Baltimore has turned the series into a leverage test for Houston. The Orioles arrive on a six-game winning streak, lead the season series 4-1 and have already taken the first two games at Daikin Park despite modest offensive output. That matters because Sunday's pitching matchup favors another tight script. Kyle Bradish carries a 3.61 ERA, four quality starts in his last five outings and 22.2 career scoreless innings against Houston. Hunter Brown owns a 3.57 ERA since returning from a right shoulder strain, but he has not worked beyond six innings in five starts and his secondary pitches have been less convincing than his fastball. Houston's offense has managed four runs in the series, went 2-for-12 with runners in scoring position Saturday and could be without Jeremy Peña or Christian Walker. Baltimore's bullpen also has injury concerns, so late innings remain volatile, but the Orioles' starting-pitching edge and current form make them the stronger side. The under remains attractive if the total stays near the first two closing numbers.