Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 17)

Updated: 2025-03-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 17, 2025, the Golden State Warriors (38-28) will host the Denver Nuggets (42-24) at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Both teams are vying for higher playoff positions in the Western Conference, making this matchup crucial for postseason seeding.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 17, 2025

Start Time: 10:00 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Center​

Warriors Record: (39-28)

Nuggets Record: (43-25)

OPENING ODDS

DEN Moneyline: +167

GS Moneyline: -201

DEN Spread: +5

GS Spread: -5.0

Over/Under: 236.5

DEN
Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing strong performances both at home and on the road.

GS
Betting Trends

  • The Warriors have been impressive against the spread recently, covering in 5 of their last 6 games, reflecting their improved form since acquiring Jimmy Butler.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games when they face each other.

DEN vs. GS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Moody under 17.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

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Denver vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/17/25

The Golden State Warriors have experienced a remarkable resurgence in the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently holding a 38-28 record. This turnaround is largely attributed to the mid-season acquisition of Jimmy Butler from the Miami Heat, a move that has reinvigorated the team’s dynamics and performance. Prior to Butler’s arrival, the Warriors were struggling with a 25-26 record, but they have since achieved a 14-1 run with Butler on the court, propelling them to the sixth spot in the Western Conference standings. Butler’s impact has been profound, providing the Warriors with defensive tenacity and offensive versatility. His presence has alleviated the scoring burden on Stephen Curry, allowing for a more balanced offensive approach. Butler’s ability to penetrate defenses and draw fouls has increased the team’s free-throw attempts, adding a new dimension to their offensive strategy. Stephen Curry, at 37, continues to defy age with stellar performances. He is averaging 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game this season. However, his status for the upcoming game against the Denver Nuggets is questionable due to a right lower back strain. Curry has played the last 21 games but has previously dealt with bilateral knee tendinitis. The Warriors’ defensive metrics have also seen significant improvement. They have ascended to the second-rated defense in the league, largely due to Butler’s perimeter defense and Draymond Green’s versatility. The team leads the NBA in points off turnovers, capitalizing on their opponents’ mistakes to fuel their transition offense. Head coach Steve Kerr has adeptly integrated Butler into the lineup, often employing small-ball strategies with Green at center. This approach leverages the team’s speed and shooting prowess, creating matchup challenges for larger, traditional lineups.

The Warriors’ offense has become more dynamic, with improved spacing and ball movement leading to higher-quality shot opportunities. However, the team faces challenges at the point of attack, as opposing guards and wings have found success against their defense. Addressing this vulnerability is crucial as they approach the playoffs. The coaching staff is likely to emphasize defensive rotations and on-ball pressure in upcoming practices to mitigate this issue. The Warriors’ recent schedule has been demanding, with back-to-back games against top-tier opponents. They secured a 97-94 victory over the New York Knicks, demonstrating their resilience in close contests. This win not only showcased their defensive capabilities but also highlighted their ability to execute under pressure. Looking ahead, the Warriors are set to face the Denver Nuggets, a team boasting the reigning MVP, Nikola Jokić. This matchup will test the Warriors’ defensive schemes, particularly in handling Jokić’s multifaceted offensive game. The potential absence of Curry could impact the Warriors’ spacing and shooting efficiency, placing additional responsibility on Butler and the supporting cast to generate offense. In conclusion, the Golden State Warriors have transformed their season through strategic acquisitions and adaptive gameplay. The integration of Jimmy Butler has not only bolstered their defense but also diversified their offensive options. As they prepare to face formidable opponents, the Warriors’ ability to maintain their defensive intensity and address matchup vulnerabilities will be pivotal in solidifying their playoff positioning.

Denver Nuggets NBA Preview

The Denver Nuggets, currently holding a 42-24 record, are positioned as one of the top contenders in the Western Conference. Their success is largely attributed to the exceptional performance of reigning NBA MVP Nikola Jokić, who continues to redefine the center position with his versatile skill set. Jokić is averaging a triple-double this season, with 29.1 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game, underscoring his pivotal role in the Nuggets’ offense. Jokić’s impact extends beyond traditional scoring and rebounding metrics. His court vision and passing ability have transformed the Nuggets’ offense into one of the most efficient in the league. On March 7, 2025, Jokić made NBA history by recording a 30-20-20 game, becoming the first player to achieve such a feat. This performance not only highlights his individual brilliance but also his ability to elevate the play of his teammates. The backcourt is anchored by Jamal Murray, who has been instrumental in the team’s offensive schemes. Murray is averaging 21.5 points and 6.1 assists per game, providing a dynamic scoring option alongside Jokić. His ability to create shots off the dribble and facilitate ball movement has been crucial in maintaining the team’s offensive fluidity. However, the Nuggets are currently navigating a series of challenges, particularly concerning injuries. Nikola Jokić, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon are all listed as questionable for the upcoming game against the Golden State Warriors. Gordon’s athleticism and defensive versatility have been vital in guarding multiple positions, and his potential absence could impact the Nuggets’ defensive strategies. These injury concerns add a layer of uncertainty to the team’s performance in the forthcoming matchup. Defensively, the Nuggets have shown resilience but have areas needing improvement. They have struggled at times to contain perimeter shooting, which could be a significant factor against a team like the Warriors, known for their three-point prowess.

The coaching staff has likely emphasized closing out on shooters and improving defensive rotations in preparation for the upcoming game. The Nuggets’ recent performance has been a mix of highs and lows. They secured a 149-141 overtime victory against the Phoenix Suns on March 7, 2025, showcasing their offensive firepower. However, they suffered a 115-95 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on March 12, 2025, highlighting inconsistencies that the team needs to address. These fluctuations underscore the importance of maintaining focus and intensity as the regular season progresses. Head coach Michael Malone has been instrumental in navigating the team through these challenges. His emphasis on accountability and defensive discipline has been a cornerstone of the Nuggets’ identity. Malone’s ability to adapt strategies based on personnel availability and opponent strengths will be crucial in the upcoming games, especially considering the potential absences of key players. Looking ahead, the matchup against the Golden State Warriors presents both challenges and opportunities. The Warriors have been on a remarkable run, boasting a 14-1 record with Jimmy Butler on the court. The potential absence of Stephen Curry due to a right lower back strain could impact the Warriors’ offensive dynamics, possibly providing an advantage for the Nuggets. However, the Nuggets must be prepared to counter the Warriors’ small-ball lineup and defensive schemes. In conclusion, the Denver Nuggets have demonstrated resilience and adaptability throughout the season. The performances of Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray have been central to their success. However, the team’s ability to navigate injury challenges and maintain defensive consistency will be pivotal in the upcoming games. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors will serve as a litmus test for the Nuggets, providing insights into their readiness for the postseason and their capacity to contend with other elite teams in the league.

On March 17, 2025, the Golden State Warriors (38-28) will host the Denver Nuggets (42-24) at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Both teams are vying for higher playoff positions in the Western Conference, making this matchup crucial for postseason seeding. Denver vs Golden State AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Golden State Warriors NBA Preview

The Golden State Warriors have experienced a season of resurgence, currently holding a 38-28 record, positioning them sixth in the Western Conference standings. This turnaround is largely attributed to the mid-season acquisition of Jimmy Butler from the Miami Heat, a move that has reinvigorated the team’s dynamics and performance. Prior to Butler’s arrival, the Warriors were struggling with a 25-26 record, but they have since achieved a 14-1 run with Butler on the court, underscoring his significant impact. Butler’s integration into the team has been seamless, providing the Warriors with defensive tenacity and offensive versatility. His presence has alleviated the scoring burden on Stephen Curry, allowing for a more balanced offensive approach. Butler’s ability to penetrate defenses and draw fouls has increased the team’s free-throw attempts, adding a new dimension to their offensive strategy. Stephen Curry, at 37, continues to defy age with stellar performances. He is averaging 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game this season. However, his status for the upcoming game against the Denver Nuggets is questionable due to a right lower back strain. Curry has played the last 21 games but has previously dealt with bilateral knee tendinitis. The Warriors’ defensive metrics have also seen significant improvement. They have ascended to the second-rated defense in the league, largely due to Butler’s perimeter defense and Draymond Green’s versatility. The team leads the NBA in points off turnovers, capitalizing on their opponents’ mistakes to fuel their transition offense. Head coach Steve Kerr has adeptly integrated Butler into the lineup, often employing small-ball strategies with Green at center.

This approach leverages the team’s speed and shooting prowess, creating matchup challenges for larger, traditional lineups. The Warriors’ offense has become more dynamic, with improved spacing and ball movement leading to higher-quality shot opportunities. However, the team faces challenges at the point of attack, as opposing guards and wings have found success against their defense. Addressing this vulnerability is crucial as they approach the playoffs. The coaching staff is likely to emphasize defensive rotations and on-ball pressure in upcoming practices to mitigate this issue. The Warriors’ recent schedule has been demanding, with back-to-back games against top-tier opponents. They secured a 97-94 victory over the New York Knicks, demonstrating their resilience in close contests. This win not only showcased their defensive capabilities but also highlighted their ability to execute under pressure. Looking ahead, the Warriors are set to face the Denver Nuggets, a team boasting the reigning MVP, Nikola Jokić. This matchup will test the Warriors’ defensive schemes, particularly in handling Jokić’s multifaceted offensive game. The potential absence of Curry could impact the Warriors’ spacing and shooting efficiency, placing additional responsibility on Butler and the supporting cast to generate offense. In conclusion, the Golden State Warriors have transformed their season through strategic acquisitions and adaptive gameplay. The integration of Jimmy Butler has not only bolstered their defense but also diversified their offensive options. As they prepare to face formidable opponents, the Warriors’ ability to maintain their defensive intensity and address matchup vulnerabilities will be pivotal in solidifying their playoff positioning.

Denver vs. Golden State Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Nuggets and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in Mar can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Moody under 17.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

Denver vs. Golden State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Nuggets and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Denver’s strength factors between a Nuggets team going up against a possibly deflated Warriors team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Denver vs Golden State picks, computer picks Nuggets vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Nuggets Betting Trends

The Nuggets have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing strong performances both at home and on the road.

Warriors Betting Trends

The Warriors have been impressive against the spread recently, covering in 5 of their last 6 games, reflecting their improved form since acquiring Jimmy Butler.

Nuggets vs. Warriors Matchup Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games when they face each other.

Denver vs. Golden State Game Info

Denver vs Golden State starts on March 17, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.

Spread: Golden State -5.0
Moneyline: Denver +167, Golden State -201
Over/Under: 236.5

Denver: (43-25)  |  Golden State: (39-28)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Moody under 17.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring games when they face each other.

DEN trend: The Nuggets have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing strong performances both at home and on the road.

GS trend: The Warriors have been impressive against the spread recently, covering in 5 of their last 6 games, reflecting their improved form since acquiring Jimmy Butler.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Denver vs. Golden State Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Denver vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Denver vs Golden State Opening Odds

DEN Moneyline: +167
GS Moneyline: -201
DEN Spread: +5
GS Spread: -5.0
Over/Under: 236.5

Denver vs Golden State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-160
+141
-4 (-106)
+4 (-106)
O 232 (-102)
U 232 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+757
-1126
+15.5 (-106)
-15.5 (-106)
O 229.5 (-102)
U 229.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-525
+400
-11 (-108)
+11 (-112)
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+140
-160
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-154
+134
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+533
-713
+13 (-106)
-13 (-106)
O 227.5 (-102)
U 227.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-214
+185
-5.5 (-106)
+5.5 (-106)
O 234.5 (-113)
U 234.5 (-102)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors on March 17, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS