Grizzlies vs. Thunder
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 27 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Memphis Grizzlies will visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 27, 2025, at the Paycom Center. The Thunder, leading the Western Conference, aim to solidify their top position, while the Grizzlies strive to improve their playoff standing.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 27, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Paycom Center​

Thunder Record: (60-12)

Grizzlies Record: (44-28)

OPENING ODDS

MEM Moneyline: +361

OKC Moneyline: -472

MEM Spread: +10.5

OKC Spread: -10.5

Over/Under: 238.5

MEM
Betting Trends

  • Memphis has a strong record against the spread (ATS) this season, standing at 34-17-0. As underdogs of 2 points or more, they are 9-6 ATS.

OKC
Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 32 of their 50 games this season. When favored by 2 points or more, they hold a 29-16 ATS record.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their previous matchups this season, the Thunder have averaged 127.5 points per game against the Grizzlies, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc.

MEM vs. OKC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Aldama over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Memphis vs Oklahoma City Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/27/25

The upcoming game between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Oklahoma City Thunder presents a compelling narrative as both teams navigate the final stretch of the regular season. The Thunder, boasting a 60-12 record, have secured the top seed in the Western Conference and are focused on maintaining momentum heading into the playoffs. Conversely, the Grizzlies, with a 38-24 record, are battling for favorable positioning in the postseason hierarchy. Oklahoma City’s success this season can be largely attributed to the stellar play of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has been a consistent offensive force. His leadership, alongside contributions from Luguentz Dort and the anticipated return of All-Star Jalen Williams, has solidified the Thunder’s dominance. Williams, who has missed the last seven games due to a hip injury, was listed as questionable ahead of the recent victory over Sacramento, indicating a potential return to the lineup. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, have faced challenges with injuries impacting key players. The absence of Jaren Jackson Jr., due to an ankle issue, has been particularly detrimental, as he has been a pivotal component of Memphis’s defense and overall performance.

Despite these setbacks, the team has shown resilience, with players like Desmond Bane stepping up to fill the void. Historically, the Thunder have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning both previous encounters this season. In those games, Oklahoma City averaged 127.5 points, demonstrating offensive efficiency against the Grizzlies’ defense. Memphis will need to address these defensive lapses to contain the Thunder’s high-powered offense. Betting lines for the upcoming game favor the Thunder, with Oklahoma City being 10-point favorites and an over/under set at 238 points. Given the Thunder’s strong ATS record and the Grizzlies’ recent struggles, bettors might lean towards Oklahoma City covering the spread. However, Memphis’s ability to perform as underdogs, as evidenced by their 9-6 ATS record in such situations, adds an element of unpredictability. In conclusion, this matchup features a dominant Thunder team looking to maintain its supremacy against a Grizzlies squad eager to overcome adversity and solidify its playoff position. Key factors will include the health and availability of critical players, defensive adjustments by Memphis, and Oklahoma City’s ability to exploit offensive opportunities. Fans can anticipate a competitive and strategically nuanced game as both teams vie for crucial late-season victories.

Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies, with a 43-28 record, are in a competitive position within the Western Conference as they approach their matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 27, 2025. This season, the Grizzlies have demonstrated resilience and growth, aiming to strengthen their playoff standing. A significant addition to the team is rookie center Zach Edey, the 9th overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft. Standing at 7-foot-4, Edey has become a formidable presence, leading the team with an average of 7.7 rebounds per game. His performance has placed him among the top contenders for Rookie of the Year. Edey’s integration into the lineup has enhanced the Grizzlies’ interior defense and provided a reliable target in the post. In the backcourt, Ja Morant continues to be a dynamic force, driving the team’s offense with his scoring and playmaking abilities. Complementing him is Desmond Bane, who has evolved into one of the league’s premier three-point shooters, adding depth to the Grizzlies’ offensive arsenal.

Forward Santi Aldama has also emerged as a key contributor, with improved averages of 13 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game. His versatility has been instrumental in the team’s success. Despite their strengths, the Grizzlies face challenges, particularly in maintaining consistency against top-tier opponents. Their previous encounters with the Thunder this season have resulted in losses, with Oklahoma City averaging 127.5 points in those games. Addressing defensive strategies and enhancing perimeter defense will be crucial for the Grizzlies to contain the Thunder’s high-powered offense. As they prepare for this pivotal matchup, the Grizzlies aim to leverage their balanced roster and recent momentum to secure a victory on the road. The performance of key players like Morant, Bane, and Edey will be central to their strategy. Additionally, focusing on defensive cohesion and executing their game plan effectively will be essential for the Grizzlies to bolster their position in the Western Conference standings and advance their postseason aspirations. 

The Memphis Grizzlies will visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 27, 2025, at the Paycom Center. The Thunder, leading the Western Conference, aim to solidify their top position, while the Grizzlies strive to improve their playoff standing. Memphis vs Oklahoma City AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this matchup with an impressive 60-12 record, firmly establishing themselves as the top seed in the Western Conference. Their recent 121-105 victory over the Sacramento Kings on March 25, 2025, marked their 60th win of the season, underscoring their dominance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the linchpin of the Thunder’s success, delivering consistent high-level performances. In the win against the Kings, he recorded his 45th 30-point game of the season—a league high—highlighting his offensive prowess. The Thunder’s depth has been a significant asset. Luguentz Dort’s defensive tenacity and experience provide stability, while contributions from players like Alex Caruso and Isaiah Joe have been instrumental in maintaining the team’s high performance, even amid injuries. Defensively, Oklahoma City has demonstrated resilience, though there have been periods of inconsistency.

Addressing these lapses will be crucial as they approach the postseason, ensuring they maintain their competitive edge against high-caliber opponents. As they prepare to host the Memphis Grizzlies, the Thunder aim to leverage their home-court advantage and continue their winning momentum. The anticipated return of All-Star Jalen Williams, who has missed the last seven games due to a hip injury, could further bolster their lineup. Maintaining their offensive efficiency and tightening defensive strategies will be key to securing another victory and solidifying their position as championship contenders.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Thunder play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Paycom Center in Mar almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Aldama over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Grizzlies and Thunder and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Oklahoma City’s strength factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Thunder team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Memphis vs Oklahoma City picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Thunder, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Grizzlies Betting Trends

Memphis has a strong record against the spread (ATS) this season, standing at 34-17-0. As underdogs of 2 points or more, they are 9-6 ATS.

Thunder Betting Trends

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 32 of their 50 games this season. When favored by 2 points or more, they hold a 29-16 ATS record.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Matchup Trends

In their previous matchups this season, the Thunder have averaged 127.5 points per game against the Grizzlies, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City Game Info

Memphis vs Oklahoma City starts on March 27, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Spread: Oklahoma City -10.5
Moneyline: Memphis +361, Oklahoma City -472
Over/Under: 238.5

Memphis: (44-28)  |  Oklahoma City: (60-12)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Aldama over 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their previous matchups this season, the Thunder have averaged 127.5 points per game against the Grizzlies, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc.

MEM trend: Memphis has a strong record against the spread (ATS) this season, standing at 34-17-0. As underdogs of 2 points or more, they are 9-6 ATS.

OKC trend: Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 32 of their 50 games this season. When favored by 2 points or more, they hold a 29-16 ATS record.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Memphis vs. Oklahoma City Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Oklahoma City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Memphis vs Oklahoma City Opening Odds

MEM Moneyline: +361
OKC Moneyline: -472
MEM Spread: +10.5
OKC Spread: -10.5
Over/Under: 238.5

Memphis vs Oklahoma City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+245
-300
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-106)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+138
-164
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+152
-180
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 221.5 (-110)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+134
-158
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+265
-330
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 207.5 (-106)
U 207.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+108
-126
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 222.5 (-110)
U 222.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+184
-220
+6.5 (-114)
-6.5 (-106)
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+275
-340
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-152
+128
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+136
-162
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-330
+265
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-102
-116
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-105)
U 226.5 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-102
-116
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-152
+128
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 218.5 (-115)
U 218.5 (-105)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-310
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-108
-112
+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on March 27, 2025 at Paycom Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS