Kings vs. Nuggets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 05 | NBA AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Sacramento Kings (31-28) are set to face the Denver Nuggets (39-22) on March 5, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver. The Kings aim to extend their three-game winning streak, while the Nuggets look to maintain their strong home performance. 

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 05, 2025

Start Time: 10:00 PM EST​

Venue: Ball Arena​

Nuggets Record: (39-22)

Kings Record: (32-28)

OPENING ODDS

SAC Moneyline: +203

DEN Moneyline: -249

SAC Spread: +6

DEN Spread: -6.0

Over/Under: 236

SAC
Betting Trends

  • The Kings have struggled against the spread (ATS) when playing without rest, holding a 3-5 ATS record in such situations. Additionally, three of their last four losses at Denver were by significant margins, indicating challenges when facing the Nuggets on the road.

DEN
Betting Trends

  • The Kings have struggled against the spread (ATS) when playing without rest, holding a 3-5 ATS record in such situations. Additionally, three of their last four losses at Denver were by significant margins, indicating challenges when facing the Nuggets on the road.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Denver has dominated recent home matchups against Sacramento, winning 10 of the last 12 encounters at Ball Arena. This trend highlights the Nuggets’ home-court advantage in this series.

SAC vs. DEN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Valanciunas under 17.5 Pts + Ast

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Sacramento vs Denver Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/5/25

The upcoming contest between the Sacramento Kings and the Denver Nuggets on March 5, 2025, at Ball Arena presents an intriguing Western Conference showdown. The Kings, currently holding a 31-28 record, are on a three-game winning streak, showcasing resilience and determination as they vie for a higher playoff seed. Their recent surge has been fueled by the dynamic play of De’Aaron Fox, who ranks 10th in the NBA with 25.9 points per game. Fox’s speed and court vision have been instrumental in orchestrating Sacramento’s offense, making him a focal point for opposing defenses. Complementing Fox is Domantas Sabonis, whose presence in the paint has provided the Kings with a reliable scoring option and rebounding prowess. Sabonis’s ability to stretch the floor with mid-range shooting adds a layer of versatility to Sacramento’s offensive schemes. However, the Kings face a formidable opponent in the Denver Nuggets, who boast a 39-22 record and have been dominant at home, winning 10 of their last 12 games at Ball Arena. Denver’s success is largely attributed to the stellar play of Nikola Jokic, who is averaging a near triple-double with 30.1 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 9.9 assists per game. Jokic’s basketball IQ and versatility make him a matchup nightmare, capable of scoring from various spots on the floor and facilitating teammates with precision passing. Alongside Jokic, Jamal Murray has been a consistent contributor, averaging 21.4 points and 6.0 assists per game.

Murray’s ability to create his own shot and stretch defenses with his three-point shooting adds depth to Denver’s offensive arsenal. Defensively, the Nuggets have shown improvements, particularly in guarding the perimeter. Their ability to contest shots and force turnovers has been pivotal in securing victories against high-scoring teams. The matchup against Sacramento will test Denver’s defensive schemes, especially in containing Fox’s penetration and Sabonis’s interior presence. The Kings, on the other hand, will need to address their defensive consistency, as lapses have cost them in close games. From a betting perspective, the Nuggets have been reliable against the spread (ATS) at home, covering in 10 of their last 12 games at Ball Arena. Conversely, the Kings have struggled ATS with no rest, holding a 3-5 record in such scenarios. This statistic is crucial, considering Sacramento’s schedule leading up to the game. The over/under for the matchup is set at 242.5 points, reflecting the offensive capabilities of both teams. Bettors should note that Denver’s games have trended towards the over, especially at home, due to their high-scoring offense and occasional defensive lapses. In terms of injuries, Denver has been managing without Peyton Watson (right knee), DaRon Holmes II (right ACL), and Vlatko Cancar (left knee). Additionally, Aaron Gordon (left ankle) and Zeke Nnaji (left ankle) were listed as questionable in their last match against the Boston Celtics. The status of these players could impact Denver’s rotation and defensive assignments. Sacramento has not reported significant injuries, allowing them to utilize their full roster depth. Historically, the Nuggets have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning both encounters this season. The most recent game on January 23, 2025, saw Denver secure a 132-123 victory, with Jokic delivering a standout performance. The Kings will need to adjust their defensive strategies to limit Jokic’s impact and find ways to exploit Denver’s defensive weaknesses. As the playoff race intensifies, this game holds significant implications for both teams. A win for Sacramento would bolster their position and confidence, while Denver aims to solidify their standing among the Western Conference elite. Fans can anticipate a high-octane game, with both teams showcasing their offensive talents and strategic adjustments.

Sacramento Kings NBA Preview

The Sacramento Kings enter the March 5, 2025, matchup against the Denver Nuggets with a 31-28 record, positioning them as a competitive force in the Western Conference. Their recent performance has been bolstered by a three-game winning streak, highlighting the team’s resilience and adaptability amidst roster changes and strategic shifts. A pivotal move this season was the acquisition of Zach LaVine in a trade that sent De’Aaron Fox to the San Antonio Spurs. This transaction aimed to address contractual considerations and inject a new dynamic into the Kings’ offense. LaVine, known for his scoring prowess and athleticism, has seamlessly integrated into Sacramento’s system, averaging 24.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game since joining the team. His ability to create shots and stretch defenses with his perimeter shooting has provided the Kings with a versatile offensive weapon. Complementing LaVine’s contributions is the consistent performance of Domantas Sabonis. As a double-double machine, Sabonis has been instrumental in anchoring the Kings’ frontcourt, averaging 18.7 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game. His proficiency in the pick-and-roll and ability to facilitate from the high post have been central to Sacramento’s offensive schemes. The chemistry between Sabonis and LaVine has developed rapidly, with both players leveraging their skills to create scoring opportunities for themselves and their teammates. This synergy has been a driving factor in the Kings’ recent success and will be crucial as they face the formidable Nuggets. The integration of DeMar DeRozan into the roster has added another layer of depth to the Kings’ offense. DeRozan’s mid-range game and veteran leadership have been invaluable, particularly in close contests where his experience and poise come to the forefront. His ability to draw fouls and convert from the free-throw line has also provided a reliable scoring avenue for Sacramento. The trio of LaVine, Sabonis, and DeRozan presents a multifaceted offensive threat that can challenge defenses in various ways. Defensively, the Kings have shown marked improvement, focusing on perimeter defense and rebounding. The addition of defensive-minded role players has contributed to a more cohesive and tenacious defensive unit. However, consistency remains an area for growth, as lapses have occasionally led to opponents capitalizing on open shots and second-chance points. Addressing these issues will be imperative against a high-octane offense like Denver’s. The coaching staff, led by head coach Mike Brown, has emphasized a balanced approach, encouraging ball movement and defensive intensity. Brown’s strategic adjustments have been evident in the Kings’ ability to adapt to different opponents and in-game situations. His focus on developing a winning culture and accountability has resonated with the players, fostering a sense of unity and purpose within the team. From a betting perspective, the Kings have been moderately successful against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in games where they are underdogs by five points or more. Their resilience in such scenarios has made them a team to watch for bettors looking for value. However, their ATS record in back-to-back games has been less favorable, indicating potential fatigue factors that could impact performance. Bettors should consider these trends when evaluating the Kings’ prospects in upcoming matchups. Injuries have been a relatively minor concern for Sacramento this season, with the team largely maintaining a healthy roster. This continuity has allowed the Kings to build chemistry and execute their game plans effectively. As they prepare to face the Nuggets, maintaining this health will be crucial, given Denver’s physical style of play and depth. The upcoming game against the Nuggets represents a significant test for the Kings. Denver’s dominance at home and the presence of reigning MVP Nikola Jokić present formidable challenges. However, Sacramento’s recent form and the integration of their new offensive trio provide optimism. The Kings will need to execute their game plan meticulously, focusing on defensive assignments and efficient scoring, to secure a victory in this high-stakes contest.

The Sacramento Kings (31-28) are set to face the Denver Nuggets (39-22) on March 5, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver. The Kings aim to extend their three-game winning streak, while the Nuggets look to maintain their strong home performance.   Sacramento vs Denver AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Mar 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Denver Nuggets NBA Preview

The Denver Nuggets have built their success this season around their high-powered offense and defensive improvements. A major factor in their dominance has been their exceptional home-court advantage at Ball Arena, where they have won 10 of their last 12 games. Their ability to control the pace of the game, capitalize on fast breaks, and exploit mismatches has made them one of the most feared teams in the Western Conference. Defensively, the Nuggets have shown steady improvements despite some inconsistencies on the perimeter. Led by Aaron Gordon and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Denver has managed to hold opponents to an average of 111.7 points per game, ranking in the top 10 in defensive efficiency. Gordon’s versatility allows him to guard multiple positions, while Caldwell-Pope provides perimeter defense that helps limit opposing three-point threats. However, Denver has struggled at times against teams with elite guard play, which could be a concern against Sacramento’s backcourt threats like Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan. One of Denver’s key strengths this season has been their rebounding. With Nikola Jokić leading the way at 12.5 rebounds per game, the Nuggets have consistently won the battle on the glass. Their ability to secure defensive rebounds and initiate fast breaks has allowed them to play at their preferred tempo. Backup big man Zeke Nnaji has also provided valuable minutes off the bench, contributing to the team’s interior defense and second-chance opportunities. From a strategic standpoint, the Nuggets’ offense revolves around Jokić’s playmaking abilities. His unique skill set as a center allows him to act as a primary facilitator, creating open shots for teammates. Denver leads the NBA in assists per game (28.5), a testament to their unselfish ball movement and effective spacing. Jamal Murray’s ability to work off the ball and knock down shots from deep complements Jokić’s passing, making it difficult for defenses to contain both players simultaneously. One potential concern for the Nuggets heading into this matchup is their three-point shooting. While Murray and Michael Porter Jr. have been reliable from beyond the arc, Denver ranks just 15th in three-point percentage at 36.1%. On nights when their perimeter shooting struggles, they have had to rely heavily on Jokić’s inside scoring and Murray’s mid-range game. Facing a Kings team that has improved its perimeter defense, Denver may need to generate more high-percentage shots in the paint to stay efficient. In terms of betting trends, Denver has been dominant against the spread (ATS) at home, covering in 10 of their last 12 home games. Their ability to control games on their home floor has made them a reliable pick for bettors. However, they have struggled to cover large spreads, going just 4-6 ATS when favored by more than six points. The Nuggets are also 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings against Sacramento, reinforcing their historical edge in this matchup. As Denver gears up for a deep playoff push, this game serves as an opportunity to fine-tune their execution against a competitive Kings team. A win here would help solidify their standing in the Western Conference and continue their momentum heading into the final stretch of the season. If Jokić, Murray, and the supporting cast can execute their game plan effectively, the Nuggets should be in a strong position to secure another home victory.

Sacramento vs. Denver Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Kings and Nuggets play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ball Arena in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Valanciunas under 17.5 Pts + Ast

Sacramento vs. Denver Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Kings and Nuggets and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the growing factor emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Kings team going up against a possibly strong Nuggets team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Sacramento vs Denver picks, computer picks Kings vs Nuggets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Kings Betting Trends

The Kings have struggled against the spread (ATS) when playing without rest, holding a 3-5 ATS record in such situations. Additionally, three of their last four losses at Denver were by significant margins, indicating challenges when facing the Nuggets on the road.

Nuggets Betting Trends

The Kings have struggled against the spread (ATS) when playing without rest, holding a 3-5 ATS record in such situations. Additionally, three of their last four losses at Denver were by significant margins, indicating challenges when facing the Nuggets on the road.

Kings vs. Nuggets Matchup Trends

Denver has dominated recent home matchups against Sacramento, winning 10 of the last 12 encounters at Ball Arena. This trend highlights the Nuggets’ home-court advantage in this series.

Sacramento vs. Denver Game Info

Sacramento vs Denver starts on March 05, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.

Spread: Denver -6.0
Moneyline: Sacramento +203, Denver -249
Over/Under: 236

Sacramento: (32-28)  |  Denver: (39-22)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Valanciunas under 17.5 Pts + Ast. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Denver has dominated recent home matchups against Sacramento, winning 10 of the last 12 encounters at Ball Arena. This trend highlights the Nuggets’ home-court advantage in this series.

SAC trend: The Kings have struggled against the spread (ATS) when playing without rest, holding a 3-5 ATS record in such situations. Additionally, three of their last four losses at Denver were by significant margins, indicating challenges when facing the Nuggets on the road.

DEN trend: The Kings have struggled against the spread (ATS) when playing without rest, holding a 3-5 ATS record in such situations. Additionally, three of their last four losses at Denver were by significant margins, indicating challenges when facing the Nuggets on the road.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Sacramento vs. Denver Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Sacramento vs Denver trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Sacramento vs Denver Opening Odds

SAC Moneyline: +203
DEN Moneyline: -249
SAC Spread: +6
DEN Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 236

Sacramento vs Denver Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 21, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Houston Rockets
Oklahoma City Thunder
10/21/25 7:30PM
Rockets
Thunder
+245
-300
+8.5 (-114)
-8.5 (-106)
O 224.5 (-110)
U 224.5 (-110)
Oct 21, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
10/21/25 10PM
Warriors
Lakers
+138
-164
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
10/22/25 7:10PM
Nets
Hornets
+145
-182
+4 (-115)
-4 (-110)
O 221 (-113)
U 221 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
10/22/25 7:10PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+145
-175
+3.5 (+100)
-3.5 (-120)
O 229.5 (+105)
U 229.5 (-125)
Oct 22, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic
10/22/25 7:10PM
Heat
Magic
+240
-315
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Boston Celtics
10/22/25 7:40PM
76ers
Celtics
+107
-132
+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Toronto Raptors
Atlanta Hawks
10/22/25 7:40PM
Raptors
Hawks
+190
-245
+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
10/22/25 8:10PM
Wizards
Bucks
+285
-385
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-109)
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Chicago Bulls
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pistons
Bulls
-132
+106
-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
10/22/25 8:10PM
Pelicans
Grizzlies
+150
-190
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
Utah Jazz
10/22/25 9:10PM
Clippers
Jazz
-345
+260
-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
10/22/25 9:40PM
Spurs
Mavericks
-110
-110
-1 (-105)
+1 (-115)
O 226.5 (-130)
U 226.5 (+105)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
10/22/25 10:10PM
Kings
Suns
-103
-121
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-110)
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
10/22/25 10:10PM
Timberwolves
Trail Blazers
-143
+115
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers
10/23/25 7:40PM
Thunder
Pacers
-325
+250
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
Oct 23, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors
10/23/25 10:10PM
Nuggets
Warriors
-110
-110
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets on March 05, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
IND@OKC PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@OKC IND +10 54.00% 3 WIN
IND@OKC BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT 54.90% 4 WIN
NY@IND MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.40% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +5 55.60% 5 LOSS
NY@IND JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN OKC -2.5 56.70% 6 LOSS
NY@IND KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.00% 4 WIN
OKC@MIN NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT 54.60% 4 LOSS
IND@NY MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS 53.60% 3 WIN
IND@NY NY -5.5 55.00% 4 LOSS
MIN@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS 53.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@OKC MIN +7.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
IND@NY TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 54.10% 4 LOSS
IND@NY IND +4.5 54.80% 4 WIN
MIN@OKC ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS 54.10% 4 WIN
DEN@OKC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 54.80% 4 WIN
BOS@NY NY -2.5 55.60% 5 WIN
GS@MIN DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 54.80% 4 LOSS
GS@MIN GS +10.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.00% 4 WIN
MIN@GS JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 WIN
BOS@NY BOS -5.5 54.70% 4 WIN
OKC@DEN OKC -5 55.70% 5 LOSS
DEN@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.20% 4 WIN
IND@CLE IND +8 54.00% 3 WIN
GS@MIN ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST 54.00% 4 WIN
GS@MIN MIN -6.5 54.40% 4 LOSS
DEN@OKC NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.20% 3 LOSS
IND@CLE IND +8.5 55.70% 5 WIN
HOU@GS GS -5 53.70% 3 LOSS
HOU@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS 54.10% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST 53.20% 3 WIN
DEN@LAC UNDER 212.5 54.00% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAL MIN +6 53.80% 3 WIN
MIN@LAL NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.50% 3 LOSS
DET@NY DET +5.5 53.90% 3 WIN
CLE@MIA EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST 53.90% 3 WIN
BOS@ORL KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 53.10% 3 WIN
HOU@GS GS -3 53.70% 3 WIN
HOU@GS JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.40% 4 LOSS
LAL@MIN LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS 54.50% 4 LOSS
BOS@ORL BOS -3.5 54.70% 4 LOSS
DEN@LAC BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED 53.60% 3 LOSS
GS@HOU JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE 54.40% 4 LOSS
ORL@BOS ORL +10.5 54.70% 4 WIN
MEM@OKC ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB 53.80% 3 LOSS
MEM@OKC OKC -14.5 54.80% 4 WIN
LAC@DEN IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS 53.30% 3 LOSS