Heat vs. Cavaliers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 05 | NBA AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Heat will face the Cleveland Cavaliers on March 5, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio. Both teams are vying for playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference, making this matchup crucial for their postseason aspirations.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 05, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Rocket Arena
Cavaliers Record: (51-10)
Heat Record: (29-31)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +405
CLE Moneyline: -549
MIA Spread: +11
CLE Spread: -11.0
Over/Under: 227
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Miami Heat have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season. As of their last recorded game, they hold a 24-33-1 ATS record, covering approximately 42.1% of the time. This indicates challenges in meeting betting expectations, especially on the road, where their performance has been inconsistent.
CLE
Betting Trends
- In contrast, the Cleveland Cavaliers have excelled ATS this season. They boast a 39-19-1 ATS record, covering the spread in about 67.2% of their games. This strong performance reflects their ability to exceed expectations, particularly at home, where they have been dominant.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- A notable ATS statistic for this matchup is the Cavaliers’ impressive average margin of victory (MOV) and ATS margin. They have an average MOV of 11.6 points and cover the spread by an average of 4.1 points per game. This suggests that not only do they win games, but they also do so convincingly, often surpassing bookmakers’ projections.
MIA vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Adebayo under 34.5 Pts + Ast + Reb
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Miami vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 3/5/25
Coaching strategies will also play a significant role. Cavaliers’ coach J.B. Bickerstaff has emphasized a fast-paced offense, exploiting transition opportunities to catch defenses off guard. In contrast, Heat’s coach Erik Spoelstra prefers a more deliberate approach, focusing on half-court sets and defensive solidity. The contrasting styles will make for an intriguing tactical battle. In terms of recent form, the Cavaliers have been on a winning streak, showcasing their offensive firepower and defensive tenacity. The Heat, however, have been on a roller-coaster ride, with injuries and inconsistent performances plaguing their campaign. Their reliance on isolation plays has often led to stagnation, making them predictable against well-organized defenses. The outcome of this game will have significant implications for both teams. A win for the Cavaliers would solidify their position at the top of the conference, boosting their confidence as the playoffs approach. For the Heat, a victory could serve as a catalyst to rejuvenate their season, providing much-needed momentum to secure a playoff berth. In conclusion, this matchup promises to be a thrilling contest between two teams with contrasting fortunes. The Cavaliers’ balanced offense and robust defense make them the favorites, but the Heat’s resilience and experience cannot be underestimated. Basketball enthusiasts can look forward to a game filled with strategic battles, individual brilliance, and high stakes.
Back in the lineup and back on track. Scary Terry SZN.
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) March 4, 2025
Replay of the Night // @ATT pic.twitter.com/jSVLvazZCb
Miami Heat NBA Preview
The Miami Heat’s 2024-2025 NBA season has been marked by significant challenges and transitions, resulting in a 27-30 record that positions them 8th in the Eastern Conference standings. This performance underscores the team’s struggle for consistency amidst roster changes and injuries, as they strive to secure a playoff berth in a highly competitive environment. A pivotal development this season was the departure of franchise cornerstone Jimmy Butler, who was traded to the Golden State Warriors. In return, the Heat acquired Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, and Kyle Anderson, aiming to infuse the roster with fresh talent and versatility. Wiggins, a former All-Star, has taken on a crucial role, averaging 18.5 points per game and providing athleticism on the wing. His ability to create his own shot and defend multiple positions has been a valuable addition to the Heat’s lineup. Davion Mitchell, known for his tenacious defense, has bolstered the Heat’s perimeter defense, often tasked with guarding the opposing team’s primary ball handlers. His intensity and work ethic have resonated with the Heat’s culture of toughness and resilience. Kyle Anderson’s versatility allows him to contribute across multiple facets of the game, including playmaking and rebounding, making him a valuable asset off the bench. Despite these additions, the Heat have faced challenges in establishing cohesion. Integrating new players mid-season has required adjustments in offensive and defensive schemes. Head coach Erik Spoelstra has emphasized the importance of developing chemistry and understanding among the players, a process that is ongoing. The Heat’s offense has been spearheaded by Tyler Herro, who has embraced a leadership role following Butler’s departure. Herro is averaging 22.3 points per game, showcasing his scoring versatility and ability to perform under pressure. His development into a primary scoring option has been a bright spot in the Heat’s season. Bam Adebayo continues to be a cornerstone for Miami, contributing significantly on both ends of the floor. Adebayo is averaging 9.8 rebounds per game, anchoring the team’s defense with his shot-blocking and switching capabilities. Offensively, his ability to facilitate from the high post and finish around the rim adds a crucial dimension to the Heat’s attack. However, the Heat’s bench production has been inconsistent, leading to challenges in maintaining leads and providing rest for starters. The lack of a reliable second unit has placed additional pressure on the starters to perform extended minutes, potentially impacting their performance in crucial moments. Defensively, Miami has struggled with consistency. While individual defenders like Mitchell and Adebayo have excelled, team defense has been an area of concern. Miscommunications and lapses have led to opponents finding easy scoring opportunities, a trend the Heat need to address to improve their standings. Looking ahead to their matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers on March 5, 2025, the Heat face a formidable opponent. The Cavaliers have been dominant this season, leading the Eastern Conference with a 50-10 record. Miami will need to execute their game plan flawlessly, emphasizing defensive cohesion and efficient offense, to compete effectively. In conclusion, the Miami Heat’s season has been a rollercoaster of highs and lows. The integration of new talent presents both opportunities and challenges. As the season progresses, the Heat’s ability to adapt and coalesce as a unit will determine their success in securing a playoff spot and making a potential postseason run.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers have emerged as a dominant force in the 2024-2025 NBA season, boasting an impressive 50-10 record that positions them at the pinnacle of the Eastern Conference. This remarkable performance is a testament to the team’s strategic roster construction, effective coaching, and the seamless integration of both seasoned veterans and burgeoning young talent. At the heart of the Cavaliers’ success is their dynamic backcourt duo of Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland. Mitchell, acquired in a high-profile trade prior to the 2022-2023 season, has consistently delivered stellar performances, averaging 24.0 points per game this season. His ability to penetrate defenses, coupled with a reliable perimeter shot, makes him a multifaceted offensive threat. Garland complements Mitchell’s style with his exceptional court vision and playmaking skills, averaging 6.7 assists per game. This synergy between the two guards has been instrumental in orchestrating the Cavaliers’ high-octane offense, which ranks among the league’s elite. The frontcourt is anchored by the formidable duo of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. Mobley, in his third NBA season, has continued his upward trajectory, showcasing versatility on both ends of the court. His defensive prowess, characterized by timely shot-blocking and the ability to guard multiple positions, has been pivotal in fortifying the Cavaliers’ defense. Offensively, Mobley’s mid-range shooting and post moves add a valuable dimension to the team’s scoring options. Allen, a traditional center, dominates the paint with his rebounding and shot-contesting abilities, averaging a double-double with 10.3 rebounds per game. His presence deters opponents from attacking the rim and ensures second-chance opportunities for the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers’ depth is further bolstered by the contributions of players like Ty Jerome, who has provided valuable minutes off the bench, showcasing his shooting prowess and basketball IQ. This depth allows the coaching staff to maintain a high level of play even when the starters rest, a luxury that has been reflected in their impressive record. Under the guidance of head coach Kenny Atkinson, the Cavaliers have adopted a modern pace-and-space offensive system that emphasizes ball movement and spacing. This approach has maximized the skill sets of their roster, leading to efficient scoring and a cohesive team dynamic. Defensively, Atkinson has instilled a culture of accountability and effort, resulting in a team that ranks highly in defensive metrics. The Cavaliers’ ability to seamlessly switch on defense and contest shots has made them a formidable opponent for any team. The Cavaliers’ recent performances have been nothing short of spectacular. They are currently on an 11-game winning streak, highlighted by a remarkable comeback victory against the Chicago Bulls, where they overcame a 15-point deficit to win 139-117. Mitchell led the charge with 28 points, while Allen contributed a dominant double-double with 25 points and 17 rebounds. This resilience and ability to adapt during games underscore the team’s championship aspirations. Looking ahead to their matchup against the Miami Heat on March 5, 2025, the Cavaliers are poised to leverage their home-court advantage at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, where they have been particularly dominant. Their balanced offense, staunch defense, and the momentum of their winning streak position them favorably. However, the Cavaliers remain cognizant of the Heat’s potential and are prepared to execute their game plan meticulously to secure another victory in their quest for postseason success.
😁 GN, CLE! See ya tomorrow at our place! #LetEmKnow pic.twitter.com/Rd3aGibxdB
— Cleveland Cavaliers (@cavs) March 5, 2025
Miami vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Heat and Cavaliers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight human bettors often put on Miami’s strength factors between a Heat team going up against a possibly improved Cavaliers team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Heat vs Cavaliers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Heat Betting Trends
The Miami Heat have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season. As of their last recorded game, they hold a 24-33-1 ATS record, covering approximately 42.1% of the time. This indicates challenges in meeting betting expectations, especially on the road, where their performance has been inconsistent.
Cavaliers Betting Trends
In contrast, the Cleveland Cavaliers have excelled ATS this season. They boast a 39-19-1 ATS record, covering the spread in about 67.2% of their games. This strong performance reflects their ability to exceed expectations, particularly at home, where they have been dominant.
Heat vs. Cavaliers Matchup Trends
A notable ATS statistic for this matchup is the Cavaliers’ impressive average margin of victory (MOV) and ATS margin. They have an average MOV of 11.6 points and cover the spread by an average of 4.1 points per game. This suggests that not only do they win games, but they also do so convincingly, often surpassing bookmakers’ projections.
Miami vs. Cleveland Game Info
What time does Miami vs Cleveland start on March 05, 2025?
Miami vs Cleveland starts on March 05, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Cleveland being played?
Venue: Rocket Arena.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Cleveland?
Spread: Cleveland -11.0
Moneyline: Miami +405, Cleveland -549
Over/Under: 227
What are the records for Miami vs Cleveland?
Miami: (29-31) | Cleveland: (51-10)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Cleveland?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Adebayo under 34.5 Pts + Ast + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Cleveland trending bets?
A notable ATS statistic for this matchup is the Cavaliers’ impressive average margin of victory (MOV) and ATS margin. They have an average MOV of 11.6 points and cover the spread by an average of 4.1 points per game. This suggests that not only do they win games, but they also do so convincingly, often surpassing bookmakers’ projections.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Miami Heat have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season. As of their last recorded game, they hold a 24-33-1 ATS record, covering approximately 42.1% of the time. This indicates challenges in meeting betting expectations, especially on the road, where their performance has been inconsistent.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: In contrast, the Cleveland Cavaliers have excelled ATS this season. They boast a 39-19-1 ATS record, covering the spread in about 67.2% of their games. This strong performance reflects their ability to exceed expectations, particularly at home, where they have been dominant.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Cleveland?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Cleveland Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Miami vs Cleveland Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+405 CLE Moneyline: -549
MIA Spread: +11
CLE Spread: -11.0
Over/Under: 227
Miami vs Cleveland Live Odds
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O 221 (-113)
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+145
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O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
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+240
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+7.5 (-113)
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O 207 (-113)
U 207 (-112)
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Oct 22, 2025 7:40PM EDT
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76ers
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+107
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+2 (-110)
-2 (-115)
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O 221.5 (-115)
U 221.5 (-110)
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Toronto Raptors
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+190
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+6 (-113)
-6 (-112)
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O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
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Oct 22, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
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+285
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O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-115)
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Detroit Pistons
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-132
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-2 (-114)
+2 (-112)
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O 236.5 (-114)
U 236.5 (-112)
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New Orleans Pelicans
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–
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+150
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+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-113)
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O 238.5 (-113)
U 238.5 (-113)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Clippers
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Clippers
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–
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-345
+260
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-8 (-113)
+8 (-112)
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O 227.5 (-112)
U 227.5 (-114)
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Oct 22, 2025 9:40PM EDT
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Spurs
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–
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-113
-110
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-1 (-109)
+1 (-117)
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O 226.5 (-112)
U 226.5 (-113)
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Oct 22, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
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Kings
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-103
-121
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+1.5 (-114)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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Minnesota Timberwolves
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-143
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-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-112)
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O 216 (-114)
U 216 (-112)
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Oct 23, 2025 7:40PM EDT
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-323
+240
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
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Denver Nuggets
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-109
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O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers on March 05, 2025 at Rocket Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | NY -2.5 | 55.60% | 5 | WIN |
GS@MIN | DONTE DIVINCENZO OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
GS@MIN | GS +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 22.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@GS | JIMMY BUTLER UNDER 33.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@NY | BOS -5.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
OKC@DEN | OKC -5 | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
IND@CLE | IND +8 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
GS@MIN | ANTHONY EDWARDS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+AST | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
GS@MIN | MIN -6.5 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@OKC | NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 36.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.20% | 3 | LOSS |
IND@CLE | IND +8.5 | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -5 | 53.70% | 3 | LOSS |
HOU@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
DEN@LAC | UNDER 212.5 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAL | MIN +6 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@LAL | NAZ REID OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
DET@NY | DET +5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
CLE@MIA | EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 29.5 PTS+REB+AST | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@ORL | KRISTAPS PORZINGIS UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | GS -3 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@GS | JALEN GREEN OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
LAL@MIN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 31.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@ORL | BOS -3.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@LAC | BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS ATTEMPTED | 53.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GS@HOU | JALEN GREEN UNDER 3.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
ORL@BOS | ORL +10.5 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
MEM@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 19.5 PTS + REB | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MEM@OKC | OKC -14.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
LAC@DEN | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 3.5 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS | 53.30% | 3 | LOSS |