Away Team
Record 83-70
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 72-81 ATS
Road 45-33 road
Standings
MLB Game Preview
Schedule
First Pitch Countdown
10:42:02
Start Time 7:11 PM EST
Date September 18, 2026
Venue Tropicana Field
Where To Watch NESN
Where To Stream Rays.TV
Season Series Season series tied 5-5.

Boston brings wild-card urgency and a stronger starting-pitcher ERA, but Tampa Bay has won six straight, owns a 53-25 home record, and has flipped into the favorite role around -125.

Home Team
Record 93-59
Last 5 5-0 last five
ATS 80-72 ATS
Home 53-25 home
Analysis Updated: 7:24 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 7:22 AM ET
Odds Updated: 8:04 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
TB -1.5
Open: TB +1.5
Market Steady

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/18 8:04 AM ET
Moneyline
TB -126
Open: TB -131
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/18 8:04 AM ET
Total
7
Open: 8
Total Dropping

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/18 8:04 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Trevor Story Over 0.5 Total Bases
Caminero Over 0.5 hits is supported by hits in seven of his last ten games. Caminero Over 0.5 hits fits his .294 average and .943 OPS against lefties. Caminero Over 0.5 hits benefits from batting third, maximizing plate appearances against Boston.

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Odds Comparison Center

Shop for the best lines in one place.

Best Home Spread
FanDuel | TB +1.5
Best Home Moneyline
BetOnline.ag | TB -120
Best Over Line
DraftKings | 7
Best Away Spread
DraftKings | BOS +1.5
Best Away Moneyline
BetOnline.ag | BOS +109
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 7.5
Updated 8:04 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelBOS -1.5
TB +1.5
BOS +108
TB -126
O 7.5
U 7.5
DraftKingsBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +105
TB -126
O 7
U 7
BetMGMBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +105
TB -125
O 7.5
U 7.5
BetRiversBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +108
TB -129
O 7
U 7
FanaticsBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +105
TB -125
O 7.5
U 7.5
BovadaBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +104
TB -124
O 7.5
U 7.5
BetOnline.agBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +109
TB -120
O 7.5
U 7.5
LowVig.agBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +109
TB -120
O 7.5
U 7.5
BetUSBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +109
TB -120
O 7.5
U 7.5
CaesarsBOS +1.5
TB -1.5
BOS +107
TB -125
O 7.5
U 7.5

Injury Report

Boston's immediate concern is Willson Contreras, who is day to day after a right-hand hit-by-pitch Thursday; X-rays were negative. Closer Aroldis Chapman is also day to day with lat tightness, while Ceddanne Rafaela remains out with a quad strain. Tampa Bay is without setup reliever Tyler Wells for the rest of the regular season, but Taylor Walls returned from the injured list Thursday.

Key Players

Boston
Ranger Suarez
Suarez is 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and 130 strikeouts this season.
Tampa Bay
Junior Caminero
Caminero enters with 41 homers, a .277 average, and an .895 OPS.

Key Matchup Edge

Boston owns the cleaner starting-pitching profile: Suarez brings a 3.33 ERA and has allowed only nine homers in 137.2 innings, while Seymour sits at 4.27 with 23 homers allowed. Tampa Bay's six-game winning streak and 53-25 home record balance that edge, making the early innings the key handicap.

3 Things to Watch

  • Contreras hand status before first pitch
  • Caminero versus Suarez's left-handed command
  • Seymour's home-run suppression against Boston

Betting Breakdown

Boston and Tampa Bay open a three-game set Friday at 7:10 PM ET with very different forms but a tightly priced market. The Rays have won six straight and sit 53-25 at Tropicana Field, while Boston is a strong 45-33 on the road after rallying past Texas on Thursday. The starting matchup gives the Red Sox a legitimate counterweight to Tampa Bay's momentum: Ranger Suarez is 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA, while Ian Seymour is 9-6 with a 4.27 ERA and has been more vulnerable to home runs. The market currently prices Tampa Bay around -125 with a 7.5 total after an opener that listed Boston -1.5 on the run line. Boston's biggest pregame variable is health, with Willson Contreras and Aroldis Chapman both day to day. Tampa Bay also lost key setup reliever Tyler Wells for the rest of the regular season. With the season series tied 5-5, the sharper angle is whether Boston's starting-pitching edge can overcome Tampa Bay's home dominance and current form.

Boston Betting Outlook

Boston enters 83-70 and remains dangerous away from Fenway at 45-33 on the road. Ranger Suarez is the central betting case after posting a 3.33 ERA with only nine home runs allowed in 137.2 innings, a profile that can quiet Tampa Bay's current surge. The Red Sox are only 3-2 across their last five, but Thursday's comeback win in Texas stopped a two-game slide. Offensively, Boston must deal with left-hander Ian Seymour and his strikeout ability, while also monitoring Willson Contreras after a hand hit-by-pitch. Boston's 72-81 ATS mark is less impressive than its straight-up road record, so backing the Red Sox depends heavily on Suarez controlling the game early and limiting Tampa Bay's middle-order power.

Tampa Bay Betting Outlook

Tampa Bay brings the stronger current form, entering 93-59 on a six-game winning streak and owning a 53-25 record at Tropicana Field. Junior Caminero remains the centerpiece of the lineup with 41 home runs, and his .294 average with a .943 OPS against left-handed pitching gives the Rays a direct answer to Ranger Suarez. Ian Seymour has a 4.27 ERA with elite strikeout volume, but his 23 home runs allowed create risk against Boston's power bats. The Rays are 80-72 ATS overall and 40-38 ATS at home, so their run-line profile has been far less dominant than their straight-up record. Tyler Wells' forearm injury removes an important setup arm, increasing the value of a clean Seymour start and early run support.

Latest Team Buzz

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays FAQ

What is the current spread for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The current home spread is TB -1.5, while the away spread is BOS +1.5.

How far has the spread moved for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The spread opened at TB +1.5 and is now TB -1.5.

What is the current moneyline for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The current moneyline is BOS +105 / TB -126.

How far has the moneyline moved for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The moneyline opened at BOS +108 / TB -131 and is now BOS +105 / TB -126.

What is the current total for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The current total is 7.

How far has the total moved for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The total opened at 8 and is now 7.

Is the market taking the underdog in Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Is the total rising for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Where to watch Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

You can watch this game on NESN. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

You can stream this game on Rays.TV.

What is the best free prop bet for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Trevor Story Over 0.5 Total Bases

What is the biggest matchup edge for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Boston owns the cleaner starting-pitching profile: Suarez brings a 3.33 ERA and has allowed only nine homers in 137.2 innings, while Seymour sits at 4.27 with 23 homers allowed. Tampa Bay's six-game winning streak and 53-25 home record balance that edge, making the early innings the key handicap.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Game Date September 18, 2026
Venue Tropicana Field
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI MLB PAST PICKS

35-16 68.6% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
SF@PIT
OVER 8.5
55.3%
5
WIN
TOR@CLE
TOR -115
54.6%
4
WIN
ATL@WAS
ATL -130
55.4%
4
WIN
TOR@CLE
JO ADELL OVER 0.5 HITS
55.4%
5
LOSS
SF@PIT
OVER 7.5
55.9%
5
WIN
SD@CIN
SD -126
55.0%
3
LOSS
NYM@TB
TB -130
54.9%
3
WIN
SF@PIT
JUNG HOO LEE OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
LOSS
DET@MIN
ROYCE LEWIS UNDER 0.5 RUNS
54.5%
4
LOSS
BAL@COL
BAL -121
54.7%
4
WIN
NYY@LAA
NYY -114
55.1%
5
LOSS
PHI@LAA
UNDER 8
54.7%
4
WIN
COL@ATL
UNDER 8.5
56.3%
6
WIN
BOS@NYY
BOS -112
54.8%
4
LOSS
SEA@TOR
SEA -125
54.6%
4
LOSS
SEA@TOR
GEORGE SPRINGER OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
MIA@WAS
OVER 7.5
55.3%
5
WIN
SEA@TOR
TOR -118
54.8%
4
WIN
COL@ATL
GRANT HOLMES OVER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED
54.2%
4
WIN
ARI@SF
ARI -110
54.8%
4
WIN
KC@CLE
CLE -126
54.9%
3
LOSS
ARI@SF
RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
KC@TOR
KC -106
53.3%
3
WIN
LAD@ATL
ATL -109
53.5%
3
WIN
LAD@ATL
MICHAEL HARRIS II UNDER 1.5 BASES
53.2%
3
WIN
COL@WAS
OVER 8.5
55.8%
5
WIN
CLE@LAA
CLE -130
55.4%
4
WIN
CIN@SF
SAL STEWART OVER 0.5 STRIKEOUTS
54.7%
4
LOSS
KC@TOR
OVER 8.5
56.1%
6
LOSS
BAL@STL
STL -124
55.2%
5
LOSS
CLE@LAA
CLE -131
55.2%
4
WIN
TEX@CHW
EVAN CARTER OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
TEX@CHW
OVER 8.5
54.9%
4
WIN
CHC@ARI
CHC -130
55.5%
4
WIN
NYM@CHW
JARED YOUNG OVER 0.5 HITS
54.3%
4
WIN
STL@PHI
OVER 7.5
55.2%
5
WIN
WAS@MIA
OVER 8.5
55.4%
5
LOSS
LAA@TEX
EZEQUIEL DURAN OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
STL@PHI
OVER 9
55.8%
5
WIN
TB@BAL
TB -116
54.6%
4
LOSS
STL@PHI
BRANDON MARSH UNDER 0.5 RUNS
55.1%
5
LOSS
PIT@LAD
OVER 8
55.6%
5
WIN
TB@BAL
BAL -124
55.0%
4
WIN
SEA@MIL
DOMINIC CANZONE OVER 0.5 HITS
53.4%
3
WIN
NYY@BAL
UNDER 8
54.0%
4
WIN
NYY@BAL
NYY -116
54.2%
4
WIN
MIA@PHI
JUSTIN CRAWFORD OVER 0.5 HITS
54.4%
4
WIN
SD@NYM
SD -125
55.1%
5
LOSS
MIA@PHI
PHI -121
55.2%
5
WIN
TOR@TB
TAYLOR WALLS OVER 0.5 HITS
54.4%
4
WIN
TOR@TB
TB -126
55.1%
4
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.