Pirates vs. Padres
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 30 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-28T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Pittsburgh Pirates (20–36) travel to Petco Park to face the San Diego Padres (27–17) on Friday, May 30, 2025. The Padres, currently second in the NL West, aim to continue their strong season, while the Pirates look to improve upon their struggles.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 30, 2025
Start Time: 9:40 PM EST
Venue: Petco Park
Padres Record: (31-23)
Pirates Record: (21-36)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: +165
SD Moneyline: -199
PIT Spread: +1.5
SD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring performances.
SD
Betting Trends
- The Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games, showcasing their strong early-game offense.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have won 8 games against the Pirates, demonstrating a recent dominance in the series.
PIT vs. SD
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Kiner-Falefa over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.
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Pittsburgh vs San Diego Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/30/25
Their pitching hasn’t offered much help either, as both the rotation and bullpen have been prone to big innings and late-inning breakdowns. Historically, this matchup has heavily favored the Padres, who have won eight of their last ten meetings against the Pirates, and with the series opening in one of baseball’s most pitcher-friendly venues, San Diego is well-positioned to continue their dominance. For the Padres, the keys to victory will once again lie in jumping on Pittsburgh’s starting pitching early, applying pressure with aggressive baserunning, and allowing their bullpen to maintain any lead with minimal drama. Their lineup, which features several high-contact, power-capable hitters, has thrived when playing from ahead, and manager Mike Shildt has kept his team disciplined at the plate and smart on the basepaths. For the Pirates, the formula for pulling off an upset involves containing San Diego’s offense in the first few innings, getting a quality start to keep the game within reach, and somehow manufacturing enough offense to challenge a deep Padres bullpen. Pittsburgh’s young core will need to play loose but alert, taking advantage of any mistakes and converting rare scoring opportunities to stay competitive. The matchup serves as a litmus test for both teams—the Padres aiming to continue building a case as one of the NL’s most dangerous teams, and the Pirates searching for anything resembling a spark to reverse course on a season already slipping away. With playoff energy building in San Diego and the Pirates desperate to prove they can compete against top-tier talent, Friday’s contest should feature a compelling mix of urgency, execution, and the potential for fireworks from a Padres team that’s proven more than capable of putting games away early
On May 29, 2017, Andrew McCutchen tied Willie Stargell and Ralph Kiner for the most walk-off home runs in Pirates history with six. pic.twitter.com/eIwZsSdOc9
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) May 29, 2025
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter Friday night’s series opener against the San Diego Padres carrying a 20–36 record and the weight of a season that continues to spiral downward with each passing week. Offensive inconsistency remains the defining issue, with the team hitting the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games—an alarming trend that underscores how often they’ve struggled to convert baserunners into runs or generate momentum through the middle innings. While the roster features young, developing talent such as Oneil Cruz, Jack Suwinski, and Ke’Bryan Hayes, the Pirates have not been able to string together competitive offensive innings, often falling behind early and never recovering. This lack of early scoring has placed even more pressure on a pitching staff that lacks depth and has faltered frequently, especially on the road, where opposing lineups have exploited both starters and relievers with little resistance. The rotation has struggled to consistently reach the sixth inning, forcing the bullpen into extended outings that have exposed the team’s lack of reliable long relievers and setup men. The result has been an avalanche of high-scoring innings against Pittsburgh and limited opportunity for their offense to mount comebacks.
Despite their overall struggles, there have been flashes of potential—the Pirates have remained competitive in isolated games thanks to strong defensive play and occasional power from the middle of the order, but they have lacked the ability to sustain such efforts over multiple games or series. Heading into Petco Park, they’ll face a Padres team that has not only dominated them in recent matchups—winning eight of the last ten—but also thrives on quick starts, putting extra pressure on Pittsburgh’s starter to navigate the opening innings without giving up crooked numbers. If the Pirates hope to hang in this game, they’ll need a clean, efficient start from the mound and some early offense to relieve pressure and shift momentum. Defensively, they must avoid miscues that have so often led to extended innings and back-breaking runs. Manager Derek Shelton will likely focus on fundamental baseball—quality at-bats, aggressive but smart baserunning, and tight defense—as the most realistic path to stealing a win against a far superior opponent. While playoff hopes are long gone, the Pirates still have plenty to prove in terms of player development and mental toughness, especially on the road against winning teams. Friday’s game offers a chance to break from recent patterns, show growth under pressure, and give their fanbase some much-needed optimism that this young roster can at least compete, if not contend. It’s a tall order against a red-hot Padres club, but if the Pirates can jump on early mistakes and hold their own defensively, they might finally flip the script and play spoiler on a West Coast stage.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
San Diego Padres MLB Preview
The San Diego Padres return to Petco Park for Friday night’s clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates riding the wave of a strong 27–17 start to the 2025 season and firmly entrenched in the thick of the National League playoff race. Their success has been anchored by a sharp, quick-striking offense that routinely sets the tone early—evidenced by hitting the First Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games—and a deep pitching staff that has consistently supported their early-game momentum with lockdown innings on the back end. The Padres’ lineup, built around the star power of Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, and Xander Bogaerts, has displayed a blend of power, speed, and clutch hitting that makes them one of the most versatile offenses in baseball. Their aggressive approach in the first few innings often forces opposing starters into high pitch counts and tough spots, allowing the middle of the order to feast on mistakes and turn modest leads into blowouts. On the mound, San Diego’s starting rotation has done its job with remarkable consistency, giving manager Mike Shildt quality starts that let him manage his bullpen with confidence and purpose.
Whether it’s Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish, or Michael King getting the ball on Friday, the Padres are in good hands, with each bringing a different style that can neutralize a struggling Pirates lineup that has failed to hit its team total in 28 of its last 44 games. Defensively, the Padres have played crisp baseball—minimizing errors, executing double plays, and showing strong situational awareness that has prevented extra outs and preserved narrow leads. Petco Park has been kind to the Padres this season, both in terms of their offensive rhythm and their ability to contain opposing bats in one of the league’s most pitcher-friendly environments. With a bullpen led by seasoned arms who thrive in high-leverage situations, the Padres are especially dangerous in games where they grab an early lead, as they rarely allow opponents back in once they’ve taken control. Against a Pirates team that ranks among the league’s worst in offensive production and has dropped eight of its last ten games to San Diego, the Padres have a clear opportunity to build on their recent success and continue climbing the NL West standings. The key will be maintaining their discipline at the plate, avoiding defensive lapses, and sustaining the early-inning production that has defined their 2025 identity. A strong showing Friday night would reinforce their status as one of the NL’s most balanced and dangerous teams, capable of overpowering opponents in multiple ways and winning with either their bats or their arms. As playoff positioning becomes more meaningful with each passing week, the Padres know every game at home is an opportunity they can’t afford to waste—especially against a struggling Pirates club looking to play spoiler.
Final. pic.twitter.com/L8TNxkU5w0
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) May 28, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. San Diego Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. San Diego Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Pirates and Padres and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly strong Padres team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs San Diego picks, computer picks Pirates vs Padres, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
INTEL
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| MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
| MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring performances.
Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games, showcasing their strong early-game offense.
Pirates vs. Padres Matchup Trends
In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have won 8 games against the Pirates, demonstrating a recent dominance in the series.
Pittsburgh vs. San Diego Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs San Diego start on May 30, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs San Diego starts on May 30, 2025 at 9:40 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs San Diego being played?
Venue: Petco Park.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs San Diego?
Spread: San Diego -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +165, San Diego -199
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs San Diego?
Pittsburgh: (21-36) | San Diego: (31-23)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs San Diego?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Kiner-Falefa over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs San Diego trending bets?
In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Padres have won 8 games against the Pirates, demonstrating a recent dominance in the series.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring performances.
What are San Diego trending bets?
SD trend: The Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games, showcasing their strong early-game offense.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs San Diego?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. San Diego Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs San Diego trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs San Diego Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
+165 SD Moneyline: -199
PIT Spread: +1.5
SD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Pittsburgh vs San Diego Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
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–
–
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+190
-235
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
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–
–
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-175
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-1.5 (+115)
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O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+130
-155
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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|
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
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–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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|
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
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–
–
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+185
-225
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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|
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
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-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
|
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
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|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
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+170
-205
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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|
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
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+125
-150
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
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+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
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–
–
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+135
-165
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+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
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–
–
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+115
-140
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
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–
–
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-165
+135
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-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
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O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
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–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
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–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres on May 30, 2025 at Petco Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| MLB |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
| STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
| CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |