for the Nuggets: can they shut down the noise, stay locked in, and secure a win in one of the NBA’s toughest arenas? They’ve done it before, and they’ll need to do it again. For a team that has its eyes on another deep postseason run, these are the moments that define April—and determine how far they’ll go in May and June.

The Denver Nuggets will visit the Golden State Warriors on April 4, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. This Western Conference matchup features two teams vying for playoff positioning as the regular season approaches its conclusion. Denver vs Golden State AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Apr 04. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors return to the Chase Center on April 4, 2025, for a high-stakes matchup against the Denver Nuggets with more than just pride on the line. Sporting a 43-31 record, the Warriors currently find themselves nestled in the middle of the Western Conference playoff picture, flirting with the 5th or 6th seed depending on the day and the mood of the basketball gods. After a rocky start to the season that had many wondering if the dynasty window had finally slammed shut, Golden State has recalibrated and reasserted itself as a serious threat. The familiar formula remains intact: unleash Steph Curry, bend the floor with ball movement and off-ball screens, and let Draymond Green stir the pot on defense while yelling at anyone in a 30-foot radius. Curry, even at 37, continues to make the absurd look routine. He’s averaging 24 points per game, and while his three-point volume is slightly down from his peak years, his efficiency and gravity remain unmatched. Defenses still contort themselves trying to keep up with him—often in vain. Klay Thompson has had his share of ups and downs this season, but he’s shown just enough flashes to remind everyone that he can still swing games with a heat-check quarter. Andrew Wiggins’ production has been inconsistent, and the team has leaned more heavily on its bench than in previous title-contending years. One of the newer names in that second unit is Kevin Knox, recently signed to bolster the forward rotation. Knox may not move the needle much, but in a postseason where depth matters, every contribution counts.

Defensively, the Warriors are no longer the ferocious unit they once were in their title runs, but they remain capable—especially when engaged. Draymond Green is still the heartbeat on that end of the floor, quarterbacking the rotations, calling out switches, and occasionally baiting opponents into techs with his patented brand of chaos. The team’s success on defense hinges on their ability to communicate and execute switches, particularly when facing a team like Denver that thrives on interior touches and ball movement. In their last meeting, the Nuggets picked apart the Warriors in the halfcourt, exposing Golden State’s size disadvantage and lack of rim protection. Fixing that won’t be easy—but slowing down the tempo, forcing Denver into perimeter jumpers, and generating turnovers could swing the balance. Playing at home gives Golden State a key advantage. They’re a different team at Chase Center—faster, looser, and far more confident. Their crowd is playoff-level loud, and the building’s energy tends to lift the bench players and swing momentum. With playoff seeding still uncertain and every game a potential tiebreaker scenario, this contest is crucial. The Warriors can’t afford to drop home games, especially not to teams like Denver, who sit ahead of them in the standings. Ultimately, this game represents the Warriors’ opportunity to declare—again—that they aren’t done yet. If they can shoot well, limit turnovers, and not get completely flattened by Nikola Jokić, they’ll be in position to grab a huge win and build momentum heading into the postseason.

Denver vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Nuggets and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Curry under 38.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Denver vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Nuggets and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors regularly put on Denver’s strength factors between a Nuggets team going up against a possibly strong Warriors team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Denver vs Golden State picks, computer picks Nuggets vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Nuggets Betting Trends

The Nuggets have a 23-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating a fairly balanced performance in covering the spread.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Warriors have a 6-1 record against the spread this season, showcasing a strong ability to cover the spread in their games.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Matchup Trends

The Nuggets’ ATS performance suggests they have been inconsistent in covering the spread, while the Warriors’ impressive ATS record highlights their effectiveness in surpassing betting expectations.

Denver vs. Golden State Game Info

Denver vs Golden State starts on April 04, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.

Spread: Golden State +1.5
Moneyline: Denver -123, Golden State +103
Over/Under: 233.5

Denver: (47-30)  |  Golden State: (45-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Curry under 38.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Nuggets’ ATS performance suggests they have been inconsistent in covering the spread, while the Warriors’ impressive ATS record highlights their effectiveness in surpassing betting expectations.

DEN trend: The Nuggets have a 23-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating a fairly balanced performance in covering the spread.

GS trend: The Warriors have a 6-1 record against the spread this season, showcasing a strong ability to cover the spread in their games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Denver vs. Golden State Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Denver vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Denver vs Golden State Opening Odds

DEN Moneyline: -123
GS Moneyline: +103
DEN Spread: -1.5
GS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 233.5

Denver vs Golden State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-160
+138
-4 (-105)
+4 (-115)
O 232 (-105)
U 232 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+730
-1150
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-105)
U 229.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-525
+405
-11 (-110)
+11 (-110)
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+138
-160
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-155
+134
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+515
-725
+13 (-110)
-13 (-110)
O 227.5 (-105)
U 227.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-215
+183
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors on April 04, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS