Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 21)

Updated: 2025-03-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Minnesota Timberwolves (40-30) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (18-51) on March 21, 2025, at Target Center. The Timberwolves aim to solidify their playoff position, while the Pelicans seek to end a three-game road losing streak.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 21, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Target Center​

Timberwolves Record: (40-31)

Pelicans Record: (19-52)

OPENING ODDS

NO Moneyline: +607

MIN Moneyline: -917

NO Spread: +14

MIN Spread: -14.0

Over/Under: 229.5

NO
Betting Trends

  • Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Pelicans is not available in the provided sources.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • Specific recent ATS data for the Timberwolves is not available in the provided sources.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.

NO vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conley over 14.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

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New Orleans vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/21/25

As the NBA regular season approaches its final stretch, the Minnesota Timberwolves (40-30) are set to host the New Orleans Pelicans (18-51) on March 21, 2025, at Target Center. The Timberwolves have been on an impressive run, winning seven consecutive games, which has bolstered their position in the Western Conference standings. This surge is largely attributed to the stellar performance of Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 27.5 points per game, showcasing his offensive prowess and leadership on the court. Complementing Edwards, Julius Randle has been a significant contributor, averaging 18.9 points and 9.7 rebounds per game, providing the team with a strong presence in the paint. Naz Reid has also been instrumental off the bench, averaging 14.2 points per game and offering valuable minutes that have often shifted the momentum in favor of the Timberwolves. The team’s offensive strategy emphasizes a balanced attack, with a shooting percentage of 46.1% from the field and 38.0% from beyond the arc, reflecting their efficiency and ability to stretch defenses. Defensively, the Timberwolves have been formidable, allowing an average of 109.0 points per game, which ranks them among the top defensive teams in the league. Their ability to contest shots and secure rebounds has been a cornerstone of their recent success. In contrast, the New Orleans Pelicans have struggled throughout the season, holding an 18-51 record. Despite the team’s challenges, Zion Williamson has been a bright spot, averaging 24.4 points and 7.4 rebounds per game. His dominance in the paint and athleticism make him a constant threat to opposing defenses.

Trey Murphy III has also been a key contributor, averaging 22.5 points per game and providing a reliable scoring option from the perimeter. Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum have added depth to the offense, each averaging over 22 points per game, but the team’s overall inconsistency has hindered their ability to close out games. The Pelicans’ defense has been a significant area of concern, allowing an average of 115.0 points per game, which has often put them at a disadvantage, especially against high-scoring teams like the Timberwolves. From a betting perspective, specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for both teams is not readily available in the provided sources. However, considering the Timberwolves’ current seven-game winning streak and strong home-court performance, they may be favored in this matchup. The Pelicans, on the other hand, have faced difficulties on the road, currently enduring a three-game road losing streak, which could influence bettors’ perceptions of their ability to cover the spread. In their previous encounter on January 7, 2025, the Timberwolves secured a victory over the Pelicans, with Anthony Edwards leading the charge with 32 points, 9 rebounds, and 3 assists. Dejounte Murray was a standout for the Pelicans in that game, contributing 29 points, 2 rebounds, and 6 assists. This history suggests that the Timberwolves have had the upper hand in recent matchups, which could factor into the strategies employed by both teams in the upcoming game. The key to this matchup will likely hinge on the Timberwolves’ ability to maintain their defensive intensity and continue their balanced offensive approach. For the Pelicans, finding a way to tighten their defense and support their star players with consistent secondary scoring will be crucial if they hope to compete effectively. As the season winds down, both teams have motivations—whether it’s solidifying playoff positioning or building momentum for the future—which should make for an engaging contest on March 21 at Target Center.

New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans enter their March 21, 2025 matchup against the surging Minnesota Timberwolves burdened by a 18-51 record that underscores a season plagued by inconsistency, defensive breakdowns, and an inability to stay healthy or find cohesion among their core players despite possessing a roster loaded with individual talent and offensive firepower. At the forefront of their efforts is Zion Williamson, who, despite his team’s struggles, continues to produce impressive numbers with averages of 24.4 points and 7.4 rebounds per game, showcasing his unmatched physicality and explosive finishing ability in the paint, though his impact has been limited by spacing issues and the team’s inconsistent perimeter shooting. Trey Murphy III has been one of the few bright spots in the backcourt, emerging as a dependable perimeter scorer and averaging 22.5 points per game, stretching defenses with his range and offering complementary scoring when Williamson draws double teams. Alongside him, Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum have each averaged over 22 points per game, forming what should be a formidable offensive trio, yet the lack of ball movement and defensive effort has resulted in the Pelicans routinely falling short in competitive contests. The team ranks among the league’s bottom third defensively, surrendering approximately 115.0 points per game, due in part to a lack of rim protection, poor defensive rotations, and a tendency to foul in high-leverage situations.

They have especially struggled in pick-and-roll coverage, allowing opponents to exploit gaps with midrange jumpers and lobs, while transition defense has often bordered on non-existent, leading to quick deficits that they rarely overcome. Offensively, despite the presence of multiple capable scorers, the Pelicans lack a true floor general who can consistently organize half-court sets and balance touches among their high-usage players, leading to frequent isolation plays and limited assist numbers. Head Coach Willie Green has shuffled lineups in search of energy and consistency, but with the bench offering minimal support and role players like Dyson Daniels and Herbert Jones unable to contribute consistently on the offensive end, the margin for error has been razor thin. On the road, New Orleans has been particularly vulnerable, currently mired in a three-game road losing streak in which they’ve allowed opponents to shoot well over 50% from the field on average while struggling to break 105 points themselves. Their previous matchup against Minnesota on January 7 saw them fall 120-109, despite Dejounte Murray’s strong 29-point performance, as the Timberwolves exploited the Pelicans’ defensive lapses and controlled the boards. For this rematch, the Pelicans will need to limit second-chance points, improve perimeter defense, and commit to getting Williamson early touches in the paint to establish offensive rhythm. From a betting standpoint, New Orleans has struggled to cover spreads, particularly on the road and against above-.500 teams, making them a risky wager despite the individual scoring threats they possess. If they hope to compete, the Pelicans must find a way to generate stops, avoid their frequent third-quarter collapses, and get meaningful contributions from the bench—factors that have eluded them most of the season. This contest, though likely a mismatch on paper, provides an opportunity for pride, development, and spoiler potential against a playoff-bound team, but will require discipline, hustle, and uncommon cohesion for them to walk out of Target Center with an upset.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (40-30) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (18-51) on March 21, 2025, at Target Center. The Timberwolves aim to solidify their playoff position, while the Pelicans seek to end a three-game road losing streak. New Orleans vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 21. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves, currently boasting a 40-30 record, have emerged as a formidable force in the Western Conference, driven by a harmonious blend of offensive firepower and defensive resilience. At the heart of their success is Anthony Edwards, whose dynamic play has been pivotal; averaging 27.5 points per game, Edwards has consistently showcased his ability to penetrate defenses, shoot from distance, and facilitate plays, making him a multifaceted threat. Complementing Edwards is Julius Randle, whose offseason acquisition has paid dividends; Randle’s 18.9 points and 9.7 rebounds per game reflect his prowess in the post and his capacity to stretch the floor with mid-range shooting, adding a new dimension to the Timberwolves’ offense. Naz Reid’s contributions off the bench have been invaluable, with his 14.2 points per game providing a scoring punch that maintains the team’s momentum when starters rest. The backcourt synergy between Donte DiVincenzo and Jaden McDaniels has further bolstered the team’s performance; DiVincenzo’s defensive tenacity and McDaniels’ versatility have allowed the Timberwolves to adapt to various in-game scenarios effectively. Defensively, the Timberwolves have been staunch, limiting opponents to an average of 109.0 points per game, a testament to their commitment to defensive rotations, rim protection, and perimeter defense. This defensive solidity has been instrumental in their current seven-game winning streak, during which they’ve held opponents under 100 points on multiple occasions. The coaching staff’s emphasis on a balanced approach is evident in the team’s offensive statistics; shooting 46.1% from the field and 38.0% from three-point range, the Timberwolves have demonstrated both efficiency and shot discipline, moving the ball well and consistently creating high-quality looks. Their ability to score in both transition and the half-court has made them a difficult matchup for any opponent, and their unselfishness has resulted in multiple players averaging double figures in scoring. Head Coach Chris Finch has optimized his rotation to maximize both offensive spacing and defensive coverage, often staggering Randle and Edwards to ensure constant pressure on opposing defenses. The Timberwolves’ bench, led by Reid and complemented by solid contributions from Kyle Anderson and rookie Leonard Miller, has provided consistent production, allowing the starters to maintain manageable minutes while preserving intensity across all four quarters.

Their strong play at Target Center, where they’ve posted one of the better home records in the conference, has further solidified their identity as a playoff-bound team that thrives on rhythm, defensive cohesion, and crowd energy. From a betting perspective, although exact ATS numbers were not available from recent reports, Minnesota’s strong home performances and current win streak make them an attractive option for bettors, especially given their tendency to cover when facing lower-tier competition like the struggling Pelicans. The Timberwolves have already defeated New Orleans earlier in the season and will look to replicate that success with a game plan focused on pushing the pace early, exploiting mismatches in transition, and controlling the glass. With both Randle and Reid capable of punishing smaller frontcourts and Edwards operating as the primary shot creator, Minnesota possesses multiple avenues to overwhelm New Orleans on both ends. Defensively, they will likely key in on limiting Zion Williamson’s paint touches and forcing the Pelicans into contested perimeter shots, a strategy that proved effective in their prior meeting. As they push toward the postseason, the Timberwolves have shown growth in their execution, maturity in closing games, and increasing consistency that was lacking in prior seasons. Friday’s matchup presents a valuable opportunity to extend their winning streak, stay in stride with the upper tier of the Western Conference standings, and continue building momentum heading into the final month of the regular season. With a healthy and deep roster, a cohesive identity, and high-level contributions from both stars and role players, Minnesota is poised not only to win this matchup but to cement itself as one of the conference’s most dangerous playoff threats. Maintaining their defensive intensity and offensive versatility will be key—not only against New Orleans but in establishing habits that translate into postseason success. A strong showing in this home contest will reinforce their reputation as a team on the rise, capable of controlling games from start to finish through a blend of athleticism, structure, and veteran poise.

New Orleans vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Pelicans and Timberwolves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Target Center in Mar seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conley over 14.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

New Orleans vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Pelicans and Timberwolves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Minnesota’s strength factors between a Pelicans team going up against a possibly strong Timberwolves team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New Orleans vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Pelicans vs Timberwolves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Pelicans Betting Trends

Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Pelicans is not available in the provided sources.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

Specific recent ATS data for the Timberwolves is not available in the provided sources.

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Matchup Trends

Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.

New Orleans vs. Minnesota Game Info

New Orleans vs Minnesota starts on March 21, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota -14.0
Moneyline: New Orleans +607, Minnesota -917
Over/Under: 229.5

New Orleans: (19-52)  |  Minnesota: (40-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conley over 14.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.

NO trend: Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Pelicans is not available in the provided sources.

MIN trend: Specific recent ATS data for the Timberwolves is not available in the provided sources.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New Orleans vs. Minnesota Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the New Orleans vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

New Orleans vs Minnesota Opening Odds

NO Moneyline: +607
MIN Moneyline: -917
NO Spread: +14
MIN Spread: -14.0
Over/Under: 229.5

New Orleans vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-168
+140
-4 (-108)
+4 (-112)
O 232.5 (-108)
U 232.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+750
-1200
+16.5 (-114)
-16.5 (-106)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-560
+420
-10.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+126
-148
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 226.5 (-108)
U 226.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-164
+138
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+490
-670
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-230
+190
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-112)
U 234.5 (-108)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on March 21, 2025 at Target Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS