Rockets vs Pelicans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Mar 06)

Updated: 2025-03-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 6, 2025, the Houston Rockets (34-28) will face the New Orleans Pelicans (21-40) at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The Rockets aim to strengthen their playoff position, while the Pelicans seek to break a recent losing streak and improve their standings.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 06, 2025

Start Time: 9:00 PM EST​

Venue: Smoothie King Center​

Pelicans Record: (17-45)

Rockets Record: (37-25)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: -190

NO Moneyline: +158

HOU Spread: -4.5

NO Spread: +4.5

Over/Under: 228.5

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Rockets have been inconsistent against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in three of their last seven games. Their season ATS record stands at 30-32, reflecting challenges in meeting betting expectations despite a winning overall record.

NO
Betting Trends

  • The Pelicans have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their last eight games. Their overall ATS record is 22-38, mirroring their on-court challenges this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their previous matchup on December 26, 2024, the Rockets defeated the Pelicans 115-97, covering the spread as favorites. This outcome highlights Houston’s ability to perform strongly against New Orleans in recent encounters.

HOU vs. NO
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McCollum over 24.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

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Houston vs New Orleans Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/6/25

The Houston Rockets and New Orleans Pelicans are set to clash on March 6, 2025, at the Smoothie King Center, with both teams experiencing contrasting seasons. The Rockets, holding a 34-28 record, are contending for a favorable playoff seed in the competitive Western Conference. Their campaign has been bolstered by the stellar play of Jalen Green, who continues to develop into a premier scorer with his sharpshooting and athleticism. Green’s leadership has been instrumental in guiding a roster that blends seasoned veterans with emerging talents. Alperen Şengün’s consistent performances in the paint have provided an additional offensive spark, while Fred VanVleet’s defensive prowess and basketball IQ remain invaluable assets. The integration of younger players like Jabari Smith Jr. and Tari Eason has added athleticism and depth to the squad, allowing head coach Ime Udoka to employ versatile lineups. However, the Rockets have encountered inconsistencies, particularly on the defensive end, leading to challenges in closing out games against formidable opponents. Conversely, the New Orleans Pelicans have endured a tumultuous season, reflected in their 21-40 record. The team has grappled with injuries to key players, disrupting lineup continuity and hindering the development of on-court chemistry. Despite these setbacks, bright spots have emerged, notably the performance of Brandon Ingram. Ingram has shouldered significant offensive responsibilities, showcasing his scoring ability and tenacity. The Pelicans’ front office has emphasized building a resilient team culture, prioritizing competitive play over draft positioning. This approach aims to establish a foundation for future success, attracting potential free agents and fostering internal development. Under the guidance of head coach Willie Green, the Pelicans have exhibited moments of cohesion and competitiveness, though translating these flashes into sustained success has been a challenge. From a betting perspective, both teams have struggled against the spread (ATS).

The Rockets’ recent ATS performance has been lackluster, covering in only three of their last seven games, bringing their season ATS record to 30-32. Similarly, the Pelicans have covered the spread in just two of their last eight games, with an overall ATS record of 22-38. This game presents an intriguing scenario for bettors, as both teams aim to defy recent trends and deliver performances that surpass expectations. The previous encounter between these teams on December 26, 2024, saw the Rockets secure a 115-97 victory, covering the spread as favorites. This outcome underscores Houston’s capacity to challenge New Orleans, particularly when executing their game plan effectively. Key matchups to watch include the battle between Jalen Green and Brandon Ingram. Green’s offensive versatility and shooting range will test New Orleans’ perimeter defense, while Ingram’s agility and scoring prowess could exploit gaps in Houston’s defense. The frontcourt duel between Alperen Şengün and Jonas Valančiūnas will also be pivotal, as controlling the paint and securing rebounds are essential for both teams’ strategies. Additionally, the performance of role players and bench contributions could sway the game’s momentum, highlighting the importance of depth in this matchup. In conclusion, the upcoming game between the Rockets and Pelicans offers a compelling narrative of two teams striving to overcome their respective challenges. Houston seeks to solidify its playoff aspirations and regain defensive consistency, while New Orleans aims to break its losing streak and demonstrate resilience amidst adversity. Fans can anticipate a contest filled with strategic adjustments, individual brilliance, and the unpredictable nature that defines NBA basketball.

Houston Rockets NBA Preview

The Houston Rockets have demonstrated a commendable performance in the 2024-2025 NBA season, holding a 34-28 record that positions them favorably in the Western Conference playoff race. Under the strategic guidance of head coach Ime Udoka, the team has embraced a balanced approach, effectively integrating both seasoned veterans and promising young talents to create a cohesive and competitive unit. A pivotal figure in the Rockets’ success is shooting guard Jalen Green, who has emerged as the team’s leading scorer with an average of 21.2 points per game. Green’s offensive versatility, characterized by his explosive athleticism and refined shooting touch, has made him a constant threat to opposing defenses. His ability to penetrate the lane and convert perimeter shots has been instrumental in spacing the floor and creating opportunities for his teammates. Complementing Green’s efforts is center Alperen Şengün, who has been a dominant presence in the paint, averaging a double-double with 18.8 points and 10.5 rebounds per game. Şengün’s adept footwork and court vision have facilitated the Rockets’ inside-out offensive schemes, allowing for a dynamic and unpredictable attack. The offseason acquisition of point guard Fred VanVleet has further bolstered the Rockets’ backcourt. VanVleet’s experience and leadership have been invaluable, particularly in orchestrating the offense and providing perimeter defense. Averaging 14.6 points and 5.8 assists per game, his steady playmaking and clutch shooting have been critical in tight game situations. However, VanVleet’s recent ankle injury has sidelined him, presenting a challenge for the Rockets as they adapt to his absence. Defensively, the Rockets have shown significant improvement, allowing an average of 108.6 points per game, which reflects a concerted effort to tighten their defensive schemes. The team’s commitment to rebounding is evident, leading the league with an average of 48.1 rebounds per game. This emphasis on controlling the boards has limited opponents’ second-chance opportunities and fueled the Rockets’ transition offense. Rookie guard Amen Thompson has been a standout on the defensive end, contributing 1.4 steals and 1.3 blocks per game, showcasing his versatility and defensive instincts. The Rockets’ recent schedule has been a mixed bag, reflecting the team’s ongoing quest for consistency. A notable victory against the Milwaukee Bucks, with a score of 100-97, highlighted the team’s resilience and ability to execute under pressure. However, subsequent losses to the Sacramento Kings (113-103) and the Indiana Pacers (115-102) have exposed areas needing improvement, particularly in maintaining defensive intensity and offensive efficiency throughout the game. As the Rockets prepare to face the New Orleans Pelicans on March 6, 2025, they aim to capitalize on their strengths while addressing recent shortcomings. The absence of VanVleet necessitates increased contributions from other backcourt players, both in scoring and facilitating the offense. Maintaining their dominance in rebounding and sustaining defensive pressure will be crucial against a Pelicans team eager to improve their standing. The Rockets’ ability to adapt and execute their game plan will be pivotal in securing a victory and solidifying their position in the playoff race. In summary, the Houston Rockets have showcased a season of growth and competitiveness, driven by a blend of youthful exuberance and veteran savvy. The development of key players like Jalen Green and Alperen Şengün, coupled with strategic acquisitions, has positioned the team as a formidable contender. As they navigate the challenges of the remaining season, the Rockets’ focus on cohesion, adaptability, and resilience will be essential in achieving their postseason aspirations.

On March 6, 2025, the Houston Rockets (34-28) will face the New Orleans Pelicans (21-40) at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The Rockets aim to strengthen their playoff position, while the Pelicans seek to break a recent losing streak and improve their standings. Houston vs New Orleans AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans have faced a challenging 2024-2025 NBA season, currently holding a 15-43 record, placing them 14th in the Western Conference. Under the leadership of head coach Willie Green, the team has been in a rebuilding phase, focusing on developing young talent and establishing a cohesive unit. A significant setback this season was the loss of guard Dejounte Murray, who suffered a torn Achilles tendon in early February, ruling him out for the remainder of the season. Murray’s absence has been a considerable blow, as he was averaging 17.9 points, 7.6 assists, 6.5 rebounds, and 2.1 steals per game, providing versatility and leadership on both ends of the court. In response to the team’s struggles and to build for the future, the Pelicans executed a significant trade, sending forward Brandon Ingram to the Toronto Raptors in exchange for Bruce Brown Jr., Kelly Olynyk, a 2026 first-round pick, and a second-round pick. Ingram, a one-time All-Star, had been dealing with an ankle injury and missed 27 games this season. The trade allows the Pelicans to avoid negotiating a max contract with Ingram this summer and provides valuable assets for their rebuilding process. Despite these challenges, there have been bright spots in the Pelicans’ lineup. Forward Zion Williamson has been a focal point of the team’s offense, averaging 24.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Williamson’s unique combination of strength and agility makes him a difficult matchup for opposing defenses. However, his fitness and weight have been subjects of public discussion, with reports indicating he is in his best shape since entering the league, weighing 264 pounds. This has led to debates about his motivation and conditioning, highlighting the importance of his health for the team’s success. Guard CJ McCollum has also been a key contributor, averaging 18.3 points and 5.7 assists per game. His experience and scoring ability have provided stability in the backcourt, especially in the absence of Murray. Additionally, young players like Trey Murphy III and Herb Jones have stepped up, with Murphy averaging 13.5 points per game and Jones contributing defensively with 1.6 steals per game. These developments are encouraging for the Pelicans’ future, as they look to build a competitive team around their young core. The Pelicans’ recent performance has been inconsistent. They suffered a 136-115 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers, where LeBron James made history by surpassing 50,000 career points. In that game, Williamson led the team with 37 points, showcasing his offensive capabilities. However, the team’s defensive struggles were evident, allowing the Lakers to shoot efficiently and control the game’s tempo. This highlights a critical area for improvement as the Pelicans aim to become more competitive. Looking ahead, the Pelicans are set to face the Houston Rockets on March 6, 2025, at the Smoothie King Center. The Rockets have been performing well this season, making this matchup a challenging one for New Orleans. To compete effectively, the Pelicans will need to focus on defensive cohesion, limiting turnovers, and maximizing their offensive possessions. The development of their young players and the integration of new acquisitions like Brown Jr. and Olynyk will be crucial in this process. In summary, the New Orleans Pelicans are navigating a season filled with adversity and transition. Injuries to key players and strategic trades have reshaped the roster, placing emphasis on the development of young talent and future planning. While the current season’s record reflects the challenges faced, the experiences gained and the assets acquired position the Pelicans to build a more competitive team in the coming years. The focus remains on fostering growth, maintaining player health, and creating a sustainable path to success in the highly competitive Western Conference.

Houston vs. New Orleans Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Rockets and Pelicans play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Smoothie King Center in Mar can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McCollum over 24.5 Pts + Ast + Reb

Houston vs. New Orleans Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Rockets and Pelicans and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Rockets team going up against a possibly improved Pelicans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs New Orleans picks, computer picks Rockets vs Pelicans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Rockets Betting Trends

The Rockets have been inconsistent against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in three of their last seven games. Their season ATS record stands at 30-32, reflecting challenges in meeting betting expectations despite a winning overall record.

Pelicans Betting Trends

The Pelicans have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their last eight games. Their overall ATS record is 22-38, mirroring their on-court challenges this season.

Rockets vs. Pelicans Matchup Trends

In their previous matchup on December 26, 2024, the Rockets defeated the Pelicans 115-97, covering the spread as favorites. This outcome highlights Houston’s ability to perform strongly against New Orleans in recent encounters.

Houston vs. New Orleans Game Info

Houston vs New Orleans starts on March 06, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.

Venue: Smoothie King Center.

Spread: New Orleans +4.5
Moneyline: Houston -190, New Orleans +158
Over/Under: 228.5

Houston: (37-25)  |  New Orleans: (17-45)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McCollum over 24.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their previous matchup on December 26, 2024, the Rockets defeated the Pelicans 115-97, covering the spread as favorites. This outcome highlights Houston’s ability to perform strongly against New Orleans in recent encounters.

HOU trend: The Rockets have been inconsistent against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in three of their last seven games. Their season ATS record stands at 30-32, reflecting challenges in meeting betting expectations despite a winning overall record.

NO trend: The Pelicans have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their last eight games. Their overall ATS record is 22-38, mirroring their on-court challenges this season.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. New Orleans Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs New Orleans trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Houston vs New Orleans Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: -190
NO Moneyline: +158
HOU Spread: -4.5
NO Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 228.5

Houston vs New Orleans Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-175
+145
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-118)
O 231.5 (-115)
U 231.5 (-105)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+750
-1200
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-115)
U 227.5 (-105)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-500
+380
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+136
-162
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-162
+136
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-108)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+500
-700
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-108)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-218
+180
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+117
-143
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+150
-195
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+175
-220
+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans on March 06, 2025 at Smoothie King Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS