Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 07)

Updated: 2025-03-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 7, 2025, the Memphis Grizzlies will face the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Both teams have experienced fluctuating performances this season, making this matchup pivotal for their playoff aspirations.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 07, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: American Airlines Center​

Mavericks Record: (32-31)

Grizzlies Record: (38-24)

OPENING ODDS

MEM Moneyline: -521

DAL Moneyline: +389

MEM Spread: -10.5

DAL Spread: +10.5

Over/Under: 239.5

MEM
Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies have shown resilience against the spread (ATS) this season. In their last 13 games, they have covered the spread 11 times, boasting an 11-2 ATS record. This indicates their ability to perform beyond expectations, especially in challenging matchups.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks have also been strong ATS recently. Over their last nine games, they have achieved an 8-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet or surpass betting expectations.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, when these two teams meet in Dallas, the total points have often been lower than anticipated. Specifically, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of the last 13 games played between the Grizzlies and Mavericks at the American Airlines Center.

MEM vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Bane under 28.5 Pts + Reb

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Memphis vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/7/25

The upcoming game between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2025, at the American Airlines Center is set to be a compelling contest, with both teams navigating a season filled with highs and lows. The Grizzlies, known for their youthful energy and defensive tenacity, have managed to secure several impressive victories, positioning themselves as formidable contenders in the Western Conference. Their offense, spearheaded by dynamic guards and versatile big men, has been effective in exploiting defensive mismatches, while their defense remains a cornerstone of their strategy, often dictating the tempo of the game. Conversely, the Mavericks have faced challenges, particularly with injuries to key players like Kyrie Irving, which have disrupted their offensive flow and overall team chemistry. Despite these setbacks, the Mavericks have demonstrated resilience, with role players stepping up to fill the void and maintain competitiveness in a tightly contested conference. The coaching staff has had to adjust strategies, emphasizing ball movement and perimeter shooting to compensate for the absence of star power. From a betting perspective, both teams present intriguing narratives. The Grizzlies’ impressive 11-2 ATS record in recent games highlights their ability to exceed expectations, making them a potentially favorable option for bettors.

The Mavericks’ 8-1 ATS record over their last nine games indicates a trend of outperforming betting lines, suggesting that they have been underestimated by oddsmakers. Additionally, the historical tendency for games between these teams in Dallas to go UNDER the total points line adds another layer of consideration for bettors focusing on over/under wagers. In terms of individual matchups, the battle between the Grizzlies’ frontcourt and the Mavericks’ defense will be pivotal. The Grizzlies’ ability to dominate the paint and control rebounds could exploit the Mavericks’ interior defense, especially if injuries have depleted their roster. On the perimeter, the Mavericks’ shooters will need to find rhythm early to stretch the Grizzlies’ defense and create driving lanes. Coaching adjustments, particularly in managing rotations and defensive assignments, will play a crucial role in determining the game’s outcome. For fans and analysts alike, this matchup offers a blend of strategic depth and athletic prowess. The Grizzlies’ momentum, coupled with the Mavericks’ determination to overcome adversity, sets the stage for a thrilling encounter. As both teams vie for playoff positioning, the stakes are high, and the performance of key players under pressure will likely be the deciding factor. Whether it’s the Grizzlies’ defensive schemes or the Mavericks’ offensive adjustments, the nuances of this game will provide valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of the Western Conference.

Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies have experienced a season characterized by both promise and adversity. As of March 5, 2025, they hold a 38-20 record, positioning them second in the Western Conference and leading the Southwest Division. Under the guidance of head coach Taylor Jenkins, the team has showcased resilience and depth, navigating injuries and off-court challenges to remain competitive. Offensively, the Grizzlies have been formidable, leading the league with an average of 123.3 points per game. Their offensive strategy emphasizes pace and space, allowing for high-percentage shots both at the rim and beyond the arc. Ja Morant, the team’s star point guard, has been instrumental in orchestrating the offense. However, Morant’s season has been marred by a shoulder injury, causing him to miss 24 games. In his 38 appearances, he has averaged 20.9 points, 7.4 assists, and 4.1 rebounds per game. His recent return has been met with mixed results, as he admitted to feeling “terrible” due to his shoulder issues, impacting his performance on the court. The supporting cast has stepped up in Morant’s absence. Desmond Bane has emerged as a reliable scorer, averaging 18.5 points per game and shooting efficiently from three-point range. Jaren Jackson Jr., despite dealing with injuries, has been a defensive anchor and contributes significantly on offense, averaging 16.7 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. Rookie center Zach Edey, drafted ninth overall, has provided valuable minutes, showcasing his rebounding prowess and shot-blocking ability. Defensively, the Grizzlies have been tenacious, leading the league in steals with 11.9 per game and ranking first in blocks with an average of 7.0 per game. Their aggressive defensive approach often translates into fast-break opportunities, fueling their high-scoring offense. However, recent games have exposed some vulnerabilities. The team has suffered narrow losses, including a 103-120 defeat to the Oklahoma City Thunder, where defensive lapses in the closing minutes proved costly. Injuries have been a recurring theme this season.

Beyond Morant’s shoulder issues, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Santi Aldama have also missed time due to injuries, disrupting the team’s rotation and chemistry. The Grizzlies’ medical staff has been proactive in managing players’ workloads to mitigate further risks, but the constant shuffling of lineups has posed challenges. Despite these setbacks, the Grizzlies have maintained a strong home record at the FedExForum, creating a fortress-like atmosphere that has been difficult for visiting teams to overcome. Their road performance has been commendable as well, with key victories that have bolstered their confidence and standings. As the season progresses, the Grizzlies aim to solidify their playoff positioning. The return to full health of their core players is paramount. Morant’s ability to manage his shoulder injury and regain his All-NBA form will be crucial for the team’s aspirations. Additionally, integrating the contributions of role players and maintaining defensive intensity will be focal points in their quest for a deep playoff run. The upcoming matchup against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2025, presents an opportunity for the Grizzlies to assert their dominance within the division. Given the Mavericks’ recent struggles, including the loss of key players like Kyrie Irving and the departure of Luka Dončić, the Grizzlies have a favorable chance to capitalize and secure a victory. However, they must remain vigilant and execute their game plan effectively to avoid any potential upsets. In conclusion, the Memphis Grizzlies have demonstrated resilience and competitiveness throughout the 2024-2025 season. By addressing injury concerns and maintaining their defensive tenacity, they are well-positioned to make a significant impact in the postseason. The leadership of their coaching staff and the performance of their star players will be instrumental in determining their ultimate success.

On March 7, 2025, the Memphis Grizzlies will face the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Both teams have experienced fluctuating performances this season, making this matchup pivotal for their playoff aspirations. Memphis vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Mavericks NBA Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have encountered a season full of challenges and unexpected transitions, currently sitting at 32-31 and clinging to the tenth spot in the Western Conference. The biggest turning point came when they traded franchise star Luka Dončić to the Los Angeles Lakers in exchange for Anthony Davis, Max Christie, and a first-round pick, a move aimed at bolstering their frontcourt presence. However, Davis suffered a muscle injury shortly after arriving in Dallas, sidelining him indefinitely and leaving the Mavericks scrambling for solutions. The situation worsened when Kyrie Irving, the team’s primary offensive creator post-trade, tore his ACL in a game against the Sacramento Kings, effectively ending his season and creating a massive void in their backcourt. Irving had been averaging 24.7 points per game and leading the team in minutes played, making his absence a devastating blow to their playoff aspirations.

Without Dončić, Irving, or Davis, the Mavericks have struggled for consistency, suffering a series of losses that have dropped them closer to the play-in tournament threshold. With a roster now heavily reliant on Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, and Dereck Lively II, the Mavericks have leaned into a more perimeter-oriented offense, though their efficiency has taken a hit without an elite playmaker. Defensively, their struggles have been evident, particularly in protecting the rim and closing out on shooters, an issue that will be heavily tested when they face the Memphis Grizzlies on March 7, 2025. Head coach Jason Kidd has experimented with different rotations in an attempt to find chemistry, but Dallas has yet to rediscover the balance that once made them a contender in the West. If they are to secure a crucial victory against Memphis, they must focus on tightening their defense, limiting turnovers, and hoping for breakout performances from their remaining stars. With playoff hopes hanging in the balance, the Mavericks will need to show resilience and adaptability in what has become a season of adversity and adjustments.

Memphis vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Mavericks play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Bane under 28.5 Pts + Reb

Memphis vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Grizzlies and Mavericks and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors regularly put on Memphis’s strength factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Mavericks team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Memphis vs Dallas picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Mavericks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Grizzlies have shown resilience against the spread (ATS) this season. In their last 13 games, they have covered the spread 11 times, boasting an 11-2 ATS record. This indicates their ability to perform beyond expectations, especially in challenging matchups.

Mavericks Betting Trends

The Mavericks have also been strong ATS recently. Over their last nine games, they have achieved an 8-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet or surpass betting expectations.

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Matchup Trends

Historically, when these two teams meet in Dallas, the total points have often been lower than anticipated. Specifically, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of the last 13 games played between the Grizzlies and Mavericks at the American Airlines Center.

Memphis vs. Dallas Game Info

Memphis vs Dallas starts on March 07, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Venue: American Airlines Center.

Spread: Dallas +10.5
Moneyline: Memphis -521, Dallas +389
Over/Under: 239.5

Memphis: (38-24)  |  Dallas: (32-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Bane under 28.5 Pts + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, when these two teams meet in Dallas, the total points have often been lower than anticipated. Specifically, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of the last 13 games played between the Grizzlies and Mavericks at the American Airlines Center.

MEM trend: The Grizzlies have shown resilience against the spread (ATS) this season. In their last 13 games, they have covered the spread 11 times, boasting an 11-2 ATS record. This indicates their ability to perform beyond expectations, especially in challenging matchups.

DAL trend: The Mavericks have also been strong ATS recently. Over their last nine games, they have achieved an 8-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet or surpass betting expectations.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Memphis vs. Dallas Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Memphis vs Dallas Opening Odds

MEM Moneyline: -521
DAL Moneyline: +389
MEM Spread: -10.5
DAL Spread: +10.5
Over/Under: 239.5

Memphis vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-172
+139
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+703
-1250
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 229 (-110)
U 229 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-526
+382
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+127
-156
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-161
+132
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 233 (-110)
U 233 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+487
-714
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-222
+178
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks on March 07, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS