Rockets vs. Pelicans
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 06 | NBA AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On March 6, 2025, the Houston Rockets (34-28) will face the New Orleans Pelicans (21-40) at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The Rockets aim to strengthen their playoff position, while the Pelicans seek to break a recent losing streak and improve their standings.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 06, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Smoothie King Center
Pelicans Record: (17-45)
Rockets Record: (37-25)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: -190
NO Moneyline: +158
HOU Spread: -4.5
NO Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 228.5
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Rockets have been inconsistent against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in three of their last seven games. Their season ATS record stands at 30-32, reflecting challenges in meeting betting expectations despite a winning overall record.
NO
Betting Trends
- The Pelicans have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their last eight games. Their overall ATS record is 22-38, mirroring their on-court challenges this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their previous matchup on December 26, 2024, the Rockets defeated the Pelicans 115-97, covering the spread as favorites. This outcome highlights Houston’s ability to perform strongly against New Orleans in recent encounters.
HOU vs. NO
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McCollum over 24.5 Pts + Ast + Reb
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Houston vs New Orleans Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/6/25
The Rockets’ recent ATS performance has been lackluster, covering in only three of their last seven games, bringing their season ATS record to 30-32. Similarly, the Pelicans have covered the spread in just two of their last eight games, with an overall ATS record of 22-38. This game presents an intriguing scenario for bettors, as both teams aim to defy recent trends and deliver performances that surpass expectations. The previous encounter between these teams on December 26, 2024, saw the Rockets secure a 115-97 victory, covering the spread as favorites. This outcome underscores Houston’s capacity to challenge New Orleans, particularly when executing their game plan effectively. Key matchups to watch include the battle between Jalen Green and Brandon Ingram. Green’s offensive versatility and shooting range will test New Orleans’ perimeter defense, while Ingram’s agility and scoring prowess could exploit gaps in Houston’s defense. The frontcourt duel between Alperen Şengün and Jonas Valančiūnas will also be pivotal, as controlling the paint and securing rebounds are essential for both teams’ strategies. Additionally, the performance of role players and bench contributions could sway the game’s momentum, highlighting the importance of depth in this matchup. In conclusion, the upcoming game between the Rockets and Pelicans offers a compelling narrative of two teams striving to overcome their respective challenges. Houston seeks to solidify its playoff aspirations and regain defensive consistency, while New Orleans aims to break its losing streak and demonstrate resilience amidst adversity. Fans can anticipate a contest filled with strategic adjustments, individual brilliance, and the unpredictable nature that defines NBA basketball.
🚨 New dunk compilation just dropped! 🚨
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) March 5, 2025
Check out our EVA Air 𝙁𝙡𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙩𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙈𝙤𝙣𝙩𝙝!@EVAAirUS | #Liftoff pic.twitter.com/gt2h8AaLP8
Houston Rockets NBA Preview
The Houston Rockets have demonstrated a commendable performance in the 2024-2025 NBA season, holding a 34-28 record that positions them favorably in the Western Conference playoff race. Under the strategic guidance of head coach Ime Udoka, the team has embraced a balanced approach, effectively integrating both seasoned veterans and promising young talents to create a cohesive and competitive unit. A pivotal figure in the Rockets’ success is shooting guard Jalen Green, who has emerged as the team’s leading scorer with an average of 21.2 points per game. Green’s offensive versatility, characterized by his explosive athleticism and refined shooting touch, has made him a constant threat to opposing defenses. His ability to penetrate the lane and convert perimeter shots has been instrumental in spacing the floor and creating opportunities for his teammates. Complementing Green’s efforts is center Alperen Şengün, who has been a dominant presence in the paint, averaging a double-double with 18.8 points and 10.5 rebounds per game. Şengün’s adept footwork and court vision have facilitated the Rockets’ inside-out offensive schemes, allowing for a dynamic and unpredictable attack. The offseason acquisition of point guard Fred VanVleet has further bolstered the Rockets’ backcourt. VanVleet’s experience and leadership have been invaluable, particularly in orchestrating the offense and providing perimeter defense. Averaging 14.6 points and 5.8 assists per game, his steady playmaking and clutch shooting have been critical in tight game situations. However, VanVleet’s recent ankle injury has sidelined him, presenting a challenge for the Rockets as they adapt to his absence. Defensively, the Rockets have shown significant improvement, allowing an average of 108.6 points per game, which reflects a concerted effort to tighten their defensive schemes. The team’s commitment to rebounding is evident, leading the league with an average of 48.1 rebounds per game. This emphasis on controlling the boards has limited opponents’ second-chance opportunities and fueled the Rockets’ transition offense. Rookie guard Amen Thompson has been a standout on the defensive end, contributing 1.4 steals and 1.3 blocks per game, showcasing his versatility and defensive instincts. The Rockets’ recent schedule has been a mixed bag, reflecting the team’s ongoing quest for consistency. A notable victory against the Milwaukee Bucks, with a score of 100-97, highlighted the team’s resilience and ability to execute under pressure. However, subsequent losses to the Sacramento Kings (113-103) and the Indiana Pacers (115-102) have exposed areas needing improvement, particularly in maintaining defensive intensity and offensive efficiency throughout the game. As the Rockets prepare to face the New Orleans Pelicans on March 6, 2025, they aim to capitalize on their strengths while addressing recent shortcomings. The absence of VanVleet necessitates increased contributions from other backcourt players, both in scoring and facilitating the offense. Maintaining their dominance in rebounding and sustaining defensive pressure will be crucial against a Pelicans team eager to improve their standing. The Rockets’ ability to adapt and execute their game plan will be pivotal in securing a victory and solidifying their position in the playoff race. In summary, the Houston Rockets have showcased a season of growth and competitiveness, driven by a blend of youthful exuberance and veteran savvy. The development of key players like Jalen Green and Alperen Şengün, coupled with strategic acquisitions, has positioned the team as a formidable contender. As they navigate the challenges of the remaining season, the Rockets’ focus on cohesion, adaptability, and resilience will be essential in achieving their postseason aspirations.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans have faced a challenging 2024-2025 NBA season, currently holding a 15-43 record, placing them 14th in the Western Conference. Under the leadership of head coach Willie Green, the team has been in a rebuilding phase, focusing on developing young talent and establishing a cohesive unit. A significant setback this season was the loss of guard Dejounte Murray, who suffered a torn Achilles tendon in early February, ruling him out for the remainder of the season. Murray’s absence has been a considerable blow, as he was averaging 17.9 points, 7.6 assists, 6.5 rebounds, and 2.1 steals per game, providing versatility and leadership on both ends of the court. In response to the team’s struggles and to build for the future, the Pelicans executed a significant trade, sending forward Brandon Ingram to the Toronto Raptors in exchange for Bruce Brown Jr., Kelly Olynyk, a 2026 first-round pick, and a second-round pick. Ingram, a one-time All-Star, had been dealing with an ankle injury and missed 27 games this season. The trade allows the Pelicans to avoid negotiating a max contract with Ingram this summer and provides valuable assets for their rebuilding process. Despite these challenges, there have been bright spots in the Pelicans’ lineup. Forward Zion Williamson has been a focal point of the team’s offense, averaging 24.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Williamson’s unique combination of strength and agility makes him a difficult matchup for opposing defenses. However, his fitness and weight have been subjects of public discussion, with reports indicating he is in his best shape since entering the league, weighing 264 pounds. This has led to debates about his motivation and conditioning, highlighting the importance of his health for the team’s success. Guard CJ McCollum has also been a key contributor, averaging 18.3 points and 5.7 assists per game. His experience and scoring ability have provided stability in the backcourt, especially in the absence of Murray. Additionally, young players like Trey Murphy III and Herb Jones have stepped up, with Murphy averaging 13.5 points per game and Jones contributing defensively with 1.6 steals per game. These developments are encouraging for the Pelicans’ future, as they look to build a competitive team around their young core. The Pelicans’ recent performance has been inconsistent. They suffered a 136-115 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers, where LeBron James made history by surpassing 50,000 career points. In that game, Williamson led the team with 37 points, showcasing his offensive capabilities. However, the team’s defensive struggles were evident, allowing the Lakers to shoot efficiently and control the game’s tempo. This highlights a critical area for improvement as the Pelicans aim to become more competitive. Looking ahead, the Pelicans are set to face the Houston Rockets on March 6, 2025, at the Smoothie King Center. The Rockets have been performing well this season, making this matchup a challenging one for New Orleans. To compete effectively, the Pelicans will need to focus on defensive cohesion, limiting turnovers, and maximizing their offensive possessions. The development of their young players and the integration of new acquisitions like Brown Jr. and Olynyk will be crucial in this process. In summary, the New Orleans Pelicans are navigating a season filled with adversity and transition. Injuries to key players and strategic trades have reshaped the roster, placing emphasis on the development of young talent and future planning. While the current season’s record reflects the challenges faced, the experiences gained and the assets acquired position the Pelicans to build a more competitive team in the coming years. The focus remains on fostering growth, maintaining player health, and creating a sustainable path to success in the highly competitive Western Conference.
So good you had to see it twice 😤 pic.twitter.com/lrTE9cbI3M
— New Orleans Pelicans (@PelicansNBA) March 5, 2025
Houston vs. New Orleans Prop Picks (AI)
Houston vs. New Orleans Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Rockets and Pelicans and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors tend to put on Houston’s strength factors between a Rockets team going up against a possibly tired Pelicans team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs New Orleans picks, computer picks Rockets vs Pelicans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Rockets Betting Trends
The Rockets have been inconsistent against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in three of their last seven games. Their season ATS record stands at 30-32, reflecting challenges in meeting betting expectations despite a winning overall record.
Pelicans Betting Trends
The Pelicans have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their last eight games. Their overall ATS record is 22-38, mirroring their on-court challenges this season.
Rockets vs. Pelicans Matchup Trends
In their previous matchup on December 26, 2024, the Rockets defeated the Pelicans 115-97, covering the spread as favorites. This outcome highlights Houston’s ability to perform strongly against New Orleans in recent encounters.
Houston vs. New Orleans Game Info
What time does Houston vs New Orleans start on March 06, 2025?
Houston vs New Orleans starts on March 06, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Where is Houston vs New Orleans being played?
Venue: Smoothie King Center.
What are the opening odds for Houston vs New Orleans?
Spread: New Orleans +4.5
Moneyline: Houston -190, New Orleans +158
Over/Under: 228.5
What are the records for Houston vs New Orleans?
Houston: (37-25) | New Orleans: (17-45)
What is the AI best bet for Houston vs New Orleans?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. McCollum over 24.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Houston vs New Orleans trending bets?
In their previous matchup on December 26, 2024, the Rockets defeated the Pelicans 115-97, covering the spread as favorites. This outcome highlights Houston’s ability to perform strongly against New Orleans in recent encounters.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Rockets have been inconsistent against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in three of their last seven games. Their season ATS record stands at 30-32, reflecting challenges in meeting betting expectations despite a winning overall record.
What are New Orleans trending bets?
NO trend: The Pelicans have struggled ATS, covering in only two of their last eight games. Their overall ATS record is 22-38, mirroring their on-court challenges this season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Houston vs New Orleans?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. New Orleans Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Houston vs New Orleans trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Houston vs New Orleans Opening Odds
HOU Moneyline:
-190 NO Moneyline: +158
HOU Spread: -4.5
NO Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 228.5
Houston vs New Orleans Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+230
-305
|
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-112)
|
O 225.5 (-114)
U 225.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
|
–
–
|
+135
-167
|
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-114)
|
O 224.5 (-112)
U 224.5 (-114)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
|
–
–
|
+145
-182
|
+4 (-115)
-4 (-110)
|
O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+145
-182
|
+4 (-114)
-4 (-112)
|
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
|
–
–
|
+240
-315
|
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
|
O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
|
–
–
|
+107
-132
|
+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
|
O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
|
–
–
|
+190
-245
|
+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
|
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
|
–
–
|
+285
-385
|
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-109)
|
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-132
+106
|
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
|
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
+150
-190
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
|
O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-345
+260
|
-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
|
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
|
–
–
|
-113
-110
|
-1 (-109)
+1 (-117)
|
O 226.5 (-112)
U 226.5 (-113)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
|
–
–
|
-103
-121
|
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
|
|
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
-143
+115
|
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
|
O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
|
–
–
|
-323
+240
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
-109
-116
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans on March 06, 2025 at Smoothie King Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |