Hawks vs Heat Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Feb 26)

Updated: 2025-02-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Atlanta Hawks are set to face the Miami Heat on Wednesday, February 26, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. Both teams are vying for improved standings in the Eastern Conference, with the Hawks currently at 26-31 and the Heat at 26-29.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Feb 26, 2025

Start Time: 8:30 PM EST​

Venue: Kaseya Center​

Heat Record: (26-30)

Hawks Record: (27-31)

OPENING ODDS

ATL Moneyline: +113

MIA Moneyline: -135

ATL Spread: +2.5

MIA Spread: -2.5

Over/Under: 229

ATL
Betting Trends

  • In recent games, the Hawks have shown resilience against the spread (ATS), covering in seven of their last eight matchups. This indicates a trend of outperforming market expectations, even in challenging contests. Their offensive prowess, averaging 117.0 points per game, has been a significant factor in these outcomes.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Heat, conversely, have struggled ATS, particularly in close games. They are 3-6 in games decided by less than four points, suggesting difficulties in clutch situations. Despite a solid defense allowing 110.9 points per game, their offense averages 113.2 points, leading to narrow margins that often don’t cover the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • An interesting ATS statistic is the Hawks’ performance in division games, where they have a 7-3 record. This success within the Southeast Division highlights their competitiveness against familiar opponents, which could influence betting considerations for this matchup.

ATL vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Risacher under 16.5 Pts + Reb

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Atlanta vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 2/26/25

The upcoming clash between the Atlanta Hawks and the Miami Heat on February 26, 2025, at Kaseya Center promises to be a pivotal contest as both teams strive to enhance their positions in the tightly contested Eastern Conference. The Hawks, currently holding a 26-31 record, are eager to build momentum and climb the standings, while the Heat, at 26-29, aim to solidify their playoff aspirations. Offensively, the Hawks have been formidable, averaging 117.0 points per game, which ranks them among the top scoring teams in the league. This high-octane offense is orchestrated by point guard Trae Young, who leads the team with 24.0 points and 11.5 assists per game. Young’s playmaking ability and scoring prowess make him a constant threat, capable of dissecting defenses with precision. Complementing him is forward Jalen Johnson, contributing 18.9 points and 10.0 rebounds per game, providing a robust presence in the paint and on the boards. Defensively, however, the Hawks have faced challenges, allowing 119.0 points per game. This defensive vulnerability has often put pressure on their offense to outscore opponents in high-scoring affairs. To secure a victory against the Heat, the Hawks will need to tighten their defensive schemes, particularly in transition and perimeter defense, to prevent Miami’s shooters from finding rhythm. The Heat, known for their defensive tenacity, allow 110.9 points per game, showcasing a disciplined approach on that end of the floor. Center Bam Adebayo anchors the defense, averaging 10.0 rebounds and 1.2 steals per game, while also contributing 21.3 points offensively. His versatility enables the Heat to switch effectively on defense and protect the rim.

On the offensive front, shooting guard Tyler Herro leads the team with 24.0 points per game, his sharpshooting and ability to create shots playing a crucial role in Miami’s scoring efforts. A critical aspect of this matchup will be the battle of tempos. The Hawks thrive in fast-paced games, utilizing Young’s quickness and court vision to generate scoring opportunities. In contrast, the Heat often excel in controlled, half-court settings, relying on their defensive structure to stifle opponents and create efficient scoring chances. Whichever team can impose its preferred style of play is likely to gain the upper hand. In terms of recent performance, the Hawks have been impressive against the spread, covering in seven of their last eight games. This suggests that they have been exceeding expectations, possibly due to their potent offense and clutch performances. The Heat, meanwhile, have struggled in close contests, with a 3-6 record in games decided by less than four points. This indicates potential issues in executing during critical moments, an area they will need to address to secure wins in tightly contested games. Injuries and player availability could also influence the outcome. The Hawks have been without forward Jalen Johnson due to injury, impacting their frontcourt depth and rebounding capabilities. The Heat have faced their own challenges, with veteran point guard Kyle Lowry sidelined indefinitely with a knee injury and forward Nikola Jovic out with a back issue. The potential return of Kevin Love, listed as probable with a rib injury, could bolster Miami’s frontcourt experience and spacing. As both teams prepare for this crucial encounter, the outcome may hinge on which side can effectively exploit the other’s weaknesses. The Hawks will look to leverage their offensive firepower, while the Heat will aim to impose their defensive will. Fans can anticipate a competitive and strategically nuanced game as these Eastern Conference rivals clash in Miami.

Atlanta Hawks NBA Preview

The Atlanta Hawks enter their February 26, 2025, matchup against the Miami Heat with a 26-31 record, looking to maintain their recent positive momentum. As they fight for a potential play-in tournament spot, the Hawks have been playing some of their best basketball lately, covering the spread in seven of their last eight games. Their offensive firepower has been the key to their competitiveness, but defensive struggles continue to plague them. The Hawks boast one of the most potent offenses in the NBA, averaging 117.0 points per game. This attack is spearheaded by star point guard Trae Young, who continues to be the team’s primary playmaker and scorer. Young averages 24.0 points and 11.5 assists per game, ranking among the league leaders in assists. His ability to create shots for himself and his teammates makes him one of the most dangerous offensive threats in the league. However, he has also been turnover-prone, a problem that Miami’s aggressive defense could exploit. Supporting Young in the backcourt is Dejounte Murray, who has provided additional scoring and defensive presence. Murray averages 21.2 points, 6.1 assists, and 5.5 rebounds per game, giving the Hawks a dynamic one-two punch in the backcourt. His ability to play off the ball allows Young to operate freely, but their defensive chemistry has been inconsistent, which has hurt Atlanta in key games. The Hawks’ biggest issue remains on the defensive end. They allow 119.0 points per game, one of the worst marks in the league. Their perimeter defense has been particularly weak, often allowing opponents to get open three-point looks. Against a Miami team that has shooters like Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson, this could be a major problem. The Hawks must communicate better on defensive rotations and close out more aggressively to avoid getting burned from deep. Atlanta’s frontcourt, led by Clint Capela, provides strong rebounding but limited offensive versatility. Capela is averaging 10.8 rebounds per game, giving the Hawks a much-needed presence on the boards. However, his offensive game is mostly limited to putbacks and lobs, meaning Atlanta lacks a true post-scoring threat. The Hawks may look to John Collins or Onyeka Okongwu for additional offensive contributions inside, but they will face a tough test against Bam Adebayo and Miami’s physical interior defense. A key factor in this matchup will be how well the Hawks handle Miami’s defensive pressure. The Heat excel at forcing turnovers and disrupting offensive rhythm, and the Hawks must avoid falling into long scoring droughts. If Atlanta can maintain ball movement and avoid settling for contested shots, they have the offensive talent to outscore Miami. Atlanta’s recent success in division games (7-3 ATS in their last ten Southeast Division matchups) suggests they thrive in familiar matchups. However, they must overcome their road struggles, as they have a 9-17 record away from home. If the Hawks can dictate the pace, hit their three-pointers, and limit defensive lapses, they have a real chance to steal a win in Miami.

The Atlanta Hawks are set to face the Miami Heat on Wednesday, February 26, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. Both teams are vying for improved standings in the Eastern Conference, with the Hawks currently at 26-31 and the Heat at 26-29. Atlanta vs Miami AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Feb 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Heat NBA Preview

The Miami Heat, entering the February 26, 2025, matchup against the Atlanta Hawks with a 26-29 record, find themselves at a critical juncture in the season. Currently positioned ninth in the Eastern Conference, the Heat are striving to secure a playoff berth in a highly competitive landscape. Under the seasoned leadership of head coach Erik Spoelstra, Miami continues to emphasize a defense-first philosophy, a hallmark that has defined the franchise’s identity over the years. Defensively, the Heat have been steadfast, allowing an average of 110.9 points per game, which ranks them among the more formidable defenses in the league. Central to this defensive prowess is center Bam Adebayo, whose versatility and athleticism make him a linchpin in Miami’s schemes. Adebayo contributes 21.3 points, 10.0 rebounds, and 1.2 steals per game, showcasing his ability to impact both ends of the floor. His defensive acumen enables the Heat to employ switch-heavy strategies, effectively guarding multiple positions and disrupting opposing offenses. Adebayo’s ability to contain pick-and-rolls and protect the rim will be crucial against the Hawks, who rely heavily on Trae Young’s playmaking and scoring in such situations. His matchup with Atlanta’s big men, particularly Clint Capela, will be a key factor in determining which team controls the paint. On the offensive side, Miami has leaned on Tyler Herro, who leads the team in scoring with 24.0 points per game. Herro’s ability to shoot from deep and create his own shot has been vital for a Heat team that has struggled at times with offensive consistency. With Jimmy Butler still playing through minor injuries, Herro has had to shoulder a greater offensive burden. His efficiency from beyond the arc, where he shoots 38.7%, will be critical against an Atlanta team that struggles in perimeter defense. Jimmy Butler remains the heart of the Heat, both in terms of leadership and on-court production. Though his scoring average has dipped slightly this season to 20.5 points per game, Butler’s impact extends beyond numbers. He is the Heat’s best closer, frequently stepping up in late-game situations. However, Miami’s 3-6 record in games decided by less than four points suggests that even Butler’s clutch performances haven’t always been enough. Against the Hawks, Miami must find ways to build leads earlier in the game to avoid relying on late-game heroics. Another issue for Miami has been the point guard position. With Kyle Lowry sidelined due to a knee injury, the Heat have struggled with ball movement and consistency at the position. Backup guards Dru Smith and Delon Wright have stepped in, but neither provides the same level of leadership or playmaking. Miami’s assist numbers have suffered as a result, ranking in the bottom third of the league in assists per game. If the Heat want to maximize their offensive potential against the Hawks, they will need better ball distribution and fewer isolation possessions. The Heat also face questions regarding their three-point defense. While they have been solid defensively overall, their perimeter defense has been inconsistent, allowing opponents to shoot 36.5% from deep. This could be a problem against a Hawks team that thrives on outside shooting, particularly with Young and Bogdan Bogdanović leading the charge. Miami must close out effectively on shooters and force Atlanta into difficult mid-range attempts. One area where Miami could have an advantage is rebounding. While they rank just outside the top ten in rebounds per game, they are facing an Atlanta team that struggles on the defensive glass. If the Heat can generate second-chance opportunities through offensive rebounding, they can wear down the Hawks over the course of the game. Ultimately, the Heat’s success in this matchup will depend on their ability to impose their defensive structure and limit Atlanta’s transition opportunities. If they can slow down Young, contest three-pointers effectively, and execute offensively without long scoring droughts, they will have a strong chance of securing a home victory. With the Eastern Conference standings so tight, every win matters, and Miami must approach this game with playoff-level intensity.

Atlanta vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Hawks and Heat play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kaseya Center in Feb seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Risacher under 16.5 Pts + Reb

Atlanta vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Hawks and Heat and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Hawks team going up against a possibly healthy Heat team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Miami picks, computer picks Hawks vs Heat, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/8 POR@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/8 LAL@ATL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
NBA 11/8 IND@DEN UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NBA 11/8 CHI@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Hawks Betting Trends

In recent games, the Hawks have shown resilience against the spread (ATS), covering in seven of their last eight matchups. This indicates a trend of outperforming market expectations, even in challenging contests. Their offensive prowess, averaging 117.0 points per game, has been a significant factor in these outcomes.

Heat Betting Trends

The Heat, conversely, have struggled ATS, particularly in close games. They are 3-6 in games decided by less than four points, suggesting difficulties in clutch situations. Despite a solid defense allowing 110.9 points per game, their offense averages 113.2 points, leading to narrow margins that often don’t cover the spread.

Hawks vs. Heat Matchup Trends

An interesting ATS statistic is the Hawks’ performance in division games, where they have a 7-3 record. This success within the Southeast Division highlights their competitiveness against familiar opponents, which could influence betting considerations for this matchup.

Atlanta vs. Miami Game Info

Atlanta vs Miami starts on February 26, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.

Spread: Miami -2.5
Moneyline: Atlanta +113, Miami -135
Over/Under: 229

Atlanta: (27-31)  |  Miami: (26-30)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Risacher under 16.5 Pts + Reb. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

An interesting ATS statistic is the Hawks’ performance in division games, where they have a 7-3 record. This success within the Southeast Division highlights their competitiveness against familiar opponents, which could influence betting considerations for this matchup.

ATL trend: In recent games, the Hawks have shown resilience against the spread (ATS), covering in seven of their last eight matchups. This indicates a trend of outperforming market expectations, even in challenging contests. Their offensive prowess, averaging 117.0 points per game, has been a significant factor in these outcomes.

MIA trend: The Heat, conversely, have struggled ATS, particularly in close games. They are 3-6 in games decided by less than four points, suggesting difficulties in clutch situations. Despite a solid defense allowing 110.9 points per game, their offense averages 113.2 points, leading to narrow margins that often don’t cover the spread.

See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Atlanta vs. Miami Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Atlanta vs Miami Opening Odds

ATL Moneyline: +113
MIA Moneyline: -135
ATL Spread: +2.5
MIA Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 229

Atlanta vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 9, 2025 3:30PM EST
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
11/9/25 3:30PM
Rockets
Bucks
-170
+145
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 231.5 (-110)
U 231.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks
11/9/25 6PM
Nets
Knicks
+725
-1300
+15.5 (-105)
-15.5 (-115)
O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
11/9/25 6:10PM
Thunder
Grizzlies
-525
+375
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
O 233 (-110)
U 233 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 6:10PM EST
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
11/9/25 6:10PM
Celtics
Magic
+135
-160
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers
11/9/25 7:30PM
Pistons
76ers
-165
+140
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-105)
O 232.5 (-105)
U 232.5 (-115)
Nov 9, 2025 8:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors
11/9/25 8:40PM
Pacers
Warriors
+500
-750
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Nov 9, 2025 9:10PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings
11/9/25 9:10PM
Timberwolves
Kings
-200
+170
-5 (-105)
+5 (-115)
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
+122
-145
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
O 229 (-115)
U 229 (-105)
Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
+158
-190
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
+178
-215
+5 (-105)
-5 (-115)
O 229 (-115)
U 229 (-105)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat on February 26, 2025 at Kaseya Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NO@DEN DEN -12.5 53.6% 3 WIN
NO@DEN NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
SAC@OKC SAC +10 54.7% 4 WIN
NY@MIL MIL +3 56.6% 6 WIN
LAC@GS GS +2.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAC@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.5% 5 LOSS
CLE@DET DET +2.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
ORL@PHI ORL -5 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKC@DAL DAL +9 66.4% 6 WIN
BOS@NO NO +2 55.6% 5 LOSS
BKN@HOU BKN +16.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
BOS@NO TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@CLE MIL +6.5 56.1% 6 WIN
POR@LAC POR +8.5 56.5% 6 WIN
ATL@ORL ATL +5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAS@DAL WAS +10 55.3% 5 WIN
PHX@LAC IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.5% 5 LOSS
OKC@IND IND +8 56.5% 6 WIN
CLE@NY CLE -116 55.0% 4 LOSS
LAC@UTA UTA +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
WAS@MIL KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
HOU@OKC HOU +6.5 54.8% 4 WIN
GS@LAL STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4 4 WIN
IND@OKC SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS 54.90% 4 LOSS
IND@OKC JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS 55.70% 5 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT 55.70% 5 LOSS
IND@OKC CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED 53.40% 3 WIN
OKC@IND TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 53.00% 3 LOSS