Heat vs Knicks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 17)

Updated: 2025-03-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Heat will face the New York Knicks on March 17, 2025, at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks hold a season record of 40-21, while the Heat are at 29-32.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 17, 2025

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Madison Square Garden​

Knicks Record: (42-24)

Heat Record: (29-38)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: +246

NY Moneyline: -309

MIA Spread: +7.5

NY Spread: -7.5

Over/Under: 212.5

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Heat have struggled recently, losing their last six games.

NY
Betting Trends

  • The Knicks have been inconsistent, with a 2-3 record in their last five games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Knicks have over 220 points in 66% of their games in the last month.

MIA vs. NY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Anunoby under 26.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

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Miami vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/17/25

The upcoming matchup between the Miami Heat and the New York Knicks on March 17, 2025, at Madison Square Garden presents an intriguing contest between two teams with contrasting seasons. The Knicks, boasting a 40-21 record, have been one of the Eastern Conference’s standout teams, while the Heat, at 29-32, have faced challenges in maintaining consistency. The Knicks’ success this season can be attributed to their balanced offense and defense. They have averaged 116.5 points per game, with Jalen Brunson leading the charge at 26.1 points per game. Julius Randle has been instrumental as well, contributing significantly in scoring and rebounding. Defensively, the Knicks have held opponents to an average of 112 points per game, showcasing their ability to limit high-scoring teams. Their defensive efficiency has been a cornerstone of their strategy, often dictating the pace of the game and forcing opponents into low-percentage shots. The Heat, on the other hand, have struggled to find their rhythm this season. Averaging 108.7 points per game, they have relied heavily on Tyler Herro, who leads the team with 23.9 points per game. However, the lack of consistent secondary scoring options has been a glaring issue. Defensively, the Heat have allowed an average of 110.5 points per game, indicating a need for improvement in their defensive schemes. Their recent six-game losing streak underscores these challenges, highlighting inconsistencies on both ends of the court.

In terms of betting trends, the Knicks have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with over 220 points scored in 66% of their games in the last month. This suggests a propensity for offensive shootouts, which could be a factor for bettors considering the over/under market. The Heat’s recent form against the spread (ATS) has been poor, reflecting their on-court struggles. Historically, the Knicks have a slight edge over the Heat, with 73 wins to Miami’s 66 in their all-time regular-season meetings. This historical context, combined with current form, positions the Knicks as favorites for this matchup. However, the unpredictable nature of the NBA means that the Heat cannot be entirely discounted. For the Knicks to secure a victory, maintaining their defensive intensity will be crucial. Limiting Herro’s influence and forcing other Heat players to step up could disrupt Miami’s offensive flow. Offensively, the Knicks should exploit the Heat’s defensive lapses, utilizing Brunson and Randle’s versatility to create mismatches. The Heat, conversely, need a collective offensive effort to challenge the Knicks’ defense. Improving their defensive communication and rotations will be vital to prevent the Knicks from finding easy scoring opportunities. In conclusion, this game presents an opportunity for the Knicks to solidify their position in the playoff race, while the Heat will aim to break their losing streak and regain momentum. Bettors might consider the Knicks’ recent high-scoring games and the Heat’s ATS struggles when making their wagers. As always, the dynamics of the game can shift rapidly, making this a matchup worth watching for both fans and bettors alike.

Miami Heat NBA Preview

The Miami Heat enter this matchup against the New York Knicks with a struggling 29-32 record, making this game crucial in their push for a postseason spot. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, particularly on the offensive end, where they have averaged 108.7 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league in scoring. Tyler Herro has been the team’s primary offensive weapon, averaging 23.9 points per game, and has taken on an even larger role following Jimmy Butler’s midseason departure to the Golden State Warriors. Herro has shown flashes of brilliance as a scorer, particularly from beyond the arc, but without Butler’s presence, the Heat have lacked a go-to player in clutch moments. The trade that sent Butler to the Warriors brought in Andrew Wiggins, Kyle Anderson, and Davion Mitchell, all of whom have yet to fully integrate into Miami’s system. Wiggins has provided scoring depth, averaging 16.8 points per game since joining the team, but his impact has been inconsistent. Bam Adebayo continues to be the anchor of Miami’s defense and an essential two-way player, contributing 19.7 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks per game. However, Adebayo has often been tasked with carrying too much of the defensive burden, as Miami’s perimeter defense has been a major weakness since Butler’s departure. Defensively, the Heat allow an average of 110.5 points per game, which is respectable, but their inability to maintain defensive intensity throughout games has been costly. Their six-game losing streak includes blown leads against weaker teams like the Charlotte Hornets and Washington Wizards, exposing their struggles with defensive rotations and closing out games. In their recent loss to the Hornets, Miami squandered a 17-point lead, allowing Charlotte to shoot 45.8% from three-point range.

The loss against the Clippers further highlighted their defensive issues, as they allowed Los Angeles to shoot a staggering 59.2% from the field. The Heat’s struggles are exacerbated by a lack of rebounding, ranking 22nd in the league with just 42.3 rebounds per game. Adebayo has done his part on the glass, but Miami’s lack of size and physicality on the wings has been a glaring issue against bigger teams. Their perimeter defense, once a strength, has suffered, with opposing guards finding success driving into the paint and creating open shots from deep. Special teams have also been a mixed bag for Miami. Their three-point shooting has remained average, converting at a 35.1% clip, but their free-throw shooting has been among the worst in the league at 74.8%. Meanwhile, their defensive discipline has been inconsistent, as they commit the 10th-most fouls per game, often sending opponents to the line in critical late-game situations. The Heat’s bench production has been another area of concern, with the second unit ranking 26th in the NBA in scoring. Their lack of offensive depth has put immense pressure on Herro and Adebayo to carry the load every night. Head coach Erik Spoelstra has experimented with different rotations, but the team’s chemistry has suffered as a result of the midseason roster changes. Heading into Madison Square Garden to face the Knicks, the Heat must focus on tightening their defensive rotations and getting more scoring contributions from their supporting cast. Limiting Jalen Brunson’s impact and forcing Julius Randle into tough shots will be key to slowing down the Knicks’ offense. Miami will also need to improve their late-game execution, as multiple losses this season have come from fourth-quarter collapses. If the Heat can control the tempo, play efficient offense, and get big performances from Herro and Adebayo, they could give themselves a chance to snap their losing streak. However, if their defensive struggles persist and their offense remains stagnant, they could be in for yet another disappointing night against a Knicks team that has been dominant at home this season.

The Miami Heat will face the New York Knicks on March 17, 2025, at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks hold a season record of 40-21, while the Heat are at 29-32. Miami vs New York AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Knicks NBA Preview

The New York Knicks have established themselves as a formidable force in the Eastern Conference during the 2024-2025 NBA season, boasting a commendable 40-21 record. This success is largely attributed to their balanced approach on both ends of the court. Offensively, the Knicks have been prolific, averaging 116.5 points per game. Jalen Brunson has been at the forefront of this offensive surge, leading the team with an impressive 26.1 points per game. His ability to navigate defenses, coupled with his sharpshooting, has made him a focal point of the Knicks’ offense. Complementing Brunson is Julius Randle, whose versatility has been invaluable. Randle’s prowess in scoring, rebounding, and playmaking has provided the Knicks with a multifaceted offensive weapon. The team’s depth is further highlighted by contributions from RJ Barrett and Mitchell Robinson, both of whom have played pivotal roles in maintaining the Knicks’ offensive rhythm. Defensively, the Knicks have been equally impressive, holding opponents to an average of 112 points per game. This defensive tenacity is a testament to their commitment to a team-oriented approach, with players consistently rotating and providing help defense. Mitchell Robinson’s presence in the paint has been a deterrent for opposing offenses, as his shot-blocking ability and rebounding have anchored the Knicks’ defense. The perimeter defense, led by Barrett and Quentin Grimes, has been effective in limiting the impact of opposing guards. The Knicks’ coaching staff has instilled a culture of accountability and resilience, which has been evident in their performances against top-tier teams. However, the Knicks have faced challenges with injuries. Notably, Jalen Brunson has been sidelined due to an ankle injury sustained during a game against the LA Lakers. In his absence, Miles McBride has stepped up admirably, showcasing his defensive prowess and earning increased playing time. McBride’s emergence has provided the Knicks with a reliable option at the point guard position, ensuring that the team’s defensive intensity remains high. The Knicks’ recent road trip presented both challenges and learning opportunities.

A narrow 97-94 loss to the Golden State Warriors highlighted areas needing improvement, particularly in closing out tight games. Despite this setback, the Knicks remain optimistic about their trajectory as they approach the playoffs. The team’s ability to adapt to adversity, such as integrating new players and adjusting to injuries, has been commendable. Looking ahead, the Knicks aim to solidify their playoff positioning by focusing on consistency and health. The coaching staff emphasizes the importance of maintaining defensive intensity and improving offensive efficiency. With the potential return of key players from injury, the Knicks are poised to make a deep playoff run. Their blend of veteran experience and youthful exuberance provides a balanced roster capable of competing with the elite teams in the league. As the season progresses, the Knicks’ resilience and adaptability will be crucial in navigating the challenges that lie ahead. The team’s commitment to their defensive identity, coupled with their offensive versatility, positions them well for sustained success. Fans and analysts alike will be keenly observing how the Knicks manage the remainder of the regular season and transition into the postseason, where the intensity and stakes are elevated. In conclusion, the New York Knicks have demonstrated a commendable blend of skill, strategy, and resilience throughout the 2024-2025 season. Their balanced approach on both offense and defense, combined with effective player development and strategic coaching decisions, has solidified their status as contenders in the Eastern Conference. As they continue to navigate the challenges of the season, the Knicks’ focus remains on cohesion, adaptability, and execution, all of which will be pivotal in their quest for postseason success.

Miami vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Heat and Knicks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Madison Square Garden in Mar almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Anunoby under 26.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

Miami vs. New York Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Heat and Knicks and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending factor emotional bettors regularly put on New York’s strength factors between a Heat team going up against a possibly tired Knicks team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Miami vs New York picks, computer picks Heat vs Knicks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/9 OKC@MEM UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Heat Betting Trends

The Heat have struggled recently, losing their last six games.

Knicks Betting Trends

The Knicks have been inconsistent, with a 2-3 record in their last five games.

Heat vs. Knicks Matchup Trends

The Knicks have over 220 points in 66% of their games in the last month.

Miami vs. New York Game Info

Miami vs New York starts on March 17, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.

Venue: Madison Square Garden.

Spread: New York -7.5
Moneyline: Miami +246, New York -309
Over/Under: 212.5

Miami: (29-38)  |  New York: (42-24)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: O. Anunoby under 26.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Knicks have over 220 points in 66% of their games in the last month.

MIA trend: The Heat have struggled recently, losing their last six games.

NY trend: The Knicks have been inconsistent, with a 2-3 record in their last five games.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. New York Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Miami vs New York Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: +246
NY Moneyline: -309
MIA Spread: +7.5
NY Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 212.5

Miami vs New York Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
Washington Wizards
Detroit Pistons
11/10/25 7PM
Wizards
Pistons
+490
-675
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-105)
Nov 10, 2025 7:10PM EST
Los Angeles Lakers
Charlotte Hornets
11/10/25 7:10PM
Lakers
Hornets
-298
+240
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-115)
U 229.5 (-105)
Nov 10, 2025 7:10PM EST
Portland Trail Blazers
Orlando Magic
11/10/25 7:10PM
Trail Blazers
Magic
+110
-130
+1.5 (-102)
-1.5 (-118)
O 235.5 (-115)
U 235.5 (-105)
Nov 10, 2025 7:30PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Miami Heat
11/10/25 7:30PM
Cavaliers
Heat
-298
+240
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
O 246.5 (-110)
U 246.5 (-110)
Nov 10, 2025 8:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Chicago Bulls
11/10/25 8:10PM
Spurs
Bulls
-162
+136
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-112)
U 234.5 (-108)
Nov 10, 2025 8:30PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Dallas Mavericks
11/10/25 8:30PM
Bucks
Mavericks
-125
+105
-1.5 (-118)
+1.5 (-102)
O 231.5 (-105)
U 231.5 (-115)
Nov 10, 2025 9:00PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Utah Jazz
11/10/25 9PM
Timberwolves
Jazz
-290
+235
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-112)
O 234.5 (-105)
U 234.5 (-115)
Nov 10, 2025 9:10PM EST
New Orleans Pelicans
Phoenix Suns
11/10/25 9:10PM
Pelicans
Suns
+250
-310
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
O 228.5 (-112)
U 228.5 (-108)
Nov 10, 2025 10:30PM EST
Atlanta Hawks
Los Angeles Clippers
11/10/25 10:30PM
Hawks
Clippers
+145
-175
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
O 222.5 (-115)
U 222.5 (-105)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks on March 17, 2025 at Madison Square Garden.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS