Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 21)
Updated: 2025-03-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Minnesota Timberwolves (40-30) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (18-51) on March 21, 2025, at Target Center. The Timberwolves aim to solidify their playoff position, while the Pelicans seek to end a three-game road losing streak.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Mar 21, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Target Center
Timberwolves Record: (40-31)
Pelicans Record: (19-52)
OPENING ODDS
NO Moneyline: +607
MIN Moneyline: -917
NO Spread: +14
MIN Spread: -14.0
Over/Under: 229.5
NO
Betting Trends
- Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Pelicans is not available in the provided sources.
MIN
Betting Trends
- Specific recent ATS data for the Timberwolves is not available in the provided sources.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.
NO vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conley over 14.5 Pts + Ast + Reb
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New Orleans vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/21/25
Trey Murphy III has also been a key contributor, averaging 22.5 points per game and providing a reliable scoring option from the perimeter. Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum have added depth to the offense, each averaging over 22 points per game, but the team’s overall inconsistency has hindered their ability to close out games. The Pelicans’ defense has been a significant area of concern, allowing an average of 115.0 points per game, which has often put them at a disadvantage, especially against high-scoring teams like the Timberwolves. From a betting perspective, specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for both teams is not readily available in the provided sources. However, considering the Timberwolves’ current seven-game winning streak and strong home-court performance, they may be favored in this matchup. The Pelicans, on the other hand, have faced difficulties on the road, currently enduring a three-game road losing streak, which could influence bettors’ perceptions of their ability to cover the spread. In their previous encounter on January 7, 2025, the Timberwolves secured a victory over the Pelicans, with Anthony Edwards leading the charge with 32 points, 9 rebounds, and 3 assists. Dejounte Murray was a standout for the Pelicans in that game, contributing 29 points, 2 rebounds, and 6 assists. This history suggests that the Timberwolves have had the upper hand in recent matchups, which could factor into the strategies employed by both teams in the upcoming game. The key to this matchup will likely hinge on the Timberwolves’ ability to maintain their defensive intensity and continue their balanced offensive approach. For the Pelicans, finding a way to tighten their defense and support their star players with consistent secondary scoring will be crucial if they hope to compete effectively. As the season winds down, both teams have motivations—whether it’s solidifying playoff positioning or building momentum for the future—which should make for an engaging contest on March 21 at Target Center.
tournament threads 🏀#TBT pic.twitter.com/TgWfJLta6P
— New Orleans Pelicans (@PelicansNBA) March 20, 2025
New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans enter their March 21, 2025 matchup against the surging Minnesota Timberwolves burdened by a 18-51 record that underscores a season plagued by inconsistency, defensive breakdowns, and an inability to stay healthy or find cohesion among their core players despite possessing a roster loaded with individual talent and offensive firepower. At the forefront of their efforts is Zion Williamson, who, despite his team’s struggles, continues to produce impressive numbers with averages of 24.4 points and 7.4 rebounds per game, showcasing his unmatched physicality and explosive finishing ability in the paint, though his impact has been limited by spacing issues and the team’s inconsistent perimeter shooting. Trey Murphy III has been one of the few bright spots in the backcourt, emerging as a dependable perimeter scorer and averaging 22.5 points per game, stretching defenses with his range and offering complementary scoring when Williamson draws double teams. Alongside him, Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum have each averaged over 22 points per game, forming what should be a formidable offensive trio, yet the lack of ball movement and defensive effort has resulted in the Pelicans routinely falling short in competitive contests. The team ranks among the league’s bottom third defensively, surrendering approximately 115.0 points per game, due in part to a lack of rim protection, poor defensive rotations, and a tendency to foul in high-leverage situations.
They have especially struggled in pick-and-roll coverage, allowing opponents to exploit gaps with midrange jumpers and lobs, while transition defense has often bordered on non-existent, leading to quick deficits that they rarely overcome. Offensively, despite the presence of multiple capable scorers, the Pelicans lack a true floor general who can consistently organize half-court sets and balance touches among their high-usage players, leading to frequent isolation plays and limited assist numbers. Head Coach Willie Green has shuffled lineups in search of energy and consistency, but with the bench offering minimal support and role players like Dyson Daniels and Herbert Jones unable to contribute consistently on the offensive end, the margin for error has been razor thin. On the road, New Orleans has been particularly vulnerable, currently mired in a three-game road losing streak in which they’ve allowed opponents to shoot well over 50% from the field on average while struggling to break 105 points themselves. Their previous matchup against Minnesota on January 7 saw them fall 120-109, despite Dejounte Murray’s strong 29-point performance, as the Timberwolves exploited the Pelicans’ defensive lapses and controlled the boards. For this rematch, the Pelicans will need to limit second-chance points, improve perimeter defense, and commit to getting Williamson early touches in the paint to establish offensive rhythm. From a betting standpoint, New Orleans has struggled to cover spreads, particularly on the road and against above-.500 teams, making them a risky wager despite the individual scoring threats they possess. If they hope to compete, the Pelicans must find a way to generate stops, avoid their frequent third-quarter collapses, and get meaningful contributions from the bench—factors that have eluded them most of the season. This contest, though likely a mismatch on paper, provides an opportunity for pride, development, and spoiler potential against a playoff-bound team, but will require discipline, hustle, and uncommon cohesion for them to walk out of Target Center with an upset.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves, currently boasting a 40-30 record, have emerged as a formidable force in the Western Conference, driven by a harmonious blend of offensive firepower and defensive resilience. At the heart of their success is Anthony Edwards, whose dynamic play has been pivotal; averaging 27.5 points per game, Edwards has consistently showcased his ability to penetrate defenses, shoot from distance, and facilitate plays, making him a multifaceted threat. Complementing Edwards is Julius Randle, whose offseason acquisition has paid dividends; Randle’s 18.9 points and 9.7 rebounds per game reflect his prowess in the post and his capacity to stretch the floor with mid-range shooting, adding a new dimension to the Timberwolves’ offense. Naz Reid’s contributions off the bench have been invaluable, with his 14.2 points per game providing a scoring punch that maintains the team’s momentum when starters rest. The backcourt synergy between Donte DiVincenzo and Jaden McDaniels has further bolstered the team’s performance; DiVincenzo’s defensive tenacity and McDaniels’ versatility have allowed the Timberwolves to adapt to various in-game scenarios effectively. Defensively, the Timberwolves have been staunch, limiting opponents to an average of 109.0 points per game, a testament to their commitment to defensive rotations, rim protection, and perimeter defense. This defensive solidity has been instrumental in their current seven-game winning streak, during which they’ve held opponents under 100 points on multiple occasions. The coaching staff’s emphasis on a balanced approach is evident in the team’s offensive statistics; shooting 46.1% from the field and 38.0% from three-point range, the Timberwolves have demonstrated both efficiency and shot discipline, moving the ball well and consistently creating high-quality looks. Their ability to score in both transition and the half-court has made them a difficult matchup for any opponent, and their unselfishness has resulted in multiple players averaging double figures in scoring. Head Coach Chris Finch has optimized his rotation to maximize both offensive spacing and defensive coverage, often staggering Randle and Edwards to ensure constant pressure on opposing defenses. The Timberwolves’ bench, led by Reid and complemented by solid contributions from Kyle Anderson and rookie Leonard Miller, has provided consistent production, allowing the starters to maintain manageable minutes while preserving intensity across all four quarters.
Their strong play at Target Center, where they’ve posted one of the better home records in the conference, has further solidified their identity as a playoff-bound team that thrives on rhythm, defensive cohesion, and crowd energy. From a betting perspective, although exact ATS numbers were not available from recent reports, Minnesota’s strong home performances and current win streak make them an attractive option for bettors, especially given their tendency to cover when facing lower-tier competition like the struggling Pelicans. The Timberwolves have already defeated New Orleans earlier in the season and will look to replicate that success with a game plan focused on pushing the pace early, exploiting mismatches in transition, and controlling the glass. With both Randle and Reid capable of punishing smaller frontcourts and Edwards operating as the primary shot creator, Minnesota possesses multiple avenues to overwhelm New Orleans on both ends. Defensively, they will likely key in on limiting Zion Williamson’s paint touches and forcing the Pelicans into contested perimeter shots, a strategy that proved effective in their prior meeting. As they push toward the postseason, the Timberwolves have shown growth in their execution, maturity in closing games, and increasing consistency that was lacking in prior seasons. Friday’s matchup presents a valuable opportunity to extend their winning streak, stay in stride with the upper tier of the Western Conference standings, and continue building momentum heading into the final month of the regular season. With a healthy and deep roster, a cohesive identity, and high-level contributions from both stars and role players, Minnesota is poised not only to win this matchup but to cement itself as one of the conference’s most dangerous playoff threats. Maintaining their defensive intensity and offensive versatility will be key—not only against New Orleans but in establishing habits that translate into postseason success. A strong showing in this home contest will reinforce their reputation as a team on the rise, capable of controlling games from start to finish through a blend of athleticism, structure, and veteran poise.
back to work. pic.twitter.com/7yhwfxtm8G
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) March 20, 2025
New Orleans vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
New Orleans vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Pelicans and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Minnesota’s strength factors between a Pelicans team going up against a possibly strong Timberwolves team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI New Orleans vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Pelicans vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/8 | POR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NBA | 11/8 | LAL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 11/8 | IND@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/8 | CHI@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Pelicans Betting Trends
Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Pelicans is not available in the provided sources.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
Specific recent ATS data for the Timberwolves is not available in the provided sources.
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends
Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.
New Orleans vs. Minnesota Game Info
What time does New Orleans vs Minnesota start on March 21, 2025?
New Orleans vs Minnesota starts on March 21, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Where is New Orleans vs Minnesota being played?
Venue: Target Center.
What are the opening odds for New Orleans vs Minnesota?
Spread: Minnesota -14.0
Moneyline: New Orleans +607, Minnesota -917
Over/Under: 229.5
What are the records for New Orleans vs Minnesota?
New Orleans: (19-52) | Minnesota: (40-31)
What is the AI best bet for New Orleans vs Minnesota?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conley over 14.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New Orleans vs Minnesota trending bets?
Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.
What are New Orleans trending bets?
NO trend: Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Pelicans is not available in the provided sources.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: Specific recent ATS data for the Timberwolves is not available in the provided sources.
Where can I find AI Picks for New Orleans vs Minnesota?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New Orleans vs. Minnesota Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the New Orleans vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
New Orleans vs Minnesota Opening Odds
NO Moneyline:
+607 MIN Moneyline: -917
NO Spread: +14
MIN Spread: -14.0
Over/Under: 229.5
New Orleans vs Minnesota Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-168
+140
|
-4 (-108)
+4 (-112)
|
O 232.5 (-108)
U 232.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+16.5 (-114)
-16.5 (-106)
|
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-560
+420
|
-10.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
|
–
–
|
+126
-148
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-108)
U 226.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
|
–
–
|
-164
+138
|
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
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Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+490
-670
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
|
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Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
|
–
–
|
-230
+190
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-112)
U 234.5 (-108)
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Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+117
-143
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
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Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+150
-195
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
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O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
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Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+175
-220
|
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on March 21, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |