Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 09)

Updated: 2025-03-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 9, 2025, the New Orleans Pelicans (17-45) will host the Memphis Grizzlies (38-24) at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The Grizzlies aim to snap a four-game losing streak, while the Pelicans seek to improve their standing in the Western Conference.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 09, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Smoothie King Center​

Pelicans Record: (17-47)

Grizzlies Record: (39-24)

OPENING ODDS

MEM Moneyline: -376

NO Moneyline: +296

MEM Spread: -8.5

NO Spread: +8.5

Over/Under: 239.5

MEM
Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies have been strong against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 21 of their 31 games. Notably, they have an ATS record of 6-2 when favored by 7.5 points or more.

NO
Betting Trends

  • The Pelicans have struggled ATS, with only 11 covers in 31 games. As underdogs of 7.5 points or more, they hold a 5-10 ATS record, reflecting challenges in exceeding expectations.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Grizzlies have an impressive ATS record when scoring more than 117.5 points, standing at 18-3. Given the Pelicans’ defense allows an average of 117.5 points per game, this statistic suggests a potential advantage for Memphis.

MEM vs. NO
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Bane under 31.5 Pts + Reb

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Memphis vs New Orleans Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/9/25

The upcoming matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the New Orleans Pelicans on March 9, 2025, at the Smoothie King Center presents a tale of two teams experiencing contrasting seasons. The Grizzlies, with a 38-24 record, are contending for a top playoff spot in the Western Conference, while the Pelicans, at 17-45, are navigating a challenging season with an eye toward development and future prospects. Memphis enters this game aiming to halt a four-game losing streak. Despite this recent skid, the Grizzlies have showcased resilience throughout the season, largely attributed to the stellar play of their core players. Their offense, averaging 123.7 points per game, ranks among the league’s best, propelled by the dynamic duo of Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. Morant’s playmaking abilities, combined with Jackson’s versatility on both ends of the court, have been instrumental in Memphis’s success. Defensively, the Grizzlies have room for improvement, allowing 115 points per game. Their strategy often involves high-tempo play, which, while effective offensively, can lead to defensive lapses. Addressing these gaps will be crucial against a Pelicans team eager to exploit any weaknesses. The Pelicans, conversely, have struggled to find consistency this season. Their offense averages 109.3 points per game, with CJ McCollum leading the charge at 22.4 points per game. However, defensive challenges persist, as they concede an average of 117.3 points per game. Injuries and roster adjustments have further compounded their difficulties, hindering the development of on-court chemistry. From a betting perspective, the Grizzlies have been reliable against the spread (ATS), covering in 21 of their 31 games. Notably, they hold a 6-2 ATS record when favored by 7.5 points or more. The Pelicans, however, have struggled in this area, with only 11 covers in 31 games and a 5-10 ATS record as underdogs of 7.5 points or more.

This disparity highlights the contrasting performances of the two teams this season. An interesting statistic to consider is the Grizzlies’ success when surpassing 117.5 points; they boast an 18-3 record in such scenarios. Given the Pelicans’ defensive struggles, this could be a pivotal factor in the game’s outcome. In terms of strategy, the Grizzlies will likely leverage their offensive prowess to set the tempo early, aiming to capitalize on the Pelicans’ defensive vulnerabilities. The Pelicans, meanwhile, will need to focus on tightening their defense and finding ways to disrupt Memphis’s rhythm. Utilizing McCollum’s scoring ability and seeking contributions from emerging talents could provide the spark needed to challenge the Grizzlies. Coaching adjustments will play a significant role in this matchup. The Grizzlies’ coaching staff may emphasize defensive discipline to complement their offensive strengths, while the Pelicans’ coaches might explore lineup changes or tactical shifts to counter Memphis’s high-octane offense. As the season progresses, each game holds weight, particularly for teams with contrasting objectives. The Grizzlies are keen on solidifying their playoff positioning, making a victory imperative to regain momentum. The Pelicans, though facing a challenging season, have the opportunity to develop their young roster and build cohesion for the future. In conclusion, the March 9 clash between the Memphis Grizzlies and the New Orleans Pelicans is set to be an intriguing contest. The Grizzlies’ offensive firepower and playoff aspirations contrast with the Pelicans’ developmental focus and desire to disrupt higher-seeded teams. Fans can anticipate a game that, despite the records, offers competitiveness and showcases the unpredictable nature of the NBA.

Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies, holding a 38-24 record, have experienced a season characterized by both remarkable performances and recent adversities. Under the guidance of Head Coach Taylor Jenkins, the team has established itself as a formidable force in the Western Conference, though recent injuries and a losing streak have presented challenges. Offensively, the Grizzlies have been prolific, averaging 123.7 points per game, positioning them among the league’s elite scoring teams. This offensive success has been largely driven by the dynamic play of point guard Ja Morant, who, despite battling a shoulder injury that sidelined him for 24 games, has contributed significantly upon his return. Morant’s averages of 20.9 points, 7.4 assists, and 4.1 rebounds per game reflect his impact, though these numbers are a dip from his previous All-NBA performances. His recent admission of feeling “terrible” due to his shoulder issues highlights the physical toll the season has taken on him. Complementing Morant, forward Jaren Jackson Jr. has been a cornerstone of the Grizzlies’ success. Averaging 22.7 points and 5.8 rebounds across 59 games, Jackson’s offensive versatility and defensive prowess have been invaluable. However, a recent Grade 2 left ankle sprain has rendered him week-to-week, a significant blow to the team’s aspirations. The Grizzlies’ offensive strategy emphasizes pace and space, leveraging Morant’s playmaking abilities and Jackson’s shooting range to stretch defenses. This approach has facilitated open looks for shooters like Desmond Bane, who has been a reliable scoring option from beyond the arc. The team’s ball movement, averaging 30.5 assists per game, underscores their unselfish play and ability to find the open man. Defensively, the Grizzlies have been formidable, leading the league with an average of 7.0 blocks per game. Jackson’s shot-blocking ability has been central to this statistic, earning him recognition as the NBA Defensive Player of the Year in the 2022-23 season. The team’s defensive scheme focuses on protecting the rim and contesting perimeter shots, a strategy that has yielded positive results throughout the season.

However, the Grizzlies have encountered turbulence recently, enduring a four-game losing streak that has raised concerns. Close losses, such as the 132-130 defeat to the Atlanta Hawks, have highlighted defensive lapses and the challenges of closing out tight games. The absence of key players like Jackson has exacerbated these issues, placing additional pressure on the remaining roster to step up. In response to these challenges, Coach Jenkins has emphasized the need for resilience and adaptability. The integration of rookies, such as center Zach Edey, drafted ninth overall, has been accelerated due to injuries. Edey’s development has been promising, offering a strong interior presence and rebounding capabilities. The coaching staff’s focus on fostering growth among young players aims to mitigate the impact of absent veterans. The Grizzlies’ upcoming matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans presents an opportunity to halt their losing streak and regain momentum. Historically, the Grizzlies have performed well against the Pelicans, and despite recent setbacks, they remain favored in this contest. The team’s ability to execute their game plan, maintain defensive intensity, and capitalize on offensive opportunities will be crucial in securing a victory. In summary, the Memphis Grizzlies’ season has been a blend of high-octane offense, defensive tenacity, and recent adversity. The resilience of the team, the leadership of Coach Jenkins, and the performance of both veterans and emerging talents will play pivotal roles as they navigate the remainder of the season and strive for a deep playoff run.

On March 9, 2025, the New Orleans Pelicans (17-45) will host the Memphis Grizzlies (38-24) at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The Grizzlies aim to snap a four-game losing streak, while the Pelicans seek to improve their standing in the Western Conference. Memphis vs New Orleans AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 09. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans, holding a 17-47 record, have faced a challenging 2024-2025 NBA season, marked by inconsistencies and setbacks. Under the leadership of Head Coach Willie Green, the team has struggled to find cohesion, resulting in their current position near the bottom of the Western Conference standings. Offensively, the Pelicans have averaged 109.9 points per game, placing them among the lower-scoring teams in the league. Zion Williamson has been a focal point, leading the team with an average of 22.4 points per game. His ability to attack the rim and draw fouls has been a significant asset. However, the team’s overall offensive efficiency has been hindered by a lack of consistent perimeter shooting and ball movement. CJ McCollum has provided veteran leadership and scoring, but the absence of Brandon Ingram due to injury has left a void in the wing position, limiting the team’s offensive versatility. The integration of new players, such as Dejounte Murray acquired in a trade on July 6, 2024, has been a work in progress, with chemistry still developing among the roster. Defensively, the Pelicans have struggled, allowing an average of 118.3 points per game. Injuries have played a role in these challenges, with key defenders missing significant time. The team’s defensive rotations and perimeter defense have been areas of concern, often leading to open shots for opponents. Rookie center Yves Missi, drafted 21st overall, has shown promise with his shot-blocking ability, but as a first-year player, he is still adjusting to the NBA’s pace and physicality. The Pelicans’ struggles are also reflected in their against-the-spread (ATS) performance, with only 11 covers in 31 games. As underdogs of 7.5 points or more, they hold a 5-10 ATS record, indicating challenges in exceeding expectations.

This trend underscores the team’s inconsistency and difficulty in competing against higher-caliber opponents. Injuries have further compounded the Pelicans’ woes. Brandon Ingram’s absence due to an ankle sprain has deprived the team of a primary scoring option and versatile defender. Additionally, Herb Jones is sidelined with a shoulder injury, removing a key perimeter defender from the rotation. Dejounte Murray’s status has been day-to-day, dealing with elbow and shin issues, adding to the team’s instability. Despite these challenges, the Pelicans have opportunities for growth. The development of young players like Trey Murphy III and rookie Yves Missi offers hope for the future. Murphy’s athleticism and shooting potential provide a glimpse into a more dynamic offense, while Missi’s defensive presence could anchor the team’s interior in the coming seasons. The coaching staff has emphasized the importance of building a defensive identity and improving offensive execution. Focusing on player development, fostering chemistry, and instilling a competitive mindset are central to the team’s strategy moving forward. While the playoffs may be out of reach this season, laying the groundwork for future success is a priority. In summary, the New Orleans Pelicans’ 2024-2025 season has been marred by injuries, defensive shortcomings, and offensive inconsistencies. However, the emergence of young talent and the potential return of key players offer a pathway to improvement. By addressing their deficiencies and nurturing their prospects, the Pelicans aim to transform their struggles into a foundation for future competitiveness in the NBA landscape.

Memphis vs. New Orleans Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Pelicans play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Smoothie King Center in Mar seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Bane under 31.5 Pts + Reb

Memphis vs. New Orleans Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Grizzlies and Pelicans and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending weight human bettors tend to put on Memphis’s strength factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly rested Pelicans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Memphis vs New Orleans picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Pelicans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Grizzlies have been strong against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 21 of their 31 games. Notably, they have an ATS record of 6-2 when favored by 7.5 points or more.

Pelicans Betting Trends

The Pelicans have struggled ATS, with only 11 covers in 31 games. As underdogs of 7.5 points or more, they hold a 5-10 ATS record, reflecting challenges in exceeding expectations.

Grizzlies vs. Pelicans Matchup Trends

The Grizzlies have an impressive ATS record when scoring more than 117.5 points, standing at 18-3. Given the Pelicans’ defense allows an average of 117.5 points per game, this statistic suggests a potential advantage for Memphis.

Memphis vs. New Orleans Game Info

Memphis vs New Orleans starts on March 09, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Venue: Smoothie King Center.

Spread: New Orleans +8.5
Moneyline: Memphis -376, New Orleans +296
Over/Under: 239.5

Memphis: (39-24)  |  New Orleans: (17-47)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Bane under 31.5 Pts + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Grizzlies have an impressive ATS record when scoring more than 117.5 points, standing at 18-3. Given the Pelicans’ defense allows an average of 117.5 points per game, this statistic suggests a potential advantage for Memphis.

MEM trend: The Grizzlies have been strong against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 21 of their 31 games. Notably, they have an ATS record of 6-2 when favored by 7.5 points or more.

NO trend: The Pelicans have struggled ATS, with only 11 covers in 31 games. As underdogs of 7.5 points or more, they hold a 5-10 ATS record, reflecting challenges in exceeding expectations.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Memphis vs. New Orleans Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs New Orleans trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Memphis vs New Orleans Opening Odds

MEM Moneyline: -376
NO Moneyline: +296
MEM Spread: -8.5
NO Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 239.5

Memphis vs New Orleans Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-162
+130
-3.5 (-113)
+3.5 (-112)
O 232 (-113)
U 232 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+700
-1250
+16 (-115)
-16 (-110)
O 228.5 (-114)
U 228.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-530
+370
-10.5 (-115)
+10.5 (-110)
O 233.5 (-112)
U 233.5 (-114)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+125
-155
+3.5 (-117)
-3.5 (-109)
O 226.5 (-113)
U 226.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-175
+135
-4 (-109)
+4 (-115)
O 232.5 (-114)
U 232.5 (-112)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+450
-670
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-115)
O 227.5 (-113)
U 227.5 (-113)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-235
+185
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-114)
O 234.5 (-115)
U 234.5 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans on March 09, 2025 at Smoothie King Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS