Nuggets vs. Warriors
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 17 | NBA AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On March 17, 2025, the Golden State Warriors (38-28) will host the Denver Nuggets (42-24) at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Both teams are vying for higher playoff positions in the Western Conference, making this matchup crucial for postseason seeding.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 17, 2025
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST​
Venue: Chase Center​
Warriors Record: (39-28)
Nuggets Record: (43-25)
OPENING ODDS
DEN Moneyline: +167
GS Moneyline: -201
DEN Spread: +5
GS Spread: -5.0
Over/Under: 236.5
DEN
Betting Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing strong performances both at home and on the road.
GS
Betting Trends
- The Warriors have been impressive against the spread recently, covering in 5 of their last 6 games, reflecting their improved form since acquiring Jimmy Butler.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games when they face each other.
DEN vs. GS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Moody under 17.5 Pts + Ast + Reb
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Denver vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/17/25
The Warriors’ offense has become more dynamic, with improved spacing and ball movement leading to higher-quality shot opportunities. However, the team faces challenges at the point of attack, as opposing guards and wings have found success against their defense. Addressing this vulnerability is crucial as they approach the playoffs. The coaching staff is likely to emphasize defensive rotations and on-ball pressure in upcoming practices to mitigate this issue. The Warriors’ recent schedule has been demanding, with back-to-back games against top-tier opponents. They secured a 97-94 victory over the New York Knicks, demonstrating their resilience in close contests. This win not only showcased their defensive capabilities but also highlighted their ability to execute under pressure. Looking ahead, the Warriors are set to face the Denver Nuggets, a team boasting the reigning MVP, Nikola Jokić. This matchup will test the Warriors’ defensive schemes, particularly in handling Jokić’s multifaceted offensive game. The potential absence of Curry could impact the Warriors’ spacing and shooting efficiency, placing additional responsibility on Butler and the supporting cast to generate offense. In conclusion, the Golden State Warriors have transformed their season through strategic acquisitions and adaptive gameplay. The integration of Jimmy Butler has not only bolstered their defense but also diversified their offensive options. As they prepare to face formidable opponents, the Warriors’ ability to maintain their defensive intensity and address matchup vulnerabilities will be pivotal in solidifying their playoff positioning.
Final#MileHighBasketball pic.twitter.com/ATRjL2pRh1
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) March 16, 2025
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
The Denver Nuggets, currently holding a 42-24 record, are positioned as one of the top contenders in the Western Conference. Their success is largely attributed to the exceptional performance of reigning NBA MVP Nikola Jokić, who continues to redefine the center position with his versatile skill set. Jokić is averaging a triple-double this season, with 29.1 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game, underscoring his pivotal role in the Nuggets’ offense. Jokić’s impact extends beyond traditional scoring and rebounding metrics. His court vision and passing ability have transformed the Nuggets’ offense into one of the most efficient in the league. On March 7, 2025, Jokić made NBA history by recording a 30-20-20 game, becoming the first player to achieve such a feat. This performance not only highlights his individual brilliance but also his ability to elevate the play of his teammates. The backcourt is anchored by Jamal Murray, who has been instrumental in the team’s offensive schemes. Murray is averaging 21.5 points and 6.1 assists per game, providing a dynamic scoring option alongside Jokić. His ability to create shots off the dribble and facilitate ball movement has been crucial in maintaining the team’s offensive fluidity. However, the Nuggets are currently navigating a series of challenges, particularly concerning injuries. Nikola Jokić, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon are all listed as questionable for the upcoming game against the Golden State Warriors. Gordon’s athleticism and defensive versatility have been vital in guarding multiple positions, and his potential absence could impact the Nuggets’ defensive strategies. These injury concerns add a layer of uncertainty to the team’s performance in the forthcoming matchup. Defensively, the Nuggets have shown resilience but have areas needing improvement. They have struggled at times to contain perimeter shooting, which could be a significant factor against a team like the Warriors, known for their three-point prowess.
The coaching staff has likely emphasized closing out on shooters and improving defensive rotations in preparation for the upcoming game. The Nuggets’ recent performance has been a mix of highs and lows. They secured a 149-141 overtime victory against the Phoenix Suns on March 7, 2025, showcasing their offensive firepower. However, they suffered a 115-95 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on March 12, 2025, highlighting inconsistencies that the team needs to address. These fluctuations underscore the importance of maintaining focus and intensity as the regular season progresses. Head coach Michael Malone has been instrumental in navigating the team through these challenges. His emphasis on accountability and defensive discipline has been a cornerstone of the Nuggets’ identity. Malone’s ability to adapt strategies based on personnel availability and opponent strengths will be crucial in the upcoming games, especially considering the potential absences of key players. Looking ahead, the matchup against the Golden State Warriors presents both challenges and opportunities. The Warriors have been on a remarkable run, boasting a 14-1 record with Jimmy Butler on the court. The potential absence of Stephen Curry due to a right lower back strain could impact the Warriors’ offensive dynamics, possibly providing an advantage for the Nuggets. However, the Nuggets must be prepared to counter the Warriors’ small-ball lineup and defensive schemes. In conclusion, the Denver Nuggets have demonstrated resilience and adaptability throughout the season. The performances of Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray have been central to their success. However, the team’s ability to navigate injury challenges and maintain defensive consistency will be pivotal in the upcoming games. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors will serve as a litmus test for the Nuggets, providing insights into their readiness for the postseason and their capacity to contend with other elite teams in the league.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors have experienced a season of resurgence, currently holding a 38-28 record, positioning them sixth in the Western Conference standings. This turnaround is largely attributed to the mid-season acquisition of Jimmy Butler from the Miami Heat, a move that has reinvigorated the team’s dynamics and performance. Prior to Butler’s arrival, the Warriors were struggling with a 25-26 record, but they have since achieved a 14-1 run with Butler on the court, underscoring his significant impact. Butler’s integration into the team has been seamless, providing the Warriors with defensive tenacity and offensive versatility. His presence has alleviated the scoring burden on Stephen Curry, allowing for a more balanced offensive approach. Butler’s ability to penetrate defenses and draw fouls has increased the team’s free-throw attempts, adding a new dimension to their offensive strategy. Stephen Curry, at 37, continues to defy age with stellar performances. He is averaging 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game this season. However, his status for the upcoming game against the Denver Nuggets is questionable due to a right lower back strain. Curry has played the last 21 games but has previously dealt with bilateral knee tendinitis. The Warriors’ defensive metrics have also seen significant improvement. They have ascended to the second-rated defense in the league, largely due to Butler’s perimeter defense and Draymond Green’s versatility. The team leads the NBA in points off turnovers, capitalizing on their opponents’ mistakes to fuel their transition offense. Head coach Steve Kerr has adeptly integrated Butler into the lineup, often employing small-ball strategies with Green at center.
This approach leverages the team’s speed and shooting prowess, creating matchup challenges for larger, traditional lineups. The Warriors’ offense has become more dynamic, with improved spacing and ball movement leading to higher-quality shot opportunities. However, the team faces challenges at the point of attack, as opposing guards and wings have found success against their defense. Addressing this vulnerability is crucial as they approach the playoffs. The coaching staff is likely to emphasize defensive rotations and on-ball pressure in upcoming practices to mitigate this issue. The Warriors’ recent schedule has been demanding, with back-to-back games against top-tier opponents. They secured a 97-94 victory over the New York Knicks, demonstrating their resilience in close contests. This win not only showcased their defensive capabilities but also highlighted their ability to execute under pressure. Looking ahead, the Warriors are set to face the Denver Nuggets, a team boasting the reigning MVP, Nikola Jokić. This matchup will test the Warriors’ defensive schemes, particularly in handling Jokić’s multifaceted offensive game. The potential absence of Curry could impact the Warriors’ spacing and shooting efficiency, placing additional responsibility on Butler and the supporting cast to generate offense. In conclusion, the Golden State Warriors have transformed their season through strategic acquisitions and adaptive gameplay. The integration of Jimmy Butler has not only bolstered their defense but also diversified their offensive options. As they prepare to face formidable opponents, the Warriors’ ability to maintain their defensive intensity and address matchup vulnerabilities will be pivotal in solidifying their playoff positioning.
The Dubs scored 357 points this week, meaning 35,700 meals were donated to families in need through our partnership with @kpnorcal and @AthletesCorner_
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) March 17, 2025
Learn more about Swishes for Dishes » https://t.co/hY8gfFwboL pic.twitter.com/Cvk0oRst5i
Denver vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)
Denver vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Nuggets and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Denver’s strength factors between a Nuggets team going up against a possibly unhealthy Warriors team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Denver vs Golden State picks, computer picks Nuggets vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Nuggets Betting Trends
The Nuggets have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing strong performances both at home and on the road.
Warriors Betting Trends
The Warriors have been impressive against the spread recently, covering in 5 of their last 6 games, reflecting their improved form since acquiring Jimmy Butler.
Nuggets vs. Warriors Matchup Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games when they face each other.
Denver vs. Golden State Game Info
What time does Denver vs Golden State start on March 17, 2025?
Denver vs Golden State starts on March 17, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.
Where is Denver vs Golden State being played?
Venue: Chase Center.
What are the opening odds for Denver vs Golden State?
Spread: Golden State -5.0
Moneyline: Denver +167, Golden State -201
Over/Under: 236.5
What are the records for Denver vs Golden State?
Denver: (43-25) Â |Â Golden State: (39-28)
What is the AI best bet for Denver vs Golden State?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Moody under 17.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Denver vs Golden State trending bets?
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games when they face each other.
What are Denver trending bets?
DEN trend: The Nuggets have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing strong performances both at home and on the road.
What are Golden State trending bets?
GS trend: The Warriors have been impressive against the spread recently, covering in 5 of their last 6 games, reflecting their improved form since acquiring Jimmy Butler.
Where can I find AI Picks for Denver vs Golden State?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Denver vs. Golden State Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Denver vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Denver vs Golden State Opening Odds
DEN Moneyline:
+167 GS Moneyline: -201
DEN Spread: +5
GS Spread: -5.0
Over/Under: 236.5
Denver vs Golden State Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
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–
–
|
+250
-325
|
+6.5 (+110)
-6.5 (-140)
|
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
|
–
–
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+145
-175
|
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-120)
|
O 224.5 (-120)
U 224.5 (+100)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
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–
–
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+136
-162
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+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
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O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 229.5 (+105)
U 229.5 (-125)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
|
–
–
|
+280
-355
|
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 210.5 (-110)
U 210.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
|
–
–
|
+105
-125
|
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
|
O 224 (-110)
U 224 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
|
–
–
|
+195
-238
|
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
|
–
–
|
+285
-360
|
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 226 (-110)
U 226 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-340
+270
|
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
|
-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
-142
+120
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 221 (-110)
U 221 (-110)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors on March 17, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |