Hornets vs. Thunder
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 21 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 21, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder (56-12) will host the Charlotte Hornets (17-51) at Paycom Center. The Thunder aim to extend their three-game winning streak, while the Hornets seek to improve their season record.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 21, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Paycom Center​

Thunder Record: (57-12)

Hornets Record: (18-51)

OPENING ODDS

CHA Moneyline: +1260

OKC Moneyline: -2941

CHA Spread: +20

OKC Spread: -20.0

Over/Under: 227

CHA
Betting Trends

  • Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Hornets is not available in the provided sources.

OKC
Betting Trends

  • Specific recent ATS data for the Thunder is not available in the provided sources.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.

CHA vs. OKC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Gilgeous-Alexander under 44.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

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Charlotte vs Oklahoma City Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/21/25

As the NBA regular season progresses, the Oklahoma City Thunder (56-12) are set to host the Charlotte Hornets (17-51) on March 21, 2025, at Paycom Center. The Thunder have been a dominant force this season, boasting a three-game winning streak and holding the best record in the league. Their success is largely attributed to the stellar performance of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who recently scored 51 points in a victory over the Houston Rockets, showcasing his offensive prowess and leadership on the court. Complementing Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren has been a significant contributor, averaging 15.0 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 2.7 blocks per game, providing the team with a strong presence in the paint. The Thunder’s offensive strategy emphasizes a balanced attack, with efficient shooting and ball movement, reflecting their ability to adapt and exploit defensive weaknesses. Defensively, they have been formidable, allowing an average of 107.2 points per game, which ranks them among the top defensive teams in the league. Their ability to contest shots and secure rebounds has been a cornerstone of their recent success. In contrast, the Charlotte Hornets have struggled throughout the season, holding a 17-51 record. Despite the team’s challenges, individual players have shown potential. However, the Hornets’ defense has been a significant area of concern, allowing an average of 115.0 points per game, which has often put them at a disadvantage, especially against high-scoring teams like the Thunder.

Their offense has also been inconsistent, with a lack of reliable scoring options beyond their primary players. From a betting perspective, specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for both teams is not readily available in the provided sources. However, considering the Thunder’s current three-game winning streak and strong home-court performance, they may be favored in this matchup. The Hornets, on the other hand, have faced difficulties on the road, which could influence bettors’ perceptions of their ability to cover the spread. In their previous encounter on December 28, 2024, the Thunder secured a victory over the Hornets, with Gilgeous-Alexander leading the charge. This history suggests that the Thunder have had the upper hand in recent matchups, which could factor into the strategies employed by both teams in the upcoming game. The key to this matchup will likely hinge on the Thunder’s ability to maintain their defensive intensity and continue their balanced offensive approach. For the Hornets, finding a way to tighten their defense and support their star players with consistent secondary scoring will be crucial if they hope to compete effectively. As the season winds down, both teams have motivations—whether it’s solidifying playoff positioning or building momentum for the future—which should make for an engaging contest on March 21 at Paycom Center.

Charlotte Hornets NBA Preview

The Charlotte Hornets head into their March 21, 2025 road matchup against the NBA-best Oklahoma City Thunder burdened by a 17-51 record and the weight of a long, turbulent season marked by injuries, inconsistent play, and growing pains from a young, often overmatched roster that has failed to build momentum or string together meaningful stretches of competitive basketball. Still in the depths of a long-term rebuild, Charlotte has spent much of the year searching for identity and development amid adversity, particularly without the services of LaMelo Ball, who has once again missed extended time due to ankle injuries, leaving the offense without its primary initiator and creative engine. In his absence, Brandon Miller, the No. 2 overall pick from the 2023 NBA Draft, has taken on a heavier offensive burden and emerged as the team’s most promising building block, averaging over 17 points per game while demonstrating flashes of elite shot creation and defensive versatility, even as his efficiency and decision-making remain a work in progress. Fellow young contributors like Nick Smith Jr. and Mark Williams have had their moments, particularly on the defensive end where Williams has become a consistent rebounder and shot blocker, but a lack of veteran presence and coherent spacing continues to undermine their development. The Hornets rank near the bottom of the league in several major statistical categories, including offensive rating, defensive efficiency, and net rating, and give up an average of 115 points per game, often struggling to contain perimeter scorers or protect the rim against more physical frontcourts.

Their offense fares little better, relying heavily on isolation possessions and midrange attempts without the benefit of consistent three-point shooting or off-ball movement; their three-point percentage hovers below 34%, and they routinely turn the ball over in high volumes, especially against teams with aggressive on-ball defenders like Oklahoma City. Terry Rozier, once considered a stabilizing veteran presence, has missed time and may not be part of the team’s long-term future, leaving scoring responsibilities to an inconsistent committee of guards and wings. The coaching staff, led by Steve Clifford in what may be his final season at the helm, has prioritized development over wins, giving young players extended minutes in an effort to prepare them for larger roles in the future. From a betting standpoint, Charlotte has struggled significantly against the spread, particularly on the road and against elite opponents, where large deficits and fourth-quarter collapses have become a recurring issue. Their last meeting with the Thunder on December 28, 2024, ended in a double-digit loss, and this upcoming contest projects similarly unless the Hornets can deliver an outlier performance fueled by hot shooting and disciplined defensive rotations—two areas that have rarely aligned this year. Friday night’s matchup offers Charlotte a low-pressure opportunity to test themselves against the league’s top team, but unless they can limit turnovers, defend the perimeter effectively, and get high-efficiency outings from both Miller and role players like P.J. Washington and Cody Martin, they risk being overwhelmed early and often by an Oklahoma City squad playing with confidence, structure, and a clear postseason purpose. For the Hornets, the game represents less a must-win and more a benchmark for effort, development, and the continued evaluation of which pieces might realistically contribute to the franchise’s next competitive window.

On March 21, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder (56-12) will host the Charlotte Hornets (17-51) at Paycom Center. The Thunder aim to extend their three-game winning streak, while the Hornets seek to improve their season record. Charlotte vs Oklahoma City AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 21. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder have emerged as a dominant force in the NBA this season, boasting a remarkable 56-12 record that reflects their consistent excellence on both ends of the court. Central to their success is the stellar play of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, whose recent 51-point outburst against the Houston Rockets underscores his offensive versatility and leadership qualities. Gilgeous-Alexander’s ability to penetrate defenses, coupled with his improved perimeter shooting, has made him a matchup nightmare for opponents. Complementing him is Chet Holmgren, who, despite dealing with an ankle issue earlier in the season, has been a formidable presence in the paint, averaging 15.0 points, 8.5 rebounds, and an impressive 2.7 blocks per game. Holmgren’s shot-blocking prowess and defensive instincts have anchored the Thunder’s defense, which ranks among the league’s best, allowing just 107.2 points per game. The team’s depth is further highlighted by contributions from players like Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey, who have provided consistent scoring and playmaking, ensuring that the offense remains fluid and multifaceted. Under the guidance of Head Coach Mark Daigneault, the Thunder have embraced a philosophy centered on ball movement, spacing, and defensive tenacity. This strategic approach has not only maximized the talents of their star players but also fostered the development of their younger prospects. The Thunder’s home-court advantage at Paycom Center has been pronounced, with the team feeding off the energy of their fans to establish one of the best home records in the league. From a betting perspective, while specific against-the-spread (ATS) data is not readily available, the Thunder’s dominant performances and ability to cover large spreads have made them a favorable option for bettors. Their previous victory over the Hornets on December 28, 2024, serves as a testament to their preparedness and tactical execution. As they prepare to host the Hornets once again on March 21, 2025, the Thunder will look to build on their three-game winning streak and continue asserting their dominance in the Western Conference standings.

The coaching staff has done an exceptional job managing minutes, balancing development with competitive play, and keeping the roster healthy and motivated deep into the season. One of the team’s most valuable traits has been its defensive switchability, enabled by long, athletic wings like Jalen Williams and Lu Dort, who can effectively guard multiple positions. Their on-ball defense and ability to recover in help situations have contributed heavily to Oklahoma City’s elite defensive rating, particularly at home where they limit opponents’ shooting efficiency and control the glass with discipline. Offensively, the Thunder operate with tempo and precision, averaging over 118 points per game while ranking among the league leaders in assists per game—a clear sign of their ball movement and unselfish offensive culture. Josh Giddey’s court vision and passing acumen remain essential to orchestrating their half-court sets, while second-chance opportunities and transition buckets keep defenses on their heels. The chemistry between Gilgeous-Alexander and Holmgren has blossomed throughout the season, with SGA drawing multiple defenders and Holmgren capitalizing with soft-touch finishes and timely rolls to the basket. Moreover, the Thunder’s depth ensures that the second unit does not drop off in intensity; Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, and Cason Wallace bring energy, shot-making, and defensive hustle that help sustain momentum, even when the starters rest. The team’s ability to lock down defensively in crunch time and hit big shots has been key to their dominance in close games, while their blowout wins demonstrate their capability to overwhelm teams early and coast to victory. With the playoffs looming, every game now serves as both a test and a tune-up, and hosting a Hornets squad that has struggled mightily on the road provides Oklahoma City with a prime opportunity to fine-tune its rotations and offensive sets while continuing to build chemistry. The coaching staff may opt to rest key players if the score permits, but the expectation remains that the Thunder will approach this contest with professionalism and urgency, respecting every opponent regardless of record. With the league’s best record in hand and championship aspirations taking shape, the Thunder understand that habits formed now will define their postseason identity. A strong performance against Charlotte on Friday would not only mark their 57th win but also reinforce why Oklahoma City is being taken seriously as a title contender across the NBA. Their combination of elite defense, offensive versatility, star power, and depth has made them a nightmare matchup, and against a Hornets team lacking firepower and consistency, the Thunder will be expected to dominate from the opening tip. Provided they maintain their defensive intensity and keep turnovers low, this home contest should serve as yet another affirmation of Oklahoma City’s status as a rising powerhouse destined for a deep playoff run.

Charlotte vs. Oklahoma City Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Hornets and Thunder play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Paycom Center in Mar can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Gilgeous-Alexander under 44.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

Charlotte vs. Oklahoma City Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Hornets and Thunder and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending factor human bettors regularly put on Charlotte’s strength factors between a Hornets team going up against a possibly healthy Thunder team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Charlotte vs Oklahoma City picks, computer picks Hornets vs Thunder, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Hornets Betting Trends

Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Hornets is not available in the provided sources.

Thunder Betting Trends

Specific recent ATS data for the Thunder is not available in the provided sources.

Hornets vs. Thunder Matchup Trends

Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.

Charlotte vs. Oklahoma City Game Info

Charlotte vs Oklahoma City starts on March 21, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Spread: Oklahoma City -20.0
Moneyline: Charlotte +1260, Oklahoma City -2941
Over/Under: 227

Charlotte: (18-51)  |  Oklahoma City: (57-12)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Gilgeous-Alexander under 44.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Detailed ATS statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.

CHA trend: Specific recent against-the-spread (ATS) data for the Hornets is not available in the provided sources.

OKC trend: Specific recent ATS data for the Thunder is not available in the provided sources.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Charlotte vs. Oklahoma City Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Charlotte vs Oklahoma City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Charlotte vs Oklahoma City Opening Odds

CHA Moneyline: +1260
OKC Moneyline: -2941
CHA Spread: +20
OKC Spread: -20.0
Over/Under: 227

Charlotte vs Oklahoma City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+245
-300
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-106)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+138
-164
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+152
-180
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 221.5 (-110)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+140
-170
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (+105)
U 229.5 (-125)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+265
-330
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 207.5 (-106)
U 207.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+108
-126
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 222.5 (-110)
U 222.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+184
-220
+6.5 (-114)
-6.5 (-106)
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+275
-340
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-152
+128
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+136
-162
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-330
+265
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-110
-110
-1 (+100)
+1 (-120)
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-102
-116
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-152
+128
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 218.5 (-115)
U 218.5 (-105)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-105
-115
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Charlotte Hornets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder on March 21, 2025 at Paycom Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS