Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 27)

Updated: 2025-03-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Memphis Grizzlies will visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 27, 2025, at the Paycom Center. The Thunder, leading the Western Conference, aim to solidify their top position, while the Grizzlies strive to improve their playoff standing.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 27, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Paycom Center​

Thunder Record: (60-12)

Grizzlies Record: (44-28)

OPENING ODDS

MEM Moneyline: +361

OKC Moneyline: -472

MEM Spread: +10.5

OKC Spread: -10.5

Over/Under: 238.5

MEM
Betting Trends

  • Memphis has a strong record against the spread (ATS) this season, standing at 34-17-0. As underdogs of 2 points or more, they are 9-6 ATS.

OKC
Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 32 of their 50 games this season. When favored by 2 points or more, they hold a 29-16 ATS record.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their previous matchups this season, the Thunder have averaged 127.5 points per game against the Grizzlies, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc.

MEM vs. OKC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Aldama over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Memphis vs Oklahoma City Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/27/25

The upcoming game between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Oklahoma City Thunder presents a compelling narrative as both teams navigate the final stretch of the regular season. The Thunder, boasting a 60-12 record, have secured the top seed in the Western Conference and are focused on maintaining momentum heading into the playoffs. Conversely, the Grizzlies, with a 38-24 record, are battling for favorable positioning in the postseason hierarchy. Oklahoma City’s success this season can be largely attributed to the stellar play of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has been a consistent offensive force. His leadership, alongside contributions from Luguentz Dort and the anticipated return of All-Star Jalen Williams, has solidified the Thunder’s dominance. Williams, who has missed the last seven games due to a hip injury, was listed as questionable ahead of the recent victory over Sacramento, indicating a potential return to the lineup. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, have faced challenges with injuries impacting key players. The absence of Jaren Jackson Jr., due to an ankle issue, has been particularly detrimental, as he has been a pivotal component of Memphis’s defense and overall performance.

Despite these setbacks, the team has shown resilience, with players like Desmond Bane stepping up to fill the void. Historically, the Thunder have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning both previous encounters this season. In those games, Oklahoma City averaged 127.5 points, demonstrating offensive efficiency against the Grizzlies’ defense. Memphis will need to address these defensive lapses to contain the Thunder’s high-powered offense. Betting lines for the upcoming game favor the Thunder, with Oklahoma City being 10-point favorites and an over/under set at 238 points. Given the Thunder’s strong ATS record and the Grizzlies’ recent struggles, bettors might lean towards Oklahoma City covering the spread. However, Memphis’s ability to perform as underdogs, as evidenced by their 9-6 ATS record in such situations, adds an element of unpredictability. In conclusion, this matchup features a dominant Thunder team looking to maintain its supremacy against a Grizzlies squad eager to overcome adversity and solidify its playoff position. Key factors will include the health and availability of critical players, defensive adjustments by Memphis, and Oklahoma City’s ability to exploit offensive opportunities. Fans can anticipate a competitive and strategically nuanced game as both teams vie for crucial late-season victories.

Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies, with a 43-28 record, are in a competitive position within the Western Conference as they approach their matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 27, 2025. This season, the Grizzlies have demonstrated resilience and growth, aiming to strengthen their playoff standing. A significant addition to the team is rookie center Zach Edey, the 9th overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft. Standing at 7-foot-4, Edey has become a formidable presence, leading the team with an average of 7.7 rebounds per game. His performance has placed him among the top contenders for Rookie of the Year. Edey’s integration into the lineup has enhanced the Grizzlies’ interior defense and provided a reliable target in the post. In the backcourt, Ja Morant continues to be a dynamic force, driving the team’s offense with his scoring and playmaking abilities. Complementing him is Desmond Bane, who has evolved into one of the league’s premier three-point shooters, adding depth to the Grizzlies’ offensive arsenal.

Forward Santi Aldama has also emerged as a key contributor, with improved averages of 13 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game. His versatility has been instrumental in the team’s success. Despite their strengths, the Grizzlies face challenges, particularly in maintaining consistency against top-tier opponents. Their previous encounters with the Thunder this season have resulted in losses, with Oklahoma City averaging 127.5 points in those games. Addressing defensive strategies and enhancing perimeter defense will be crucial for the Grizzlies to contain the Thunder’s high-powered offense. As they prepare for this pivotal matchup, the Grizzlies aim to leverage their balanced roster and recent momentum to secure a victory on the road. The performance of key players like Morant, Bane, and Edey will be central to their strategy. Additionally, focusing on defensive cohesion and executing their game plan effectively will be essential for the Grizzlies to bolster their position in the Western Conference standings and advance their postseason aspirations. 

The Memphis Grizzlies will visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 27, 2025, at the Paycom Center. The Thunder, leading the Western Conference, aim to solidify their top position, while the Grizzlies strive to improve their playoff standing. Memphis vs Oklahoma City AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this matchup with an impressive 60-12 record, firmly establishing themselves as the top seed in the Western Conference. Their recent 121-105 victory over the Sacramento Kings on March 25, 2025, marked their 60th win of the season, underscoring their dominance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the linchpin of the Thunder’s success, delivering consistent high-level performances. In the win against the Kings, he recorded his 45th 30-point game of the season—a league high—highlighting his offensive prowess. The Thunder’s depth has been a significant asset. Luguentz Dort’s defensive tenacity and experience provide stability, while contributions from players like Alex Caruso and Isaiah Joe have been instrumental in maintaining the team’s high performance, even amid injuries. Defensively, Oklahoma City has demonstrated resilience, though there have been periods of inconsistency.

Addressing these lapses will be crucial as they approach the postseason, ensuring they maintain their competitive edge against high-caliber opponents. As they prepare to host the Memphis Grizzlies, the Thunder aim to leverage their home-court advantage and continue their winning momentum. The anticipated return of All-Star Jalen Williams, who has missed the last seven games due to a hip injury, could further bolster their lineup. Maintaining their offensive efficiency and tightening defensive strategies will be key to securing another victory and solidifying their position as championship contenders.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Thunder play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Paycom Center in Mar can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Aldama over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Grizzlies and Thunder and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly deflated Thunder team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Memphis vs Oklahoma City picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Thunder, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Grizzlies Betting Trends

Memphis has a strong record against the spread (ATS) this season, standing at 34-17-0. As underdogs of 2 points or more, they are 9-6 ATS.

Thunder Betting Trends

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 32 of their 50 games this season. When favored by 2 points or more, they hold a 29-16 ATS record.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Matchup Trends

In their previous matchups this season, the Thunder have averaged 127.5 points per game against the Grizzlies, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City Game Info

Memphis vs Oklahoma City starts on March 27, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Spread: Oklahoma City -10.5
Moneyline: Memphis +361, Oklahoma City -472
Over/Under: 238.5

Memphis: (44-28)  |  Oklahoma City: (60-12)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Aldama over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their previous matchups this season, the Thunder have averaged 127.5 points per game against the Grizzlies, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc.

MEM trend: Memphis has a strong record against the spread (ATS) this season, standing at 34-17-0. As underdogs of 2 points or more, they are 9-6 ATS.

OKC trend: Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 32 of their 50 games this season. When favored by 2 points or more, they hold a 29-16 ATS record.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Oklahoma City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Memphis vs Oklahoma City Opening Odds

MEM Moneyline: +361
OKC Moneyline: -472
MEM Spread: +10.5
OKC Spread: -10.5
Over/Under: 238.5

Memphis vs Oklahoma City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-162
+130
-3.5 (-113)
+3.5 (-112)
O 232 (-113)
U 232 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+700
-1250
+16 (-115)
-16 (-110)
O 228.5 (-114)
U 228.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-530
+370
-10.5 (-115)
+10.5 (-110)
O 233.5 (-112)
U 233.5 (-114)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+125
-155
+3.5 (-117)
-3.5 (-109)
O 226.5 (-113)
U 226.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-175
+135
-4 (-109)
+4 (-115)
O 232.5 (-114)
U 232.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+450
-670
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-115)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-235
+185
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-114)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on March 27, 2025 at Paycom Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS