Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 07)
Updated: 2025-03-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On March 7, 2025, the Memphis Grizzlies will face the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Both teams have experienced fluctuating performances this season, making this matchup pivotal for their playoff aspirations.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 07, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Mavericks Record: (32-31)
Grizzlies Record: (38-24)
OPENING ODDS
MEM Moneyline: -521
DAL Moneyline: +389
MEM Spread: -10.5
DAL Spread: +10.5
Over/Under: 239.5
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies have shown resilience against the spread (ATS) this season. In their last 13 games, they have covered the spread 11 times, boasting an 11-2 ATS record. This indicates their ability to perform beyond expectations, especially in challenging matchups.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Mavericks have also been strong ATS recently. Over their last nine games, they have achieved an 8-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet or surpass betting expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, when these two teams meet in Dallas, the total points have often been lower than anticipated. Specifically, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of the last 13 games played between the Grizzlies and Mavericks at the American Airlines Center.
MEM vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Bane under 28.5 Pts + Reb
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Memphis vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/7/25
The Mavericks’ 8-1 ATS record over their last nine games indicates a trend of outperforming betting lines, suggesting that they have been underestimated by oddsmakers. Additionally, the historical tendency for games between these teams in Dallas to go UNDER the total points line adds another layer of consideration for bettors focusing on over/under wagers. In terms of individual matchups, the battle between the Grizzlies’ frontcourt and the Mavericks’ defense will be pivotal. The Grizzlies’ ability to dominate the paint and control rebounds could exploit the Mavericks’ interior defense, especially if injuries have depleted their roster. On the perimeter, the Mavericks’ shooters will need to find rhythm early to stretch the Grizzlies’ defense and create driving lanes. Coaching adjustments, particularly in managing rotations and defensive assignments, will play a crucial role in determining the game’s outcome. For fans and analysts alike, this matchup offers a blend of strategic depth and athletic prowess. The Grizzlies’ momentum, coupled with the Mavericks’ determination to overcome adversity, sets the stage for a thrilling encounter. As both teams vie for playoff positioning, the stakes are high, and the performance of key players under pressure will likely be the deciding factor. Whether it’s the Grizzlies’ defensive schemes or the Mavericks’ offensive adjustments, the nuances of this game will provide valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of the Western Conference.
Mark Your Calendars. 🗓️✔️
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) March 4, 2025
See you in @FedExForum this March! @orthosouth_ | 🎟️ https://t.co/Re1zIysuhe pic.twitter.com/yajJrXgQdy
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies have experienced a season characterized by both promise and adversity. As of March 5, 2025, they hold a 38-20 record, positioning them second in the Western Conference and leading the Southwest Division. Under the guidance of head coach Taylor Jenkins, the team has showcased resilience and depth, navigating injuries and off-court challenges to remain competitive. Offensively, the Grizzlies have been formidable, leading the league with an average of 123.3 points per game. Their offensive strategy emphasizes pace and space, allowing for high-percentage shots both at the rim and beyond the arc. Ja Morant, the team’s star point guard, has been instrumental in orchestrating the offense. However, Morant’s season has been marred by a shoulder injury, causing him to miss 24 games. In his 38 appearances, he has averaged 20.9 points, 7.4 assists, and 4.1 rebounds per game. His recent return has been met with mixed results, as he admitted to feeling “terrible” due to his shoulder issues, impacting his performance on the court. The supporting cast has stepped up in Morant’s absence. Desmond Bane has emerged as a reliable scorer, averaging 18.5 points per game and shooting efficiently from three-point range. Jaren Jackson Jr., despite dealing with injuries, has been a defensive anchor and contributes significantly on offense, averaging 16.7 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. Rookie center Zach Edey, drafted ninth overall, has provided valuable minutes, showcasing his rebounding prowess and shot-blocking ability. Defensively, the Grizzlies have been tenacious, leading the league in steals with 11.9 per game and ranking first in blocks with an average of 7.0 per game. Their aggressive defensive approach often translates into fast-break opportunities, fueling their high-scoring offense. However, recent games have exposed some vulnerabilities. The team has suffered narrow losses, including a 103-120 defeat to the Oklahoma City Thunder, where defensive lapses in the closing minutes proved costly. Injuries have been a recurring theme this season.
Beyond Morant’s shoulder issues, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Santi Aldama have also missed time due to injuries, disrupting the team’s rotation and chemistry. The Grizzlies’ medical staff has been proactive in managing players’ workloads to mitigate further risks, but the constant shuffling of lineups has posed challenges. Despite these setbacks, the Grizzlies have maintained a strong home record at the FedExForum, creating a fortress-like atmosphere that has been difficult for visiting teams to overcome. Their road performance has been commendable as well, with key victories that have bolstered their confidence and standings. As the season progresses, the Grizzlies aim to solidify their playoff positioning. The return to full health of their core players is paramount. Morant’s ability to manage his shoulder injury and regain his All-NBA form will be crucial for the team’s aspirations. Additionally, integrating the contributions of role players and maintaining defensive intensity will be focal points in their quest for a deep playoff run. The upcoming matchup against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2025, presents an opportunity for the Grizzlies to assert their dominance within the division. Given the Mavericks’ recent struggles, including the loss of key players like Kyrie Irving and the departure of Luka Dončić, the Grizzlies have a favorable chance to capitalize and secure a victory. However, they must remain vigilant and execute their game plan effectively to avoid any potential upsets. In conclusion, the Memphis Grizzlies have demonstrated resilience and competitiveness throughout the 2024-2025 season. By addressing injury concerns and maintaining their defensive tenacity, they are well-positioned to make a significant impact in the postseason. The leadership of their coaching staff and the performance of their star players will be instrumental in determining their ultimate success.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Mavericks NBA Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have encountered a season full of challenges and unexpected transitions, currently sitting at 32-31 and clinging to the tenth spot in the Western Conference. The biggest turning point came when they traded franchise star Luka Dončić to the Los Angeles Lakers in exchange for Anthony Davis, Max Christie, and a first-round pick, a move aimed at bolstering their frontcourt presence. However, Davis suffered a muscle injury shortly after arriving in Dallas, sidelining him indefinitely and leaving the Mavericks scrambling for solutions. The situation worsened when Kyrie Irving, the team’s primary offensive creator post-trade, tore his ACL in a game against the Sacramento Kings, effectively ending his season and creating a massive void in their backcourt. Irving had been averaging 24.7 points per game and leading the team in minutes played, making his absence a devastating blow to their playoff aspirations.
Without Dončić, Irving, or Davis, the Mavericks have struggled for consistency, suffering a series of losses that have dropped them closer to the play-in tournament threshold. With a roster now heavily reliant on Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, and Dereck Lively II, the Mavericks have leaned into a more perimeter-oriented offense, though their efficiency has taken a hit without an elite playmaker. Defensively, their struggles have been evident, particularly in protecting the rim and closing out on shooters, an issue that will be heavily tested when they face the Memphis Grizzlies on March 7, 2025. Head coach Jason Kidd has experimented with different rotations in an attempt to find chemistry, but Dallas has yet to rediscover the balance that once made them a contender in the West. If they are to secure a crucial victory against Memphis, they must focus on tightening their defense, limiting turnovers, and hoping for breakout performances from their remaining stars. With playoff hopes hanging in the balance, the Mavericks will need to show resilience and adaptability in what has become a season of adversity and adjustments.
Final. @Chime // #MFFL pic.twitter.com/VB3ehuC1Us
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) March 6, 2025
Memphis vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Memphis vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Grizzlies and Mavericks and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the growing weight emotional bettors often put on Memphis’s strength factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly deflated Mavericks team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Memphis vs Dallas picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Mavericks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Grizzlies Betting Trends
The Grizzlies have shown resilience against the spread (ATS) this season. In their last 13 games, they have covered the spread 11 times, boasting an 11-2 ATS record. This indicates their ability to perform beyond expectations, especially in challenging matchups.
Mavericks Betting Trends
The Mavericks have also been strong ATS recently. Over their last nine games, they have achieved an 8-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet or surpass betting expectations.
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Matchup Trends
Historically, when these two teams meet in Dallas, the total points have often been lower than anticipated. Specifically, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of the last 13 games played between the Grizzlies and Mavericks at the American Airlines Center.
Memphis vs. Dallas Game Info
What time does Memphis vs Dallas start on March 07, 2025?
Memphis vs Dallas starts on March 07, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Where is Memphis vs Dallas being played?
Venue: American Airlines Center.
What are the opening odds for Memphis vs Dallas?
Spread: Dallas +10.5
Moneyline: Memphis -521, Dallas +389
Over/Under: 239.5
What are the records for Memphis vs Dallas?
Memphis: (38-24) | Dallas: (32-31)
What is the AI best bet for Memphis vs Dallas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Bane under 28.5 Pts + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Memphis vs Dallas trending bets?
Historically, when these two teams meet in Dallas, the total points have often been lower than anticipated. Specifically, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of the last 13 games played between the Grizzlies and Mavericks at the American Airlines Center.
What are Memphis trending bets?
MEM trend: The Grizzlies have shown resilience against the spread (ATS) this season. In their last 13 games, they have covered the spread 11 times, boasting an 11-2 ATS record. This indicates their ability to perform beyond expectations, especially in challenging matchups.
What are Dallas trending bets?
DAL trend: The Mavericks have also been strong ATS recently. Over their last nine games, they have achieved an 8-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet or surpass betting expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for Memphis vs Dallas?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Memphis vs. Dallas Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Memphis vs Dallas Opening Odds
MEM Moneyline:
-521 DAL Moneyline: +389
MEM Spread: -10.5
DAL Spread: +10.5
Over/Under: 239.5
Memphis vs Dallas Live Odds
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+245
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+150
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O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
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Cleveland Cavaliers
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+140
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O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
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Heat
Magic
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–
–
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+280
-350
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+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
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O 215.5 (-110)
U 215.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
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76ers
Celtics
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–
–
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+115
-140
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+2.5 (-110)
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O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
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Raptors
Hawks
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–
–
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+190
-240
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+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
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O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
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–
–
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+300
-375
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+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
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O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
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–
–
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-140
+115
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-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
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O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
|
–
–
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+130
-160
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
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O 237 (-110)
U 237 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
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–
–
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-375
+300
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-9 (-110)
+9 (-110)
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O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
|
–
–
|
+120
-145
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+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
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O 226.5 (+100)
U 226.5 (-120)
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Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
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–
–
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+140
-170
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+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
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O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
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Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
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–
–
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-170
+140
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-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
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O 219.5 (-110)
U 219.5 (-110)
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Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
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–
–
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-325
+250
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
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Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
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–
–
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-115
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+1 (-115)
-1 (-105)
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O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks on March 07, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |