Away Team
Record 68-55
Last 5 2-3 last five
ATS 58-65-0 ATS
Road 37-28 road
Standings
MLB GAME PREVIEW
Schedule
First Pitch Countdown
In Progress
Start Time 1:38 PM EST
Date August 16, 2026
Venue Rogers Centre
Where To Watch Sportsnet
Where To Stream Sportsnet+
Season Series Toronto leads 5-4.

Toronto goes for a home sweep behind Dylan Cease while New York arrives on a three-game skid with Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Giancarlo Stanton unavailable. The betting tension is simple: elite pitching against a badly thinned Yankees lineup.

Home Team
Record 61-64
Last 5 4-1 last five
ATS 61-64-0 ATS
Home 33-32 home
Analysis Updated: 2:31 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 2:31 AM ET
Odds Updated: 5:05 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
TOR -1.5
Open: TOR +1.5
Market Steady

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 8/16 5:05 AM ET
Moneyline
TOR -124
Open: TOR -123
Favorite Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 8/16 5:05 AM ET
Total
7
Open: 7.5
Total Dropping

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 8/16 5:05 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Total Bases
No valid player prop was supplied, so matchup-specific support cannot be verified. The provided prop value appears to be a date rather than a wager. Prop reasoning is withheld to avoid inventing a market or player selection.

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Odds Comparison Center

Shop for the best lines in one place.

Best Home Spread
FanDuel | TOR -1.5
Best Home Moneyline
FanDuel | TOR -120
Best Over Line
FanDuel | 7
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | NYY +1.5
Best Away Moneyline
DraftKings | NYY +116
Best Under Line
BetMGM | 7.5
Updated 5:05 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +110
TOR -120
O 7
U 7
DraftKingsNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +116
TOR -124
O 7
U 7
BetMGMNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +105
TOR -125
O 7.5
U 7.5
BetRiversNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +114
TOR -134
O 7
U 7
FanaticsNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +105
TOR -125
O 7.5
U 7.5
BovadaNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +109
TOR -131
O 7.5
U 7.5
BetOnline.agNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +114
TOR -126
O 7
U 7
LowVig.agNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +114
TOR -126
O 7
U 7
MyBookie.agNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +109
TOR -127
O 7
U 7
BetUSNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +115
TOR -126
O 7
U 7
CaesarsNYY +1.5
TOR -1.5
NYY +115
TOR -125
O 7
U 7

Injury Report

New York remains without Aaron Judge because of a right rib stress fracture; he has only recently resumed playing catch. Cody Bellinger and Giancarlo Stanton are also unavailable, leaving the Yankees short on middle-order power. Toronto has Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on the 7-day concussion IL, removing its biggest name from a lineup trying to complete the sweep.

Key Players

New York
Ryan Weathers
Allowed two earned runs across 24.1 innings over his last four starts.
Toronto
Dylan Cease
Owns a 2.40 ERA and an AL-best 2.41 FIP entering Sunday.

Key Matchup Edge

Toronto owns the cleaner offensive context because New York is missing Judge, Bellinger and Stanton and has scored just two runs in this series. Cease also brings elite strikeout ability into a lineup already pressing for offense. Weathers can keep New York close, but Toronto has more paths to a late edge.

3 Things to Watch

  • Cease strikeouts against a depleted lineup
  • Weathers sustaining his four-start surge
  • Toronto bullpen after Saturday's workload

Betting Breakdown

Toronto enters Sunday with the leverage of a potential sweep and the better recent offensive rhythm, while New York is trying to stop a three-game slide before it snowballs further in the AL race. The starting matchup is excellent. Dylan Cease has a 2.40 ERA, an AL-best 2.41 FIP and a 36.1 percent strikeout rate, giving Toronto exactly the profile it wants against a Yankees lineup missing Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Giancarlo Stanton. New York does have a legitimate counter in Ryan Weathers, who has allowed only two earned runs across 24.1 innings over his last four starts. That recent form keeps the Yankees live in a low-scoring game, especially with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also unavailable for Toronto. Still, the Blue Jays have won four of their last five, took the first two games of this series by multiple runs, and have been finding enough timely offense and bullpen answers to capitalize on New York's current scoring drought.

New York Betting Outlook

New York's handicap starts with Weathers because the offense is offering little margin for error. The Yankees have lost three straight and scored only two runs in the first two games at Rogers Centre, extending a longer slump that has deepened without Judge, Bellinger and Stanton. New York has not found a consistent secondary power source, so bettors need another efficient outing from Weathers and clean late-inning work to justify backing the road side. If the Yankees can manufacture an early run and avoid chasing Cease's strikeout stuff, they can stay in range, but their current offensive floor is difficult to ignore.

Toronto Betting Outlook

Toronto has taken control of the series with consecutive 3-1 and 4-1 wins and now sends its best starter to the mound. Cease's 2.40 ERA, elite 2.41 FIP and 36.1 percent strikeout rate give the Blue Jays a clear way to pressure a short-handed Yankees lineup from the first inning. The concern is offensive ceiling without Guerrero, plus bullpen freshness after seven pitchers were used Saturday. Even so, Toronto has won four of its last five and has repeatedly produced the timely hit New York has lacked. The home side's current form and starting-pitching profile make it the cleaner baseline, especially if Cease works deep.

Latest Team Buzz

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays FAQ

What is the current spread for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

The current home spread is TOR -1.5, while the away spread is NYY +1.5.

How far has the spread moved for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

The spread opened at TOR +1.5 and is now TOR -1.5.

What is the current moneyline for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

The current moneyline is NYY +116 / TOR -124.

How far has the moneyline moved for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

The moneyline opened at NYY +102 / TOR -123 and is now NYY +116 / TOR -124.

What is the current total for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

The current total is 7.

How far has the total moved for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

The total opened at 7.5 and is now 7.

Is the market taking the underdog in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Is the total rising for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Where to watch New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

You can watch this game on Sportsnet. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

You can stream this game on Sportsnet+.

What is the best free prop bet for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Austin Wells Over 0.5 Total Bases

What is the biggest matchup edge for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Toronto owns the cleaner offensive context because New York is missing Judge, Bellinger and Stanton and has scored just two runs in this series. Cease also brings elite strikeout ability into a lineup already pressing for offense. Weathers can keep New York close, but Toronto has more paths to a late edge.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

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Remi's Past Performance

VAULT RECORD (ATS)
542-436
VAULT NET UNITS (INCL. VIG)
+661.6
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EXEC NET UNITS (INCL. VIG)
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$26,383

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays on August 16, 2026 at Rogers Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
BOS@PIT BOS -115 55.1% 5 WIN
SD@CLE GAVIN WILLIAMS OVER 4.5 STRIKEOUTS 54.5% 4 WIN
ARI@ATL UNDER 8 55.0% 5 WIN
SEA@HOU HOU -122 54.8% 4 WIN
MIL@LAD TOMMY EDMAN UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
CLE@DET CLE -115 55.9% 6 LOSS
CIN@CHW CHW -130 55.0% 3 LOSS
PIT@MIA PIT -110 54.9% 4 WIN
NYM@ATL FRANCISCO LINDOR OVER 0.5 HITS 54.4% 4 LOSS
CLE@DET DET -118 54.8% 4 LOSS
SEA@NYY NYY -124 56.1% 6 WIN
TEX@LAA TEX -125 54.8% 4 LOSS
NYM@ATL NOLAN MCLEAN OVER 1.5 WALKS 54.5% 4 WIN
SEA@NYY OVER 8 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@TOR TOR -135 56.1% 4 WIN
CLE@DET DET -122 54.9% 4 WIN
MIL@SD JACKSON MERRILL OVER 0.5 HITS 55.1% 5 WIN
KC@LAD OVER 7.5 55.1% 5 WIN
TEX@LAA TEX -105 53.6% 3 WIN
TB@SEA JULIO RODRIGUEZ OVER 0.5 HITS 54.6% 4 LOSS
BAL@TEX TEX -127 54.2% 3 LOSS
LAD@ARI LAD -131 55.5% 4 LOSS
LAD@ARI BEN RORTVEDT UNDER 1.5 HITS + RUNS + RBIS 54.3% 4 PUSH
BAL@TEX OVER 7.5 55.1% 5 LOSS
ATL@NYY ATL -128 54.6% 3 LOSS
CIN@WAS CIN -131 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAD@ARI OVER 9 55.7% 5 LOSS
LAA@MIA OVER 9 55.3% 5 LOSS
DET@SF GLEYBER TORRES OVER 0.5 RUNS 53.4% 3 LOSS
MIA@ATL AUSTIN RILEY OVER 0.5 HITS 55.1% 5 LOSS
SD@ARI OVER 9 55.3% 4 LOSS
DET@SEA OVER 8 55.9% 4 WIN
DET@SEA SEA -121 54.9% 4 LOSS
SD@ARI NOLAN ARENADO OVER 0.5 HITS 54.1% 4 PUSH
PIT@MIL OVER 7 55.0% 5 LOSS
STL@NYY OVER 8.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
LAD@CHC UNDER 9.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SD@ARI JASE BOWEN OVER 0.5 STRIKEOUTS 54.4% 4 WIN
SD@ARI OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
MIN@KC MIN -130 55.5% 4 LOSS
SD@ARI OVER 9 54.0% 3 LOSS
TOR@HOU HOU -124 54.4% 4 LOSS
SF@TEX CHRISTIAN KOSS UNDER 1.5 HITS + RUNS + RBIS 53.4% 3 WIN
ARI@CLE TIM TAWA UNDER 0.5 HITS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@SD UNDER 8 55.6% 5 LOSS
PIT@CIN UNDER 8.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -133 55.0% 4 WIN
SF@SD TYLER MAHLE OVER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@SD SD -130 55.0% 3 WIN
PHI@BAL PHI -130 55.6% 4 WIN
BOS@LAD MASATAKA YOSHIDA OVER 0.5 HITS 54.6% 4 WIN